• 제목/요약/키워드: Small sample size

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작은 샘플 크기의 One-shot Devices를 위한 베이지안 신뢰도 추정 (Bayesian Reliability Estimation for Small Sample-Sized One-shot Devices)

  • 문병민;선은주;배석주
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2013
  • One-shot device is required to successfully perform its function only once at the moment of use. The reliability of a one-shot device should be expressed as a probability of success. In this paper, we propose a bayesian approach for estimating reliability of one-shot devices with small sample size. We employ a gamma prior to obtain the posterior distribution. Finally, we compare the accuracy of the proposed method with general maximum likelihood method.

극소불량 공정보증을 위한 모형연구 (Model for Process Quality Assurance When the Fraction Nonconforming is Very Small)

  • Jong-Gurl Kim
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 1999년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.247-257
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    • 1999
  • There are several models for process quality assurance by quality system(ISO 9000), process capability analysis, acceptance control chart and so on. When a high level process capability has been achieved, it takes a long time to monitor the process shift, so it is sometimes necessary to develop a quicker monitoring system. To achieve a quicker quality assurance model for high-reliability process, this paper presents a model for process quality assurance when the fraction nonconforming is very small. We design an acceptance control chart based on variable quality characteristic and time-censored accelerated testing. The distribution of the characteristics is assumed to be normal of lognormal with a location parameter of the distribution that is a linear function of a stress. The design parameters are sample size, control limits and sample proportions allocated to low stress. These parameters are obtained under minimization of the relative variance of the MLE of location parameter subject to APL and RPL constraints.

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Modified inverse moment estimation: its principle and applications

  • Gui, Wenhao
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.479-496
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    • 2016
  • In this survey, we present a modified inverse moment estimation of parameters and its applications. We use a specific model to demonstrate its principle and how to apply this method in practice. The estimation of unknown parameters is considered. A necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters is obtained for the classical maximum likelihood estimation. Inverse moment and modified inverse moment estimators are proposed and their properties are studied. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the performances of these estimators. As far as the biases and mean squared errors are concerned, modified inverse moment estimator works the best in all cases considered for estimating the unknown parameters. Its performance is followed by inverse moment estimator and maximum likelihood estimator, especially for small sample sizes.

베이지안 기법에 기반한 수명자료 분석에 관한 문헌 연구: 2000~2016 (A Review on the Analysis of Life Data Based on Bayesian Method: 2000~2016)

  • 원동연;임준형;심현수;성시일;임헌상;김용수
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.213-223
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to arrange the life data analysis literatures based on the Bayesian method quantitatively and provide it as tables. Methods: The Bayesian method produces a more accurate estimates of other traditional methods in a small sample size, and it requires specific algorithm and prior information. Based on these three characteristics of the Bayesian method, the criteria for classifying the literature were taken into account. Results: In many studies, there are comparisons of estimation methods for the Bayesian method and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), and sample size was greater than 10 and not more than 25. In probability distributions, a variety of distributions were found in addition to the distributions of Weibull commonly used in life data analysis, and MCMC and Lindley's Approximation were used evenly. Finally, Gamma, Uniform, Jeffrey and extension of Jeffrey distributions were evenly used as prior information. Conclusion: To verify the characteristics of the Bayesian method which are more superior to other methods in a smaller sample size, studies in less than 10 samples should be carried out. Also, comparative study is required by various distributions, thereby providing guidelines necessary.

소지역 통계 생산을 위한 추정방법 (Application of In-direct Estimation for Small Area Statistics)

  • 김영원;성나영
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.111-126
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    • 2000
  • 지방자치제 실시에 따라 우리나라에서도 전국 또는 도 단위의 통계뿐만 아니라 시 군 구 등의 소지역 통계에 대한 수요가 증대되고 있다. 하지만 정부통계 생산을 위해 실시되는 표본조사의 경우 시(특별시, 광역시) 및 도별 통계생산을 목적으로 하기 때문에 신뢰성 있는 소지역 통계를 산출하는 것이 불가능하고, 따라서 이런 소지역 통계생산을 위해 간접 추정 기법을 적극적으로 활용하는 것이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 정부통계 생산을 위한 소지역 통계 기법의 도입 및 활용 가능성을 검토해 보기 위해 인천광역시 숙박 및 음식점업의 총매출에 대한 구별 소지역 통계를 산출할 수 있는 여러 가지 간접 추정 방법을 제시하고, 아울러 도소매업 총조사 자료를 이용하여 제시된 간접추정량들의 효율성을 비교 분석해 보고자 한다.

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A Jarque-Bera type test for multivariate normality based on second-power skewness and kurtosis

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.463-475
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    • 2021
  • Desgagné and de Micheaux (2018) proposed an alternative univariate normality test to the Jarque-Bera test. The proposed statistic is based on the sample second power skewness and kurtosis while the Jarque-Bera statistic uses sample Pearson's skewness and kurtosis that are the third and fourth standardized sample moments, respectively. In this paper, we generalize their statistic to a multivariate version based on orthogonalization or an empirical standardization of data. The proposed multivariate statistic follows chi-squared distribution approximately. A simulation study shows that the proposed statistic has good control of type I error even for a very small sample size when critical values from the approximate distribution are used. It has comparable power to the multivariate version of the Jarque-Bera test with exactly the same idea of the orthogonalization. It also shows much better power for some mixed normal alternatives.

패널조사 표본설계 시 표본크기 결정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Decision of Sample Size for Panel Survey Design)

  • 유양상;신기일
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2011
  • 패널자료를 이용하여 부모집단(subpopulation) 총계를 추정할 경우 추이확률(transition probability)을 사용할 수 있다. 패널조사는 같은 표본을 계속 조사하기 때문에 한번 정해진 표본크기는 자료분석에 중대한 영향을 미친다. 본 논문에서는 장애인고용패널조사에서 추이확률을 이용한 부모집단 총계 추정사례를 살펴보고, 부모집단 총계 추정에 표본크기가 얼마나 영향을 미치는지 살펴보았다.

Choosing between the Exact and the Approximate Confidence Intervals: For the Difference of Two Independent Binomial Proportions

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.363-372
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    • 2009
  • The difference of two independent binomial proportions is frequently of interest in biomedical research. The interval estimation may be an important tool for the inferential problem. Many confidence intervals have been proposed. They can be classified into the class of exact confidence intervals or the class of approximate confidence intervals. Ore may prefer exact confidence interval s in that they guarantee the minimum coverage probability greater than the nominal confidence level. However, someone, for example Agresti and Coull (1998) claims that "approximation is better than exact." It seems that when sample size is large, the approximate interval is more preferable to the exact interval. However, the choice is not clear when sample, size is small. In this note, an exact confidence and an approximate confidence interval, which were recommended by Santner et al. (2007) and Lee (2006b), respectively, are compared in terms of the coverage probability and the expected length.

Comparison of Parameter Estimation Methods in A Kappa Distribution

  • 정보윤;박정수
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2006년도 PROCEEDINGS OF JOINT CONFERENCEOF KDISS AND KDAS
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    • pp.163-169
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    • 2006
  • This paper deals with the comparison of parameter estimation methods in a 3-parameter Kappa distribution which is sometimes used in flood frequency analysis. The method of moment estimation(MME), L-moment estimation(L-ME), and maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) are applied to estimate three parameters. The performance of these methods are compared by Monte-carlo simulations. Especially for computing MME and L-ME, ike dimensional nonlinear equations are simplied to one dimensional equation which is calculated by the Newton-Raphson iteration under constraint. Based on the criterion of the mean squared error, the L-ME is recommended to use for small sample size $(n\leq100)$ while MLE is good for large sample size.

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Design of the Variable Sampling Rates X-chart with Average Time to Signal Adjusted by the Sampling Cost

  • Park, Chang-Soon;Song, Moon-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.181-198
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    • 1997
  • The variable sampling rates scheme is proposed by taking random sample size and sampling interval during the process. The performance of the scheme is measured in terms of the average time to signal adjusted by teh sampling cost when the process is out of control. This measurement evaluates the effectiveness of the scheme in terms of the cost incurred due to nonconformation as well as sampling. The variable sampling rates scheme is shown to be effective especially for small and moderate shifts of the mean when compared to the standard scheme.

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