• KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.11-20
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• 2012

Stream data shows a sequence of values changing continuously over time. Due to the nature of stream data, its trend is continuously changing according to various time intervals. Therefore the prediction of stream data must be carried out simultaneously with respect to multiple intervals, i.e. Continuous Multiple Prediction(CMP). In this paper, we propose a Continuous Integrated Hierarchical Temporal Memory (CIHTM) network for CMP based on the Hierarchical Temporal Memory (HTM) model which is a neocortex leraning algorithm. To develop the CIHTM network, we created three kinds of new modules: Shift Vector Senor, Spatio-Temporal Classifier and Multiple Integrator. And also we developed learning and inferencing algorithm of CIHTM network.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.53 no.2
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• pp.131-140
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• 2020

The purpose of this study is to analyze the possibility of future droughts by calculating the Standardized Groundwater level Index(SGI) after predicting groundwater level using Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model. The groundwater level of the Kumho River basin was predicted for the next three years by using the LSTM model, and it was validated through RMSE after learning with observation data except the last three years. The temporal SGI was calculated by using the prediction data and the observation data. The calculated SGI was interpolated within the study area, and the spatial SGI was calculated as the average value for each catchment using the interpolated SGI. The possibility of spatio-temporal drought was analyzed using calculated spatio-temporal SGI. It is confirmed that there is a spatio-temporal difference in the possibility of drought. Through the improvement of deep learning model and diversification of validation method, it is expected to obtain more reliable prediction results and the expansion of study area can be used to respond to drought nationwide, and furthermore it can provide important information for future water resource management.

• Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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• v.16 no.12
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• pp.1219-1223
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• 2010

This paper proposes a fast motion estimation algorithm based on motion speed and multiple initial center points. The proposed method predicts initial search points by means of the spatio-temporal neighboring motion vectors. A dynamic search pattern based on the motion speed and the predicted initial center points is proposed to quickly obtain the motion vector. Due to the usage of the spatio-temporal information and the dynamic search pattern, the proposed method greatly accelerates the search speed while keeping a good predicted image quality. Experimental results show that the proposed method has a good predicted image quality in terms of PSNR with less searching time comparing with the Full Search, New Three-Step Search, and Four-Step Search.

• Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.118-126
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• 1998

In order to fedice the computational complexity of the motion estimation for the spatio-temporal prediction of the higher layer, two estimation method are proposed. In the first one, the motion vector of the higher layer is estimated within the small search range by using the previously estimated motion vector in the lower layer as an innitial vector. Inthe second one, the notion vector is estimated by the spatio-temporally weighted search, which is combined with the previously estimated motion vector of the lower layer and the weight for spatial prediction. Simulation results show that the proposed methods give the smaller computational complexity without the degradation of the coding efficiency than the conventinal one.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.1-13
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• 2023

Predicting earthquakes is difficult due to the complexity of the systems underlying tectonic phenomena and incomplete understanding of the interactions among tectonic settings, tectonic stress, and crustal components. The Korean Peninsula is located in a stable intraplate region with a low average seismicity of M 2.3. As public interest in the earthquake grows, we analyzed earthquakes on the Korean Peninsula by attempting to predict spatio-temporal earthquake patterns and magnitudes using Facebook's Prophet model based on deep learning, and here we discuss seismic distribution zones using DBSCAN, a cluster analysis method. The Prophet model predicts future earthquakes in Chungcheongbuk-do, Gyeonggi-do, Seoul, and Gyeongsangbuk-do.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.12
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• pp.1317-1328
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• 2021

This study aims to provide a predictive model based on climate models for simulating continuous daily rainfall sequences by combining bias-correction and spatio-temporal downscaling approaches. For these purposes, this study proposes a combined modeling system by applying conditional Copula and Multisite Non-stationary Hidden Markov Model (MNHMM). The GloSea5 system releases the monthly rainfall prediction on the same day every week, however, there are noticeable differences in the updated prediction. It was confirmed that the monthly rainfall forecasts are effectively updated with the use of the Copula-based bias-correction approach. More specifically, the proposed bias-correction approach was validated for the period from 1991 to 2010 under the LOOCV scheme. Several rainfall statistics, such as rainfall amounts, consecutive rainfall frequency, consecutive zero rainfall frequency, and wet days, are well reproduced, which is expected to be highly effective as input data of the hydrological model. The difference in spatial coherence between the observed and simulated rainfall sequences over the entire weather stations was estimated in the range of -0.02~0.10, and the interdependence between rainfall stations in the watershed was effectively reproduced. Therefore, it is expected that the hydrological response of the watershed will be more realistically simulated when used as input data for the hydrological model.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.1142-1146
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• 2009

A rainfall simulation and forecasting technique that can generate daily rainfall sequences conditional on multi-model ensemble GCMs is developed and applied to data in Korea for the major rainy season. The GCM forecasts are provided by APEC climate center. A Weather State Based Downscaling Model (WSDM) is used to map teleconnections from ocean-atmosphere data or key state variables from numerical integrations of Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models to simulate daily sequences at multiple rain gauges. The method presented is general and is applied to the wet season which is JJA(June-July-August) data in Korea. The sequences of weather states identified by the EM algorithm are shown to correspond to dominant synoptic-scale features of rainfall generating mechanisms. Application of the methodology to seasonal rainfall forecasts using empirical teleconnections and GCM derived climate forecast are discussed.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.6 no.8
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• pp.1319-1324
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• 2002

In this paper, we present a new technique for extraction of moving objects in moving image sequence. The detection method of change regions is based on spatial gradient difference and temporal difference. Moving objects are extracted by motion information and prediction error of each region. In the simulation results, the proposed technique shows good performance.

• Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.449-463
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• 2015

Video object tracking is important for variety of applications, such as security, video indexing and retrieval, video surveillance, communication, and compression. This paper proposes an object tracking method in HEVC bitstreams. Without pixel reconstruction, motion vector (MV) and size of prediction unit in the bitstream are employed in an Spatio-Temporal Markov Random Fields (ST-MRF) model which represents the spatial and temporal aspects of the object's motion. Coefficient-based object shape adjustment is proposed to solve the over-segmentation and the error propagation problems caused in other methods. In the experimental results, the proposed method provides on average precision of 86.4%, recall of 79.8% and F-measure of 81.1%. The proposed method achieves an F-measure improvement of up to 9% for over-segmented results in the other method even though it provides only average F-measure improvement of 0.2% with respect to the other method. The total processing time is 5.4ms per frame, allowing the algorithm to be applied in real-time applications.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.1-16
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• 2020

With the advent of the fourth industrial revolution era, there has been a growing interest in deep learning using big data, and studies using deep learning have been actively conducted in various fields. In the transportation sector, there are many advantages to using deep learning in research as much as using deep traffic big data. In this study, a short -term travel speed prediction model using LSTM, a deep learning technique, was constructed to predict the travel speed. The LSTM model suitable for time series prediction was selected considering that the travel speed data, which is used for prediction, is time series data. In order to predict the travel speed more precisely, we constructed a model that reflects both temporal and spatial effects. The model is a short-term prediction model that predicts after one hour. For the analysis data, the 5minute travel speed collected from the Seoul Transportation Information Center was used, and the analysis section was selected as a part of Gangnam where traffic was congested.