• Title/Summary/Keyword: Spread prediction tool

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A Spread Prediction Tool based on the Modeling of Malware Epidemics (악성코드 확산 모델링에 기반한 확산 예측 도구 개발)

  • Shin, Weon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.522-528
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    • 2020
  • Rapidly spreading malware, such as ransomware, trojans and Internet worms, have become one of the new major threats of the Internet recently. In order to resist against their malicious behaviors, it is essential to comprehend how malware propagate and how main factors affect spreads of them. In this paper, we aim to develop a spread prediction tool based on the modeling of malware epidemics. So we surveyed the related studies, and described the system design and implementation. In addition, we experimented on the spread of malware with major factors of malware using the developed spread prediction tool. If you make good use of the proposed prediction tool, it is possible to predict the malware spread at major factors and explore under various responses from a macro perspective with only basic knowledge of the recently wormable malware.

Tool Lifecycle Optimization using ν-Asymmetric Support Vector Regression (ν-ASVR을 이용한 공구라이프사이클 최적화)

  • Lee, Dongju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.208-216
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    • 2020
  • With the spread of smart manufacturing, one of the key topics of the 4th industrial revolution, manufacturing systems are moving beyond automation to smartization using artificial intelligence. In particular, in the existing automatic machining, a number of machining defects and non-processing occur due to tool damage or severe wear, resulting in a decrease in productivity and an increase in quality defect rates. Therefore, it is important to measure and predict tool life. In this paper, ν-ASVR (ν-Asymmetric Support Vector Regression), which considers the asymmetry of ⲉ-tube and the asymmetry of penalties for data out of ⲉ-tube, was proposed and applied to the tool wear prediction problem. In the case of tool wear, if the predicted value of the tool wear amount is smaller than the actual value (under-estimation), product failure may occur due to tool damage or wear. Therefore, it can be said that ν-ASVR is suitable because it is necessary to overestimate. It is shown that even when adjusting the asymmetry of ⲉ-tube and the asymmetry of penalties for data out of ⲉ-tube, the ratio of the number of data belonging to ⲉ-tube can be adjusted with ν. Experiments are performed to compare the accuracy of various kernel functions such as linear, polynomial. RBF (radialbasis function), sigmoid, The best result isthe use of the RBF kernel in all cases

Prediction of Spread and Contact Region in Ring Rolling Process Using Rigid- plastic Finite Element Method (강소성 유한요소법을 이용한 링 압연 공정에서의 폭 퍼짐량 및 접촉영역 예측)

  • Ko, Young-Soo;Yoon, Hwan-Jin;Kim, Nak-Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.26 no.12
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    • pp.2670-2677
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    • 2002
  • The ring rolling process involves three-dimensional non-steady material flow and continuous change of radius and thickness of the ring workpiece. In this study, the deformation analysis and geometric updating algorithm of the ring rolling process were verified by using the three-dimensional rigid-plastic finite element method. Manufacturing processes for plain ring and T-shaped ring were investigated by comparing experiments with simulation results, especially in side spread, load-stroke and pressure distribution, showing a good agreement. It was concluded that the simulation method would be a useful tool for the design of a ring rolling process.

PAIVS: prediction of avian influenza virus subtype

  • Park, Hyeon-Chun;Shin, Juyoun;Cho, Sung-Min;Kang, Shinseok;Chung, Yeun-Jun;Jung, Seung-Hyun
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.5.1-5.5
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    • 2020
  • Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) viruses have caused severe respiratory disease and death in poultry and human beings. Although most of the avian influenza viruses (AIVs) are of low pathogenicity and cause mild infections in birds, some subtypes including hemagglutinin H5 and H7 subtype cause HPAI. Therefore, sensitive and accurate subtyping of AIV is important to prepare and prevent for the spread of HPAI. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) can analyze the full-length sequence information of entire AIV genome at once, so this technology is becoming a more common in detecting AIVs and predicting subtypes. However, an analysis pipeline of NGS-based AIV sequencing data, including AIV subtyping, has not yet been established. Here, in order to support the pre-processing of NGS data and its interpretation, we developed a user-friendly tool, named prediction of avian influenza virus subtype (PAIVS). PAIVS has multiple functions that support the pre-processing of NGS data, reference-guided AIV subtyping, de novo assembly, variant calling and identifying the closest full-length sequences by BLAST, and provide the graphical summary to the end users.

Advanced inelastic static (pushover) analysis for earthquake applications

  • Elnashai, A.S.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-69
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    • 2001
  • Whereas the potential of static inelastic analysis methods is recognised in earthquake design and assessment, especially in contrast with elastic analysis under scaled forces, they have inherent shortcomings. In this paper, critical issues in the application of inelastic static (pushover) analysis are discussed and their effect on the obtained results appraised. Areas of possible developments that would render the method more applicable to the prediction of dynamic response are explored. New developments towards a fully adaptive pushover method accounting for spread of inelasticity, geometric nonlinearity, full multi-modal, spectral amplification and period elongation, within a framework of fibre modelling of materials, are discussed and preliminary results are given. These developments lead to static analysis results that are closer than ever to inelastic time-history analysis. It is concluded that there is great scope for improvements of this simple and powerful technique that would increase confidence in its employment as the primary tool for seismic analysis in practice.

Development of Economic Evaluation Solution and Power Prediction of Renewable Energy System (신재생에너지 발전 출력 예측과 경제성 종합평가 기술개발)

  • Jeoune, Dae-Seong;Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Hyun-Goo;Kim, Jonghyun;Youm, Carl;Shin, Ki-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.93-112
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, a very new web-based software for renewable energy system (RES) design and economic evaluation was introduced. This solution would provide the precise RES estimation service including not only photovoltaic (PV), wind turbine (WT) and fuel cell (FC) individually but also energy storage system (ESS) as combined forms with PV or WT. The three reasons why we ought to develop it are: First, the standardized tool suitable to the domestic environment for estimating power generation from RES facilities and economic evaluation is required. Secondly, the standardized tool is needed to spread domestic RES supply policy and to promote the new industry in the micro-grid field. The last, the reliability of economic evaluation should be enhanced more for new facilities. To achieve those aims, the weather database of one hundred locations have established and the RES facility database has also constructed. For the energy management, mathematical models for PV, WT, ESS and FC were developed. As a final phase, the analytical process to evaluate economics has performed with field data verification.

Prediction of Potential Distributions of Two Invasive Alien Plants, Paspalum distichum and Ambrosia artemisiifolia, Using Species Distribution Model in Korean Peninsula (한반도에서 종 분포 모델을 이용한 두 침입외래식물, 돼지풀과 물참새피의 잠재적 분포 예측)

  • Lee, SeungHyun;Cho, Kang-Hyun;Lee, Woojoo
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.189-200
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    • 2016
  • The species distribution model would be a useful tool for understanding how invasive alien species spread over the country and what environmental variables contribute to their distributions. This study is focused on the potential distribution of two invasive alien species, the common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia) and knotgrass (Paspalum distichum) in the Korean Peninsula. The maximum entropy (Maxent) model was used for the prediction of their distribution by inferring their climatic environmental requirements from localities where they are currently known to occur. We obtained their presence data from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility and the Korean plant species databases and bioclimatic data from the WorldClim dataset. As a results of the modelling, the potential distribution predicted by global occurrence data was more accurate than that by native occurrence data. The variables determining the common ragweed distribution were precipitation of the driest month and annual mean temperature. Both annual and the coldest quarter mean temperatures were critical factors in determining the knotgrass distribution. The Maxent model could be a useful tool for the prediction of alien species invasion and the management of their expansion.

A Study on the Prediction of Indoor Environment in Bio Safety Level 3 Laboratory According to Biohazard Scenario (생물안전 3등급(BSL3)시설의 생물재해 시나리오에 따른 실내 공기환경예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hyun-Jin;Hong, Jin-Kwan
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.22 no.11
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    • pp.745-750
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    • 2010
  • Since the implementation of the LMO Law in Korea, the importance of the design qualification of BSL3 lab. is emphasizing. In this study, multizone simulation for three kind of biohazard scenarios using CONTAM is performed for design qualification of BSL3 lab. Also, in the case of unexpected spread of contaminants such as Influenza A virus(H1N1) in BL3 zone, the design qualification is carried out for diffusion and decontamination of contaminants according to differential pressure of BSL3 anteroom and door area of BSL3 lab. Also, in this study, appropriateness of laboratory room differential pressure and air flow rate to maintain pressure difference between laboratory rooms, and energy consumption due to air change rate variation according to door area in BL3 lab. Simulation results show that these approach methods are used as a tool for the design and verification of BL3 lab.

Dynamic characteristics and fatigue damage prediction of FRP strengthened marine riser

  • Islam, A.B.M. Saiful
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2018
  • Due to the escalation in hydrocarbon consumption, the offshore industry is now looking for advanced technology to be employed for deep sea exploration. Riser system is an integral part of floating structure used for such oil and gas extraction from deep water offering a system of drill twines and production tubing to spread the exploration well towards the ocean bed. Thus, the marine risers need to be precisely employed. The incorporation of the strengthening material, fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) for deep and ultra-deep water riser has drawn extensive curiosity in offshore engineering as it might offer potential weight savings and improved durability. The design for FRP strengthening involves the local design for critical loads along with the global analysis under all possible nonlinearities and imposed loadings such as platform motion, gravity, buoyancy, wave force, hydrostatic pressure, current etc. for computing and evaluating critical situations. Finite element package, ABAQUS/AQUA is the competent tool to analyze the static and dynamic responses under the offshore hydrodynamic loads. The necessities in design and operating conditions are studied. The study includes describing the methodology, procedure of analysis and the local design of composite riser. The responses and fatigue damage characteristics of the risers are explored for the effects of FRP strengthening. A detail assessment on the technical expansion of strengthening riser has been outlined comprising the inquiry on its behavior. The enquiry exemplifies the strengthening of riser as very potential idea and suitable in marine structures to explore oil and gas in deep sea.

A Study on the Prediction of Fire Load in case of a Train Fire (철도 차량 화재시 화재강도 예측을 위한 연구)

  • Yang, Sung-Jin;Chang, Jung-Hoon;Gang, Chan-Yong
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.2101-2108
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    • 2008
  • Most of train fires which occur in usual cases do not grow up significantly on a large scale enough to bring about casualties and harmful damages. However, the consequence of some train fire accidents can be devastating disaster so that it would be even recorded in history in unusual cases. Accordingly, such a probability of fire disaster cannot be ignored in aspect of the railway safety assesment. A scale of injury and damage is very difficult to predict and analyze. Because it is depend on various factors, i.e. fire load, burning period, facilities, environment condition, and so on. Thus, a prediction of fire load could be understood as a one methodology to estimate railway safety assesment. The summation method which is one of them is used to evaluate the overall fire load by assuming that sum of heat release rate per unit area or mass of each composite material equals the total. However, since the train fire is classified into a compartment fire in under-ventilation condition. The summation method do not estimate a fire load completely. In this journal, Various methods to predict fire load are introduced and evaluated. Especially the fire simulation tool FDS(Fire Dynamics Simulator)which is based on the CFD(Computational Fluid Dynamics) is introduced, too. Through the FDS simulation, numerical analyses for the fire load and flame spread are performed. Then, these results of the simulation are validated through the comparison study with the experimental data. Then, limitations and approximations including in simulation process are discussed. The future direction of research is proposed.

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