• 국제지역연구
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.53-73
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• 2012

본 논문에서는 금리 스프레드가 두 아시아 국가의 경기불황을 예측할 수 있는가를 살펴보았다. 이를 위해 세계시장에 상대적으로 개방이 많이 되어 있고 무역활동이 활발한 두 개의 신흥경제국가인 한국과 태국을 선정 하였다. 본 논문에서는 두 개의 국면(Two-regime Markov-Switching model)과 세 개의 국면(Three-regime Markov-Switching model)이 있는 마코프 국면 전환 모형을 이용하여 아시아 경제위기의 불황확률을 추정해 보았다. 추정결과 태국의 금리스프레드는 태국의 불황 확률을 반영하였으나 한국의 금리스프레드는 불황 예측을 하지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 세 개의 국면이 있는 모형이 두 개의 국면 있는 모형보다 아시아 금융위기의 불황예측에서 우수함을 밝혔다. 또한 본 논문에서는 경기상승과 경기불황이 있을 때 얼마나 지속되는가의 지속성(Duration)을 추정하였다. 이는 경기가 불황으로 움직일 때는 생산이 급격히 감소하는 반면 저점을 찍고 경기가 살아날 때는 생산이 천천히 오른다는 경기불황과 호황의 비대칭적 움직임을 테스트 하였다. 한편 마코프 국면 전환 모형의 결과와 전통적으로 많이 사용되어 왔던 프로빗(Probit) 모형의 결과를 비교 분석 하였다. 마코프 국면전환 모형이 프로빗 모형보다 경기변동의 예측력을 크게 향상시키지는 못하는 것으로 나타났다.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회B
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• pp.2067-2072
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• 2007

Understanding of the impinging behavior of an electrically charged spray is essential in determining appropriate operating conditions for electro-spraying of paints, surface coating materials and insecticides. In the present work, as an initial step, the wall impact of an electrically charged droplet has been experimentally investigated. The charged drops were directed on the surface of a paraffin wax, and the impinging behavior was visualized and recorded using a CCD camera to identify the impingement regime. The spread-rebound boundary for the charged drop turned out to be smaller compared to that for an electrically neutral droplet under the same surface condition. The shift of the transition criterion is considered to be due to the discrepancy between the maximum spread ratio of the electrically charged droplet and that of the neutral droplet.

• 한국분무공학회지
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.198-203
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• 2007

In the present work, surface wetting effect on spread-splash regime and transition criterion of the water and ethanol droplets impacting an unheated dry wall has been experimentally investigated. The droplet was directed on a polished STS plate and a glass slide, and the impinging behavior was visualized and recorded using a CCD camera. Droplet diameter and velocity approaching the wall were measured as well. The critical Sommerfeld number representing the spread-splash boundary for the ethanol droplet impinging on the substrates turned out to be smaller compared to that for the water droplet impinging on the substrates with the surface roughness condition remained unchanged. The shift of the transition boundary is considered to be due to the effect of the surface wettability represented by static contact angle and surface tension of droplet.

• 복식
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• 제66권6호
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• pp.122-134
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• 2016

With the advent of the new political regime of Jong Un Kim, North Korea is undergoing many changes, with its main motivation being economic growth. This study aims to identify the changes in clothing in North Korea under the new political climate. The research conducted a review on literature and empirical study. For literature review, books and papers from studies related to North Korea have been reviewed. For the empirical part, interviews with diverse class of North Korean refugees including Hanawon, videos on TV, 1,100 pictures and related articles from newspapers and Internet have been collected. Through this analysis, the study found that subtle changes in North Korean fashion started prior to the Jong Un Kim's regime, but has become full-blown since Kim's assumption of power. This proves that the country is not yet independent from its political situation. The results are as follows: First, the appearance of Ri Sol-ju has liberalized the fashion concept of North Korean women, and the popularity of her trademark style has actually contributed to a more amicable image for Kim. Second, the "Hallyu" style has spread to North Korea through various channels, and has started new trends. Third, the diversification of fashion styles has been greatly accelerated in accordance with the expansion of market, resulting from the economic revitalization policy. Last of all, Jong Un Kim's direct orders concerning fashion have resulted in some significant changes. The sophisticated uniforms of flight attendants and the development of luxury cosmetics being prime examples. As studies on this subject are extremely rare, this research is significant to identify the changes on the clothing culture under Jong Un Kim's regime, and to present an expanded view, as the two countries work towards an united Korea.

• 융합보안논문지
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.47-52
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• 2017

남유럽에서 시작된 민주화라는 물결은 남아메리카와 아시아로 확산되었고, 구소련과 동유럽을 붕괴시켰으며, 북아프리카와 중동지역 국가들에 재스민혁명이라는 모습으로 나타났다. 이로 인하여 다수의 학자들은 재스민혁명이 북한에도 발생할 가능성이 있다는 조심스러운 전망을 하면서, 북한 급변사태와 관련된 연구들을 활발히 하여왔다. 이러한 연구의 주제들은 급변사태의 발생원인과 시기, 그리고 주도세력 등에 초점이 맞추어졌고, 그 전개과정이 어떻게 될 것인가와 체제변화가 있을 것인가에 대한 논의는 부족하였다. 이에 본 연구에서는 재스민혁명 국가들의 체제변화를 분석한 결과에 근거하여, 북한 급변사태 이후에 전개 가능한 시나리오를 I유형 비교적 평화롭게 정권이 교체될 가능성, II유형 분단된 국가에서 통일된 이후에 다시 내전이 발생할 가능성, III유형 정권이 교체된 이후에 김일성가계의 누군가가 재집권할 가능성, IV유형 정권교체는 성공하였지만 내전이 발생할 가능성, V유형 정권교체도 실패하고 내전이 지속적으로 발생할 가능성으로 분류하였다.

• 한국연소학회지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.1-7
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• 2017

An experimental study on spreading flame over electrical wire, which was insulated by Polyethylene(PE) and had different diameters, was conducted with applied AC electric field. The result showed that the flame spread rate decreased in increase of the diameter of insulator at a fixed electric field. The flame spread rate exhibited increase or decrease tendency with applied AC electric field, having three distinct regimes depending on applied voltage and frequency. In each regime, the flame spread rate was characterized by physical parameters of applied electric fields and wire dimensions, and the behaviors could be explained by a thermal balance mechanism.

• 경제분석
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.70-99
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• 2019

본 연구는 주가지수, 원달러 환율, 국채수익률 및 신용스프레드로 구성된 Stochastic volatility-in-mean VAR 모형을 이용하여 금융시장 불확실성이 금융시장에 미치는 효과를 분석하였다. 첫째, 불확실성 증가충격의 효과는 경기후퇴적(recessionary)이며, 특히 주가 하락효과와 원달러 환율 상승효과가 강력한 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 금융시장 스트레스에 따른 국면전환(regime shift) 효과에 대한 분석에서는 금융시장 위기 기간 중 불확실성의 효과가 평상시에 비해 더욱 강력해진다는 결과를 얻었다. 마지막으로 금융시장 불확실성 증가는 금융부문을 넘어 실물부문까지 영향을 미치는 실질효과 가능성에 대한 증거가 제시되었다.

• Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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• 제57권1호
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• pp.2.1-2.5
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• 2015

Among the main intimidation to the sheep and goat population, PPR outbreaks are causing huge losses especially in endemic areas. During recent times, six outbreaks of PPR were confirmed at semi-organized goat farms/herds in various regions of Punjab province and Islamabad capital territory (ICT), Pakistan. The disease started after introduction of new animals at these farms with no history of previous PPR vaccination. The clinical signs appeared affecting respiratory and enteric systems and spread quickly. Disease caused mortality of 10-20% and morbidity of 20-40% within a time period of four weeks. Morbidity and mortality rates were 30.38% (86/283) and 15.55% (44/283), respectively. Three treatment regimes were executed to demonstrate the role of vaccination during outbreak at these farms. First was to use only the broad spectrum antibiotics (Penicillin & Streptomycin and/or Trimethoprim and Sulfadiazine) at two farms (Texilla and Attock). Second treatment regime was to use the same broad spectrum antibiotic along with extensive fluid therapy (Farms at ICT-1 and ICT-2). The third regime was to use of broad spectrum antibiotic plus fluid therapy along with vaccinating the herd against PPR during first week of outbreak (ICT-3 and ICT-4). The third scheme of treatment gave the better results as there was no mortality in third week post-outbreak. Therefore, it is suggested to give proper importance to PPR vaccination along with conventional symptomatic treatment when dealing the PPR outbreaks in endemic disease conditions.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.374-383
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• 2001

The spray/wall interaction is considered as an important phenomenon influencing air-fuel mixing in the internal combustion engines. In order to adequately represent the spray/wall interaction process, impingement regimes and post-impingement behavior have been modeled using experimental data and conservation constraints. The modeled regimes were stick, rebound, spread and splash. The tangential velocities of splashing droplets were obtained using a theoretical relationship. The continuous phase was modeled using the Eulerian conservation equations, and the dispersed phase was calculated using a discrete droplet model. The numerical simulations were compared to experimental results for spray impingement normal to the wall. The predictions for the secondary droplet velocities and droplet sizes were in good agreement with the experimental data.

• 방사성폐기물학회지
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.383-395
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• 2023

Since 1997, the Republic of Korea (ROK) has been developing pyro-processing (Pyro) technology to reduce the disposal burden of high-level radioactive waste by recycling spent nuclear fuel (SNF). Compared to plutonium and uranium extraction process, Korean Pyro technology has relatively excellent proliferation resistance that cannot separate pure plutonium owing to its intrinsic characteristics. Regarding Pyro technology development of ROK, the Bush administration considered that Pyro is not reprocessing under the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership, whereas the Obama administration considered that Pyro is subject to reprocessing. However, the Bush and Obama administrations did not allow ROK to conduct full Pyro activities using SNF, even though ROK had faithfully complied with international nonproliferation obligations. This is because the US nuclear nonproliferation policy to prevent the spread of sensitive technologies, such as enrichment and reprocessing, has a strong effect on ROK, unlike Japan, on a bilateral level beyond the NPT regime for non-proliferation of nuclear weapons.