• Title/Summary/Keyword: Selection model

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Sensitivity analysis in Bayesian nonignorable selection model for binary responses

  • Choi, Seong Mi;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2014
  • We consider a Bayesian nonignorable selection model to accommodate the selection bias. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods is known to be very useful to fit the nonignorable selection model. However, sensitivity to prior assumptions on parameters for selection mechanism is a potential problem. To quantify the sensitivity to prior assumption, the deviance information criterion and the conditional predictive ordinate are used to compare the goodness-of-fit under two different prior specifications. It turns out that the 'MLE' prior gives better fit than the 'uniform' prior in viewpoints of goodness-of-fit measures.

An effective Supplier Selection Model for e-Business & ISO 9001 System (e-Business 환경 하에서 ISO 9001 품질경영시스템의 효율적인 공급자 선정모델)

  • 이무성;이영해
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers supplier selection process for e-business & ISO 9001 quality management system environments. Determining suitable suppliers in the electronic commerce has become a key strategic consideration. However, the nature of these decisions is usually complex and unstructured. In this paper, a Quality Estimated Supplier Selection (QESS) model is proposed to deal with the supplier selection problems in the e-business(Business to Business: B to B). In the supplier selection, quality management factors will be considered for the first time, and then price, and delivery etc. In the first level, we deal with the quality management factors such as quality management audit, product test, engineering man-power, capability index and training time etc., based on the five point scale. In the second level, a QESS model determines the final solution by considering factors such as price, production lead-time and delivery time.

Bayesian Model Selection in the Gamma Populations

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kang, Doo-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1329-1341
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    • 2006
  • When X and Y have independent gamma distributions, we consider the testing problem for two gamma means. We propose a solution based on a Bayesian model selection procedure to this problem in which no subjective input is considered. The reference prior is derived. Using the derived reference prior, we compute the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors. The posterior probability of each model is used as a model selection tool. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

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A Study on the Authorized Stockage List Slection Model Using Goal Programing (목표계획법을 이용한 사단급 ASL선정모형에 관한 연구)

  • 길계호;김충영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.75-78
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    • 1998
  • The selection criteria of the Authorized Stockage List(ASL) in the Army is based on Army Regulation(AR)409, the selection method of ASL is not considered in cost, weight and volume of repair parts. This paper is focused on developing for a new selection model taking account of cost, weight and volume of repair parts. This model is applied to data of a division. The ASL selected in the model is more reduced in cost, weight and volume than that of the previous method.

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Hybrid Case-based Reasoning and Genetic Algorithms Approach for Customer Classification

  • Kim Kyoung-jae;Ahn Hyunchul
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.209-212
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    • 2005
  • This study proposes hybrid case-based reasoning and genetic algorithms model for customer classification. In this study, vertical and horizontal dimensions of the research data are reduced through integrated feature and instance selection process using genetic algorithms. We applied the proposed model to customer classification model which utilizes customers' demographic characteristics as inputs to predict their buying behavior for the specific product. Experimental results show that the proposed model may improve the classification accuracy and outperform various optimization models of typical CBR system.

A Study on the Selection Criteria of Science Gifted Children (국민학교(國民學校) 과학영재(科學英才) 선발(選拔) 준거(準據)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Ser, Hyung-Doo;Chung, Wan-Ho
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.172-186
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    • 1993
  • This stady was carried out to define Gifted student for science, model for selection, the tools and methods and related theory for the selection of the Gifted students for the science in primary school level. Also the developed tools and materials are applied to student and analysed the results to generalize the methods for the selection of Gifted students for science. The definition of Gifted students for science was carried out by the three-ring conception model by Renzulli(1982) and Lee long-Sung which defined the characteristics as three parts such as above average ability, creativity and tesk comitment. The Gifted students for science upper 2 percent which have three characteristics at the same times, namely overlapping three characteristics. The model for the selection of Gifted students consist of four step; such as screeing, selection,differentiation, judgement. The materials for the selection are input at each stage, analysed the results and standard for the selection are made. In the first stage screening, 202 students are selected from the 5060 of 4th and 5th graders according to their achievment, intellecture ability and observation of students activity. In second selection and third differentiation stage, 65 students are seletted according to their achievement In this study it is approved that the Gifted students in science have to be selection by various test such as achievement, intellectual ability, aptitude in science, inquiry activity, manual skill etc, rather rather then simple test such as achievement and intellecture ability. Also it is important to select upper 2 percent who have general abilites overlapping three characteristics mentioned in definition of Gifted students in science and selections model

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Inferential Problems in Bayesian Logistic Regression Models (베이지안 로지스틱 회귀모형에서의 추론에 대한 연구)

  • Hwang, Jin-Soo;Kang, Sung-Chan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1149-1160
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    • 2011
  • Model selection and hypothesis testing problems in Bayesian inference are still debated between scholars. Bayesian factors traditionally used as a criterion in Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selection, are easy to understand but sometimes hard to compute. In addition, there are other model selection criterions such as DIC(Deviance Information Criterion) by Spiegelhalter et al. (2002) and Bayesian P-values for testing. In this paper, we briefly introduce the Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selection procedure. In addition we have applied a Bayesian inference to Swiss banknote data by a fitting logistic regression model and computing several test statistics to see if they provide consistent results.

Comparison of model selection criteria in graphical LASSO (그래프 LASSO에서 모형선택기준의 비교)

  • Ahn, Hyeongseok;Park, Changyi
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.881-891
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    • 2014
  • Graphical models can be used as an intuitive tool for modeling a complex stochastic system with a large number of variables related each other because the conditional independence between random variables can be visualized as a network. Graphical least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) is considered to be effective in avoiding overfitting in the estimation of Gaussian graphical models for high dimensional data. In this paper, we consider the model selection problem in graphical LASSO. Particularly, we compare various model selection criteria via simulations and analyze a real financial data set.

The Game Selection Model for the Payoff Strategy Optimization of Mobile CrowdSensing Task

  • Zhao, Guosheng;Liu, Dongmei;Wang, Jian
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.1426-1447
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    • 2021
  • The payoff game between task publishers and users in the mobile crowdsensing environment is a hot topic of research. A optimal payoff selection model based on stochastic evolutionary game is proposed. Firstly, the process of payoff optimization selection is modeled as a task publisher-user stochastic evolutionary game model. Secondly, the low-quality data is identified by the data quality evaluation algorithm, which improves the fitness of perceptual task matching target users, so that task publishers and users can obtain the optimal payoff at the current moment. Finally, by solving the stability strategy and analyzing the stability of the model, the optimal payoff strategy is obtained under different intensity of random interference and different initial state. The simulation results show that, in the aspect of data quality evaluation, compared with BP detection method and SVM detection method, the accuracy of anomaly data detection of the proposed model is improved by 8.1% and 0.5% respectively, and the accuracy of data classification is improved by 59.2% and 32.2% respectively. In the aspect of the optimal payoff strategy selection, it is verified that the proposed model can reasonably select the payoff strategy.

Variable Selection in Clustering by Recursive Fit of Normal Distribution-based Salient Mixture Model (정규분포기반 두각 혼합모형의 순환적 적합을 이용한 군집분석에서의 변수선택)

  • Kim, Seung-Gu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.821-834
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    • 2013
  • Law et al. (2004) proposed a normal distribution based salient mixture model for variable selection in clustering. However, this model has substantial problems such as the unidentifiability of components an the inaccurate selection of informative variables in the case of a small cluster size. We propose an alternative method to overcome problems and demonstrate a good performance through experiments on simulated data and real data.