• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stated Preference(SP)

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A Study on Mixed RP/SP Models of Demand Forecasting for Rail Rapid Transit (급행철도 수요예측을 위한 RP와 SP 결합모형에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Choon Bong;Jung, Byung Doo;Hwang, Young Ki;Kim, Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5D
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    • pp.671-677
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    • 2011
  • A diversity of railway network function enhancement projects such as the double tracking, electrification, and direct operation have been actively executed to improve the railway service. When the new rapid transit is provided, how many people will use it instead of other transports? How will the railway choice behavior be changed? Accordingly, in this paper, the applicability of diverted travel demand forecast methods, by Revealed Preference(RP) and Stated Preference(SP) data was reviewed for Daegu metropolitan rail rapid transit service. As the result of combining RP and SP data, including the sequential and simultaneous approach, the total travel time and travel cost parameters are of the right sign and are highly significant. The simultaneous approach is more efficient in terms of the estimation of coefficients. In particular, methods to improve validity of the Mixed RP/SP models, when RP data is used proportionally, the diverted travel demand can be easily identified by railway fare and travel time service level. Therefore, it is considered that this will practically apply even in other regions as well as Daegu metropolitan railway.

A Study on the Behavioral Analysis of Travel Mode Choice using Disaggregate Behavioral Approach (개별행태 접근방법에 의한 교통수단선택 행태분석에 관한 연구 -대구광역시 사례를 중심으로-)

  • 배영석
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 1995
  • The main purpose of this study is identifying the factors which affect the mode choice behavior of work trips. Disaggregate behavioral approach is used for the analysis . The data were collected using the questionnaire survey method in Taegu. Two models were developed in this study which are multinomial logit model(MODEL-1) for auto, taxi and bus and multinomial logit model (MODEL-2) for auto, taxi, bus and subway. The stated preference (SP) data were used for the analysis of the subway mode choice behavior. MODEL-1 provide reasonable results for the future application. A multinomial model (MODEL-2) developed using the stated preference(SP) data was tested for the use of future transportation mode. It is four that the those models provides reasonable results in terms of behavioral and statistical consideration.

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Influence of $CO_2$ constraints to airlines by EU-ETS on passenger behavior (EU-ETS로 인한 항공사의 탄소비용증가가 항공여객에게 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Baek-Jae;Yoo, Kwang-Eui;Choi, Youn-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2011
  • 유럽연합(EU)은 2012년부터 항공산업에 대해 탄소배출권 거래제도를 적용할 예정이다. 따라서 유럽공항에서 출발 및 도착하는 모든 국제선과 국내선 항공편에 대해 탄소세가 부과될 것이며 이는 한국도 예외는 아니다. 또한 유럽을 운항하는 경우 장거리에 해당되어 중단거리를 운항하는 항공기들에 비해 총 탄소배출량이 더 많으므로 비용부담이 커질 것으로 예상된다. 본 연구는 EU-ETS로 인한 탄소세가 항공요금에 반영된다면 항공여객들이 어느 정도 민감하게 반응할 것이며 이러한 점들이 궁극적으로 한국의 항공시장에 어떤 영향을 미칠 것인지를 파악해 보는데 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 인천국제공항에서 프랑크푸르트 국제공항 노선을 이용하는 승객을 대상으로 직항노선과 중동지역 경유노선을 비교하여 EU-ETS 가격이 반영된 항공요금에 대한 반응을 Revealed Preference (RP)와 Stated Preference (SP) 설문자료와 Logit Model을 사용하여 분석하였다. 본 연구결과는 한국의 항공산업은 물론 2012년부터 부과될 EU-ETS에 대한 항공사들의 전략개발에 도움이 될 것이다.

Using Disaggregate Behavioral Analyze to Measure the Effects of Telecommuting on Transportation (개별행태분석을 통한 통신업무(Telecommuting)의 교통대체효과 추정)

  • 김형철;박규영;김흥준
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.7-19
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    • 1999
  • The Purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of telecommuting-the use of telecommunications technology to perform work from remote sites- on the transportation system. It examined the effects of telecommuting on commuter travel. After reviewing case studies of foreign countries and their telecommuting characteristic, two types of survey, RP(Revealed Preference) and SP (Stated Preference), were carried out in order to analyze the impact of telecommuting on traffic. The RP survey examined respondents'attitudes toward information technology and the characteristics of their work. The SP survey asked respondents what conditions would make them want to become a telecommuter. It was found that higher salaries and communication subsidies would induce more people to telecommute. Overall, it was found that if telecommuting were to be executed in Seoul, 49.1% of workers would become telecommuters, which would result in a 14,407 billion won reduction in direct and indirect transport costs per year. This research proves that traffic congestion can be reduced effectively by instituting telecommuting as an option for workers.

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Estimating Price Elasticities of Domestic Air Transport Demand by Stated Preference Technique (Staled Preference 방법론에 의한 국내선 항공수요의 가격탄력성 추정)

  • 이성원;이영혁;박지형
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2000
  • This study analyzes the price elasticities of airline Passenger demand through the 'Stated Preference' technique which uses survey data. Because the domestic airfare has been regulated by the government. it is not easy to derive Price elasticity through the usual regression analysis with aggregate data and thus a special methodology is required for elasticity estimation. Therefore, in this study we estimated the Price elasticities of domestic air passenger demand and the modal share change rates to the alternative modes with logit model and sample enumeration method, by analyzing the survey data on air Passengers' demand behavior about the mode choice between air-rail. air-bus, and air-car. As the results, the estimated price elasticities are in the range of -0.6~-0.9, and rail is mainly chosen as an alternative mode. bus is chosen Partly, and car is barely used.

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Analysis of Diversion Demands for the Rapid Railway (급행철도 도입에 따른 전환수요 분석)

  • Jeong, Byeong-Du;Kim, Hyeon;Hwang, Yeong-Gi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2009
  • A diversity of railway network function enhancement projects such as the double tracking, electrification, and direct operation have been actively executed to improve the railway service. When the new rapid railway is provided, how many people will use it instead of other transports? How will the railway choice behavior be changed? Accordingly, in this paper, the applicability of diverted travel demand forecast method by Stated Preference(SP) and Transfer Price(TP) data was reviewed for Daegu metropolitan railway service. As the result of implementing the Revealed Preference(RP) and RP+SP model, the total travel time and travel cost parameters are of the right sign and are highly significant. In particular, when TP data is used as the complementary investigation of SP, the boundary value of diverted travel demand can be easily identified by railway fare and travel time service level. Therefore, it is considered that this will practically apply even in other regions as well as Daegu metropolitan railway.

Customer Preference Analysis On Masan Container Terminal Using SP Method (SP기법을 이용한 마산항 컨테이너 터미널의 고객선호도 분석)

  • Lee Jae-Won;Yoo Seung-Yeul
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.30 no.1 s.107
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the development construction of New Masan Container Terminal (1-1 Phase) with private investment would be set for opening in the 2011 year in Masan Port, Korea However, as new container terminals of the Pusan New Port and 'the New Ulsan Container Terminal neighboring Masan Port will be also planned to open around the time, the strategy establishment for Masan Port is required for a keen competition among these ports. To provide it with strategic points, we applied SP model used for customers' behavior method to analyze customer's preference changes with the shifts of the ports' conditions for customers.

Freight Mode Choice Modelling with Aggregate RP Data and Disaggregate SP Data (집계적 현시선호자료와 비집계적 진술선호자료를 이용한 화물수단선택모형 구축)

  • Kang, Woong;Lee, Jang-Ho;Park, Minchoul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.265-274
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    • 2017
  • For accurate demand forecasting of railway logistics, we estimated intercity freight mode choice models based on the binary logit model and using production-consumption data from the Korea Transport Database. We estimated two types of models and compared the results by major item of railway logistics, such as container, cement, and steel: 1) The aggregate freight mode choice models are based on the revealed preference (RP) data and 2) The disaggregate models are based on the stated preference (SP) data. With respect to the container, the travel time variable was found to be statistically significant; however, the travel cost variable was not statistically significant in the RP model, while the travel cost variable was statistically significant in the SP model. For cement and steel, the travel cost variables were statistically significant but the travel time variables were not statistically significant in either the RP or the SP models. These results are inconsistent with results from previous studies based on SP data, which showed that the travel time variables were significant. Consequently, it can be concluded that the travel time factor should be considered in container transport, but that this factor is negligible for cement and steel transport.

A Study on the Parking Place Choice Behaviors Using Stated Preference Data (the case of shopping trips) (SP Data를 이용한 주차장선택행태 분석에 관한 연구 (쇼핑통행을 중심으로))

  • 정성용;윤용득;배영석;이재륜
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 2001
  • A parking facility choice model. which can be applied to analyze of the driver's parking behavioral changes in response to the local government's parking policy changes and to predict parking demand by the facility types, is developed. Under the context of the stated preference discrete choice model, socioeconomic variables and parking alternative characteristic variables are introduced as explanatory variables. A parking facility choice model for the shopping trip purpose is derived using multinomial logit model and nested logit model and the stated preference data collected in Taegu metropolitan area. The result shows that the sign of all the estimated parameters are logically consistent and the model's goodness of fit is reasonably good. As a result of the elasticity analysis of the model, the elasticity of parking cost is highest, and the elasticity of walking distance between parking place and the destination is higher than parking place searching and ingress time. This means that the parking places are supplied around the destination in the form of small-size parking place. The findings in this study is expected to provide a fundamental data for various short-term parking policy analyses and for parking facility's demand estimations.

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A Methodology for Estimating Diversion Flows on Expressways (고속도로 우회교통량 추정방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Yoon-Hyuk;Choi, Kee-Choo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2008
  • VMS based dispersion of traffic flows enables to decrease delay and congestion. Such being the case, there has been growing interests in VMS operation strategy. The strategy is based on driver's behavior or diversion rate. However, it was not easy to obtain each in practice. The diversion rate, thus far, was investigated by stated preference analysis or simulators. As an alternative, in this paper, a new method to obtain diversion flow rate was suggested using the toll collection system and freeway traffic management system data. A large gap of diversion rate between stated preference analysis and field survey was observed. Out of surveyed 8 tollgate data, the diversion rate was about 7% and was quite lower compared with that of 21%${\sim}$87% from stated preference analysis or simulators. With this at hand, a more careful information provision strategy should be devised and employed to correctly account this kind of differences.