• 제목/요약/키워드: Spread prediction tool

검색결과 13건 처리시간 0.027초

악성코드 확산 모델링에 기반한 확산 예측 도구 개발 (A Spread Prediction Tool based on the Modeling of Malware Epidemics)

  • 신원
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.522-528
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    • 2020
  • 엄청난 속도로 확산하는 랜섬웨어, 트로이목마, 인터넷 웜과 같은 악성코드는 인터넷의 주요한 위협이 되고 있다. 이러한 악성코드의 행위에 대응하기 위해서는 악성코드의 확산 방식과 영향을 끼치는 영향 요인을 이해하는 것이 필수적이다. 본 논문에서는 악성코드 확산 모델링에 기반을 둔 확산 예측 도구를 개발하였다. 이를 위하여 관련 연구를 살펴보고, 시스템 구성과 구현 방법을 살펴본 후 확산 예측 도구를 이용하여 워머블 악성코드 확산 실험을 수행하였다. 제안 확산 예측 도구를 잘 활용한다면, 최근 악명을 떨치는 워머블 악성코드에 대한 기본 지식만으로도 거시적 관점의 여러 조건에서 확산 형태를 예측하고 다양한 대응 방안을 모색할 수 있게 해준다.

ν-ASVR을 이용한 공구라이프사이클 최적화 (Tool Lifecycle Optimization using ν-Asymmetric Support Vector Regression)

  • 이동주
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.208-216
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    • 2020
  • With the spread of smart manufacturing, one of the key topics of the 4th industrial revolution, manufacturing systems are moving beyond automation to smartization using artificial intelligence. In particular, in the existing automatic machining, a number of machining defects and non-processing occur due to tool damage or severe wear, resulting in a decrease in productivity and an increase in quality defect rates. Therefore, it is important to measure and predict tool life. In this paper, ν-ASVR (ν-Asymmetric Support Vector Regression), which considers the asymmetry of ⲉ-tube and the asymmetry of penalties for data out of ⲉ-tube, was proposed and applied to the tool wear prediction problem. In the case of tool wear, if the predicted value of the tool wear amount is smaller than the actual value (under-estimation), product failure may occur due to tool damage or wear. Therefore, it can be said that ν-ASVR is suitable because it is necessary to overestimate. It is shown that even when adjusting the asymmetry of ⲉ-tube and the asymmetry of penalties for data out of ⲉ-tube, the ratio of the number of data belonging to ⲉ-tube can be adjusted with ν. Experiments are performed to compare the accuracy of various kernel functions such as linear, polynomial. RBF (radialbasis function), sigmoid, The best result isthe use of the RBF kernel in all cases

강소성 유한요소법을 이용한 링 압연 공정에서의 폭 퍼짐량 및 접촉영역 예측 (Prediction of Spread and Contact Region in Ring Rolling Process Using Rigid- plastic Finite Element Method)

  • 고영수;윤환진;김낙수
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제26권12호
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    • pp.2670-2677
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    • 2002
  • The ring rolling process involves three-dimensional non-steady material flow and continuous change of radius and thickness of the ring workpiece. In this study, the deformation analysis and geometric updating algorithm of the ring rolling process were verified by using the three-dimensional rigid-plastic finite element method. Manufacturing processes for plain ring and T-shaped ring were investigated by comparing experiments with simulation results, especially in side spread, load-stroke and pressure distribution, showing a good agreement. It was concluded that the simulation method would be a useful tool for the design of a ring rolling process.

PAIVS: prediction of avian influenza virus subtype

  • Park, Hyeon-Chun;Shin, Juyoun;Cho, Sung-Min;Kang, Shinseok;Chung, Yeun-Jun;Jung, Seung-Hyun
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.5.1-5.5
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    • 2020
  • Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) viruses have caused severe respiratory disease and death in poultry and human beings. Although most of the avian influenza viruses (AIVs) are of low pathogenicity and cause mild infections in birds, some subtypes including hemagglutinin H5 and H7 subtype cause HPAI. Therefore, sensitive and accurate subtyping of AIV is important to prepare and prevent for the spread of HPAI. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) can analyze the full-length sequence information of entire AIV genome at once, so this technology is becoming a more common in detecting AIVs and predicting subtypes. However, an analysis pipeline of NGS-based AIV sequencing data, including AIV subtyping, has not yet been established. Here, in order to support the pre-processing of NGS data and its interpretation, we developed a user-friendly tool, named prediction of avian influenza virus subtype (PAIVS). PAIVS has multiple functions that support the pre-processing of NGS data, reference-guided AIV subtyping, de novo assembly, variant calling and identifying the closest full-length sequences by BLAST, and provide the graphical summary to the end users.

Advanced inelastic static (pushover) analysis for earthquake applications

  • Elnashai, A.S.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.51-69
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    • 2001
  • Whereas the potential of static inelastic analysis methods is recognised in earthquake design and assessment, especially in contrast with elastic analysis under scaled forces, they have inherent shortcomings. In this paper, critical issues in the application of inelastic static (pushover) analysis are discussed and their effect on the obtained results appraised. Areas of possible developments that would render the method more applicable to the prediction of dynamic response are explored. New developments towards a fully adaptive pushover method accounting for spread of inelasticity, geometric nonlinearity, full multi-modal, spectral amplification and period elongation, within a framework of fibre modelling of materials, are discussed and preliminary results are given. These developments lead to static analysis results that are closer than ever to inelastic time-history analysis. It is concluded that there is great scope for improvements of this simple and powerful technique that would increase confidence in its employment as the primary tool for seismic analysis in practice.

신재생에너지 발전 출력 예측과 경제성 종합평가 기술개발 (Development of Economic Evaluation Solution and Power Prediction of Renewable Energy System)

  • 전대성;김진영;김현구;김종현;염기웅;신기열
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제39권6호
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    • pp.93-112
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, a very new web-based software for renewable energy system (RES) design and economic evaluation was introduced. This solution would provide the precise RES estimation service including not only photovoltaic (PV), wind turbine (WT) and fuel cell (FC) individually but also energy storage system (ESS) as combined forms with PV or WT. The three reasons why we ought to develop it are: First, the standardized tool suitable to the domestic environment for estimating power generation from RES facilities and economic evaluation is required. Secondly, the standardized tool is needed to spread domestic RES supply policy and to promote the new industry in the micro-grid field. The last, the reliability of economic evaluation should be enhanced more for new facilities. To achieve those aims, the weather database of one hundred locations have established and the RES facility database has also constructed. For the energy management, mathematical models for PV, WT, ESS and FC were developed. As a final phase, the analytical process to evaluate economics has performed with field data verification.

한반도에서 종 분포 모델을 이용한 두 침입외래식물, 돼지풀과 물참새피의 잠재적 분포 예측 (Prediction of Potential Distributions of Two Invasive Alien Plants, Paspalum distichum and Ambrosia artemisiifolia, Using Species Distribution Model in Korean Peninsula)

  • 이승현;조강현;이우주
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.189-200
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    • 2016
  • 종분포 모델은 어떤 지역에서 침입외래종이 어떻게 확장되고 어떤 환경 요인이 이들의 분포에 영향을 미치는지를 이해하는데 매우 유용한 도구이다. 본 연구에서는 한반도에서 두 침입외래종인 돼지풀 (Ambrosia artemisiifolia)과 물참새피 (Paspalum distichum)의 분포에 대하여 연구하였다. 이 두 종의 현재의 분포지에서 기후환경 요인을 분석하고 이 두 종의 분포를 예측하기 위하여 Maxent (the maximum entropy) 모델을 이용하였다. 이 두 종의 출현 자료는 Global Biodiversity Information Facility와 우리나라의 식물종 데이터베이스에서, 생물기후 자료는 WorldClim 자료로부터 얻었다. 모델을 수행한 결과, 자생지 위치자료를 이용한 예측 결과보다 전지구 위치자료를 이용한 예측이 연구 대상종의 잠재적 분포지를 잘 설명하였다. 이들 종의 분포에 기여한 기후환경 요인으로서 돼지풀에서는 최건월의 강수량과 연평균온도가, 물참새피에서는 연평균온도와 최한사분기의 평균온도가 선정되었다. Maxent 종분포 모델은 외래종의 침입을 예측하고 이들의 확산을 관리하는데 유용한 도구가 될 것으로 생각된다.

생물안전 3등급(BSL3)시설의 생물재해 시나리오에 따른 실내 공기환경예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Indoor Environment in Bio Safety Level 3 Laboratory According to Biohazard Scenario)

  • 박현진;홍진관
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제22권11호
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    • pp.745-750
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    • 2010
  • Since the implementation of the LMO Law in Korea, the importance of the design qualification of BSL3 lab. is emphasizing. In this study, multizone simulation for three kind of biohazard scenarios using CONTAM is performed for design qualification of BSL3 lab. Also, in the case of unexpected spread of contaminants such as Influenza A virus(H1N1) in BL3 zone, the design qualification is carried out for diffusion and decontamination of contaminants according to differential pressure of BSL3 anteroom and door area of BSL3 lab. Also, in this study, appropriateness of laboratory room differential pressure and air flow rate to maintain pressure difference between laboratory rooms, and energy consumption due to air change rate variation according to door area in BL3 lab. Simulation results show that these approach methods are used as a tool for the design and verification of BL3 lab.

Dynamic characteristics and fatigue damage prediction of FRP strengthened marine riser

  • Islam, A.B.M. Saiful
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2018
  • Due to the escalation in hydrocarbon consumption, the offshore industry is now looking for advanced technology to be employed for deep sea exploration. Riser system is an integral part of floating structure used for such oil and gas extraction from deep water offering a system of drill twines and production tubing to spread the exploration well towards the ocean bed. Thus, the marine risers need to be precisely employed. The incorporation of the strengthening material, fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) for deep and ultra-deep water riser has drawn extensive curiosity in offshore engineering as it might offer potential weight savings and improved durability. The design for FRP strengthening involves the local design for critical loads along with the global analysis under all possible nonlinearities and imposed loadings such as platform motion, gravity, buoyancy, wave force, hydrostatic pressure, current etc. for computing and evaluating critical situations. Finite element package, ABAQUS/AQUA is the competent tool to analyze the static and dynamic responses under the offshore hydrodynamic loads. The necessities in design and operating conditions are studied. The study includes describing the methodology, procedure of analysis and the local design of composite riser. The responses and fatigue damage characteristics of the risers are explored for the effects of FRP strengthening. A detail assessment on the technical expansion of strengthening riser has been outlined comprising the inquiry on its behavior. The enquiry exemplifies the strengthening of riser as very potential idea and suitable in marine structures to explore oil and gas in deep sea.

철도 차량 화재시 화재강도 예측을 위한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Fire Load in case of a Train Fire)

  • 양성진;장정훈;강찬용
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.2101-2108
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    • 2008
  • Most of train fires which occur in usual cases do not grow up significantly on a large scale enough to bring about casualties and harmful damages. However, the consequence of some train fire accidents can be devastating disaster so that it would be even recorded in history in unusual cases. Accordingly, such a probability of fire disaster cannot be ignored in aspect of the railway safety assesment. A scale of injury and damage is very difficult to predict and analyze. Because it is depend on various factors, i.e. fire load, burning period, facilities, environment condition, and so on. Thus, a prediction of fire load could be understood as a one methodology to estimate railway safety assesment. The summation method which is one of them is used to evaluate the overall fire load by assuming that sum of heat release rate per unit area or mass of each composite material equals the total. However, since the train fire is classified into a compartment fire in under-ventilation condition. The summation method do not estimate a fire load completely. In this journal, Various methods to predict fire load are introduced and evaluated. Especially the fire simulation tool FDS(Fire Dynamics Simulator)which is based on the CFD(Computational Fluid Dynamics) is introduced, too. Through the FDS simulation, numerical analyses for the fire load and flame spread are performed. Then, these results of the simulation are validated through the comparison study with the experimental data. Then, limitations and approximations including in simulation process are discussed. The future direction of research is proposed.

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