• Title/Summary/Keyword: Standard error of prediction

Search Result 323, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Development of Prediction Model for Total Dietary Fiber Content in Brown Rice by Fourier Transform-Near Infrared Spectroscopy (FT-NIR spectroscopy를 이용한 현미의 총 식이섬유함량분석 예측모델 개발)

  • Lee, Jin-Cheol;Yoon, Yeon-Hee;Kim, Sun-Min;Pyo, Byeong-Sik;Eun, Jong-Bang
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.38 no.2
    • /
    • pp.165-168
    • /
    • 2006
  • Fourier transform-near infrared spectroscopy (FT-NIRS) was evaluated for determination of total dietary fiber (TDF) content of brown rice. Enzymatic-gravimetric method was suitable to obtain reference values for calibration of NIR at 1,000-2,500 nm range. Standard error of laboratory procedure ranged 0.17 to 0.72%. Partial least square (PLS) regression was used to develop the calibration equations. Regression was performed automatically using NIRCal chemometric software. Accuracy of prediction model for TDF content was certified for regression coefficient (r), standard error of estimation (SEE) and standard error of prediction (SEP), showing 0.9780, 0.0636, and 0.0642, respectively. This prediction model can be used for determination of TDF in brown rice and would be useful for real-time analysis in food industry.

A Multivariate Calibration Procedure When the Standard Measurement is Also Subject to Error (표준 측정치의 오차를 고려한 다변량 계기 교정 절차)

  • Lee, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.35-41
    • /
    • 1993
  • Statistical calibration is a useful technique for achieving compatibility between two different measurement methods, and it usually consists of two steps : (1) estimation of the relationship between the standard and nonstandard measurements, and (2) prediction of future standard measurements using the estimated relationship and observed nonstandard measurements. A predictive multivariate errors-in-variables model is presented for the multivariate calibration problem in which the standard as well as the nonstandard measurements are subject to error. For the estimation of the relationship between the two measurements, the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method is considered. It is shown that the direct and the inverse predictors for the future unknown standard measurement are the same under ML estimation. Based upon large-sample approximations, the mean square error of the predictor is derived.

  • PDF

Bayesian small area estimations with measurement errors

  • Goo, You Mee;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.885-893
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper considers Bayes estimations of the small area means under Fay-Herriot model with measurement errors. We provide empirical Bayes predictors of small area means with the corresponding jackknifed mean squared prediction errors. Also we obtain hierarchical Bayes predictors and the corresponding posterior standard deviations using Gibbs sampling. Numerical studies are provided to illustrate our methods and compare their eciencies.

Algorithm for Finding the Best Principal Component Regression Models for Quantitative Analysis using NIR Spectra (근적외 스펙트럼을 이용한 정량분석용 최적 주성분회귀모델을 얻기 위한 알고리듬)

  • Cho, Jung-Hwan
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
    • /
    • v.37 no.6
    • /
    • pp.377-395
    • /
    • 2007
  • Near infrared(NIR) spectral data have been used for the noninvasive analysis of various biological samples. Nonetheless, absorption bands of NIR region are overlapped extensively. It is very difficult to select the proper wavelengths of spectral data, which give the best PCR(principal component regression) models for the analysis of constituents of biological samples. The NIR data were used after polynomial smoothing and differentiation of 1st order, using Savitzky-Golay filters. To find the best PCR models, all-possible combinations of available principal components from the given NIR spectral data were derived by in-house programs written in MATLAB codes. All of the extensively generated PCR models were compared in terms of SEC(standard error of calibration), $R^2$, SEP(standard error of prediction) and SECP(standard error of calibration and prediction) to find the best combination of principal components of the initial PCR models. The initial PCR models were found by SEC or Malinowski's indicator function and a priori selection of spectral points were examined in terms of correlation coefficients between NIR data at each wavelength and corresponding concentrations. For the test of the developed program, aqueous solutions of BSA(bovine serum albumin) and glucose were prepared and analyzed. As a result, the best PCR models were found using a priori selection of spectral points and the final model selection by SEP or SECP.

Creep-Life Prediction and Standard Error Analysis of Type 316LN Stainless Steel by Time-Temperature Parametric Methods (시간-온도 파라미터 방법에 의한 Type 316LN 강의 크리프 수명 예측과 표준오차 분석)

  • Yoon Song Nam;Ryu Woo Seog;Yi Won;Kim Woo Gon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.29 no.1 s.232
    • /
    • pp.74-80
    • /
    • 2005
  • A number of creep rupture data for type 316LN stainless steels were collected through literature survey or experimental data produced in KAERI. Using these data, polynomial equations for predicting creep life were obtained by Larson-Miller (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D) and Manson-Haferd (M-H) parameters using time-temperature parametric (TTP) methods. Standard error of estimate (SEE) values for the each parameter was obtained with different temperatures through the statistical process of the creep data. The results of L-M, O-S-D and M-H methods showed good creep-life prediction, but M-H method showed better agreement than L-M and O-S-D methods. Especially, it was found that SEE values of M-H method at $700^{\circ}C$ were lower than that of L-M and O-S-D methods.

Creep-Life Prediction and Standard Error Analysis of Type 316LN Stainless Steel (Type 316LN 스테인리스 강의 크리프 수명 예측과 표준오차 분석)

  • Yun S.N.;Kim W.G.;Liu W.S.;Yi W.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2005.06a
    • /
    • pp.1406-1411
    • /
    • 2005
  • The creep rupture data for type 316LN stainless steels were collected through literature survey or experimental data produced in KAERI. Using these data, polynomial equations for predicting creep life were obtained by Larson-Miller (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D) and Manson-Haferd (M-H) etc. time-temperature parametric (TTP) methods. Standard error of estimate (SEE) values for the each parameter was obtained with different temperatures through the statistical process of the creep data. The results of L-M, O-S-D and M-H methods showed good creep-life prediction, but M-H method showed better agreement than L-M and O-S-D methods. Especially, it was found that SEE values of M-H method at $700^{\circ}C$ were lower than that of L-M and O-S-D methods.

  • PDF

Error Concealment Using Intra-Mode Information Included in H.264/AVC-Coded Bitstream

  • Kim, Dong-Hyung;Jeong, Se-Yoon;Choi, Jin-Soo;Jeon, Gwang-Gil;Kim, Seung-Jong;Jeong, Je-Chang
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.506-515
    • /
    • 2008
  • The H.264/AVC standard has adopted new coding tools such as intra-prediction, variable block size, motion estimation with quarter-pixel-accuracy, loop filter, and so on. The adoption of these tools enables an H.264/AVC-coded bitstream to have more information than was possible with previous standards. In this paper, we propose an effective spatial error concealment method with low complexity in H.264/AVC intra-frame. From information included in an H.264/AVC-coded bitstream, we use prediction modes of intra-blocks to recover a damaged block. This is because the prediction direction in each prediction mode is highly correlated to the edge direction. We first estimate the edge direction of a damaged block using the prediction modes of the intra-blocks adjacent to a damaged block and classify the area inside the damaged block into edge and flat areas. Our method then recovers pixel values in the edge area using edge-directed interpolation, and recovers pixel values in the flat area using weighted interpolation. Simulation results show that the proposed method yields better video quality than conventional approaches.

  • PDF

Prediction and Analysis of Pre-Consolidation by Unconfined Compressive Strength (일축압축강도에 의한 선행압밀응력 예측 및 분석)

  • Song, Chang Seob;Kim, Myeong Hwan
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.58 no.6
    • /
    • pp.71-77
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study was to evaluate the feasibility of pre-consolidation pressure distribution characteristic of western and southern coastal region, using correlation of unconfined compressive strength and preceding research equation. Pre-consolidation of western and southern region showed similar trends undrained shear strength and pre-consolidation pressure in proportion to unconfined compressive strength. Predicted results of U.S. NAVY. (1982) equation revealed a small error western 9.7 % and southern 0.4 %. Prediction correlation results of pre-consolidation using unconfined compressive strength revealed an error western 16.8 % and southern 0.7 %. It was reported that less than 20 percent of pre-consolidation pressure prediction result of Casagrande forecasting error. Estimates of pre-consolidation pressure are possible, before the standard consolidation test, because it was reported that less than 20 % of the forecasting errors of Casagrande.

A Study on the Prediction of Power Consumption in the Air-Conditioning System by Using the Gaussian Process (정규 확률과정을 사용한 공조 시스템의 전력 소모량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Yong;Song, Gensoo;Kim, Jinho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.64-72
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this paper, we utilize a Gaussian process to predict the power consumption in the air-conditioning system. As the power consumption in the air-conditioning system takes a form of a time-series and the prediction of the power consumption becomes very important from the perspective of the efficient energy management, it is worth to investigate the time-series model for the prediction of the power consumption. To this end, we apply the Gaussian process to predict the power consumption, in which the Gaussian process provides a prior probability to every possible function and higher probabilities are given to functions that are more likely consistent with the empirical data. We also discuss how to estimate the hyper-parameters, which are parameters in the covariance function of the Gaussian process model. We estimated the hyper-parameters with two different methods (marginal likelihood and leave-one-out cross validation) and obtained a model that pertinently describes the data and the results are more or less independent of the estimation method of hyper-parameters. We validated the prediction results by the error analysis of the mean relative error and the mean absolute error. The mean relative error analysis showed that about 3.4% of the predicted value came from the error, and the mean absolute error analysis confirmed that the error in within the standard deviation of the predicted value. We also adopt the non-parametric Wilcoxon's sign-rank test to assess the fitness of the proposed model and found that the null hypothesis of uniformity was accepted under the significance level of 5%. These results can be applied to a more elaborate control of the power consumption in the air-conditioning system.

Bayesian inference in finite population sampling under measurement error model

  • Goo, You Mee;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.23 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1241-1247
    • /
    • 2012
  • The paper considers empirical Bayes (EB) and hierarchical Bayes (HB) predictors of the finite population mean under a linear regression model with measurement errors We discuss how to calculate the mean squared prediction errors of the EB predictors using jackknife methods and the posterior standard deviations of the HB predictors based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. A simulation study is provided to illustrate the results of the preceding sections and compare the performances of the proposed procedures.