• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.419-431
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• 2012

우주기상 극대기인 2003년은 지구상에 크나큰 재앙을 초래할 것으로 예견되고 있다. 특히 근년에 들어 지자기 폭풍에 의한 손상과 가시화 될 수 있는 대 폭풍피해 사례를 보이고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이상에서 제시된 문제점에 대한 피해분석에 따른 궁극적인 우주기상정보시스템 모델 구축으로 피해 저감하고 대비방안을 설정하는 것이다. 구현방법으로는 uIT기반과 GIS기반의 우주기상 정보시스템 구축으로 우주폭풍에서 방사되는 우주복사폭풍(flare), 우주입자폭풍(solar proton event), 우주자기폭풍(geomagnetic storm) 등에 의한 분야별 폭풍피해를 분석하여 유형별 피해 대응에 대비할 수 있도록 하였다. 이로써 공간정보기반의 우주폭풍 전기전자 피해대비 운영관리시스템 구현은 GIS기법에 의한 의사결정지원 시스템으로 피해예측 및 방재환경을 스마트 IT환경과 융합한 첨단 정보시스템으로 구현하여 인명과 재산을 보전할 수 있는 방안으로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

• 천문학회지
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• 제50권2호
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• pp.29-39
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• 2017

We investigate two abnormal CME-Storm pairs that occurred on 2014 September 10 - 12 and 2015 March 15 - 17, respectively. The first one was a moderate geomagnetic storm ($Dst_{min}{\sim}-75nT$) driven by the X1.6 high speed flare-associated CME ($1267km\;s^{-1}$) in AR 12158 (N14E02) near solar disk center. The other was a very intense geomagnetic storm ($Dst_{min}{\sim}-223nT$) caused by a CME with moderate speed ($719km\;s^{-1}$) and associated with a filament eruption accompanied by a weak flare (C9.1) in AR 12297 (S17W38). Both CMEs have large direction parameters facing the Earth and southward magnetic field orientation in their solar source region. In this study, we inspect the structure of Interplanetary Flux Ropes (IFRs) at the Earth estimated by using the torus fitting technique assuming self-similar expansion. As results, we find that the moderate storm on 2014 September 12 was caused by small-scale southward magnetic fields in the sheath region ahead of the IFR. The Earth traversed the portion of the IFR where only the northward fields are observed. Meanwhile, in case of the 2015 March 17 storm, our IFR analysis revealed that the Earth passed the very portion where only the southward magnetic fields are observed throughout the passage. The resultant southward magnetic field with long-duration is the main cause of the intense storm. We suggest that 3D magnetic field geometry of an IFR at the IFR-Earth encounter is important and the strength of a geomagnetic storm is strongly affected by the relative location of the Earth with respect to the IFR structure.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제37권1호
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• pp.19-27
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• 2020

Pc1 pulsations are important to consider for the interpretation of wave-particle interactions in the Earth's magnetosphere. In fact, the wave properties of these pulsations change dynamically when they propagate from the source region in the space to the ground. A detailed study of the wave features can help understanding their time evolution mechanisms. In this study, we statistically analyzed Pc1 pulsations observed by a Bohyunsan (BOH) magneto-impedance (MI) sensor located in Korea (L = 1.3) for ~one solar cycle (November 2009-August 2018). In particular, we investigated the temporal occurrence ratio of Pc1 pulsations (considering seasonal, diurnal, and annual variations in the solar cycle), their wave properties (e.g., duration, peak frequency, and bandwidth), and their relationship with geomagnetic activities by considering the Kp and Dst indices in correspondence of the Pc1 pulsation events. We found that the Pc1 waves frequently occurred in March in the dawn (1-3 magnetic local time (MLT)) sector, during the declining phase of the solar cycle. They generally continued for 2-5 minutes, reaching a peak frequency of ~0.9 Hz. Finally, most of the pulsations have strong dependence on the geomagnetic storm and observed during the early recovery phase of the geomagnetic storm.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.113-128
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• 2008

Solar wind dynamic pressure enhancements are known to cause various types of disturbances to the magnetosphere. In particular, dynamic pressure enhancements may affect the evolution of magnetic storms when they occur during storm times. In this paper, we have investigated the statistical significance and features of dynamic pressure enhancements during magnetic storm times. For the investigation, we have used a total of 91 geomagnetic storms for 2001-2003, for which the Dst minimum $(Dst_{min})$ is below -50 nT. Also, we have imposed a set of selection criteria for a pressure enhancement to be considered an event: The main selection criterion is that the pressure increases by ${\geq}50%\;or\;{\geq}3nPa$ within 30 min and remains to be elevated for 10 min or longer. For our statistical analysis, we define the storm time to be the interval from the main Dst decrease, through $Dst_{min}$, to the point where the Dst index recovers by 50%. Our main results are summarized as follows. $(i){\sim}$ 81% of the studied storms indicate at least one event of pressure enhancements. When averaged over all the 91 storms, the occurrence rate is ${\sim}$ 4.5 pressure enhancement events per storm and ${\sim}$ 0.15 pressure enhancement events per hour. (ii) The occurrence rate of the pressure enhancements is about three times higher for CME-driven storm times than for CIR-driven storm times. (iii) Only 21.1% of the pressure enhancements show a clear association with an interplanetary shock. (iv) A large number of the pressure enhancement events are accompanied with a simultaneous change of IMF $B_y$ and/or $B_z$: For example, 73.5% of the pressure enhancement events are associated with an IMF change of either $|{\Delta}B_z|>2nT\;or\;|{\Delta}B_y|>2nT$. This last finding suggests that one should consider possible interplay effects between the simultaneous pressure and IMF changes in many situations.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.295-302
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• 2004

Magnetic storms are almost always accompanied with substorms or substorm-like disturbances. Understanding the nature of the storm-time substorm is important for the currently critical issue of the storm-substorm relation. In this work we have done a statistical analysis in a straightforward way to see whether the storm-time substorms are preferably spontaneous or triggered. On the basis of 301 storm-time substorms selected for this work, we have found that the occurrence of about $28\%$ of them was spontaneous while only $6.5\%$ were associated with a clear trigger(s). The rest of the events were mostly associated with complex variations of IMF. The significant percentage for the spontaneous substorms implies that the possibility of finding a storm without a substorm is greatly reduced due to the spontaneous occurrence of the substorm even when the solar wind and IMF condition remains completely steady during the storm time.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.149-157
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• 2014

As the prediction of geomagnetic storms is becoming an important and practical problem, conditions in the Earth's magnetosphere have been studied rigorously in terms of those in the interplanetary space. Another approach to space weather forecast is to deal with it as a probabilistic geomagnetic storm forecasting problem. In this study, we carry out detailed statistical analysis of solar wind parameters and geomagnetic indices examining the dependence of the distribution on the solar cycle and annual variations. Our main findings are as follows: (1) The distribution of parameters obtained via the superimposed epoch method follows the Gaussian distribution. (2) When solar activity is at its maximum the mean value of the distribution is shifted to the direction indicating the intense environment. Furthermore, the width of the distribution becomes wider at its maximum than at its minimum so that more extreme case can be expected. (3) The distribution of some certain heliospheric parameters is less sensitive to the phase of the solar cycle and annual variations. (4) The distribution of the eastward component of the interplanetary electric field BV and the solar wind driving function BV2, however, appears to be all dependent on the solar maximum/minimum, the descending/ascending phases of the solar cycle and the equinoxes/solstices. (5) The distribution of the AE index and the Dst index shares statistical features closely with BV and $BV^2$ compared with other heliospheric parameters. In this sense, BV and $BV^2$ are more robust proxies of the geomagnetic storm. We conclude by pointing out that our results allow us to step forward in providing the occurrence probability of geomagnetic storms for space weather and physical modeling.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.55-62
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• 2006

Ionospheric signal delay is a critical factor for precision differential GNSS(Global Navigation Satellite Systems) applications such as GBAS(Ground-Based Augmentation System) and SBAS (Satellite-Based Augmentation System). Most concern is the impact of the ionospheric storm caused by the interaction between Solar and geomagnetic activities. After brief description of the ionosphere and ionospheric storm, ionospheric models for SBAS are discussed. History of recent ionospheric storms is reviewed and their impact on GNSS is discussed. In order to support Korean GNSS augmentation system development, a preliminary study on the regional ionosphere performed. A software tool for computing regional ionospheric maps is being developed, and initial results during a recent storm period is analyzed.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제12권9호
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• pp.898-904
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• 2006

Ionospheric storms, caused by the interaction between Solar and geomagnetic activities, may degrade the differential GNSS(Global Navigation Satellite Systems) performance significantly, and the importance of the ionospheric storm research is growing for the GBAS(Ground-Based Augmentation System) and SBAS(Satellite-Based Augmentation System) development. In order to support Korean GNSS augmentation system development, a software tool for analyzing the regional ionosphere is being developed and its preliminary results are discussed. After brief description of the ionosphere and ionospheric storm, the research topics on the GBAS applications are discussed. The need for ionospheric spatial gradient analysis is described and some results on the ionospheric spatial gradient during recent storm periods are discussed.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.305-316
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• 2009

이 연구에서 우리는 코로나 홀(Coronal hole, CH)의 정보(위치, 면적)를 이용하여 CIR(Corotating Interaction Regions)과 지자기폭퐁(Geomagnetic Storm)에 대한 경험적인 예보를 수행하였다. 이것을 위해 1996년 1월 $\sim$ 2003년 11월까지의 미국 국립 천문대-Kitt Peak 관측소의 He I $1083{\AA}$ 영상으로부터 코로나 홀 자료를 얻고, Choi et al.(2009)로부터 확인된 CIR과 지자기폭풍 자료를 활용하였다. 지자기 폭풍을 일으키는 코로나 홀의 특성을 고려하여 코로나 홀의 중심이 $N40^{\circ}$와 $S40^{\circ}$ 사이, $E40^{\circ}$와 $W20^{\circ}$ 사이에 위치하고 태양 반구에 대한 면적 비율이 다음과 같은 세 가지 경우를 선택하였다: (1) case 1: 0.36% 이상, (2) case 2: 0.66% 이상, (3) case 3: $1996{\sim}2000$년 동안에는 0.36%, $2001{\sim}2003$년 동안에는 0.66% 이상. 우리는 각 경우에 대하여 예보의 성공 유무를 확인할 수 있는 예보 분할표(Contingency Table)를 만들고, 그들의 태양 주기 위상(Solar cycle phase)에 대한 의존성을 조사하였다 분할표로부터 우리는 PODy(the probability of detection yes), FAR(the false alarm ratio), Bias(the ratio of "yes" predictions to "yes" observations) 그리고 CSI(critical success index)와 같은 예보 평가 지수를 결정하였다. 이와 같은 예보에서 PODy와 CSI가 상대적으로 더 중요한 사실을 고려하여, 우리는 가장 좋은 후보가 case 3이라는 것을 발견하였다. 이 경우에 두 가지 예보에 대한 예보평가 지수는 아래와 같다: CH-CIR의 경우는 PODy=0.77, FAR=0.66, Bias=2.28, CSI=0.30이고, CH-storm의 경우는 PODy=0.81, FAR=0.84, Bias=5.00, CSI=0.16이다. 또한 태양 활동 극대기 이후 감쇄기간 동안의 지수들이 태양 극대기 이전의 값들 보다 훨씬 잘 예보되고 있음을 알 수 있다. 따라서 코로나 홀을 이용한 CIR의 예보는 충분한 가능성을 보여주고 있으나, 지자기 폭풍의 예보는 너무 많은 허위 예보로 인하여 다소 어려울 것으로 비상된다.

• 한국우주과학회:학술대회논문집(한국우주과학회보)
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• 한국우주과학회 2004년도 한국우주과학회보 제13권1호
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• pp.93-93
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• 2004

We have examined the solar wind dynamic pressure enhancements during geomagnetic storm main phase. The Dst index has been used to identify more than 100 geomagnetic storms which occurred in the time interval of 1997 to 2001. We have selected only the events having the minimum Dst value less than -50 nT. In order to identify the pressure impact, we have looked at the low latitude ground H data as well as the solar wind pressure data themselves. (omitted)