• Title/Summary/Keyword: Small-Area Estimation

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Mean estimation of small areas using penalized spline mixed-model under informative sampling

  • Chytrasari, Angela N.R.;Kartiko, Sri Haryatmi;Danardono, Danardono
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.349-363
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    • 2020
  • Penalized spline is a suitable nonparametric approach in estimating mean model in small area. However, application of the approach in informative sampling in a published article is uncommon. We propose a semiparametric mixed-model using penalized spline under informative sampling to estimate mean of small area. The response variable is explained in terms of mean model, informative sample effect, area random effect and unit error. We approach the mean model by penalized spline and utilize a penalized spline function of the inclusion probability to account for the informative sample effect. We determine the best and unbiased estimators for coefficient model and derive the restricted maximum likelihood estimators for the variance components. A simulation study shows a decrease in the average absolute bias produced by the proposed model. A decrease in the root mean square error also occurred except in some quadratic cases. The use of linear and quadratic penalized spline to approach the function of the inclusion probability provides no significant difference distribution of root mean square error, except for few smaller samples.

Estimating small area proportions with kernel logistic regressions models

  • Shim, Jooyong;Hwang, Changha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.941-949
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    • 2014
  • Unit level logistic regression model with mixed effects has been used for estimating small area proportions, which treats the spatial effects as random effects and assumes linearity between the logistic link and the covariates. However, when the functional form of the relationship between the logistic link and the covariates is not linear, it may lead to biased estimators of the small area proportions. In this paper, we relax the linearity assumption and propose two types of kernel-based logistic regression models for estimating small area proportions. We also demonstrate the efficiency of our propose models using simulated data and real data.

Small Area Estimation via Generalized Estimating Equations and the Panel Analysis of Unemployment Rates (일반화추정방정식을 활용한 소지역 추정과 실업률패널분석)

  • Yeo, In-Kwon;Son, Kyoung-Jin;Kim, Young-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.665-674
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    • 2008
  • Most of existing studies about the small area estimation deal with the estimation of parameters based on cross-sectional data. However, since many official statistics are repeatedly collected at a regular interval of time, for instance, monthly, quarterly, or yearly, we need an alternative model which can handle characteristics of these kinds of data. In this paper, we investigate the generalized estimating equation which can model time-dependency among response variables and is useful to analyze repeated measurement or longitudinal data. We compare with the generalized linear model and the generalized estimating equation through the estimation of unemployment rates of 25 areas in Gyeongsangnam-do and Ulsan. The data consist of the status of employment and some covariates from January to December 2005.

Semiparametric and Nonparametric Mixed Effects Models for Small Area Estimation (비모수와 준모수 혼합모형을 이용한 소지역 추정)

  • Jeong, Seok-Oh;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2013
  • Semiparametric and nonparametric small area estimations have been studied to overcome a large variance due to a small sample size allocated in a small area. In this study, we investigate semiparametric and nonparametric mixed effect small area estimators using penalized spline and kernel smoothing methods respectively and compare their performances using labor statistics.

A comparative study in Bayesian semiparametric approach to small area estimation

  • Heo, Simyoung;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1433-1441
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    • 2016
  • Small area model provides reliable and accurate estimations when the sample size is not sufficient. Our dataset has an inherent nonlinear pattern which signicantly affects our inference. In this case, we could consider semiparametric models such as truncated polynomial basis function and radial basis function. In this paper, we study four Bayesian semiparametric models for small areas to handle this point. Four small area models are based on two kinds of basis function and different knots positions. To evaluate the different estimates, four comparison measurements have been employed as criteria. In these comparison measurements, the truncated polynomial basis function with equal quantile knots has shown the best result. In Bayesian calculation, we use Gibbs sampler to solve the numerical problems.

Comparison of Spatial Small Area Estimators Based on Neighborhood Information Systems (이웃정보시스템을 이용한 공간 소지역 추정량 비교)

  • Kim, Jeong-Suk;Hwang, Hee-Jin;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.855-866
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    • 2008
  • Recently many small area estimation methods using the lattice data analysis have been studied and known that they have good performances. In the case of using the lattice data which is mainly used for small area estimation, the choice of better neighborhood information system is very important for the efficiency of the data analysis. Recently Lee and Shin (2008) compared and analyzed some neighborhood information systems based on GIS methods. In this paper, we evaluate the effect of various neighborhood information systems which were suggested by Lee and Shin (2008). For comparison of the estimators, MSE, Coverage, Calibration, Regression methods are used. The number of unemployment in Economic Active Population Survey(2001) is used for the comparison.

Fast Block Motion Estimation based on reduced search ranges in MPEG-4 (탐색 영역 재설정을 이용한 고속 움직임 예측 방법)

  • Kim, Sung-Jai;Seo, Dong-Wan;Choe, Yoon-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.10b
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    • pp.529-531
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    • 2005
  • A block-based fast motion estimation algorithm is proposed in this paper to perform motion estimation based on the efficiently reduced search ranges in MPEG-4(ERS). This algorithm divides the search areas into several small search areas and the candidate small search area that has the lowest average of sum norm difference between current macroblock and candidate macroblock is chosen to perform block motion estimation using the Nobel Successive Elimination Algorithm (NSEA). Experimental results of the proposed algorithm show that the averaging PSNR improvement is better maximum 0.125 dB than other tested algorithms and bit saving effect is maximum 20kbps for some tested sequences in low-bit rate circumstance.

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Small Area Estimation Using Bayesian Auto Poisson Model with Spatial Statistics (공간통계량을 활용한 베이지안 자기 포아송 모형을 이용한 소지역 통계)

  • Lee, Sang-Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.421-430
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    • 2006
  • In sample survey sample designs are performed by geographically-based domain such as countries, states and metropolitan areas. However mostly statistics of interests are smaller domain than sample designed domain. Then sample sizes are typically small or even zero within the domain of interest. Shin and Lee(2003) mentioned Spatial Autoregressive(SAR) model in small area estimation model-based method and show the effectiveness by MSE. In this study, Bayesian Auto-Poisson Model is applied in model-based small area estimation method and compare the results with SAR model using MSE ME and bias check diagnosis using regression line. In this paper Survey of Disability, Aging and Cares(SDAC) data are used for simulation studies.

Usefulness of Community Health Survey for Regional Disparity Study in Gunsan-si, Jeollabuk-do (지역건강 격차조사를 위한 지역사회건강조사의 활용 - 전라북도 군산시 사례 -)

  • Ko, Dae-Ha;Kwon, Keun-Sang;Lee, Ju-Hyung
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2019
  • Objective: In Gunsan, Jeollabuk-do, Korea, we wanted to determine if the sluggish local economy could affect citizens' health behaviors, especially mental health. Methods: We divided Gunsan-si into 5 living areas and conducted Small-Area Estimations and confirmed the modified compound estimation value using the 2013-2017 Community Health Survey data and population data from Gunsan-si. Results: The health behaviors and mental health of the residents of the western living area(Soryong-dong, Misung-dong), which is an industrial hub of Gunsan, had deteriorated or decreased compared to those of other regions. Conclusions: Although there are limitations in analyzing the community health survey data using the small-area estimation method, it could be useful data for evaluating regional gaps and health level.