• Title/Summary/Keyword: Slope prediction model

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Lifetime Prediction on PVC Insulation Material for IV and HIV Insulated Wire (IV와 HIV 절연 전선용 PVC 절연재료의 수명 예측)

  • Park, Hyung-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.8-13
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    • 2019
  • Weight and elongation changes of IV and HIV insulations were measured simultaneously at several given temperature of $80^{\circ}C$, $90^{\circ}C$ and $100^{\circ}C$. And the lifetime was predicted using the Arrhenius model. Based on the initial weight values, a 50% elongation reduction was seen at 6.96% for the IV insulation and 10.29% for the HIV insulation. The activation energy from the slope of the lifetime regression equation was calculated as 92.895 kJ/mol(0.9632 eV) for the IV insulation and 95.213 kJ/mol(0.9873 eV) for the HIV insulation. Also, the expected lifetime at the operating temperature of $30^{\circ}C$ to $90^{\circ}C$ is 2.02 to 94.32 years, and longer lifetime was predicted on HIV insulated wires than on IV insulated wires. As a result, it was found that the thermal characteristics of the HIV insulated wires were about 12.44% better than those of IV insulated wires under the same conditions of use.

Prediction of Wave-Induced Current Using Time-Dependent Wave Model (쌍곡선형 파랑모형을 이용한 해빈류 예측)

  • 김재중;이정만
    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.269-280
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    • 1998
  • A Wave-induced current model is developed in our study and this model is composed with wave transform model and current model. Two types of wave model are used in our study one is Copeland(1985) type which is applied in the offshore region and the other is Watanabe and Maruyama(1984) type which is applied in the surf zone. The depth-integrated and time-averaged governing equation of an unsteady nonlinear form is used in the wave induced current model. Lateral mixing radiation stresses surface and bottom stresses are considered in our current model. Copeland’s(1976) is used as a surface friction formula. Numerical solutions are obtained by Leendertse scheme and compared with Noda’s(1974) experimental results for the uniform slope coastal region test and Nishimura & Naruyama’s (1985) experimental results and numerical simulation results for the detached breakwater. The results from our wave model and wave model and wave-induced current model show good agreements with the others and also show nonlinear effects around the detached breakwater. The model in this study can be applied in the surf zone considering the friction stresses.

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Modelling creep behavior of soft clay by incorporating updated volumetric and deviatoric strain-time equations

  • Chen Ge;Zhu Jungao;Li Jian;Wu Gang;Guo Wanli
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2023
  • Soft clay is widely spread in nature and encountered in geotechnical engineering applications. The creep property of soft clay greatly affects the long-term performance of its upper structures. Therefore, it is vital to establish a reasonable and practical creep constitutive model. In the study, two updated hyperbolic equations based on the volumetric creep and deviatoric creep are respectively proposed. Subsequently, three creep constitutive models based on different creep behavior, i.e., V-model (use volumetric creep equation), D-model (use deviatoric creep equation) and VD-model (use both volumetric and deviatoric creep equations) are developed and compared. From the aspect of prediction accuracy, both V-model and D-model show good agreements with experimental results, while the predictions of the VD-model are smaller than the experimental results. In terms of the parametric sensitivity, D-model and VD-model are lower sensitive to parameter M (the slope of the critical state line) than V-model. Therefore, the D-model which is developed by incorporating the updated deviatoric creep equation is suggested in engineering applications.

Prediction of Wave-Induced Current Using Time-Dependent Wave Model (쌍곡선형 파랑모형을 이용한 해빈류 예측)

  • 이정만;김재중
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 1998
  • Wave-induced current model is developed in our study and this model is composed with wave transform model and current model. Two types of wave model are used in our study, one is Copeland(1985) type which is applied in the offshore region and the other is Watanabe and Maruyama(1984) type which is applied in the surf zone. The depth-integrated and time-averaged governing equation of an unsteady nonlinear form is used in the wave induced current model. Lateral mising, radiation stresses, surface and bottom stresses are considered in our current model. Copeland's(1985) relult is used to calculate radiation stress and Berkmeir & Darlymple's(1976) is used as a surface friction formula. Numerical solutions are obtained by Leendertse scheme and compared with Noda's(1974) experimental results for the uniform slope coastal region test and Nishimura & Maruyama's(1985) experimental relults and numerical simulation results for the detached breakwater test. The results from our wave model show good agreement with the others and also show nonlinear effects around the detached breakwater. Wave induced current model is developed in this study and this model shows nonlinear effects around the detached breakwater and can be applied in the surf zone and also consider the friction stresses.

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Slope Failure Predicting Method Using the Monitoring of Volumetric Water Content in Soil Slope (흙사면의 체적함수비 계측을 통한 사면파괴 예측기법 개발)

  • Kim Man-Il;Nishigaki Makoto
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.16 no.2 s.48
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2006
  • This study presents the results of a series of laboratory scale slope failure experiments aimed at clarifying the process and the condition leading to the initiation of rainfall-induced slope failures. For the evaluation of hydrologic response of the model slopes in relation the process of failure initiation, measurements were focused on the changes in volumetric water content during the initiation process. The process leading to failure initiation commences by the development of a seepage face. It appears reasonable to conclude that slope failures are a consequence of the instability of seepage area formed at the slope surface during rainfall period. Therefore, this demonstrates the importance of monitoring the development seepage area for useful prediction about the timing of a particular failure event. The hydrologic response of soil slopes leading to failure initiation is characterized by three phases (phase I, II and III) of significant increase in volumetric water content in association with the ingress of wetting front and the rise of groundwater level within the slope. The period of phase III increase in volumetric water content can be used to initiate advance warning towards a failure initiation event. Therefore, for the concept outlined above, direct and continuous monitoring of the change in volumetric water content is likely to provide the possibility for the development of a reliable and effective means of predicting the occurrence of rainfall-induced slope failures.

Soil Erosion Assessment Using RS/GIS for Watershed Management in Dukchun River Basin, a Tributary of Namgang and Jinyang Lake

  • Cho Byung Jin;Yu Chan
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.46 no.7
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2004
  • The need to predict the rate of soil erosion, both under existing conditions and those expected to occur following soil conservation practice, has been led to the development of various models. In this study Morgan model especially developed for field-sized areas on hill slopes was applied to assess the rate of soil erosion using RS/GIS environment in the Dukchun river basin, one of two tributaries flowing into Jinyang lake. In order to run the model, land cover mapping was made by the supervised classification method with Landsat TM satellite image data, the digital soil map was generated from scanning and screen digitizing from the hard copy of soil maps, digital elevation map (DEM) in order to generate the slope map was made by the digital map (DM) produced by National Geographic Information Institute (NGII). Almost all model parameters were generated to the multiple raster data layers, and the map calculation was made by the raster based GIS software, IL WIS which was developed by ITC, the Netherlands. Model results show that the annual soil loss rates are 5.2, 18.4, 30.3, 58.2 and 60.2 ton/ha/year in forest, paddy fields, built-up area, bare soil, and upland fields respectively. The estimated rates seemed to be high under the normal climatic conditions because of exaggerated land slopes due to DEM generation using 100 m contour interval. However, the results were worthwhile to estimate soil loss in hilly areas and the more precise result could be expected when the more accurate slope data is available.

Evaluation of Sediment Yield Prediction and Estimation of Sediment Yield under Various Slope Scenarios at Jawoon-ri using WEPP Watershed Model (WEPP Watershed Version을 이용한 홍천군 자운리 농경지 토양유실 예측 및 경사도에 따른 토양유실량 평가)

  • Choi, Jaewan;Hyun, Geunwoo;Lee, Jae Woon;Shin, Dong Suk;Kim, Ki-Sung;Park, Younshik;Kim, Jonggun;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.441-451
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    • 2009
  • To evaluate the soil erosion best management practices, many computer models has been utilized over the years. Among those, the USLE and SWAT models have been widely used. These models estimate the soil erosion from the field using empirically-based USLE/MULSE in it. However, these models are not good enough to estimate soil erosion from highland agricultural watershed where severe storm events are causing soil erosion and muddy water issues at the receiving watersheds. Thus, physically-based WEPP watershed version was applied to a watershed, located at Jawoon-ri, Gangwon with very detailed rainfall data, rather than daily rainfall data. Then it was validated with measured sediment data collected at the sediment settling ponds and through overland flow. In this study, very detailed rainfall data, crop management data, soil data reflecting soil reconditioned for higher crop production were used in the WEPP runs. The $R^2$ and the EI for runoff comparisons were 0.88 and 0.91, respectively. For sediment comparisons, the $R^2$ and the EI values were 0.95 and 0.91. Since the WEPP provides higher accuracies in predicting runoff and sediment yield from the study watershed, various slope scenarios (2%, 3%, 5.5%, 8%, 10%, 13%, 15%, 18%, 20%, 23%, 25%, 28%, 30%) were made and simulated sediment yield values were analyzed to develop appropriate soil erosion management practices. It was found that soil erosion increase linearly with increase in slope of the field in the watershed. However, the soil erosion increases dramatically with the slope of 20% or greater. Therefore special care should be taken for the agricultural field with slope greater than 20%. As shown in this study, the WEPP watershed version is suitable model to predict soil erosion where torrential rainfall events are causing significant amount of soil loss from the field and it can also be used to develop site-specific best management practices.

Development of artificial intelligence-based river flood level prediction model capable of independent self-warning (독립적 자체경보가 가능한 인공지능기반 하천홍수위예측 모형개발)

  • Kim, Sooyoung;Kim, Hyung-Jun;Yoon, Kwang Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.12
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    • pp.1285-1294
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    • 2021
  • In recent years, as rainfall is concentrated and rainfall intensity increases worldwide due to climate change, the scale of flood damage is increasing. Rainfall of a previously unobserved magnitude falls, and the rainy season lasts for a long time on record. In particular, these damages are concentrated in ASEAN countries, and at least 20 million people among ASEAN countries are affected by frequent flooding due to recent sea level rise, typhoons and torrential rain. Korea supports the domestic flood warning system to ASEAN countries through various ODA projects, but the communication network is unstable, so there is a limit to the central control method alone. Therefore, in this study, an artificial intelligence-based flood prediction model was developed to develop an observation station that can observe water level and rainfall, and even predict and warn floods at once at one observation station. Training, validation and testing were carried out for 0.5, 1, 2, 3, and 6 hours of lead time using the rainfall and water level observation data in 10-minute units from 2009 to 2020 at Junjukbi-bridge station of Seolma stream. LSTM was applied to artificial intelligence algorithm. As a result of the study, it showed excellent results in model fit and error for all lead time. In the case of a short arrival time due to a small watershed and a large watershed slope such as Seolma stream, a lead time of 1 hour will show very good prediction results. In addition, it is expected that a longer lead time is possible depending on the size and slope of the watershed.

Prediction of Outflow Hydrograph caused by Landslide Dam Failure by Overtopping

  • Do, XuanKhanh;Kim, Minseok;Nguyen, H.P.T;Jung, Kwansue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.196-196
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    • 2016
  • Landslide dam failure presents as a severe natural disaster due to its adverse impact to people and property. If the landslide dams failed, the discharge of a huge volume of both water and sediment could result in a catastrophic flood in the downstream area. In most of previous studies, breaching process used to be considered as a constructed dam, rather than as a landslide dam. Their erosion rate was assumed to relate to discharge by a sediment transport equation. However, during surface erosion of landslide dam, the sediment transportation regime is greatly dependent on the slope surface and the sediment concentration in the flow. This study aims to accurately simulate the outflow hydrograph caused by landslide dam by overtopping through a 2D surface flow erosion/deposition model. The lateral erosion velocity in this model was presented as a function of the shear stress on the side wall. The simulated results were then compared and it was coherent with the results obtained from the experiments.

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A Runoff Model based on the Stream Magnitude (수로망(水路綱)크기를 이용한 유출모형(流出模型))

  • Lee, Won Hwan;Jun, Min Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 1989
  • A runoff model was estabilished for the direct runoff hydrograph at each subareas by obtaining the storage coefficient based on stream magnitudes of geomorphic parameters. For this, the relationship between flowsection and channel distance from the outlet of each subareas was assumed as nonlinear equation, and compared with linear one. The applicability of the runoff model to the real watershed was tested for the Bochung river basin. The results of the analysis show that the model was approved to be used for the prediction of small watershed having no runoff records and a linear equation between flowsection and channel distance from the outlet of each subareas was more similar to the observed data for the upper subarea with a steep slope and small area, on the other hand, nonlinear equation for the lower subarea with mild slope and relatively large area.

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