• Title/Summary/Keyword: State Finance

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An Empirical Analysis on the Fiscal Crisis of Local Governments in Korea (지방자치단체의 '재정위기'에 대한 실증분석)

  • 김범식;박원석;송영필
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.75-92
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    • 1999
  • In this study, the present state of fiscal crisis for local governments after IMF is analyzed, firstly. its implications Characteristics of structural reform of finance after IMF bailout in Korea are examined, secondly. Since Korea was shocked by the currency crisis at the end of 1997, its local governments have also faced fiscal difficulties. The Depression of national and local economies led to decreases in tax revenues of local governments. And these shrunken revenues led to their expenditure cuts. Many investment plans were curtailed, and ordinary expenditures were also reduced sharply. The negative influences of the currency crisis on local government's finances can be examined in terms of fiscal revenue, fiscal spending, and debt burden. As a result many local governments are now experiencing fiscal stress, and some of them are even faced with fiscal crisis although the possibility of extreme measures, such as moratoriums or bankruptcies, is very slim. This is due in part to the weight of debt in local governments' budgets having remained small since the debt of local governments has been controlled by the central government. Another reason is that, central government, which functions as a lender of last resort for the local governments, will pay the debt for them. Also, without a legal system which stipulates the adjudication of bankruptcy for municipalities in Korea, local Korean governments have no legal right to declare bankruptcy. Although not a single municipality has fallen into insolvency, yet, this trend will continue to deepen as the recession continues and may lead to a situation where manu local governments fall into virtual bankruptcy in the near future, and its effects on society, as a whole, will be serious. Therefore, measures to prevent and overcome such an extreme situation are necessary, but both short-and long-term policies should be to cope with the current fiscal crisis and to prevent the deepening of the current situation.

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Linking Emotional Brand Attachment and Sales Promotion to Post-Purchase Cognitive Dissonance: The Mediating Role of Impulse Buying Behavior

  • AKBAR, Muhammad Imad Ud Din;AHMAD, Bilal;ASIF, Mirza Huzaifa;SIDDIQUI, Shahid Ali
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.367-379
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    • 2020
  • The primary objective of this research is to develop a better understanding of consumer's post-purchase psychological state by examining the influence of sales promotion and emotional brand attachment on post-purchase cognitive dissonance, taking into account the mediating role of impulse buying behavior. The current study addresses several gaps in literature. Firstly, it is hard to find the direct impact of sales promotion and emotional brand attachment on post-purchase cognitive dissonance. Secondly, to the best of our knowledge, few studies have investigated the mediating role of impulse buying behavior in consumer research. A sample of 256 respondents was collected from Pakistani retail consumers. The statistical findings of this study show that sales promotion has a significant positive effect on the impulse buying behavior and post-purchase cognitive dissonance. Furthermore, results indicate that emotional brand attachment has a negative influence on impulse buying behavior but has a significant positive impact on post-purchase cognitive dissonance. Meanwhile, impulse buying behavior is a potential mediator between sales promotion, emotional brand attachment, and post-purchase cognitive dissonance relationships. The moderating role of Gender describes that the positive relationship between sales promotion and post-purchase cognitive dissonance will be stronger for women as compared to men at a higher level of sales promotion.

An Empirical Study on the Characteristics of Policyholder and Contract Affecting a Lapse of Voluntarily Insured Person in National Pension (국민연금 임의가입 해약행동에 영향을 미치는 계약자 및 계약특성에 관한 실증 연구)

  • Ouh, Changsu;Song, Kyungho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2016
  • This paper analyses the impacts of the characteristics of policyholder and contract on the lapse of Voluntarily Insured Person in National Pension, using the recent lapse data from National Pension Service. The logistic regression model is used in examining lapse odds with several independent variables. The result demonstrates several hypotheses of the lapse behaviors. First, the lapse odds of men is lower than that of women. Second, the effect of age on lapse odds shows concave shave with the peak at 37. Third, insured period has a negative effect on lapse odds in entrants sample. Fourth, standard monthly income has little effect on lapse in either sample. Fifth, the lapse odds decreases as the expected benefit ratio increases. Sixth, 2013 pension bill resulted in the sharp increase of lapse odds and the effect was greater for entrants. Last but not least, spatial environment such as residence also affects the lapse behavior.

Is Mispricing in Asset Prices Due to the Inflation Illusion? (자산가격의 오류는 인플레이션의 착각 때문인가?)

  • Lee, Bong Soo
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.25-60
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    • 2014
  • We examine whether the observed negative relations between stock returns and inflation and between housing returns and inflation can be explained by the inflation illusion hypothesis. We identify the mispricing component in asset prices (i.e., stock prices and housing prices) based on present value models, linear and loglinear models, and we then investigate whether inflation can explain the mispricing component using the data from three countries (the U.S., the U.K., and Korea). When we take into account the potential asymmetric effect of positive and negative inflation on the mispricing components in asset prices, which is an important implication of the inflation illusion hypothesis, we find little evidence for the inflation illusion hypothesis in that both positive and negative inflation rates do not have a negative effect on the mispricing components. Instead, we find that behavioral factors such as consumer sentiments contribute to the mispricing of asset prices.

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Determination of Pattern Models using a Convergence of Time-Series Data Conversion Technique for the Prediction of Financial Markets (금융시장 예측을 위한 시계열자료의 변환기법 융합을 이용한 패턴 모델 결정)

  • Jeon, Jin-Ho;Kim, Min-Soo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2015
  • Export-led policies, FTA signed and economics of scale through a variety of market-oriented policies, such as regulations to improve market grew constantly. Accordingly, the correct decision making accurately analyze the economics market for decision, a problem has been an important issue in predicting. For accurate analysis and decision-making of the most common indicators of the stock market by proposing a number of indicators of economic transformation techniques were applied to the convergence model combining estimation and forecasts problem confirmed its effectiveness. Experimental result, gave the model estimation method to apply a transform to show the valid combinations proposed model state estimation result was confirmed in a very similar exercise aspect of the physical problem and the KOSPI index prediction.

Research for activation of new industry-university cooperation (신(新)산학협력 활성화 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Taeyoung;Sul, Won-Sik;Lee, Yeoungil;Ko, Hyuk-Jin
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.77-82
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a new industry - university collaboration plan through the analysis of the present state of industry-academia cooperation and government support projects, and analysis of major overseas cases. The following is the plan for activating the new crop cooperation. First, it is necessary to strengthen the innovation of education system and establishment of new education course based on future demand through future-oriented industry-university cooperation. Second, active industry-academia cooperation should stimulate entrepreneurship education and entrepreneurship based on university resources. Third, it should act as an anchor of regional innovation by actively cooperating with local innovation entities. It is necessary to develop an industry-university cooperation model that can generate profits and contribute to university finance.

Project Delivery Systems and Project Performance;An Evaluation Model for Public Construction Projects (공공건설사업의 발주방식 선정 및 성과평가 모델)

  • Yu, Il-Han;Kim, Kyung-Rai
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2007
  • The selection of the reasonable project delivery system (PDS) is crucial for a successful performance of a project, which means to achieve project objectives. Furthermore, the project performance has been tightly related to the selection of PDS appropriate to pertinent project characteristics. In this context, the ministry of finance and economy of Korea launched two new project delivery systems called "Best Value Contract (Design-Bid-Build)" and "Bridging Contract (Design-Build)" in October of 2007 by revising enforcement ordinances of "Act on Contracts to Which the State is a Party". For efficient operation of the new project delivery systems, this paper suggested a PDS selection model which supports decision making of the reasonable PDS for a pertinent project by assessing characteristics of the public construction projects, both quantitatively and qualitatively. In addition, a PDS performance evaluation model was proposed in order to get feedback on the result of the PDS selection and the operation for the succeeding project. The standard models suggested in this paper might be used as a tool to support the decision making of the public organizations.

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An Empirical Analysis of Sino-Russia Foreign Trade Turnover Time Series: Based on EMD-LSTM Model

  • GUO, Jian;WU, Kai Kun;YE, Lyu;CHENG, Shi Chao;LIU, Wen Jing;YANG, Jing Ying
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.159-168
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    • 2022
  • The time series of foreign trade turnover is complex and variable and contains linear and nonlinear information. This paper proposes preprocessing the dataset by the EMD algorithm and combining the linear prediction advantage of the SARIMA model with the nonlinear prediction advantage of the EMD-LSTM model to construct the SARIMA-EMD-LSTM hybrid model by the weight assignment method. The forecast performance of the single models is compared with that of the hybrid models by using MAPE and RMSE metrics. Furthermore, it is confirmed that the weight assignment approach can benefit from the hybrid models. The results show that the SARIMA model can capture the fluctuation pattern of the time series, but it cannot effectively predict the sudden drop in foreign trade turnover caused by special reasons and has the lowest accuracy in long-term forecasting. The EMD-LSTM model successfully resolves the hysteresis phenomenon and has the highest forecast accuracy of all models, with a MAPE of 7.4304%. Therefore, it can be effectively used to forecast the Sino-Russia foreign trade turnover time series post-epidemic. Hybrid models cannot take advantage of SARIMA linear and LSTM nonlinear forecasting, so weight assignment is not the best method to construct hybrid models.

The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Public Health: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh

  • SIDDIQUE, Fahimul Kader;HASAN, K.B.M. Rajibul;CHOWDHURY, Shanjida;RAHMAN, Mahfujur;RAISA, Tahsin Sharmila;ZAYED, Nurul Mohammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2021
  • Health is an outset of psychological, social, financial, and physical state. Several macroeconomic factors are entangled with health and mortality. Infant mortality and life expectancy are two keyguard on demographic research context on last few decades. On the other hand, foreign inflows play an unprecedent role for raising economic circulation and providing more opportunities to build a better society. The study aims to investigate the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth, and Bangladesh's health. This study employs time-series data from 1980 to 2018. Results show, with Auto-regressive Distribute Lag (ARDL) model, that there is significant cointegration among variables. Foreign investment and economic output relate significantly and positively to health. On the contrary, education is quasi-linked with a different sign-on different model. For model validation, pitfalls of time-series multicollinearity, heteroscedasiticy, and autocorrelation are not present. Also, CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests are validating the model as stable and fit for future prediction. Medical assessment and education need more attention from the government as well as the private sector. FDI can play a catalyst role for improving the health sector, raising opportunity in educating and creating a better lifestyle. In order to optimize foreign investment, the government should implement necessary reforms and policies.

Performance Analysis of Islamic Banks in Indonesia: The Maqashid Shariah Approach

  • MURSYID, Mursyid;KUSUMA, Hadri;TOHIRIN, Achmad;SRIYANA, Jaka
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.307-318
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    • 2021
  • The objective of this study is to analyze the performance of Islamic banks with the Maqashid Shariah approach. The analysis technique used is the Simple Additive Weighting Method (SAW) to solve multi-attribute decision problems. The sampling technique used was purposive sampling while the data came from the annual report of each bank. The results showed that the BTPN Shariah (BTPNS) and Bank Muamalat Indonesia (BMI) are ranked first and second respectively on the Maqashid Shariah Index (MSI) with values of 0.265429 and 0.237110 respectively. Panin Dubai Shariah Bank (PDSB) ranked third with an MSI value of 0.180733, followed by BCA Shariah which ranked fourth with an MSI value of 0.151299. BRI Shariah ranked fifth with an MSI value of 0.128606, followed by BNI Shariah which ranked sixth with an MSI value of 0.124661. Bank Mega Shariah ranked last with an MSI value of 0.087068. Furthermore, there is a relationship (correlation) between ROE, ROA, and OEOI and MSI since each data has a value of 0.000, 0.000, 0.050, and 0.001 respectively, which is smaller than the significance value of 0.05. On the other hand, NPF, TPF, and Asset Growth Rates do not correlate with the MSI since each data has a value of 0.051, 0.252, and 0.215 respectively which is greater than the significance value of 0.05.