• 제목/요약/키워드: Spatial and temporal variability

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Quantification of future climate uncertainty over South Korea using eather generator and GCM

  • Tanveer, Muhammad Ejaz;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.154-154
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    • 2018
  • To interpret the climate projections for the future as well as present, recognition of the consequences of the climate internal variability and quantification its uncertainty play a vital role. The Korean Peninsula belongs to the Far East Asian Monsoon region and its rainfall characteristics are very complex from time and space perspective. Its internal variability is expected to be large, but this variability has not been completely investigated to date especially using models of high temporal resolutions. Due to coarse spatial and temporal resolutions of General Circulation Models (GCM) projections, several studies adopted dynamic and statistical downscaling approaches to infer meterological forcing from climate change projections at local spatial scales and fine temporal resolutions. In this study, stochastic downscaling methodology was adopted to downscale daily GCM resolutions to hourly time scale using an hourly weather generator, the Advanced WEather GENerator (AWE-GEN). After extracting factors of change from the GCM realizations, these were applied to the climatic statistics inferred from historical observations to re-evaluate parameters of the weather generator. The re-parameterized generator yields hourly time series which can be considered to be representative of future climate conditions. Further, 30 ensemble members of hourly precipitation were generated for each selected station to quantify uncertainty. Spatial map was generated to visualize as separated zones formed through K-means cluster algorithm which region is more inconsistent as compared to the climatological norm or in which region the probability of occurrence of the extremes event is high. The results showed that the stations located near the coastal regions are more uncertain as compared to inland regions. Such information will be ultimately helpful for planning future adaptation and mitigation measures against extreme events.

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시정계 자료 특성을 고려한 시정계 자료 품질검사 기법 개발 (Development of Quality Control Method for Visibility Data Based on the Characteristics of Visibility Data)

  • 오유주;서명석
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제36권5_1호
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    • pp.707-723
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 현재 기상청에서 운용중인 시정계 자료의 시공간대표성 및 정확도를 개선하기 위해, 다단계 결정나무 품질검사(decision tree QC) 방법을 개발하고 3년간(2016.03-2019.02) 시정계 자료에 적용하였다. 개발된 QC 방법의 정성적 및 정량적 검증을 위해 기상청에서 제공하는 시정계 자료 및 목측 자료 그리고 노르웨이 기상청의 QC 방법을 사용하였다. 1단계에서는 물리적 범위 초과 및 결측 검사를 수행하여 결측 및 비정상 자료의 합이 총 자료의 10%를 초과하면 해당 지점은 다음 QC에서 제거하였다. 2단계에서는 시정이 시간적으로 연속성 있게 변한다는 가정하에 시간적 연속성 검사를 수행하였고, 임계값을 동적으로 설정하였다. 3단계에서는 시정이 공간적으로 연속성 있게 변한다는 가정하에 공간적 연속성 검사를 수행하였다. 4단계에서는 시정계의 정확도가 시정에 반비례한 점을 고려한 가중평균법으로 10분 주기 시정자료를 산출하였다. 시정계가 처음으로 도입 운용되는 점으로 인해 전체 시정계 자료 중 약 10% 정도가 1단계에서 제거되었다. 또한 안개발생 주변 지역에서는 시정의 공간적 변동성이 연속성 검사를 수행할 수 없을 정도로 매우 크기 때문에 3단계는 적용하지 않았다. 본 연구에서 개발한 QC 방법을 정성적, 정량적 검증한 결과, 초기 자료에 포함된 이상치들이 상당부분 제거되고 시정의 순간적 변동성이 완화됨을 보였다. 또한 목측자료 및 노르웨이 기상청 QC 방법을 이용한 간접적 검증 결과 본 연구에서 개발한 QC 방법이 시정계 자료 품질검사기법으로 사용이 가능함을 제시하였다.

Spatial, Vertical, and Temporal Variability of Ambient Environments in Strawberry and Tomato Greenhouses in Winter

  • Ryu, Myong-Jin;Ryu, Dong-Ki;Chung, Sun-Ok;Hur, Yun-Kun;Hur, Seung-Oh;Hong, Soon-Jung;Sung, Je-Hoon;Kim, Hak-Hun
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: In protected crop production facilities such as greenhouse and plant factory, farmers should be present and/or visit frequently to the production site for maintaining optimum environmental conditions and better production, which is time and labor consuming. Monitoring of environmental condition is highly important for optimum control of the conditions, and the condition is not uniform within the facility. Objectives of the paper were to investigate spatial and vertical variability in ambient environmental variables and to provide useful information for sensing and control of the environments. Methods: Experiments were conducted in a strawberry-growing greenhouse (greenhouse 1) and a cherry tomato-growing greenhouse (greenhouse 2). Selected ambient environmental variables for experiment in greenhouse 1 were air temperature and humidity, and in greenhouse 2, they were air temperature, humidity, PPFD (Photosynthetic Photon Flux Density), and $CO_2$ concentration. Results: Considerable spatial, vertical, and temporal variability of the ambient environments were observed. In greenhouse 1, overall temperature increased from 12:00 to 14:00 and increased after that, while RH increased continuously during the experiments. Differences between the maximum and minimum temperature and RH values were greater when one of the side windows were open than those when both of the windows were closed. The location and height of the maximum and minimum measurements were also different. In greenhouse 2, differences between the maximum and minimum air temperatures at noon and sunset were greater when both windows were open. The maximum PPFD were observed at a 3-m height, close to the lighting source, and $CO_2$ concentration in the crop growing regions. Conclusions: In this study, spatial, vertical, and temporal variability of ambient crop growing conditions in greenhouses was evaluated. And also the variability was affected by operation conditions such as window opening and heating. Results of the study would provide information for optimum monitoring and control of ambient greenhouse environments.

Local Climate Mediates Spatial and Temporal Variation in Carabid Beetle Communities on Hyangnobong, Korea

  • Park, Yong Hwan;Jang, Tae Woong;Jeong, Jong Cheol;Chae, Hee Mun;Kim, Jong Kuk
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.161-171
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    • 2017
  • Global environmental changes have the capacity to make dramatic alterations to floral and faunal composition, and elucidation of the mechanism is important for predicting its outcomes. Studies on global climate change have traditionally focused on statistical summaries within relatively wide scales of spatial and temporal changes, and less attention has been paid to variability in microclimates across spatial and temporal scales. Microclimate is a suite of climatic conditions measured in local areas near the earth's surface. Environmental variables in microclimatic scale can be critical for the ecology of organisms inhabiting there. Here we examine the effect of spatial and temporal changes in microclimates on those of carabid beetle communities in Hyangnobong, Korea. We found that climatic variables and the patterns of annual changes in carabid beetle communities differed among sites even within the single mountain system. Our results indicate the importance of temporal survey of communities at local scales, which is expected to reveal an additional fraction of variation in communities and underlying processes that has been overlooked in studies of global community patterns and changes.

보행 중 스마트폰을 이용한 이중과제의 혼란수준이 만성 발목불안정성 성인의 보행에 미치는 영향 (Effect of the Confusion Level of Dual-Tasks Using a Smartphone on the Gait of Subjects with Chronic Ankle Instability While Walking)

  • 최우성;최종덕
    • 대한물리의학회지
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.99-108
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    • 2020
  • PURPOSE: This study examined the effects of the confusion level in performing dual tasks using smartphones while walking in subjects with chronic ankle instability (CAI). METHODS: Twenty subjects with CAI and 20 healthy subjects participated in the study. The spatial, temporal, spatial-temporal, and variability gait parameters were measured using GAITRite under four different conditions: general gait, web surfing during gait, texting during gait, and gaming during gait. Two-way repeated-measures analysis of variance was used to analyze the interaction according to the group (2) and confusion level in dual-tasks (4). One-way repeated-measures analysis of variance was used to compare the changes within the group according to the confusion level in dual-tasks. The changes between groups were compared using an independent t-test. The statistical significance level was set to p = .05. RESULTS: Significant interactions in the temporal and spatial-temporal gait parameters were found between the dual-task conditions and the other groups (p < .05). Significant within-group differences in the spatial, temporal, and spatial-temporal gait parameters were found according to the confusion level in dual tasks (p < .05). Significant between-group differences were observed in the temporal and spatial-temporal gait parameters according to the confusion level in dual tasks (p < .05). CONCLUSION: The effect of the confusion level in dual tasks was greater in subjects with CAI than in healthy individuals. This study suggests that to prevent reinjury to the ankle, subjects with CAI should avoid dual tasks such as using smartphones while walking.

유역단위 지표수-지하수 상호작용의 시공간적 변동분석 (Analysis on the Spatial-temporal Variation of Surface-groundwater Interaction on the Watershed Basis)

  • 김남원;유상연;정일문;이정우
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2009
  • 지표수-지하수 상호작용의 특성과 강도 및 방향은 지하수두, 수리전도도와 하상지형에 의해 영향을 받게 된다. 이러한 요소들은 공간적으로 매우 불균질하여 결과적으로 상호작용은 유역 전체 물수지에도 영향을 준다. 그러나 지표수-지하수 상호작용의 시공간적인 범위나 강도에 관한 조사 및 연구는 매우 제한적이며 대개 작은 하천 구간의 단면해석으로만 치우쳐 유역기반의 지표수-지하수 상호작용에 대한 포괄적인 연구가 필요한 시점이다. 본 연구에서는 완전연동형 지표수-지하수 결합모형인 SWAT-MODFLOW를 안양천 유역에 적용하여 하천과 대수층의 상호작용의 범위와 강도를 분석하였다. 분석결과 안양천 유역은 강수집중 기간을 제외하면, 연중 기저유출의 공급으로 인해 이득하천의 특성을 잘 나타내는 것으로 나타났으며, 지표수-지하수 상호작용의 영향범위는 표고가 낮은 하류로 갈수록 점점 커지는 것으로 확인되었다.

이어도 주변해역에서 수중음속의 시공간적 변동성 (Temporal and Spatial Variability of Sound Speed in the Sea around the Ieodo)

  • 박경주
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제29권11호
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    • pp.1141-1151
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    • 2020
  • The impact of sound speed variability in the sea is the very important on acoustic propagation for the underwater acoustic systems. Understanding of the temporal and spatial variability of ocean sound speed in the sea around the Ieodo were obtained using oceanographic data (temperature, salinity). from the Korea Oceanographic Data Center, collected by season for 17 years. The vertical distributions of sound speed are mainly related to seasonal variations and various current such as Chinese coastal water, Yellow Sea Cold Water (YSCW), Kuroshio source water. The standard deviations show that great variations of sound speed exist in the upper layer and observation station between 16 and 18. In order to quantitatively explain the reason for sound speed variations, Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis was performed on sound speed data at the Line 316 covering 68 cruises between 2002 and 2018. Three main modes of EOFs respectively revealed 55, 29, and 5% the total variance of sound speed. The first mode of the EOFs was associated with influence of surface heating. The second EOFs pattern shows that contributions of YSCW and surface heating. The first and second modes had seasonal and inter-annul variations.

The Characteristics of Signal versus Noise SST Variability in the North Pacific and the Tropical Pacific Ocean

  • Yeh, Sang-Wook;Kirtman, Ben P.
    • Ocean Science Journal
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2006
  • Total sea surface temperature (SST) in a coupled GCM is diagnosed by separating the variability into signal variance and noise variance. The signal and the noise is calculated from multi-decadal simulations from the COLA anomaly coupled GCM and the interactive ensemble model by assuming both simulations have a similar signal variance. The interactive ensemble model is a new coupling strategy that is designed to increase signal to noise ratio by using an ensemble of atmospheric realizations coupled to a single ocean model. The procedure for separating the signal and the noise variability presented here does not rely on any ad hoc temporal or spatial filter. Based on these simulations, we find that the signal versus the noise of SST variability in the North Pacific is significantly different from that in the equatorial Pacific. The noise SST variability explains the majority of the total variability in the North Pacific, whereas the signal dominates in the deep tropics. It is also found that the spatial characteristics of the signal and the noise are also distinct in the North Pacific and equatorial Pacific.

Impacts of temporal dependent errors in radar rainfall estimate for rainfall-runoff simulation

  • Ko, Dasang;Park, Taewoong;Lee, Taesam
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.180-180
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    • 2015
  • Weather radar has been widely used in measuring precipitation and discharge and predicting flood risks. The radar rainfall estimate has one of the essential problems in terms of uncertainty and accuracy. Previous study analyzed radar errors to reduce its uncertainty or to improve its accuracy. Furthermore, a recent analyzed the effect of radar error on rainfall-runoff using spatial error model (SEM). SEM appropriately reproduced radar error including spatial correlation. Since the SEM does not take the time dependence into account, its time variability was not properly investigated. Therefore, in the current study, we extend the SEM including time dependence as well as spatial dependence, named after Spatial-Temporal Error Model (STEM). Radar rainfall events generated with STEM were tested so that the peak runoff from the response of a basin could be investigated according to dependent error. The Nam River basin, South Korea, was employed to illustrate the effects of STEM on runoff peak flow.

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Temporal and Spatial Variability of Precipitation and Evaporation over the Tropical Ocean

  • Yoo, Jung-Moon;Lee, Hyun-A
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.22-29
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    • 2003
  • Temporal and spatial variability of precipitation (P), evaporation (E), and moisture balance (P-E; precipitation minus evaporation) has been investigated over the tropical ocean during the period from January 1998 to July 2001. Our data were analyzed by the EOF method using the satellite P and E observations made by the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Precipitation Radar (PR) and the Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I). This analysis has been performed for two three-year periods as follow; The first period which includes the El Ni${\tilde{n}}$o in early 1998 ranges from January 1998 to December 2000, and the second period which includes the La Ni${\tilde{n}}$o events in the early 1999 and 2000 (without El Ni${\tilde{n}}$o) ranges from August 1998 to July 2001. The areas of maxima and high variability in the precipitation and in the P-E were displaced from the tropical western Pacific and the ITCZ during the La Ni${\tilde{n}}$o to the tropical middle Pacific during the El Ni${\tilde{n}}$o, consistent with those in previous P studies. Their variations near the Korean Peninsula seem to exhibit a weakly positive correlation with that in the tropical Pacific during the El Ni${\tilde{n}}$o. The evaporation, out of phase with the precipitation, was reduced in the tropical western Pacific due to humid condition in boreal summer, but intensified in the Kuroshio and Gulf currents due to windy condition in winter. The P-E variability was determined mainly by the precipitation of which the variability was more localized but higher by 2-3 times than that of evaporation. Except for the ITCZ (0-10$^{\circ}$N), evaporation was found to dominate precipitation by ${\sim}$2 mm/day over the tropical Pacific. Annual and seasonal variations of P, E, and P-E were discussed.