• 응용통계연구
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.71-80
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• 2001

로지스틱 회귀모형은 이항 반응자료에 대한 가장 보편적인 일반화 선형모형으로 독립변수에 대한 확률함수를 추정하는데 이용된다. 많은 실제적 상황에서 확률함수가 종형의 곡선형태로 표현되는데 이 경우에는 2차항을 포함한 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 분석은 대칭성을 갖는 확률함수에 대한 가정으로 인해 비대칭 형태의 종형곡선에서는 확률함수의 신뢰성이 저하되고, 2차항을 포함하기 때문에 독립변수의 효과를 설명하기가 쉽지 않다는 제한점을 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제점을 해소하기 위해서 로지스틱 회귀분석과 반복적 이분법을 이용하여 종형의 형태에 관계없이 확률곡선을 추정하는 방법론을 제안하고 모의 실험을 통해 2차항을 포함한 로지스틱 회귀모형과 비교하고자 한다.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.93-101
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• 2007

Aluminum alloy which is one of the light materials has been tried to apply to light weight vehicle body. In order to do that, welding technology is very important. In case of the aluminum laser welding, the strength of welded part is reduced due to porosity, underfill, and magnesium loss. To overcome these problems, laser welding of aluminum with filler wire was suggested. In this study, experiment about laser welding of AA5182 aluminum alloy with AA5356 filler wire was performed according to process parameters such as laser power, welding speed and wire feed rate. The tensile strength was measured to find the weldability of laser welding with filler wire. The models to estimate tensile strength were suggested using three regression models and one neural network model. For regression models, one was the multiple linear regression model, another was the second order polynomial regression model, and the other was the multiple nonlinear regression model. Neural network model with 2 hidden layers which had 5 and 3 nodes respectively was investigated to find the most suitable model for the system. Estimation performance was evaluated for each model using the average error rate. Among the three regression models, the second order polynomial regression model had the best estimation performance. For all models, neural network model has the best estimation performance.

• 동력기계공학회지
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.70-77
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• 2015

Nowadays, car manufacturers applied many high strength steels such AHSS or UHSS to car bodies for weight lightening. Therefore, a variety of applied steel sheet to car bodies increased and the needs of simulation to evaluate weldability also increased in order to reduce the cost and time. In this study, resistance spot welding simulations for DP 780 Steel with 1.0 and 1.4 mm thickness were conducted with respect to lobe curve. 2 regression models to estimate tensile shear strength were suggested and they were second order polynomial regression model and optimized second order regression model. The performance of these models was evaluated in terms of the coefficient of determinant and average error rate.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.527-538
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• 2019

This paper considers the issue of obtaining the optimal design in Poisson regression model when the sample size is small. Poisson regression model is widely used for the analysis of count data. Asymptotic theory provides the basis for making inference on the parameters in this model. However, for small size experiments, asymptotic approximations, such as unbiasedness, may not be valid. Therefore, first, we employ the second order expansion of the bias of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and derive the mean square error (MSE) of MLE to measure the quality of an estimator. We then define DM-optimality criterion, which is based on a function of the MSE. This criterion is applied to obtain locally optimal designs for small size experiments. The effect of sample size on the obtained designs are shown. We also obtain locally DM-optimal designs for some special cases of the model.

• Carbon letters
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.181-187
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• 2008

Batch sorption experiments were carried out for the removal of metylene blue from its aqueous solution using $H_3PO_4$ activated Acacia arabica carbon (AAC). The prepared activated carbon was characterized and was found as an effective adsorbent material. The operating variables studied were initial metylene blue concentration, AAC concentration and solution pH. AAC activated carbon posses a maximum sorption capacity for the range of initial dye concentrations studied (60~100 mg $L^{-1}$). The sorption kinetics were analyzed using reversible first order kinetics, second order, reversible first order, pseudo-first order, and pseudo-second order model. The sorption data tend to fit very well in pseudo-second order model for the entire sorption time. The average pseudo-second order rate constant, $K_{II}$ and regression coefficient value were determined to be 0.0174 mg $g^{-1}$ $min^{-1}$ and 0.9977. The biosorption process also fit well to reversible I order kinetics with a regression coefficient of 0.9878.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.8-13
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• 2015

The experimental design methodology was applied in the drop tube furnace (DTF) to predict the various combustion properties according to the operating conditions and to assess the coal plant safety. Response surface method (RSM) was introduced as a design of experiment, and the database for RSM was set with the numerical simulation of DTF. The dependent variables such as burnout ratios (BOR) of coal and $CO/CO_2$ ratios were mathematically described as a function of three independent variables (coal particle size, carrier gas flow rate, wall temperature) being modeled by the use of the central composite design (CCD), and evaluated using a second-order polynomial multiple regression model. The prediction of BOR showed a high coefficient of determination (R2) value, thus ensuring a satisfactory adjustment of the second-order polynomial multiple regression model with the simulation data. However, $CO/CO_2$ ratio had a big difference between calculated values and predicted values using conventional RSM, which might be mainly due to the dependent variable increses or decrease very steeply, and hence the second order polynomial cannot follow the rates. To relax the increasing rate of dependent variable, $CO/CO_2$ ratio was taken as common logarithms and worked again with RSM. The application of logarithms in the transformation of dependent variables showed that the accuracy was highly enhanced and predicted the simulation data well.

• 무역학회지
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.69-88
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• 2022

This paper aims to predict Busan's regional product and employment using the logistic regression models and machine learning models. The following are the main findings of the empirical analysis. First, the OLS regression model shows that the main industries such as electricity and electronics, machine and transport, and finance and insurance affect the Busan's income positively. Second, the binomial logistic regression models show that the Busan's strategic industries such as the future transport machinery, life-care, and smart marine industries contribute on the Busan's income in large order. Third, the multinomial logistic regression models show that the Korea's main industries such as the precise machinery, transport equipment, and machinery influence the Busan's economy positively. And Korea's exports and the depreciation can affect Busan's economy more positively at the higher employment level. Fourth, the voting ensemble model show the higher predictive power than artificial neural network model and support vector machine models. Furthermore, the gradient boosting model and the random forest show the higher predictive power than the voting model in large order.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제36권4호
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• pp.557-578
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• 2007

In Response Surface Methodology (RSM), rotatability is a natural and highly desirable property. For second order general correlated regression model, the concept of robust rotatability was introduced by Das (1997). In this paper a new measure of robust rotatability for second order response surface designs with correlated errors is developed and illustrated with an example. A comparison is made between the newly developed measure with the previously suggested measure by Das (1999).

• 한국레이저가공학회지
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.7-12
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• 2010

In this study, laser welding of aluminum AA5182 with AA5356 filler wire was carried out and the formability of the weld joint was evaluated through Erichsen test according to laser power, welding speed and wire feed rate. Fracture was occurred in both directions, perpendicular and parallel to the weld line at 0.75 of Erichsen ratio. Second order Regression model to estimate Erichsen ratio with experimental variables was proposed and the performance of model was evaluated with F-test and average error rate.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회 2006년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.531-534
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• 2006

Response surface methodology (RSM) is a useful collection of experimentation techniques for developing, improving, and optimizing products and processes. When we are to estimate second-order regression model and optimize quality characteristic by RSM, central composite designs and Box-Behnken designs are widely in use. However, in developing cutting-edge products, it is very crucial to reduce the time of experimentation as much as possible. In this paper small-sized second-order designs are introduced and their estimation abilities are compared in terms of D-optimality, A-optimality, and variance of regression coefficients, ease of experimentation, number of experiments. Then we present a guideline of using specific designs for specific experimentation circumstances. The result of this study will be beneficial to experimenters who face experiments which are expensive, difficult, or time-consuming.