• 제목/요약/키워드: Socioeconomic change

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신기후체제로서의 파리협정과 후속협상의 협상쟁점과 시사점 (Analysis of Negotiation on the Paris Agreement and the Follow-up Process and its Implications)

  • 오진규
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.343-355
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    • 2018
  • A new climate regime was intensively negotiated from 2011 to 2015, culminating in adoption of the Paris Agreement. The Agreement went into effect on 4th of November 2016. Follow-up negotiation to implement the Paris Agreement has continued since May 2016 and is expected to be finalized by 2018. This paper reviews and analyzes the process of establishment of the new climate regime based on the Paris Agreement, focusing on the main issues and the negotiating positions of major groups of developed and developing countries. This paper details various important issues determining the final outcome of the Paris Agreement and discusses the follow-up negotiation in the years 2016 and 2017. It concludes with discussion of the various implications of the Paris Agreement, which will determine important aspects of our future socioeconomic life well into the 21st century.

기후변화 시나리오에 따른 미래 토지피복변화 예측 및 군집분석을 이용한 지역 특성 분석 (Prediction of Land-cover Change Based on Climate Change Scenarios and Regional Characteristics using Cluster Analysis)

  • 오윤경;최진용;유승환;이상현
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to predict future land-cover changes under climate change scenarios and to cluster analysis of regional land-cover characteristics. To simulate the future land-cover according to climate change scenarios - A1B, A2, and B1 of the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), Dyna-CLUE (Conversion of Land Use Change and its Effects) was applied for modeling of competition among land-use types in relation with socioeconomic and biophysical driving factors. Gyeonggi-do were selected as study areas. The simulation results from 2010 to 2040 suggested future land-cover changes under the scenario conditions. All scenarios resulted in a gradual decrease in paddy area, while upland area continuously increased. A1B scenario showed the highest increase in built-up area, but all scenarios showed only slight changes in forest area. As a result of cluster analysis with the land-cover component scores, 31 si/gun in Gyeonggi-do were classified into three clusters. This approach is expected to be useful for evaluating and simulating land-use changes in relation to development constraints and scenarios. The results could be used as fundamental basis for providing policy direction by considering regional land-cover characteristics.

APEX-paddy 모델을 활용한 SSPs 시나리오에 따른 논 필요수량 변동 평가 (Assessing Future Water Demand for Irrigating Paddy Rice under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Scenario Using the APEX-Paddy Model)

  • 최순군;조재필;정재학;김민경;엽소진;조세라;오수 당콰 에릭;방정환
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제63권6호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2021
  • Global warming due to climate change is expected to significantly affect the hydrological cycle of agriculture. Therefore, in order to predict the magnitude of climate impact on agricultural water resources in the future, it is necessary to estimate the water demand for irrigation as the climate change. This study aimed at evaluating the future changes in water demand for irrigation under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) scenarios for paddy rice in Gimje, South Korea. The APEX-Paddy model developed for the simulation of paddy environment was used. The model was calibrated and validated using the H2O flux observation data by the eddy covariance system installed at the field. Sixteen General Circulation Models (GCMs) collected from the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) and downscaled using Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) were used. The future climate data obtained were subjected to APEX-Paddy model simulation to evaluate the future water demand for irrigation at the paddy field. Changes in water demand for irrigation were evaluated for Near-future-NF (2011-2040), Mid-future-MF (2041-2070), and Far-future-FF (2071-2100) by comparing with historical data (1981-2010). The result revealed that, water demand for irrigation would increase by 2.3%, 4.8%, and 7.5% for NF, MF and FF respectively under SSP2-4.5 as compared to the historical demand. Under SSP5-8.5, the water demand for irrigation will worsen by 1.6%, 5.7%, 9.7%, for NF, MF and FF respectively. The increasing water demand for irrigating paddy field into the future is due to increasing evapotranspiration resulting from rising daily mean temperatures and solar radiation under the changing climate.

일지역 임신부의 스트레스 요인 및 상황과 간호중재에 대한 기초연구 (A Pilot study of stressor and stress situation and Nursing Intervention of Pregnant Women)

  • 안황란
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 1983
  • This study was done to research the relationship between general characteristics and stressor, stress situation, Nursing Intervention of pregnant woman. The subjects for this study were 70 pregnant woman from 3 clinics of Obstetrics and Gynecology located in J city. The data was collected through questionaires which was developed by Norman J. Chestnut. The content of the questionaire consist of following 3 categories; (1) stressor (2) stress situation (3) Mental and Physical support of husband. Analysis of data was done by use percentage, x²-test. (through EDPS) The findings of this study are as follows; 1, Stressors of pregnant woman are stresses associated with fetus, socioeconomic problem, herself, delivery, abortion and prematureity, husband, change of appearances, management of home, a woman's parents-in-law. Stress situations of pregnant woman are when she is doing on the heavy management of home, limit of life, socioeconomic discomfort, taking medicine, difficult relationship with a woman's parents-in-law, being sign of abortion and prematurity, her physical discomfort, family desire of delivery of son baby. 2. Husband's mental support that pregnant woman desired are careful husband's role, More love and interest about pregnant, cooperation of child reaing, maintenance of healthy life, understaning of diffical pregnancy, early return home, giving up drinking, positive feeling about changed appearance, unconcern about sex of fetus. And husband's mental supports that pregnant woman desired are cooperating of homework and childrearing, limit of intercouse, release behavior of pregnant woman's physical discern-fort, a walk, behavior with pregnancy together, socioeconomic stability. 3. Stressor of pregnant woman was significant with education, number of son, economic status, personality of husband, dowelling. (P<.05) And stress situation of pregnant woman was significant with personality of husband, dwelling, husband's desired sex .of baby. (P<.05) 4. Husband's mental and physical supports that pregnant woman desired was significant with number of daughter. (P<.05).

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The Impact of Moving Pharmaceutical Products from Prescription Only to Over-the-Counter Status on Consumer Exposure to Advertising

  • Yang, Hae-Kyung
    • International Journal of Human Ecology
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2011
  • Many pharmaceutical products are available through prescription (Rx) only status. As a result, access to physicians and insurance coverage play a key role in the use of these products, and therefore may affect the population to whom advertising is targeted at. The movement of pharmaceutical products from prescription (Rx) to Over-the-Counter (OTC), or Rx-to-OTC switch changes the cost of acquiring the drug and therefore may change the incentives manufacturers have at targeting particular population segments. This study examines whether Rx-to-OTC switch changes the frequency and the distribution of who is exposed to pharmaceutical advertising. Using an archive of pharmaceutical advertisements and National Consumer Survey, this study examines how individuals with particular demographic characteristics are exposed to pharmaceutical advertisements before and after drugs are moved from Rx to OTC. The results provide evidence that individual's advertising exposure increases after Rx-to-OTC switch. Moreover, the increase in advertising exposure is greater for the low socioeconomic status (SES) consumers which implies they may get more information about the disease, treatment and product after the Rx-to-OTC switch through advertising. If low SES consumers have more exposure to the advertising after products switched to OTC, then FDA policies regulating this switch should recognize the potential role of advertising providing access to health-related information.

Impact of the Cohabitation Status of Elderly on Nutrient Intake and the Prevalence of Anemia : The 2016-2019 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

  • KIM, Yunmi;LEE, Jiwon;CHUNG, Donghui;YOUN, Yerim;JEON, Kyoung Mi
    • 식품보건융합연구
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the nutrient intake of elderly according to their cohabitation status and determine its effects on the prevalence of anemia. Data from the KNHANES were used for this study, including raw data on socioeconomic characteristics, nutrient intake, health status, and clinical laboratory findings. Study subjects aged 60 to 80 years were retrieved and analyzed. As a result, the prevalence of anemia was 12.0% (men, 11.6%; women, 12.3%). The prevalence rate increased with age, and odds ratio [OR] of anemia among those aged 75 to 80 years was 4.16 times higher in men (OR=4.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]=2.48-6.97) and 2.77 times higher in women (OR=2.77, 95% CI=1.86-4.14) compared to 60~64 years old. Socioeconomic factors (area of residence, education level, household income), including cohabitation Status (living alone VS living with other family members), and health behaviors (high-risk drinking, smoking, aerobic exercise) did not significantly effect on anemia. In addition, other than protein intake for men, nutrient intake did not have a significant effect on the prevalence rate of anemia. Hypertension, diabetes, and cancer significantly increased the risk of anemia. In Korea, the influencing factors of elderly anemia change over time, so periodic follow-up studies are needed.

사회경제 변화를 고려한 서비스 수요 및 기후변화 유발물질 배출량 예측: 가정·상업부문, 교통부문, 산업부문을 중심으로 (Estimating Climate Pollutants Emissions and Service Demands considering Socio-economic Change: Residential·Commercial Sector, Transportation Sector, Industrial Sector)

  • 박진한;이동근;이미진;박찬;정태용;김상균;홍성철;백소진;이장훈
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.291-302
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    • 2015
  • Vulnerability due to climate change depends on the concentration of carbon dioxide emissions over several upcoming decades. The objective of this study is to estimate the concentration of greenhouse gases and air pollutants in 2100, while also accounting for expected socio-economic changes in Korea. First, we intend to prepare scenarios for possible socioeconomic changes in Korea: business as usual (BAU), high growth and low growth. Secondly, we aim to predict services demands in residential?commercial sector, transportation sector, industrial sector for each scenarios. Finally, the emissions of LLGHG and SLCP will be estimated on the basis of the predicted service demands. The study results project that in Korea, LLGHG emissions will be approximately $660Mt\;CO_2\;eq$. and SLCP emissions will be approximately 3.81 Mt, -including black carbon (BC) by 2100. The transportation and industrial sectors are the major source for LLGHG emissions, and the residential and commercial sector serve as the SLCP source. Later, additional studies on the cost and benefit of mitigation should be carried out by comparing the reduced use of materials that cause climate change as a result of reduction policies and the socioeconomic cost.

기후변화대응정책에 대한 시민들의 인식 분석 - 대전광역시 산림부분 정책을 중심으로 - (Residents Awareness Analysis for Climate Change Policy - Focus on Forest Sector of Daejeon Metropolitan City -)

  • 오도교;김세빈;곽경호;노희경;고영웅
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study were to investigate the influence of residents awareness analysis for climate change policy. Nine items of residents' perceptions and opinions were designed from previous forest sector of Daejeon Metropolitan City. 241 questionnaires were obtained from interview survey in Hanbat arboretum in Daejeon. Forest sector were significant differences with socioeconomic variables of local residents. Providing detailed information on climate change and its impact on the local environment brings about greater awareness and better understanding of global warming amongst citizens which would eventually drive the people to give support to policy initiatives.

한국 복지의 새판 짜기를 위한 문제 인식과 방안 모색 (Exploring Policy Reform Options for the Welfare Regime Shift in Korea)

  • 홍경준
    • 한국사회복지학
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    • 제69권2호
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    • pp.9-30
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    • 2017
  • 체제의 전환은 정책의 변화나 정부의 교체보다는 덜 자주 발생한다. 사회경제 연합, 정치경제 제도, 공공정책의 양상이라는 체제를 구성하는 세 가지 요소 모두의 변화가 이루어질 때 체제의 전환은 가능하다. 이 연구는 한국 생활보장체제의 전환 가능성이 상당히 높은 지금의 시점에서 필요한 과제를 모색하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위해 2절에서는 한국 생활보장체제의 전개과정과 특성을 필자의 선행연구들에서 주장한 '개발국가형 생활보장체제'의 관점에서 살펴보았다. 3절에서는 한국 생활보장체제의 전환을 위해 필요하다고 생각하는 3가지의 과제를 제시하였는데, 그것은 정치제도의 개혁, 재정지출 구조의 개혁, 그리고 비공식 취업의 축소 등이다. 이러한 과제들은 사회경제 연합의 변화와 새로운 정치경제 제도의 등장을 요구한다는 점에서 체제전환과 관련한 정책적 과제이다. 한편, 4절에서는 한국 사회복지의 새판 짜기와 관련하여 우리 학문 공동체에 붙여보고 싶은 두 가지의 토론거리를 결론을 대신하여 제기하였다.

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SSP 시나리오를 이용한 광주지역 미래 극한강우 전망 분석 (Impact of climate change on extreme rainfall in Gwangju based on shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) scenarios)

  • 김성훈;김희철;이태원;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.386-386
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    • 2021
  • 대기 중 온실가스 농도는 인간의 인위적 활동에 의해 증가하고 있으며, 이로 인하여 발생하는 기후변화는 극한 수문 사상에 상당한 영향을 미치고 있다. 특히, 기후변화로 인한 강수 특성의 변화는 홍수, 가뭄, 태풍 등과 같은 극한사상의 변화로 이어지며, 급격한 도시화와 복잡한 사회기반시설물 등과 맞물려 더욱 취약한 홍수위험 문제로 대두된다. 기후변화에 따른 미래의 불확실한 변화에 적응하기 위하여 다양한 기후모델들이 개발되었고, 기후변화와 관련된 많은 응용 연구들이 기후모델에서 모의된 자료를 기반으로 미래를 전망하고 있다. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 제6차 평가보고서(The 6th Assessment Report: AR6)에서는 사회경제 구조의 변화를 반영한 공통사회경제경로 시나리오(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, SSP) 개념을 도입하였다. SSP 시나리오는 사회경제 변화를 기준으로 기후변화에 대한 완화와 노력에 따라 5개의 시나리오로 구별된다. 기상청 기후정보포털(http://www.climate.go.kr/)에서는 4개 조합의 시나리오(SSP1-RCP2.6, SSP2-RCP4.5, SSP3-RCP7.0, SSP5-RCP8.5) 결과가 제공된다. 자료는 동아시아 지역에 대해 생산한 자료로 25km의 공간해상도를 가지고 있으며, 현재모의기간(1979-2014, SHIST)과 미래시나리오기간(2015-2020, SSSP)으로 구분된다. 본 연구에서는 전술한 SSP-RCP 시나리오 조합 중 SSP1-RCP2.6, SSP5-RCP8.5 조합을 이용하여 광주지역 극한강우의 미래 변화를 분석하였다. 시나리오 기반 강우자료의 통계적 특성 분석을 위해 연최대 자료를 추출하여 경향성 및 변동성 분석을 수행하였고, 광주지역 강우 자료에 내재된 특성 변화를 정량적으로 분석하였다.

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