• Title/Summary/Keyword: Spatial Regression analysis

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High Incidence of Breast Cancer in Light-Polluted Areas with Spatial Effects in Korea

  • Kim, Yun Jeong;Park, Man Sik;Lee, Eunil;Choi, Jae Wook
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.361-367
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    • 2016
  • We have reported a high prevalence of breast cancer in light-polluted areas in Korea. However, it is necessary to analyze the spatial effects of light polluted areas on breast cancer because light pollution levels are correlated with region proximity to central urbanized areas in studied cities. In this study, we applied a spatial regression method (an intrinsic conditional autoregressive [iCAR] model) to analyze the relationship between the incidence of breast cancer and artificial light at night (ALAN) levels in 25 regions including central city, urbanized, and rural areas. By Poisson regression analysis, there was a significant correlation between ALAN, alcohol consumption rates, and the incidence of breast cancer. We also found significant spatial effects between ALAN and the incidence of breast cancer, with an increase in the deviance information criterion (DIC) from 374.3 to 348.6 and an increase in $R^2$ from 0.574 to 0.667. Therefore, spatial analysis (an iCAR model) is more appropriate for assessing ALAN effects on breast cancer. To our knowledge, this study is the first to show spatial effects of light pollution on breast cancer, despite the limitations of an ecological study. We suggest that a decrease in ALAN could reduce breast cancer more than expected because of spatial effects.

Pedestrian Distribution in High-Rise Commercial Complexes: An Analysis of Integrating Spatial and Functional Factors

  • Xu, Leiqing;Xia, Zhengwei
    • International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.95-103
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    • 2016
  • One of the key problems in the design of high-rise commercial complex is how to guide reasonable pedestrian distribution in commercial space. In this study, pedestrian distribution in three high-rise commercial complexes in Shanghai and Hong Kong was studied using spatial configuration analysis software Space Syntax and quantification of physical elements in commercial spaces, such as functional attractiveness, entrances, escalators, level variations and passage width. Additionally, in an attempt to integrate functions with spatial integration and spatial depth, two combination variables, the spatial coefficient of function (IF) and spatial depth coefficient of function (F/D), were proposed. The results of the correlation analysis and multiple regression analyses reflected the following: (1) Regarding the influence on pedestrian distribution, there was a synergistic and complementary relationship between function and space; (2) The comprehensive flow distribution analytic model could successfully interpret flow distribution in high-rise commercial complexes and its R Square ranged up to about 70% in the three cases; (3) The spatial coefficient of function (IF) and spatial depth coefficient (F/D) could effectively integrate functions and spatial configuration, which could help close the gap between over-emphasis on function in commercial research and the lack of consideration of function in space-syntax analysis.

A Study on the Influence of Commercial Facility Diversity on the Formation of Consumption Centre: Application of Spatial Regression Models (상업시설의 다양성이 소비중심지 형성에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 공간회귀모형의 적용)

  • Sul-Hee Kim;Heung-Soon Kim
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.57-75
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    • 2024
  • To create dynamic and bustling urban environments, a diverse array of commercial facilities is indispensable. These facilities are recognised as pivotal in attracting and accommodating a larger floating population, thereby suggesting that a greater diversity of commercial establishments fosters heightened consumer expenditure. With this premise, our study endeavours to explore the influence of commercial facility diversity on the Consumer Centre Index. Focused on the temporal context of 2021 and the spatial context of Seoul, our analysis utilizes the Consumer Centre Index, derived from Kernel Density analysis, as the dependent variable. Independent variables encompass factors reflecting commercial attributes and urban characteristics. Employing spatial regression analysis at the administrative district level, we discern that the clustering of similar industries exerts a more pronounced positive effect on consumer activation compared to the clustering of disparate industries. Additionally, the findings underscore the importance of concentrating industries that bolster consumer activation. Anticipated outcomes of this study include insights beneficial for optimizing commercial facility location policies within the consumer market.

Analysis of Spatial Characteristics of Business-Type-Changed Parcel in Hongik-University Commercial Area, Seoul - Focused on the View Point of Commercial Gentrification - (서울시 홍대상권 내 업종변화 필지의 공간적 특성 분석 - 상업 젠트리피케이션의 관점에서 -)

  • Kim, Dongjun;Kim, Kijung;Lee, Seungil
    • Journal of Korea Planning Association
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.5-16
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the spatial characteristics of business-type-changed parcel in the Hongik-University commercial area, from the view point of commercial gentrification. A commercial gentrification occurs through a business-type-change in a spatial basic unit (microscopic spatial unit such as parcel) of an area which has not been considered in relavent policies and research. So, this study analyzed the spatial characteristics of business-type-changed parcels using the Cox's proportional hazard regression model. The main results of this study are as follows. First, as new developments in the adjacent area occur, the business-type-change probability increases. Second, by the commercial area division, the business-type-change probability is different. Finally, the accessibility is better, the probability is higher. These results could suggest that a consideration of the spatial characteristics form microscopic viewpoint is necessary to understand the commercial gentrification. And these could be used as basic data for a gentrification diagnostic and management system, which can predict gentrification from the view point of business-type-change on the basis of a parcel.

A Study on the Regional Factors Affecting the Death Rates of Cardio-Cerebrovascular Disease Using the Spatial Analysis (공간분석을 이용한 심뇌혈관질환 사망률에 영향을 미치는 지역요인 분석)

  • Park, Young Yong;Park, Ju-Hyun;Park, You-Hyun;Lee, Kwang-Soo
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.26-36
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    • 2020
  • Background: The purpose of this study was to analyze the relationship between the regional characteristics and the age-adjusted cardio-cerebrovascular disease mortality rates (SCDMR) in 229 si·gun·gu administrative regions. Methods: SCDMR of man and woman was used as a dependent variable using the statistical data of death cause in 2017. As a representative index of regional characteristics, health behavior factors, socio-demographic and economic factors, physical environment factors, and health care factors were selected as independent variables. Ordinary least square (OLS) regression and geographically weighted regression (GWR) were performed to identify their relationship. Results: OLS analysis showed significant factors affecting the mortality rates of cardio-cerebrovascular disease as follows: high-risk drinking rates, the ratio of elderly living alone, financial independence, and walking practice rates. GWR analysis showed that the regression coefficients were varied by regions and the influence directions of the independent variables on the dependent variable were mixed. GWR showed higher adjusted R2 and Akaike information criterion values than those of OLS. Conclusion: If there is a spatial heterogeneity problem as Korea, it is appropriate to use the GWR model to estimate the influence of regional characteristics. Therefore, results using the GWR model suggest that it needs to establish customized health policies and projects for each region considering the socio-economic characteristics of each region.

Estimating the Total Precipitation Amount with Simulated Precipitation for Ungauged Stations in Jeju Island (미계측 관측 강수 자료 생성을 통한 제주도 지역의 수문총량 추정)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Um, Myoung-Jin;Chung, Il-Moon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.9
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    • pp.875-885
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the total precipitation amount in Jeju Island was estimated with the simulated precipitation for ungauged stations missing precipitation data using the spatial precipitation analysis. The missing data were generated through the modified multiple linear regression in this study, and the analysis of spatial precipitation was conducted with the PRISM(Parameter-elevation Regression on Independent Slope Model). The generated data with modified multiple linear regression model have similar pattern with original data. Thus, the model in this study shows good applicability to estimate the missing data. The difference of annual average precipitation between Case 1 (original data) and Case 2 (modified data) appears very small ratio which is about 1.5%. However, the difference of annual average precipitation according to elevation shows the large ratio up to 37.4%. As the results, the method of estimating missing data in this study would be useful to calculate the total precipitation amount at the low station density area and the places with the high spatial variation of precipitation.

Analysis of Eunpyeong New Town Land Price Using Geographically Weighted Regression (지리가중회귀분석을 이용한 은평뉴타운 지가 분석)

  • Jung, Hyo-jin;Lee, Jiyeong
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2015
  • Newtown Business of Seoul had been performed to reduce deterioration of Gangbuk and economic inequality between Gangnam and Gangbuk. According to this, Eunpyeong-gu was set as test-bed for Newtown business and Newtown business had been completed until 2013. This study aims to analyze the influence of social and economical factors which affect land price using GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) considered spatial effect. As a result of analysis, GWR model demonstrated a better goodness-of-fit than OLS (Ordinary least square) model typically used in most study. Furthermore, AIC value and Moran's I of residual prove that GWR model is more suitable than OLS model. GWR model enable to explain more detailed than global regression model as coefficient and sign show different value locally. In future, this research will be helpful to develop Eunpyeong-gu considering spatial characters and strength effectiveness of development.

Determinants of Apartment Prices in Busan: A Spatial Quantile Regression (공간적 분위수 회귀분석에 의한 부산 아파트 가격 결정요인 분석)

  • Yoon, Jong-Won;Park, Sae-Woon;Jeong, Tae-Yun
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.155-175
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    • 2018
  • Lots of previous researches on determinants of apartment prices in Korea consider spatial dependence while few studies regard endogeneity of spatial lag by adding a spatial lag to an OLS regression. Thus, this study intends to include this spatial lag in its analysis of determinants of apartment price in Busan by using a two-stage quantile regression. The empirical results are : the coefficient of spatial lag variable is more than 0.5 and is statistically significant at 1% level. From this result we can confirm that the effect of the price of nearby apartment on that of another apartment is very big. We also find that apartment buyers prefer larger size, height in both the total floors and living floor, south-facing living room with a ocean view, and proximity to metros, high school and coast. Unlike our expectation, however, mountain view is less favored than building view, which we can guess is because apartments with mountain views are mostly located in the low-priced apartment area where some of their living rooms face north. Quantile regression also explains the effect of hedonic characteristics on apartment price better than OLS estimation. For instance, the effect of south facing living room variable on the price is twice larger in high-price apartments than in low-price counterparts. And the effect of vicinity to the coast or the ocean is ten times bigger in high priced apartments.

Geographically Weighted Regression on the Characteristics of Land Use and Spatial Patterns of Floating Population in Seoul City (서울시 유동인구 분포의 공간 패턴과 토지이용 특성에 관한 지리가중 회귀분석)

  • Yun, Jeong Mi;Choi, Don Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2015
  • The key objective of this research is to review the effectiveness of spatial regression to identify the influencing factors of spatial distribution patterns of floating population. To this end, global and local spatial autocorrelation test were performed using seoul floating population survey(2014) data. The result of Moran's I and Getis-Ord $Gi^*$ as used in the analysis derived spatial heterogeneity and spatial similarities of floating population patterns in a statistically significant range. Accordingly, Geographically Weighted Regression was applied to identify the relationship between land use attributes and population floating. Urbanization area, green tract of land of micro land cover data were aggregated in to $400m{\times}400m$ grid boundary of Seoul. Additionally public transportation variables such as intersection density transit accessibility, road density and pedestrian passage density were adopted as transit environmental factors. As a result, the GWR model derived more improved results than Ordinary Least Square(OLS) regression model. Furthermore, the spatial variation of applied local effect of independent variables for the floating population distributions.

AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT RISK ASSESSMENT USING REMOTE SENSING AND GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM

  • Narongrit, Chada;Yeesoonsang, Seesai
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.991-993
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    • 2003
  • The 4 sets of environmental variables dealing with meteorology, hydrology and physiography were analyzed to generate a spatial drought risk index of Phitsanulok province of Thailand. The analysis of K-mean and discriminant were applied to the set of the selective drought variables for grouping each of spatial variable set into 4 classes. The obtained 4 classes, based on group statistics, were thus recoded in the meaning of no risk, low risk, moderate risk, and high risk. The regression coefficient between recoded classes and a set of the selective environmental variables were then applied as spatial variable weighting on thematic dataset in GIS spatial analysis. The results showed that the weighting score of drought variable was highest in meteorological variable compared to other variables.

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