• Title/Summary/Keyword: Spatio-temporal Change

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Predicting Urban Tourism Flow with Tourism Digital Footprints Based on Deep Learning

  • Fangfang Gu;Keshen Jiang;Yu Ding;Xuexiu Fan
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1162-1181
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    • 2023
  • Tourism flow is not only the manifestation of tourists' special displacement change, but also an important driving mode of regional connection. It has been considered as one of significantly topics in many applications. The existing research on tourism flow prediction based on tourist number or statistical model is not in-depth enough or ignores the nonlinearity and complexity of tourism flow. In this paper, taking Nanjing as an example, we propose a prediction method of urban tourism flow based on deep learning methods using travel diaries of domestic tourists. Our proposed method can extract the spatio-temporal dependence relationship of tourism flow and further forecast the tourism flow to attractions for every day of the year or for every time period of the day. Experimental results show that our proposed method is slightly better than other benchmark models in terms of prediction accuracy, especially in predicting seasonal trends. The proposed method has practical significance in preventing tourists unnecessary crowding and saving a lot of queuing time.

Analysis of the Spatio-temporal Migration and Degree Centrality of Migration Network (지역 간 시계열 인구이동의 정량적 특징 분석 및 인구이동 네트워크의 연결중심성 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Oh, Yun-Gyeong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.5
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we visualized the regional migration in Korea from 2001 to 2015 using the Chord diagram which can represents amount of migration and flows at the same time. In addition, we constructed a migration network and analyzed the degree centrality of each region for identifying the main regions linking to various regions. In 2001~2005, most of population moved into Geonggi from various regions. However, the capital function was transferred to Sejong in 2011~2015, and population moving into Sejong and Chungnam was increased significantly. The main outflow of population in migration network were shown at the regions in Jeonbuk and Gyeongbuk province in 2001~2004, and recently the regions in Gyeongnam, Gyeonggi, and Seoul were identified as the main nodes in terms of outflow of population. We also focused on migration in rural area through degree centrality, and cord diagram in Chungnam, Jeonbuk, and Jeonnam where include the representative crop area. In 2015. there was the significant increase of migration from Gyeonggi to Chungnam, and internal migration within Jeonbuk increased rather than cross-border migration. In addition, migration from Jeonam to capital area decreased in 2015 but migration among cities within Jeonman increased. In particular, Yesan-gun showed the significant migration to other cities in Jeonnam. Population is necessary to develop community and sustain economic growth in rural regions. Therefore, migration is important for the transfer of manpower. The strength of this study is to approach the temporal change of migration from the viewpoint on quantitative and structural characteristics.

Evaluating the Spatio-temporal Drought Patterns over Bangladesh using Effective Drought Index (EDI)

  • Kamruzzaman, Md.;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil;Park, Chanwoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.158-158
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    • 2018
  • Drought is a recurrent natural hazard in Bangladesh. It has significant impacts on agriculture, environment, and society. Well-timed information on the onset, extent, intensity, duration, and impacts of drought can mitigate the potential drought-related losses. Thus, drought characteristics need to be explained in terms of frequency, severity, and duration. This paper aims to characterize the spatial and temporal pattern of meteorological drought using EDI and illustrated drought severity over Bangladesh. Twenty-seven (27) station-based daily rainfall data for the study period of 1981-2015 were used to calculate the EDI values over Bangladesh. The evaluation of EDI is conducted for 4 sub-regions over the country to confirm the historical drought record-developed at the regional scale. The finding shows that on average, the frequency of severe to extreme drought is approximately 0.7 events per year. As a result of the regional analysis, most of the recorded historical drought events were successfully detected during the study period. Additionally, the seasonal analysis showed that the extreme droughts were frequently hit in northwestern, middle portion of the eastern and small portion of central parts of Bangladesh during the Kharif(wet) and Rabi(dry) seasons. The severe drought was affected recurrently in the central and northern regions of the country during all cropping seasons. The study also points out that the northern, south-western and central regions in Bangladesh are comparatively vulnerable to both extreme and severe drought event. The study showed that EDI would be a useful tool to identify the drought-prone area and time and potentially applicable to the climate change-induced drought evolution monitoring at regional to the national level in Bangladesh. The outcome of the present study can be used in taking anticipatory strategies to mitigate the drought damages on agricultural production as well as human sufferings in drought-prone areas of Bangladesh.

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Spatio-temporal Distribution of Surges and Tsunamis in the Korean Peninsula from 1392 to 1910 (조선시대(1392-1910) 해일 발생의 시공간적 분포 특성)

  • Kim, Da Hae;Hong, Seongchan;Choi, Kwang Hee
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 2021
  • Analysis and prediction of storm surges are very important because the global warming has raised sea levels and increased the frequency of massive typhoons, accelerating damage of coastal flooding. However, the data for storm surge prediction is lacking due to the short history of observation in South Korea. The purpose of this study is to investigate the spatial and temporal characteristics of the previous surges and tsunamis based on the historical documents published during the Joseon Dynasty. In addition, we tried to evaluate the damage and spatial extent of such disasters, using the expressions about surge records including heights and number of administrative divisions. As a result, a total of 175 records of surges and tsunamis were compiled from 1392 to 1910: 145 events were extracted through the analysis of the ancient documents, and 30 events were from the previous research. Most of the strorm surges occurred along the west coast during summer season. More than half of the total surges were concentrated for 120 years from the mid 1600s to the mid 1700s, which was estimated to be highly relevant to the climate conditions in East Asia during the Little Ice Age. Hazardous areas by storm and tidal surges were also extracted, including Asan, Ganghwa, and Siheung during the Joseon Dyanisity period.

Patterns of Forest Landscape Structure due to Landcover Change in the Nakdong River Basin (토지이용변화에 따른 낙동강 유역 산림경관의 구조적 패턴 분석)

  • Park, Kyung-Hun;Jung, Sung-Gwan;Kwon, Jin-O;Oh, Jeong-Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.11 no.4 s.29
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2005
  • The goal of this research is to evaluate landscape-ecological characteristics of watersheds in the Nakdong River Basin by using Geogaphic Information System (GIS) and landscape indices for integation of spatio-temporal informations and multivariate statistical techniques for quantitative analysis of forest landscape. Fragmentation index and change matrix techniques using factor analysis and grid overlay method were used to efficiently analyze and manage huge amount of information for ecological-environmental assessment (land-cover and forest landscape patterns). According to the results based on the pattern analysis of land-cover changes using the change detection matrix between 1980s and 1990s, addition on 750km$^2$ became urbanized areas. The altered 442.04km$^2$ was agricultural areas which is relatively easy for shifting of land-use, and 205.1km$^2$ of forests became urbanized areas, and average elevation and slope of the whole altered areas were 75m and 4$^{\circ}$. On the other hand, 120km$^2$ of urban areas were changed into other areas (i.e., agricultural areas and green space), and fortunately, certain amount of naturalness had been recovered. But still those agricultural areas and fallow areas, which were previously urban areas, had high potential of re-development for urbanization due to their local conditions. According to the structural analysis of forest landscape using the landscape indices, the forest fragmentation of watersheds along the main stream of the Nakdong River was more severe than my other watersheds. Furthermore, the Nakdong-sangju and Nakdong-miryang watersheds had unstable forest structures as well as least amount of forest quantity. Thus, these areas need significant amount of forest through a new forest management policy considering local environmental conditions.

Spatial Analysis of Major Atmospheric Aerosol Species Using Earth Observing Satellite Data (지구관측 위성자료를 이용한 주요 대기 에어러솔 성분의 공간분포 분석)

  • Lee, Kwon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.109-127
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    • 2011
  • Atmospheric aerosols, small particles in the atmosphere, are one of the important parameters in climate change and human health. Additionally, accurate estimates of aerosol species are increasingly important in environmental impact assessment studies. Recent advances in global satellite remote sensing provide powerful tool for air quality monitoring. This study explores the potential usage of satellite derived data such as atmospheric aerosols for air quality monitoring as well as climate change study. The objectives of this study is to understand the general features of the global distribution of type dependent aerosols. A detailed spatio-temporal variability of the each different satellite dataset shows the variation of the global zonal average and specific geographical regions where the strong emission sources are located. Especially, significantly large aerosol amounts are observed in Asia and Africa because of the desert dust storm, anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions.

Spatio-temporal Analysis of Forest Change using Spatial Information : A case study of Heongseong and Wonju (공간정보를 활용한 산림 변화 시공간분석: 횡성과 원주를 사례로)

  • Oh, Yi Kyun
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2018
  • The spatial information recently observed by various sensors and platforms has been provided by national portals through the establishment of a database over a number of time periods, with easy access to various types of information. Therefore, it is possible to analyze the changes in the national territory space according to time. This study is intend to analyze forest changes based on a case of some areas in Heongseong and Wonju using the various spatial information observed in many ways, such as aerial photographs, ortho photos, digital topographical maps, DEM and DSM. DSM created by the airborne lidar and the aerial photos was able to analyze forest change areas more effectively than DEM of topographical maps. Also, forest management and analysis could provide basic data for efficient preservation and management of forests using spatial information.

Spatio-temporal Change Analysis of Ammonia Emission Estimation for Fertilizer Application Cropland using High-resolution Farmland Data (고해상도 농경지 데이터를 이용한 비료사용 농경지의 암모니아 배출량의 시공간적 변화 분석)

  • Park, Jinseon;Lee, Se-Yeon;Hong, Se-Woon;Na, Ra;Oh, Yungyeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2021
  • Ammonia emission from the agricultural sector contributes almost 78% of total ammonia emission in Korea. The current ammonia emission estimation method from fertilizer application has high uncertainty and needs to be improved. In this study, we propose an improvement method for estimating the amount of ammonia emission from agricultural land with improved spatiotemporal resolution using Farm Manager Registration Information System and criteria for the fertilizer. We calculated ammonia emissions by utilizing the 2020 cultivation area provided by Farm Manager Registration Information System for 55 kinds of upland crops cultivated in the field area of the farmland. As a result, soybeans were the most cultivated field crop in 2020, and the area of cultivated land was surveyed at about 77,021 ha, followed by sweet potatoes 22,057 ha, garlic 20004 ha, potatoes 17,512 ha, and corn 16,636 ha. The month with the highest ammonia emissions throughout the year was calculated by emitting 590.01 ton yr-1 in May, followed by 486.55 ton yr-1 in March. Hallim-eup in Jeju showed the highest ammonia emission at 117.50 ton yr-1.

Water Depth Change Caused by Artificial Structures in Geum River Estuary: Spatio-Temporal Evaluation Based on GIS (금강하구에서 인공 구조물에 의한 수심 변화 : GIS 기반의 시.공간 평가)

  • Lee, Hyun-Hee;Um, Jung-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.42 no.1 s.118
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2007
  • This paper examines the spatial and temporal variability in the water depth caused by artificial structures in Geum Estuary of South Korea. Water depth data set extracted from marine maps of 1979, 1990, 1996 and 2004 were used in a GIS to derive volumetric estimates of gains and losses of sedimentary material. Artificial structures caused above 2m in water depth to be shallow between 1979 and 2002 in the estuary system, particularly through disturbance of a natural transport in suspended sediment concentrations. The mutt significant change in suspended sediment transport were observed in area affected by embankment for fresh water, inducing the water depth shallower than before in almost 80% of the area. This was probably because of an continuous abundant mud supply from coastal river oven after blocking the fresh water. The spatial analysis made it possible to identify area wide patterns of water depth change subject to many different type of artificial structures, which tanner be acquired by traditional field sampling. It is anticipated thai this research could be used as a valuable reference to confirm the outputs from past field researches for sedimental process in more visual and quantitative manner.

Projection of Future Drought of Korea Based on Probabilistic Approach Using Multi-model and Multi Climate Change Scenarios (다양한 기후변화 시나리오와 기후모델에 의한 남한지역 미래가뭄의 확률론적 전망)

  • Park, Beom-Seop;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Chang-Joo;Jang, Ho-Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1871-1885
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    • 2013
  • In this study, spatio-temporal distribution of future drought in South Korea was predicted by using the meteorological data generated from GCMs on which a variety of climate changing scenarios are applied. Drought phenomena was quantitatively analyzed using SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index). In addition, potential drought hazard maps for different drought duration and return period were made for the South Koreaby drought frequency analysis after deriving SDF(Severity-Duration-Frequency) curves using the 54 weather stations throughout the country. From the potential drought hazard maps, drought is expected to be severer in Nakdong River basin and Seomjin River basin under A2 scenario. It was also predicted that drought would be severe in the Han River basin by RCP8.5 scenario. In the future, potential drought hazard area would be expanded until the Eastern part of Nakdong River basin as compared with that of past under A2 scenario condition. Research results indicated that future drought would be extensively occurred all areas of South Korea not limiting in the southern part of country.