• 제목/요약/키워드: Seismic Hazard

검색결과 427건 처리시간 0.03초

CURRENT ISSUES ON PRA REGARDING SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI EVENTS AT MULTI UNITS AND SITES BASED ON LESSONS LEARNED FROM TOHOKU EARTHQUAKE/TSUNAMI

  • Ebisawa, Katsumi;Fujita, Masatoshi;Iwabuchi, Yoko;Sugino, Hideharu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제44권5호
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    • pp.437-452
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    • 2012
  • The Tohoku earthquake (Mw9.0) occurred on March 11, 2011 and caused a large tsunami. The Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP (F1-NPP) were overwhelmed by the tsunami and core damage occurred. This paper describes the overview of F1-NPP accident and the usability of tsunami PRA at Tohoku earthquake. The paper makes reference to the following current issues: influence on seismic hazard of gigantic aftershocks and triggered earthquakes, concepts for evaluating core damage frequency considering common cause failure with correlation coefficient against seismic event at multi units and sites, and concepts of "seismic-tsunami PSA" considering a combination of seismic motion and tsunami effects.

지진하중을 받는 곡선교량의 동적거동 (Dynamic Behavior of Curved Bridges under Seismic Loading)

  • 박남회;윤기용;강영종
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2005
  • 곡선교량의 복잡한 동적거동을 이해하고, 내진해석시 합리적인 해석방법을 선정할 수 있는 기초적인 연구를 수행하기 위하여 ??자유도를 포함한 절점당 7자유도를 갖는 곡선보요소와 직선보요소를 갖는 동적유한 요소해석 프로그램을 사용하여 곡선교량의 내진해석을 수행하였다. 자유진동해석 결과로부터 곡선교량의 모드특성을 직선교량과 비교하여 분석하였다. 또한, 동일지간장을 갖는 직선교와 곡선교의 지진시 거동특성을 분석하고, AASHTO의 정규교량으로 분류된 곡선교량의 내진해석방법에 대해 비교하였다. 또한, 지진하중작용방향과 곡선교량의 내부중심각을 변화시켜 곡선교량의 동적거동을 파악하였다.

Logic tree approach for probabilistic typhoon wind hazard assessment

  • Choun, Young-Sun;Kim, Min-Kyu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제51권2호
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    • pp.607-617
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    • 2019
  • Global warming and climate change are increasing the intensity of typhoons and hurricanes and thus increasing the risk effects of typhoon and hurricane hazards on nuclear power plants (NPPs). To reflect these changes, a new NPP should be designed to endure design-basis hurricane wind speeds corresponding to an exceedance frequency of $10^{-7}/yr$. However, the short typhoon and hurricane observation records and uncertainties included in the inputs for an estimation cause significant uncertainty in the estimated wind speeds for return periods of longer than 100,000 years. A logic-tree framework is introduced to handle the epistemic uncertainty when estimating wind speeds. Three key parameters of a typhoon wind field model, i.e., the central pressure difference, pressure profile parameter, and radius to maximum wind, are used for constructing logic tree branches. The wind speeds of the simulated typhoons and the probable maximum wind speeds are estimated using Monte Carlo simulations, and wind hazard curves are derived as a function of the annual exceedance probability or return period. A logic tree decreases the epistemic uncertainty included in the wind intensity models and provides reasonably acceptable wind speeds.

역사 및 계기 지진 자료를 이용한 주요 항만 지역의 지진재해 위험성 (Seismic Hazards near the Harbors using Historic and Instrumental Earthquake Data)

  • 김광희;강수영;장인성;박우선
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.419-425
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    • 2009
  • 최근 우리나라에서는 지진으로 인한 피해가 미미하였지만, 역사기록에 의하면 피해유발 지진이 여러 차례 발생한 바 있으므로 지진으로 인한 피해 가능성을 항상 고려하여야 한다. 우리나라 대외 교역량의 99.6% 이상을 처리하는 항만시설의 중요성을 감안 할 때, 항만시설물의 지진 안전성 확보를 위한 설계 및 대응시스템 구축이 반드시 필요하다. 지진위험성 평가를 위하여 계기 지진 자료를 활용하는 것이 바람직하지만, 우리나라에서 본격적인 계기지진의 역사가 과거 30년에 국한된 관계로 계기지진 자료만으로는 우리나라의 지진 특성을 적절히 파악할 수 없다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 보완하기 위하여 규모 5.0 이상의 역사지진 자료를 계기지진 자료와 함께 활용하여 장기 광역 지진위험성 평가의 자료로 활용하였다. 역사지진자료 분석 결과에 의하면 포항항, 울산항, 인천항이, 계기지진자료 분석 결과에 의하면 옥계항, 묵호항, 동해항, 삼척항, 포항항, 울산항을 포함한 동해안의 항이 다른 지역에 비하여 지진위험성이 크게 나타난다.

제진장치 설치 해양구조물의 생애주기 지진위험도 (Lifetime Seismic Risk of Offshore Structures with a Built-in Vibration Control Device)

  • 김동현
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.48-54
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    • 2010
  • The analysis of the seismic risk of an offshore structure with a control device is presented. First, a probability density function was developed to represent seismic hazard, and seismic fragility under artificial earthquake conditions was determined. Fragility curves for an offshore structure with both passive and active control devices were determined. Displacement criteria were set to evaluate the performance of the structure. Based on numerical analysis, the seismic risk to the structure was considerably reduced when the structure had a seismic control device. The seismic risk to the actively controlled structure was decreased by 80% compared to the uncontrolled case. Reasonable performance evaluations of offshore structure with control devices can be conducted through risk analysis.

Seismic risk assessment of staggered wall system structures

  • Kim, Jinkoo;Baek, Donggeol
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제5권5호
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    • pp.607-624
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    • 2013
  • In this study the seismic risk assessments of six- and twelve-story staggered wall system structures with three different structural variations were performed. The performances of staggered wall structures with added columns along the central corridor and the structures with their first story walls replaced by beams and columns were compared with those of the regular staggered wall structures. To this end incremental dynamic analyses were carried out using twenty two pairs of earthquake records to obtain the failure probabilities for various intensity of seismic load. The seismic risk for each damage state was computed based on the fragility analysis results and the probability of occurrence of earthquake ground motions. According to the analysis results, it was observed that the structures with added columns along the central corridor showed lowest probability of failure and seismic risk. The structures with their first story walls replaced by beams and columns showed lowest margin for safety.

통합 지진네트워크 구축 (Establishment of Korea Integrated Seismic System (KISS))

  • 이희일;지헌철;임인섭;조창수;류용규
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지진공학회 2002년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2002
  • The four agencies in Korea - KMA, KIGAM, KEPRI, and KINS - have been operating their own seismic network for many years. In this study we have developed an integrated seismic system named KISS (Korea Integrated Seismic System), which is very similar to LISS (Live Internet Seismic Server) of Albuquerque Seismological Laboratory. Through KISS we could share all the earthquake data observed by those organizations in near real time. This research result will lead to provide the opportunity to use all seismic information of the earthquakes around Korean peninsula. And KISS will make us enable to do systematic researches, such as study on focal mechanisms of earthquakes around Korean peninsula, seismic design, earthquake prediction, etc. KISS will be used in developing an Early Earthquake Warning System like TriNet in Southern California, USA so as to minimize seismic hazard.

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오대산 지진자료에 의한 거리감쇠식 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Presumption for Attenuation Relation by MT. O-dae earthquake data in Korea)

  • 권기혁;황완선;유혜란
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.33-36
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    • 2008
  • In Korean Building Code 2005(KBC-2005), the Seismic Zone Factor is regulated by separating the seismic zone into two part. This seismic zone factor is not matched to regional seismic characteristics of our country because the factor is based on International Building Code 2000 (IBC-2000) of USA. This study inquiry for having a sufficient grasp of the seismic characteristics of south Korea region and appling for the seismic cope plan. We have collected and analyzed earthquake record happened in domestic region. There are two kinds of earthquake record. One is Historical earthquake data, another is Instrumental earthquake data. I used Instrumental earthquake record data which reliance is higher than historical earthquake data for proposing attenuation formulas by analyzing a correlation the epicenter and the distance.

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Prediction of Strong Ground Motion in Moderate-Seismicity Regions Using Deterministic Earthquake Scenarios

  • 강태섭
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2007
  • For areas such as the Korean Peninsula, which have moderate seismic activity but no available records of strong ground motion, synthetic seismograms can be used to evaluate ground motion without waiting for a strong earthquake. Such seismograms represent the estimated ground motions expected from a set of possible earthquake scenarios. Local site effects are especially important in assessing the seismic hazard and possible ground motion scenarios for a specific fault. The earthquake source and rupture dynamics can be described as a two-step process of rupture initiation and front propagation controlled by a frictional sliding mechanism. The seismic wavefield propagates through heterogeneous geological media and finally undergoes near-surface modulations such as amplification or deamplification. This is a complex system in which various scales of physical phenomena are integrated. A unified approach incorporates multi-scale problems of dynamic rupture, radiated wave propagation, and site effects into an all-in-one model using a three-dimensional, fourth-order, staggered-grid, finite-difference method. The method explains strong ground motions as products of complex systems that can be modified according to a variety of fine-scale rupture scenarios and friction models. A series of such deterministic earthquake scenarios can shed light on the kind of damage that would result and where it would be located.