• 제목/요약/키워드: Spillover-effect

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한국원자력연구소 원자로계통설계 기술자립의 국가경제 파급효과 분석 (Spillover Effects of KAERI's Technology Self-reliance in NSSS Design on the National Economy)

  • 문기환;정기호;이만기
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제8권spc1호
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    • pp.499-524
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    • 2005
  • The economic spillover effect from technology self-reliance of NSSS(nuclear steam supply system) by Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute was evaluated. Both production spillover effect and value added spillover effect were estimated by using Input-Output table. The production spillover effect from technology self-reliance of NSSS was estimated as 135 trillion Won during 1986-2015, while the value added spillover effect was 69 trillion Won during the same period. Besides, it was found that the technology self-reliance made great contribution to unquantifiable economic benefits such as enhancement of overall nuclear technology level, improvement of the role in international nuclear society, and improved potential to nuclear technology export.

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한국·중국·일본·미국 주식시장 간 동조화 현상: 글로벌 금융위기 전·후를 중심 (An Analysis of the Co-Movement Effect of Korean, Chinese, Japanese and US Stock Markets: Focus on Global Financial Crisis)

  • 최승욱;강상훈
    • 국제지역연구
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.67-88
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 중국시장을 중심으로 수익률 전이현상(return spillover effect) 및 변동성 전이현상(volatility spillover effect)을 이변량 VAR-EGARCH 모형을 이용하여 실증 분석하였다. 그리고 최근의 글로벌 금융위기를 중심으로 금융위기 이전과 이후로 나누어서 전이효과를 실증 분석하였다. 실증분석 결과, 전체기간에서 중국으로부터 일본 만이 수익률 전이현상을 가지고 있었고 변동성 전이현상은 미국뿐만 아니라 일본, 한국에게도 모두 영향을 주었다. 기간을 나누어서 분석한 결과, 금융위기 전에는 일본과 한국에게 수익률 전이현상을 가지고 있었고 금융위기 후 그 크기가 상대적으로 증가한 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 중국의 변동성 전이현상도 한국에게 영향을 주고 미국으로부터 영향을 받다가, 금융위기 후 한국을 제외한 미국과 일본은 중국과 양방향의 관계를 가지고 있었고 그 크기가 증가하였다. 하지만 미국으로부터 중국으로의 변동성 전이현상은 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 글로벌 금융위기 이후 중국시장의 영향력이 증대되고 있음을 의미한다.

The Effect of Technology Spillover on Business Efficiency: A Case Study in Vietnam

  • PHUNG, Mai Lan;HOANG, Vu Hiep;NGUYEN, Thi Thanh Huyen;PHAM, Thi Thanh Van;TRAN, Viet Tien;HOANG, Van Hoa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.355-364
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    • 2021
  • The main objective of this study is to examine the interactive effect of technology spillover channels on business efficiency within the case study of manufacturing industry of Vietnam during the period from 2012 to 2018. The research model was developed with business efficiency as dependent variable and the relevant factors affecting the technology spillover capacity as independent variables. With a sample of 2,776 cross-sectional enterprises, panel data analysis approach was adopted to estimate the impact of technology spillover issue. Different spillover channels were also included in the analysis to enhance the empirical result. The study reveals that technology spillovers positively influence manufacturing business efficiency, in which horizontal spillover channel produces negative impact and vertical spillover channel, creates positive impact. Several factors that negatively affect the technology spillover capacity of businesses could be mentioned such as limited skills and experiences of workers, methods of implementing R&D, and the existence of FDI enterprises. Meanwhile, the rise of other factors related to joint-venture activities can help to increase the technology spillover capacity of businesses. In addition, skill and experience transfer makes a partial impact since this variable only positively affect the vertical spillover channel and provide no evidence of impact regarding horizontal spillover channel model.

운송 파급효과가 항공네트워크와 지역경제에 미치는 영향 (Transport Spillover Effect on Airport Networks and Its Impact on Regional Economy)

  • 왕흔신;라이폴린
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.35-52
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    • 2022
  • Air transport is at the core of global economic growth. There is a close relationship between the flow of regional elements and the growth of the regional economy. It is easy to misestimate the impact of airports on the regional economy without considering spatial spillover effects. This study attempted to establish an asymmetric economic geographical weight matrix by applying the Spatial Durbin Model with cargo volume and passenger numbers as indicators. The influence of spillover effects on the regional economy, including direct spillover effects and indirect spillover effects are studied. The results revealed that passenger numbers and cargo volume have significant positive spillover effects on the regional economy. The driving effect of the airport on the regional economy was considered from a wider space scope. This study contributes to the scientific evaluation of the aviation economy.

Indirect Network Effect and Spillover Effect in Food Delivery Platforms

  • GONG, LEE
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.25-42
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    • 2022
  • I analyze how the food delivery market's indirect network effect and spillover effect influence the spread of food delivery platforms in different counties. This study finds that there is a positive local indirect network effect and a positive spillover effect in the adoption of the platform by examining the food delivery platform market in South Korea as of 2020. As food delivery platforms secure consumers who use them, more restaurants on the other side of a two-sided market adopt such platforms (indirect network effect). The spillover effect would allow other restaurants in a region to become more likely to adopt food delivery platforms if there are a greater number of restaurants in the region that use such platforms. This study contributes to the comprehension of technology diffusion and the marketing strategies of platform providers by providing empirical evidence of both effects.

국제 비철금속 선물가격의 변동성 전이효과에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Volatility Spillover Effect in International Non-Ferrous Metals Futures Price )

  • 양국동;이은화;마예
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.177-195
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzed the volatility spillover effect between international non-ferrous metal futures markets using the BEKK-GARCH model. Statistical data are futures price data of copper (CU), aluminum (AL), nickel (NI), tin (SN) from Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) and London Metal Exchange (LME) from April 1, 2015 to December 31, 2021. Combining the research results, first, in the case of copper, aluminum, and nickel, it was found that there was a two-way volatility spillover effect between the Shanghai and London markets, and the international influence of the London market was greater. Second, in the case of the tin, it was found that the Shanghai market has a volatility spillover effect on the London market from stage I, and it is strengthened in stage II. Third, in the case of nickel, it was found that there was a two-way volatility spillover effect in the first stage, but in the second stage, the London market had a unidirectional volatility spillover effect with respect to the Shanghai market. This study confirmed that China's influence in the international non-ferrous metal futures market is gradually increasing. In addition, it suggested that international investors can engage in arbitrage and hedging using China's non-ferrous metal futures market.

A Study on Developing a Profitable Intra-day Trading System for KOSPI 200 Index Futures Using the US Stock Market Information Spillover Effect

  • Kim, Sun-Woong;Choi, Heung-Sik;Lee, Byoung-Hwa
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.151-162
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    • 2010
  • Recent developments in financial market liberalization and information technology are accelerating the interdependence of national stock markets. This study explores the information spillover effect of the US stock market on the overnight and daytime returns of the Korean stock market. We develop a profitable intra-day trading strategy based on the information spillover effect. Our study provides several important conclusions. First, an information spillover effect still exists from the overnight US stock market to the current Korean stock market. Second, Korean investors overreact to both good and bad news overnight from the US. Therefore, there are significant price reversals in the KOSPI 200 index futures prices from market open to market close. Third, the overreaction effect is different between weekdays and weekends. Finally, the suggested intra-day trading system based on the documented overreaction hypothesis is profitable.

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기혼취업여성 일-가족 양립에 따른 전이유형과 정신건강에 관한 연구 (Identifying Latent Groups in Married Working Women's Work-Family Spillover and Testing the Difference of Mental Health)

  • 하여진
    • Human Ecology Research
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    • 제55권1호
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2017
  • This study investigated the latent groups depending on married working women's work-family spillover. The effects of factors that determine mental health subgroups and differences were also analyzed. Mixture modeling was applied to the Korean Longitudinal Survey of Women & Families to achieve the research objectives. The major findings of this study were as follows. First, there were four subgroups that could be defined according to the work-family spillover: mid-level spillover group (mid-positive and mid-negative spillover group), high-level spillover group (high-positive and high-negative spillover group), low-level spillover group (low-positive and low-negative spillover group), and high-negative and low-positive spillover group. Second, the results of mixture regression analysis to test the effect of eco-system variables showed that age, academic background, non-traditional family value, number of children, work hours, wage income, and availability of the maternity leave were significant determinants of the latent groups. The probability of classifying in the high-negative and low-positive spillover group increased when women showed a lower academic background and wage income, higher number of children and older age, and longer work hours than others. Third, the high-level spillover group, and the high-level spillover group showed the lowest stress and the lowest depression; however, the low-level spillover group reported the highest stress and the highest depression. Implications, limitations, and future directions were discussed based on the results.

철도기관사의 사고경험이 일의 부정적 전이에 미치는 영향 : 공포불안 정서의 매개효과와 자기효능감의 조절효과 (The Influence of Train Driver's Accident Experience on the Negative Spillover of Work : Mediating Effect of Fear and Anxiety and Moderating Effect of Self-Efficacy)

  • 김중곤;신택현;자이나브 유스포바
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2015
  • This study highlights empirically the relationship among major constructs such as accident, fear and anxiety emotion, self-efficacy, and negative spillover of work, focused on the railway drivers. The differentiated factor of this study is in that the experience of accident was posed as exogenous variable. The main statistical tool was Regression. Hypothesis tests based on 201 samples verified that the experience of accidents showed a significant effect on negative spillover of work mediated by fear and anxiety, with moderating effect of self-efficacy between fear and anxiety and negative spillover of work. However, the moderating effect was shown as increasing the degree of negative spillover of work, since the drivers recognized their fear and anxiety accrued by accident experience as uncontrollable. This findings suggest the need for mitigating driver's negative emotion - fear and anxiety - through an introduction of practice such as exemption of settlement obligation in accident site and lowering of the penalty for accident responsibility.

Linkage between US Financial Uncertainty and Stock Markets of SAARC Countries

  • AZIZ, Tariq;MARWAT, Jahanzeb;MUSTAFA, Sheraz;ZEESHAN, Asma;IQBAL, Yasir
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.747-757
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    • 2021
  • The primary purpose of the study is to investigate the volatility spillover from financial uncertainty (FU) of the United States (US) to the stock markets of SAARC member countries including India, Sri-Lanka, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. The empirical literature overlooked SAARC countries and the FU index. Based on the estimation method, the data of FU is available for three different forecast horizons including 1-month, 3-months, and 12-months. For empirical analysis, monthly data is used from February 2013 to September 2019. EGARCH model is employed to investigate the volatility spillover effects. The findings of the study show that the spillover effect of FU varies with the forecast horizon. The FU with a higher forecast horizon has a significant spillover effect on more countries. The spillover effect of US financial uncertainty is negative in most of the SAARC countries. Bangladesh stock market is influenced by FU with all three forecast horizons whereas the volatility of the Pakistan stock market is not influenced by FU with any forecast horizon. The findings are consistent with the concept of "limited trade openness" in the financial markets of emerging economies. The emerging economies avoid financial market openness to minimize the risk of spillover of other countries.