• Title/Summary/Keyword: Series of Event

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A Stochastic Simulation Model for the Precipitation Amounts of Hourly Precipitation Series (시간강수계열의 강수량 모의발생을 위한 추계학적 모형)

  • Lee, Jung-Sik;Lee, Jae-joon;Park, Jong-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.763-777
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    • 2002
  • The objective of this study is to develop computer simulation model that produces precipitation patterns from stochastic model. The hourly precipitation process consists of the precipitation occurrence and precipitation amounts. In this study, an event cluster model developed by Lee and Lee(2002) is used to describe the occurrence process of events, and the hourly precipitation amounts within each event is described by a nonstationary form of a first-order autoregressive process. The complete stochastic model for hourly precipitation is fitted to historical precipitation data by estimating the model parameters. An analysis of historical and simulated hourly precipitation data for Seoul indicates that the stochastic model preserves many of the features of historical precipitation. The autocorrelation coefficients of the historical and simulated data are nearly identical except for lags more than about 3 hours. The precipitation intensity, duration, marginal distributions, and conditional distributions for event characteristics for the historical and simulated data showed in general good agreement with each other.

Construction of Event Networks from Large News Data Using Text Mining Techniques (텍스트 마이닝 기법을 적용한 뉴스 데이터에서의 사건 네트워크 구축)

  • Lee, Minchul;Kim, Hea-Jin
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.183-203
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    • 2018
  • News articles are the most suitable medium for examining the events occurring at home and abroad. Especially, as the development of information and communication technology has brought various kinds of online news media, the news about the events occurring in society has increased greatly. So automatically summarizing key events from massive amounts of news data will help users to look at many of the events at a glance. In addition, if we build and provide an event network based on the relevance of events, it will be able to greatly help the reader in understanding the current events. In this study, we propose a method for extracting event networks from large news text data. To this end, we first collected Korean political and social articles from March 2016 to March 2017, and integrated the synonyms by leaving only meaningful words through preprocessing using NPMI and Word2Vec. Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) topic modeling was used to calculate the subject distribution by date and to find the peak of the subject distribution and to detect the event. A total of 32 topics were extracted from the topic modeling, and the point of occurrence of the event was deduced by looking at the point at which each subject distribution surged. As a result, a total of 85 events were detected, but the final 16 events were filtered and presented using the Gaussian smoothing technique. We also calculated the relevance score between events detected to construct the event network. Using the cosine coefficient between the co-occurred events, we calculated the relevance between the events and connected the events to construct the event network. Finally, we set up the event network by setting each event to each vertex and the relevance score between events to the vertices connecting the vertices. The event network constructed in our methods helped us to sort out major events in the political and social fields in Korea that occurred in the last one year in chronological order and at the same time identify which events are related to certain events. Our approach differs from existing event detection methods in that LDA topic modeling makes it possible to easily analyze large amounts of data and to identify the relevance of events that were difficult to detect in existing event detection. We applied various text mining techniques and Word2vec technique in the text preprocessing to improve the accuracy of the extraction of proper nouns and synthetic nouns, which have been difficult in analyzing existing Korean texts, can be found. In this study, the detection and network configuration techniques of the event have the following advantages in practical application. First, LDA topic modeling, which is unsupervised learning, can easily analyze subject and topic words and distribution from huge amount of data. Also, by using the date information of the collected news articles, it is possible to express the distribution by topic in a time series. Second, we can find out the connection of events in the form of present and summarized form by calculating relevance score and constructing event network by using simultaneous occurrence of topics that are difficult to grasp in existing event detection. It can be seen from the fact that the inter-event relevance-based event network proposed in this study was actually constructed in order of occurrence time. It is also possible to identify what happened as a starting point for a series of events through the event network. The limitation of this study is that the characteristics of LDA topic modeling have different results according to the initial parameters and the number of subjects, and the subject and event name of the analysis result should be given by the subjective judgment of the researcher. Also, since each topic is assumed to be exclusive and independent, it does not take into account the relevance between themes. Subsequent studies need to calculate the relevance between events that are not covered in this study or those that belong to the same subject.

Epicenter Estimation Using Real-Time Event Packet of Quanterra digitizer (Quanterra 기록계의 실시간 이벤트 패킷을 이용한 진앙 추정)

  • Lim, In-Seub;Sheen, Dong-Hoon;Shin, Jin-Soo;Jung, Soon-Key
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.316-327
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    • 2009
  • A standard for national seismological observatory was proposed on 1999. Since then, Quanterra digitizer has been installed and is operating on almost all of seismic stations which belong to major seismic monitoring organizations. Quanterra digitizer produce and transmit real-time event packet and data packet. Characteristics of event packet and arrival time of each channel's data packet on data center were investigated. Packet selection criteria using signal to noise ratio (hereafter SNR) and signal period from real-time event packet based on 100 samples per second (hereafter sps) velocity data were developed. Estimation of epicenter using time information of the selected event packet were performed and tested. A series of experiment show that event packets were received approximately 3~4 second earlier than data packets and the number of event packet was only 0.3% compare to data packets. Just about 5% against all of event packets were selected as event packet were related P wave of real earthquake. Using the selected event packets we can estimate an epicenter with misfit less than 10 km within 20 sec for local earthquake over magnitude 2.5.

Analyzing the drought event in 2015 through statistical drought frequency analysis (통계학적 가뭄빈도분석 기법을 통한 2015년 가뭄사상에 대한 분석)

  • Lee, Taesam;Son, Chanyoung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.177-186
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    • 2016
  • Drought is a water-related natural disaster which can be simply described as spatially and temporally sequential absence of water. However, its characteristics are very difficult to define. For this reason, the preparation and mitigation from drought events have not been successful. In the current study, we illustrated a design drought estimation approach of water resources infrastructures as well as the existing theoretical one to prepare and mitigate drought disasters. Theoretical and simulation methods were tested including three time series models such as autoregressive (AR), Gamma AR, Copula AR models. The results indicated that for South Korea region, the simulation-based method to estimate drought frequency presented better performance and all the three time series models show similar performance to each other. The current drought event occurring in South Korea was investigated with dividing South Korea into four basins as Han River, Nakdong River, Geum River, and Nakdong River basins. The results showed that two middle and north basins presented significant drought events with 3 year drought duration and around 40 year return period while the other two southern regions illustrated relatively weaker drought events.

A study on the scene directing and overacting character expressions in accordance with creating actual comedy movie into animation Focusing on TV animation Mr. Bean (희극적 실사의 애니메이션화에 따른 장면 연출과 캐릭터 과장연기 표현 연구 - TV애니메이션 Mr.bean을 중심으로)

  • Park, Sung-Won
    • Cartoon and Animation Studies
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    • s.49
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    • pp.143-167
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the characteristics that appear when actual comedy movie is made into animation, from the singularities which arise from producing remake of existing media contents into animation. Animation and slapstick comedy movies possess a similarity in that they both evoke laughter from the viewer via exaggerated motion, expression and action. In the case of live action film, people must carry out the acting and there exists spatial limitations, whereas animation does not have such limits, which allows the comic animation to materialize spatial scene directing and acting which are different from that of live action comic films, despite the fact that they share elements of the same genre. Accordingly, this study performs comparative analysis of and which is based on the contents of the same event, from the English comedy TV program and the , the TV animation which is a remake animated version of the original series, to conduct comparative analysis the character acting and the scene directing in accordance with the live action movie and animation. The result of studying the point that makes it easy to create comic genre into animation and the advantages possessed by the media of animation, through analyzing two works that deal with the same character and the same event, were as follows. It was proven through the analysis that comedic directing with doubled composure and amusement is possible through the anticipation of exaggerated directing in the acting through expression and action, and diversity of the episodes with added imagination in the story, as well as the estrangement effect of the slapstick expression and etc.

Comparative Study of GPS-Integrated Concrete Supply Management using Discrete Event Simulation

  • Zekavat, Payam Rahnamayie;Mortaheb, Mohammad Mehdi;Han, Sangwon;Bernold, Leonhard
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2014
  • The management of vehicular supply of "perishable" construction material, such as concrete mixes, faces a series of uncertainties such as weather, daily traffic patterns and accidents. Presented in this paper is a logistics control model for managing a hauling fleet with interrelated processes at both ends and queue capacities. Discrete event simulation is used to model the complex interactions of production units and the randomness of the real world. Two alternative strategies for ready mix concrete delivery, with and without an off-site waiting queue, are studied to compare supply performance. Secondly, the paper discusses the effect of an agent-based GPS tracking system providing real-time travel data that lessens the uncertainty of trucking time. The results show that the combination of GPS information with off-site queuing reduces productivity loss and process wastes of concrete placement as well as the idleness of supply trucks when crew or pump experience an unexpected stoppage.

Tools for Light Curve of Exoplanet Transit Observation with Youth

  • Kang, Wonseok;Kim, Taewoo;Yoo, Jihyun;Kim, Jeong-eun;Kang, Min;Noh, Hannah
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.70.2-70.2
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    • 2017
  • Transit event of exoplanet is a good example of observational studies with youth, because the event is geometrically simple and its analysis is essential to astronomical observation. Therefore, we developed the package of data reduction and aperture photometry in Python for educational purpose. In 27 July, we observed the transit event of TrES-3b with the students of "NYSC Space Science Club" program, and presented the Python package, PyPhotW for data reduction and aperture photometry. PyPhotW consists of simple functions for youth to understand the processes easier. Nonetheless, the photometric results of PyPhotW show a good agreement with those of Source Extractor, ${\Delta}m{\sim}-0.01{\pm}0.03$ and $-0.04{\pm}0.08$ for TrES-3b and TrES-5b time-series observations in 27 - 28 July.

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The New Voltage Event Detection Method and Control System Design for DVR Applied to 22.9kV Distribution System (22.9kV 배전선로 적용을 위한 DVR의 새로운 외란검출 기법 및 제어시스템 설계)

  • Kim H.J.;Chung Y.H.;Kwon G.H.;Park T.B.;Moon J.I.;Jeon Y.S.
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2006
  • This paper proposes the new voltage event detection method using the weight factor of neural network and describes control system design for the DVR(Dynamic Voltage Restorer) consisted of a rectifier and series inverter applied to 22.9kV distribution system. As this method can express the fault level of each phase, we expect the proposed method can make up for disadvantage of synchronous detection method. Also, in this paper, the control system was designed using double deadbeat controller, As it has an inner current control loop and an outer voltage control loop, we can easily limit the current level during the transient intervals by using the current control loop. Simulation and experiment are performed to prove the analysis of the voltage event detection method and double deadbeat controller.

Time-Invariant Stock Movement Prediction After Golden Cross Using LSTM

  • Sumin Nam;Jieun Kim;ZoonKy Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2023
  • The Golden Cross is commonly seen as a buy signal in financial markets, but its reliability for predicting stock price movements is limited due to market volatility. This paper introduces a time-invariant approach that considers the Golden Cross as a singular event. Utilizing LSTM neural networks, we forecast significant stock price changes following a Golden Cross occurrence. By comparing our approach with traditional time series analysis and using a confusion matrix for classification, we demonstrate its effectiveness in predicting post-event stock price trends. To conclude, this study proposes a model with a precision of 83%. By utilizing the model, investors can alleviate potential losses, rather than making buy decisions under all circumstances following a Golden Cross event.

Estimation of structural dynamic characteristics of the Egyptian Obelisk of Theodosius

  • Saygili, Ozden
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.311-320
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    • 2019
  • Obelisks are historical monuments. There are several obelisks dating from ancient Egyptian period, located around various parts of the world. The city of Istanbul is a home to the Obelisk of Theodosius at the Hippodrome. Due to the expectation of a large event in the near future, the evaluation of seismic response of the Obelisk gets importance. Therefore, in this study structural dynamic behavior of the Obelisk was investigated using discrete element approach. Nonlinear dynamic analyses were performed using real and synthetic time series. Real and synthetic ground motions analyzed from this study seems consistent with the earthquake hazard levels that would be expected at the site of the Obelisk in the occurrence of an event of moment magnitude above 7.0 near Istanbul. Results are evaluated in terms of variation of displacement, relative displacement of adjacent blocks, normal stress and shear stress in time.