• Title/Summary/Keyword: Simulation analysis

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Development of a Stochastic Precipitation Generation Model for Generating Multi-site Daily Precipitation (다지점 일강수 모의를 위한 추계학적 강수모의모형의 구축)

  • Jeong, Dae-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.5B
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    • pp.397-408
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    • 2009
  • In this study, a stochastic precipitation generation framework for simultaneous simulation of daily precipitation at multiple sites is presented. The precipitation occurrence at individual sites is generated using hybrid-order Markov chain model which allows higher-order dependence for dry sequences. The precipitation amounts are reproduced using Anscombe residuals and gamma distributions. Multisite spatial correlations in the precipitation occurrence and amount series are represented with spatially correlated random numbers. The proposed model is applied for a network of 17 locations in the middle of Korean peninsular. Evaluation statistics are reported by generating 50 realizations of the precipitation of length equal to the observed record. The analysis of results show that the model reproduces wet day number, wet and dry day spell, and mean and standard deviation of wet day amount fairly well. However, mean values of 50 realizations of generated precipitation series yield around 23% Root Mean Square Errors (RMSE) of the average value of observed maximum numbers of consecutive wet and dry days and 17% RMSE of the average value of observed annual maximum precipitations for return periods of 100 and 200 years. The provided model also reproduces spatial correlations in observed precipitation occurrence and amount series accurately.

Numerical analysis of deposition and channel change in the vegetation zone (식생대에서 유사의 퇴적과 하도변화 수치모의 분석)

  • Hwang, Hyo;Jang, Chang-Lae;Kang, Minseok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the bed load transport and channel change on the vegetation zone through laboratory experiments and numerical simulations. To examine the effect of vegetation zone in the laboratory experiment, artificial vegetation zones made of acrylic sticks were installed in the experimental channel, and discharge conditions were adjusted to examine the bed load transport and channel change in the vegetation zone. Next, numerical simulations were performed by applying the same conditions as those of the laboratory experiment to the Nays2D model, a two-dimensional numerical model, and the applicability of the numerical model was examined by comparing the results with the results of the laboratory experiment. Finally, by applying a numerical model, the bed load transport and channel change according to the change in vegetation density were examined. As a result of examining the bed load transport and channel change in the vegetation zone according to the discharge condition change by applying the laboratory experiment and the numerical model, the results of the two application methods were similar. As the discharge increased, bed load from the upper stream was deposited inside the vegetation zone. On the other hand, on the other side of the vegetation zone, the flow was concentrated and erosion occurred. Also, the range of erosion increased in the downstream direction. As a result of examining the bed load transport and channel change according to the change in vegetation density, as the vegetation density increased, the bed load from the upper stream was deposited inside the vegetation zone. On the other hand, due to the increase in vegetation density, the flow was concentrated to the opposite side of the vegetation zone, erosion occurred.

Increase of Spillway Discharge by Labyrinth Weir (래버린스위어에 의한 여수로 배제유량 증대)

  • Seo, Il Won;Song, Chang Geun;Park, Se Hoon;Kim, Dong Joo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.1B
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2008
  • The spillway type of small and midsize dams in Korea is almost overflow weir. To examine flood control capacity of overflow spillway, FLOW-3D was applied to Daesuho dam and analysis was focused on the discharge of dam spillway by changing weir shape. Overflow phases and discharges of linear labyrinth weir and curved labyrinth weir were compared with those of existing linear ogee weir. Hydraulic model experiment was performed to verify numerical result. Verification results showed that overflow behaviors and flow characteristics in the side channel by hydraulic model experiment and numerical simulation are well matched, and water surface elevation at side wall coincides with each other. When the reservoir elevation was increased up to design flood level, in case of the linear ogee weir the flow over the crest ran through smoothly in the side channel, whereas in cases of linear labyrinth weir and curved labyrinth weirs, the flow discharge was increased by 40 cms, and the flow over the weir crest, rotating counter-clockwise, was submerged in the side channel. The results of the water level-discharge curve revealed that labyrinth weir can increase discharge by 71% compared to the discharge of linear ogee weir at low reservoir elevation since it can have longer effective length. But as water surface elevation rises, the slope of water level-discharge curve of labyrinth weir becomes milder by submergence and nappe interference in the side channel.

Analysis of Future Land Use and Climate Change Impact on Stream Discharge (미래토지이용 및 기후변화에 따른 하천유역의 유출특성 분석)

  • Ahn, So Ra;Lee, Yong Jun;Park, Geun Ae;Kim, Seong Joon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.2B
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    • pp.215-224
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    • 2008
  • The effect of streamflow considering future land use change and vegetation index information by climate change scenario was assessed using SLURP (Semi-distributed Land-Use Runoff Process) model. The model was calibrated and verified using 4 years (1999-2002) daily observed streamflow data for the upstream watershed ($260.4km^2$) of Gyeongan water level gauging station. By applying CA-Markov technique, the future land uses (2030, 2060, 2090) were predicted after test the comparison of 2004 Landsat land use and 2004 CA-Markov land use by 1996 and 2000 land use data. The future land use showed a tendency that the forest and paddy decreased while urban, grassland and bareground increased. The future vegetation indices (2030, 2060, 2090) were estimated by the equation of linear regression between monthly NDVI of NOAA AVHRR images and monthly mean temperature of 5 years (1998-2002). Using CCCma CGCM2 simulation result based on SRES A2 and B2 scenario (2030s, 2060s, 2090s) of IPCC and data were downscaled by Stochastic Spatio-Temporal Random Cascade Model (SST-RCM) technique, the model showed that the future runoff ratio was predicted from 13% to 34% while the runoff ratio of 1999-2002 was 59%. On the other hand, the impact on runoff ratio by land use change showed about 0.1% to 1% increase.

Identifying Three-Dimensional Hydraulic Characteristics of the Sea Region Under Combined Tidal Current and Shock Waves (조류와 충격파가 혼재한 해역의 3차원적 수리특성 분석)

  • Kang, Min Goo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.4B
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    • pp.339-346
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    • 2009
  • In this study, the flow characteristics of the sea region, where tidal current and shock waves are combined, are identified using a three-dimensional numerical model (Princeton Ocean Model, POM). The model is adopted and applied for simulating the flows of the sea region near the open sections during the seadike closure work of Sihwa Seadike which was closed in 1994. The simulation results show that the shock waves with high velocities propagate through the sections toward the inside and outside of the seadike during the periods of the spring and ebb tides, respectively. It is found that the phenomena of flow separation occur near the shock waves; as the shock waves extend to wider zones after passing the sections, their effects on the tidal current become weak. In addition, the longitudinal velocity profiles of the flows are revealed to be affected by the shock waves. For all the simulations, at the ebb tide, the drawdown of the water levels occurs in front of the open section, respectively, especially, hydraulic jump occurs when simulating the case of maximum difference in water level between the inside and outside of the seadike. As a result, it is thought that the flow characteristics of the sea region dominated by shock waves need to be identified employing three-dimensional analysis approach, which is expected to provide the information for ocean engineering works and facility management.

GIS-based Estimation of Climate-induced Soil Erosion in Imha Basin (기후변화에 따른 임하댐 유역의 GIS 기반 토양침식 추정)

  • Lee, Khil Ha;Lee, Geun Sang;Cho, Hong Yeon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.3D
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    • pp.423-429
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    • 2008
  • The object of the present study is to estimate the potential effects of climate change and land use on soil erosion in the mid-east Korea. Simulated precipitation by CCCma climate model during 2030-2050 is used to model predicted soil erosion, and results are compared to observation. Simulation results allow relative comparison of the impact of climate change on soil erosion between current and predicted future condition. Expected land use changes driven by socio-economic change and plant growth driven by the increase of temperature and are taken into accounts in a comprehensive way. Mean precipitation increases by 17.7% (24.5%) for A2 (B2) during 2030-2050 compared to the observation period (1966-1998). In general predicted soil erosion for the B2 scenario is larger than that for the A2 scenario. Predicted soil erosion increases by 48%~90% under climate change except the scenario 1 and 2. Predicted soil erosion under the influence of temperature-induced fast plant growth, higher evapotranspiration rate, and fertilization effect (scenario 5 and 6) is approximately 25% less than that in the scenario 3 and 4. On the basis of the results it is said that precipitation and the corresponding soil erosion is likely to increase in the future and care needs to be taken in the study area.

ViscoElastic Continuum Damage (VECD) Finite Element (FE) Analysis on Asphalt Pavements (아스팔트 콘크리트 포장의 선형 점탄성 유한요소해석)

  • Seo, Youngguk;Bak, Chul-Min;Kim, Y. Richard;Im, Jeong-Hyuk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6D
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    • pp.809-817
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    • 2008
  • This paper deals with the development of ViscoElastic Continuum Damage Finite Element Program (VECD-FEP++) and its verification with the results from both field and laboratory accelerated pavement tests. Damage characteristics of asphalt concrete mixture have been defined by Schapery's work potential theory, and uniaxial constant crosshead rate tests were carried out to be used for damage model implementation. VECD-FEP++ predictions were compared with strain responses (longitudinal and transverse strains) under moving wheel loads running at different constant speeds. To this end, an asphalt pavement section (A5) of Korea Expressway Corporation Test Road (KECTR) instrumented with strain gauges were loaded with a dump truck. Also, a series of accelerated pavement fatigue tests have been conducted at pavement sections surfaced with four asphalt concrete mixtures (Dense-graded, SBS, Terpolymer, CR-TB). Planar strain responses were in good agreement with field measurements at base layers, whereas strains at both surface and intermediate layers were found different from simulation results due to the complexity of tire-road contact pressures. Finally, fatigue characteristics of four asphalt mixtures were reasonably described with VECD-FEP++.

Radar Rainfall Adjustment by Artificial Neural Network and Runoff Analysis (신경망에 의한 레이더강우 보정 및 유출해석)

  • Kim, Soo Jun;Kwon, Young Soo;Lee, Keon Haeng;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.2B
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to get the adjusted radar rainfalls by ANN(Artificial Neural Network) method. In the case of radar rainfall, it has an advantage of spatial distribution characteristics of rainfall while point rainfall has an advantage at the point. Therefore we adjusted the radar rainfall by ANN method considering the advantages of two rainfalls of radar and point. This study constructed two ANN models of Model I and Model II for radar rainfall adjustment. We collected the three rainfall events and adjusted the radar rainfall for Anseong-cheon basin. The two events were inputted into the Modeland Model to derive the optimum parameters and the rest event was used for validation. The adjusted radar rainfalls by ANN method and the raw radar rainfall were used as the input data of ModClark model which is a semi-distributed model to simulate the runoff. As the results of the simulation, the runoff by raw radar rainfall were overestimated but the peak time and peak runoff from the adjusted rainfall by ANN were well fitted to the observed hydrograph.

Assessment of Future Climate and Land Use Change Impact on Hydrology and Stream Water Quality of Anseongcheon Watershed Using SWAT Model (I) (SWAT 모형을 이용한 미래 기후변화 및 토지이용 변화에 따른 안성천 유역 수문 - 수질 변화 분석 (I))

  • Lee, Yong Jun;Park, Jong Yoon;Park, Min Ji;Kim, Seong Joon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6B
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    • pp.653-663
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a database of weather, hydrology, point source pollution management, reservoir release and tillage management for SWAT model evaluation of Anseongcheon watershed ($370.1km^2$, the upstream of Gongdo water level gauging station), and to use them for the following research of future climate and land use change impact on streamflow and stream water quality. It is expected that the database can achieve the practical analysis of current watershed hydrologic and environmental condition. The model calibration and validation were conducted using the constructed database. The model results showed that the tillage management affected the temporal shift of pollutant loads, and changed the flow pattern of pollutant transport through cultivation area. It was identified that the April and May irrigation water supply from the agricultural reservoir also affected the streamflow of downstream. The data application of pollutants treatment facilities and tillage management of cultivation area showed about 10% difference in the simulation results of stream water quality. The data establishment of agricultural reservoir operation, the tillage management of cultivated area within the watershed and the attributes inclusion of pollutants treatment facilities were proved to be important in SWAT model evaluation. The results of model setup in this study are expected for more reliable model application in the following research of future climate and land use change impact on hydrology and stream water quality of the study watershed.

The Estimation of Soil Moisture Index by SWAT Model and Drought Monitoring (SWAT 모형을 이용한 토양수분지수 산정과 가뭄감시)

  • Hwang, Tae Ha;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo;Seoh, Byung Ha
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4B
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    • pp.345-354
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    • 2006
  • Drought brings on long term damage in contrast to flood, on economic loss in the region, and on ecologic and environmental disruptions. Drought is one of major natural disasters and gives a painful hardship to human beings. So we have tried to quantify the droughts for reducing drought damage and developed the drought indices for drought monitoring and management. The Palmer's drought severity index (PDSI) is widely used for the drought monitoring but it has the disadvanges and limitations in that the PDSI is estimated by considering just climate conditions as pointed out by many researchers. Thus this study uses the SWAT model which can consider soil conditions like soil type and land use in addition to climate conditions. We estimate soil water (SW) and soil moisture index (SMI) by SWAT which is a long term runoff simulation model. We apply the SWAT model to Soyang dam watershed for SMI estimation and compare SMI with PDSI for drought analysis. Say, we calibrate and validate the SWAT model by daily inflows of Soyang dam site and we estimate long term daily soil water. The estimated soil water is used for the computation of SMI based on the soil moisture deficit and we compare SMI with PDSI. As the results, we obtained the determination coefficient of 0.651 which means the SWAT model is applicable for drought monitoring and we can monitor drought in more high resolution by using GIS. So, we suggest that SMI based on the soil moisture deficit can be used for the drought monitoring and management.