• Title/Summary/Keyword: Simple box model

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Long term trends in the Korean professional baseball (한국프로야구 기록들의 장기추세)

  • Lee, Jang Taek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2015
  • This paper offers some long term perspective on what has been happening to some baseball statistics for Korean professional baseball. The data used are league summaries by year over the period 1982-2013. For the baseball statistics, statistically significant positive correlations (p < 0.01) were found for doubles (2B), runs batted in (RBI), bases on balls (BB), strike outs (SO), grounded into double play (GIDP), hit by pitch (HBP), on base percentage (OBP), OPS, earned run average (ERA), wild pitches (WP) and walks plus hits divided by innings pitched (WHIP) increased with year. There was a statistically significant decreasing trend in the correlations for triples (3B), caught stealing (CS), errors (E), completed games (CG), shutouts (SHO) and balks (BK) with year (trend p < 0.01). The ARIMA model of Box-Jenkins is applied to find a model to forecast future baseball measures. Univariate time series results suggest that simple lag-1 models fit some baseball measures quite well. In conclusion, the single most important change in Korean professional baseball is the overall incidence of completed games (CG) downward. Also the decrease of strike outs (SO) is very remarkable.

Comparison of numerical and analytical solutions for reinforced soil wall shaking table tests

  • Zarnani, Saman;El-Emam, Magdi M.;Bathurst, Richard J.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.291-321
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    • 2011
  • The paper describes a simple numerical FLAC model that was developed to simulate the dynamic response of two instrumented reduced-scale model reinforced soil walls constructed on a 1-g shaking table. The models were 1 m high by 1.4 m wide by 2.4 m long and were constructed with a uniform size sand backfill, a polymeric geogrid reinforcement material with appropriately scaled stiffness, and a structural full-height rigid panel facing. The wall toe was constructed to simulate a perfectly hinged toe (i.e. toe allowed to rotate only) in one model and an idealized sliding toe (i.e. toe allowed to rotate and slide horizontally) in the other. Physical and numerical models were subjected to the same stepped amplitude sinusoidal base acceleration record. The material properties of the component materials (e.g. backfill and reinforcement) were determined from independent laboratory testing (reinforcement) and by back-fitting results of a numerical FLAC model for direct shear box testing to the corresponding physical test results. A simple elastic-plastic model with Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion for the sand was judged to give satisfactory agreement with measured wall results. The numerical results are also compared to closed-form solutions for reinforcement loads. In most cases predicted and closed-form solutions fall within the accuracy of measured loads based on ${\pm}1$ standard deviation applied to physical measurements. The paper summarizes important lessons learned and implications to the seismic design and performance of geosynthetic reinforced soil walls.

Biological Pump in the East Sea Estimated by a Box Model (상자 모형으로 추정한 동해의 생물 펌프)

  • Kim, Jae-Yeon;Kang, Dong-Jin;Kim, Eung;Cho, Jin-Hyung;Lee, Chang-Rae;Kim, Kyung-Ryul;Lee, Tong-Sup
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.295-306
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    • 2003
  • Recently efforts are underway to analyze the impacts of anthropogenic $CO_2$ on the global environments and the amount of oceanic uptake increase. The East Sea is now viewed as a miniature ocean because its circulation pattern is similar to the ocean conveyer belt. The biological pump of the East Sea is a vital component to understand the carbon cycle quantitatively. In this paper, the biological pump is estimated utilizing the stoichiometric ratio between carbon and phosphorus. A simple phosphate budget model is constructed based on the seawater and dissolved oxygen box model that can simulate the recent structural change in deep water circulation of the East Sea. A model run from you 1952 to 2040 shows the steadily intensifying biological pump. Currently it exports about 0.016 Pg C yr$^{-1}$ , which corresponds to 35% of the carbon introduced into the seawater by the air-sea exchange. An increased oxygen supply to the central water mass as a result of from the transition in the ventilation system might enhance the remineralization of sinking biogenic particles. This should strengthen the upward nutrient flux into the surface layer. Consequently, the biological sequestration of anthropogenic carbon is expected to increase with time. The estimated biological uptake of the anthropogenic carbon in the East Sea since the Industrial Revolution is estimated as 0.025 Pg C.

The Budget of Nutrients in the Estuaries Near Mokpo Harbor (목포항 주변 하구역의 영양염 수지)

  • Kim, Yeong-Tae;Choi, Yoon-Seok;Cho, Yoon-Sik;Oh, Hyun-Taik;Jeon, Seung-Ryul;Choi, Yong Hyeon;Han, Hyoung-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.708-722
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    • 2016
  • Land-Ocean Interactions in the Coastal Zone (LOICZ) models for nutrient budgets were used to estimate the seasonal capacity of the Youngsan Estuary and Youngam-Geumho Estuary to sink and/or supply nutrients such as dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP) and nitrogen (DIN) to provide an understanding of the behavior of the coupled biogeochemical cycles of phosphorus and nitrogen in the estuaries (Youngsan Estuary, Youngam-Geumho Estuary) near Mokpo Harbor. During non-stratified periods (May, September, and November, 2008), simple three-box models were applied in each sub-region of the system, while a two-layer box model was applied during on-site observation of stratification development (July, 2008). The resulting mass-balance calculation indicated that even after large discharges from artificial lakes (in May and July), DIP influxes due to a mixing exchange ($V_{X-3}$, or $V_{deep}$) were more than terrigenous loads, indicating the backward transportation of nutrients from a marine source. The model results also indicated that for nutrient loads (DIP and DIN fluxes) in September, an extreme congestion of nutrients occurred around the mouths (sub-region III of the model) of the estuaries, possibly due to an imbalance in physical circulations between the estuaries and offshore locations. In November, the Youngam-Geumho Estuary, into which freshwater was discharged from artificial lakes (Youngam and Geumho Lake), showed nutrient enrichment in the water column, but the Youngsan Estuary showed nutrient depletion. In conclusion, to efficiently control water quality in the estuaries near Mokpo Harbor, integrated environmental management programs should be implemented. I.e., the reduction of nutrient loads from land basins as well as the deposit of nutrient loads into adjacent coastal lines.

PowerFLOW Simulation of the Hyundai Simple Model for Sunroof Buffeting (HSM의 썬루프 버페팅을 위한 PowerFLOW 해석)

  • Choi, Eui-Sung;Cyr, Stephane
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2014
  • A simplified model in the shape of a wedge box with an opening on the roof was used to generate buffeting conditions at HMC. These measurements performed in controlled conditions are intended to validate the ability of CFD tools to predict buffeting. The results obtained by PowerFLOW are presented in this paper for buffeting and for the boundary layer development on the roof of the model when the roof opening is closed. The flow mechanisms that explain the behavior of the experimental sound pressure level(SPL) curve are described, and an improved setup is used to reproduce the flow structures that lead to the measured SPL.

Analytical Model in Pedestrian Accident by Van Type Vehicle (Van 형 차량의 보행자 충돌 사고 해석 모델)

  • Ahn, Seung-Mo;Kang, Dae-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 2008
  • The fatalities of pedestrian accounted for about 40.0% of all fatalities in Korea (2005 year). In pedestrian involved accident, the most important data to inspect accident is throw distance of pedestrian. The throw distance of pedestrian can be influenced by many variables, such as vehicular frontal shape, vehicular impact speed, the offset of impact point, the height of pedestrian, and road condition. The trajectory of pedestrian after collision can be influenced by vehicular frontal shape classified into sedan type, box type, SUV type and van type. Many studies have been done about pedestrian accident with passenger car model and bus model for simple factors. But the study of pedestrian accident by van type vehicle was much insufficient, and even that the influence of multiple factors such as the offset of impact point was neglected. In this paper, a series of pedestrian kinetic simulation were conducted to inspect relationship between throw distance and multiple factors with using PC-CRASH s/w, a kinetic analysis program for a traffic accident for van type. By based on the simulation results, multi-variate regression was conducted, and regression equation was presented.

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Evaluation of U-value for Radiant Barrier Systems in Relation to Surface Emissivity (표면방사율에 따른 복사단열시스템의 열관류성능 평가 연구)

  • Kim, K.S.;Lee, D.G.;Yoon, J.H.;Song, I.C.
    • Solar Energy
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2000
  • Radiant barrier systems(RES) constructed with low emissivity materials bounded by an open air space can be used to reduce the net radiation transfer between two surfaces. To analyze the heat transfer characteristics of the radiant barrier systems which consist of a single-glass and radiation barriers, a simple theoretical model based on energy balances was suggested. And the model was validated by means of the experimental results. Using a guarded hot box, the temperatures of layers in selected RES and energy use for each cases were measured. The results show that the model well explained the heat transfer characteristics of those RES. Also, the heat transfer coefficient correlations considering natural and forced convection heat transfer ware suggested. It is found that the heat transfer efficiency of a RBS with aluminium surface improved up to 66.6% over that of a single glazing system.

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Estimation of Monthly Dissolved Inorganic Carbon Inventory in the Southeastern Yellow Sea (황해 남동부 해역의 월별 용존무기탄소 재고 추정)

  • KIM, SO-YUN;LEE, TONGSUP
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.194-210
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    • 2022
  • The monthly inventory of dissolved inorganic carbon (CT) and its fluxes were simulated using a box-model for the southeastern Yellow Sea, bordering the northern East China Sea. The monthly CT data was constructed by combining the observed data representing four seasons with the data adopted from the recent publications. A 2-box-model of the surface and deep layers was used, assuming that the annual CT inventory was at the steady state and its fluctuations due to the advection in the surface box were negligible. Results of the simulation point out that the monthly CT inventory variation between the surface and deep box was driven primarily by the mixing flux due to the variation of the mixed layer depth, on the scale of -40~35 mol C m-2 month-1. The air to sea CO2 flux was about 2 mol C m-2 yr-1 and was lower than 1/100 of the mixing flux. The biological pump flux estimated magnitude, in the range of 4-5 mol C m-2 yr-1, is about half the in situ measurement value reported. The CT inventory of the water column was maximum in April, when mixing by cooling ceases, and decreases slightly throughout the stratified period. Therefore, the total CT inventory is larger in the stratified period than that of the mixing period. In order to maintain a steady state, 18 mol C m-2 yr-1 (= 216 g C m-2 yr-1), the difference between the maximum and minimum monthly CT inventory, should be transported out to the East China Sea. Extrapolating this flux over the entire southern Yellow Sea boundary yields 4 × 109 g C yr-1. Conceptually this flux is equivalent to the proposed continental shelf pump. Since this flux must go through the vast shelf area of the East China Sea before it joins the open Pacific waters the actual contribution as a continental shelf pump would be significantly lower than reported value. Although errors accompanied the simple box model simulation imposed by the paucity of data and assumptions are considerably large, nevertheless it was possible to constrain the relative contribution among the major fluxes and their range that caused the CT inventory variations, and was able to suggest recommendations for the future studies.

An Study on the Establishment of the Accelerated Durability Test Condition of the Spur Gear (평기어에 대한 가속내구시험의 조건설정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Chul-Su;Kim Jung-Kyu;Kwon Yeo-Hyoun;An Seung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.14-19
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    • 2005
  • An accelerated life test (ALT) is used to estimate the reliability of machinery parts and system with a design specification as soon as possible. However, accelerated life test results with simple and severe conditions are inconsistent with physical phenomena in real service condition. Therefore, to assure the safety of the machinery system, it is necessary to establish the appropriate test condition of the ALT of machinery element. In this study, fatigue analysis of the spur gear as a part of the gear box system in the rolling stock was performed. Moreover, based on the results, appropriate test condition of the ALT is developed using both the probabilistic model of the linear damage rule and accelerated durability analysis simulation.

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A Variant of the Brillouin-Wigner Perturbation Theory with Epstein-Nesbet Partitioning

  • Lee, Sangyoub;Choi, Cheol Ho;Kim, Eunji;Choi, Young Kyun
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.34 no.11
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    • pp.3279-3283
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    • 2013
  • We present an elementary pedagogical derivation of the Brillouin-Wigner and the Rayleigh-Schr$\ddot{o}$dinger perturbation theories with Epstein-Nesbet partitioning. A variant of the Brillouin-Wigner perturbation theory is also introduced, which can be easily extended to the quasi-degenerate case. A main advantage of the new theory is that the computing time required for obtaining the successive higher-order results is minimal after the third-order calculation. We illustrate the accuracy of the new perturbation theory for some simple model systems like the perturbed harmonic oscillator and the particle in a box.