• Title/Summary/Keyword: Seasonal trend

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Hierarchical Smoothing Technique by Empirical Mode Decomposition (경험적 모드분해법에 기초한 계층적 평활방법)

  • Kim Dong-Hoh;Oh Hee-Seok
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.319-330
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    • 2006
  • A signal in real world usually composes of multiple signals having different scales of frequencies. For example sun-spot data is fluctuated over 11 year and 85 year. Economic data is supposed to be compound of seasonal component, cyclic component and long-term trend. Decomposition of the signal is one of the main topics in time series analysis. However when the signal is subject to nonstationarity, traditional time series analysis such as spectral analysis is not suitable. Huang et. at(1998) proposed data-adaptive method called empirical mode decomposition (EMD) . Due to its robustness to nonstationarity, EMD has been applied to various fields. Huang et. at, however, have not considered denoising when data is contaminated by error. In this paper we propose efficient denoising method utilizing cross-validation.

Seasonal Changes in the Carbon and Nitrogen Contents of Zostera marina Populations in the Intertidal and Subtidal Zones of the Seomjin Estuary, Korea (섬진강 하구의 조간대와 조하대에 자생하는 거머리말(Zostera marina)의 탄소와 질소 성분의 계절변화)

  • Kim, Jeong-Bae;Park, Jung-Im;Lee, Won-Chan;Lee, Kun-Seop
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2012
  • To study the difference in growth characteristics between intertidal and subtidal eelgrass Zostera marina populations, environmental factors and changes in tissue carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) contents in eelgrass from the lower intertidal and upper subtidal zones were surveyed monthly in the Seomjin Estuary from May 2003 to December 2004. Water temperatures, water column nutrient concentrations, sediment pore water, and ammonium and phosphate concentrations showed no significant differences between intertidal and subtidal zones. Sediment pore water nitrate+nitrite concentrations were slightly higher in the intertidal zone than in the subtidal zone. Average monthly exposure times in the intertidal and subtidal zones were $42.4{\pm}5.8h\;month^{-1}$ and $15.3{\pm}3.5h\;month^{-1}$, respectively. Eelgrass leaf N content decreased from March to August and increased from September to February in the subtidal zone, whereas these trends were not observed in the intertidal zone. Eelgrass rhizome C content increased from April to September and decreased from October to March in the subtidal zone, whereas those tendencies were not recorded in the intertidal zone. Eelgrass rhizome C:N ratios showed a strong reverse trend to leaf C:N ratios in the subtidal zone, but these tendencies were not observed in the intertidal zone. The effects of exposure appeared to cause no seasonal trend in eelgrass tissue C and N content or C:N ratios in the intertidal zone in the Seomjin Estuary.

Growth Dynamics and Carbon Incorporation of the Seagrass, Zostera marina L. in Jindong Bay and Gamak Bay on the Southern Coast of Korea (진동만과 가막만에 서식하는 잘피 개체군의 생장 동태 및 탄소고정량 추정)

  • Kim, Tae-Hwan;Rark, Sang-Rul;Kim, Young-Kyun;Kim, Jong-Hyeob;Kim, Seung-Hyeon;Kim, Jeong-Ha;Chung, Ik-Kyo;Lee, Kun-Seop
    • ALGAE
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2008
  • Since seagrasses in the coastal and estuarine ecosystems achieve high levels of production, they require high inorganic carbon and nutrient incorporation. Thus, seagrasses may play a significant role in carbon and nutrient cycling in the coastal and estuarine ecosystems. To examine growth dynamics of Zostera marina L. environmental factors such as underwater irradiance, water temperature, and salinity, and biological parameters such as shoot density, biomass, shoot morphology, and leaf productivity were measured in two bay systems (Jindong Bay and Gamak Bay) on the southern coast of Korea. While underwater irradiance did not show distinct seasonal trend, water temperature at both sites exhibited clear seasonal trend throughout the experimental period. Shoot density increased dramatically during winter due to the increased seedlings through germination of seeds in Jindong Bay and due to the increased lateral shoots in Gamak Bay. Eelgrass biomass increased during winter and decreased during summer. Maximum biomass in Jindong Bay and Gamak Bay was 250.2 and 232.3 g dry weight m–a2, respectively. Carbon incorporation into the eelgrass leaf tissues was estimated from productivity and leaf tissues carbon content. The calculated annual carbon incorporations at the Jindong Bay and Gamak Bay sites were 163 and 295 g C m–`2 y–`1, respectively. This high carbon incorporation into seagrass tissues suggests that seagrass habitats play an important role as a carbon absorber in the coastal and estuarine ecosystems.

X11ARIMA Procedure (한국형 X11ARIMA 프로시져에 관한 연구)

  • 박유성;최현희
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.335-350
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    • 1998
  • X11ARIMA is established on the basis of X11 which is one of smoothing approach in time series area and this procedure was introduced by Bureau of Census of United States and developed by Dagum(1975). This procedure had been updated and adjusted by Dagum(1988) with 174 economic index of North America and has been used until nowadays. Recently, X12ARIMA procedure has been studied by William Bell et.al. (1995) and Chen. & Findly(1995) whose approaches adapt adjusting outliers, Trend-change effects, seasonal effect, arid Calender effect. However, both of these procedures were implemented for correct adjusting the economic index of North America. This article starts with providing some appropriate and effective ARIMA model for 102 indexes produced by national statistical office in Korea; which consists of production(21), shipping(27), stock(27), and operating rate index(21). And a reasonable smoothing method will be proposed to reflect the specificity of Korean economy using several moving average model. In addition, Sulnal(lunar happy new year) and Chusuk effects will be extracted from the indexes above and both of effects reflect contribution of lunar calender effect. Finally, we will discuss an alternative way to estimate holiday effect which is similar to X12ARIMA procedure in concept of using both of ARIMA model and Regression model for the best fitness.

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Changes in the Winter-Spring Center Timing over Upper Indus River Basin in Pakistan

  • Ali, Shahid;Kam, Jonghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.372-372
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    • 2021
  • The agriculture sector plays a vital role in the economy of Pakistan by contributing about 20% of the GDP and 42% of the labor force. Rivers from the top of Himalayas are the major water resources for this agriculture sector. Recent reports have found that Pakistan is one of the most vulnerable country to climate change that can cause water scarcity which is a big challenge to the communities. Previous studies have investigated the impact of climate change on the trend of streamflow, but the understanding of seasonal change in the regional hydrologic regimes remained limited. Therefore, a better understanding of the seasonal hydrologic change will help cope with the future water scarcity issue. In this study, we used the daily stream flow data for four major river basins of Pakistan (Chenab, Indus, Jhelum and Kabul) over 1962 - 2019. Utilizing these daily river discharge data, we calculated the winter-spring center time and the summer-autumn center times. In this study Winter-spring center time (WSCT) is defined as the day of the calendar year during which half of the total six months (Jan-Jun) discharge volume was exceeded. Results show that the four river basins experienced a statistically significant decreasing trend of WSCT, that is the center time keeps coming earlier compared to the past. We further used the Climate Research Unit (CRU) climate data comprising of the average temperature and precipitation for the four basins and found that the increasing average temperature value causes the early melting of the snow covers and glaciers that resulted in the decreasing of 1st center time value by 4 to 8 days. The findings of this study informs an alarming situation for the agriculture sector specifically.

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A Study on the Change of Humidity by City Size in South Korea (한국의 도시 규모별 습도 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Myungchan;Lee, Seungho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.19-36
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    • 2013
  • This study aimed to investigate the change of humidity by city size in South Korea. Using daily mean relative humidity and water vapor pressure during the period of 1954~2011 for 14 weather stations in South Korea, the change of humidity by city size was analyzed. The change of relative humidity had a continuous decreasing trend for the period of 1954~2011. The decreasing trend in large city was bigger than these of rural one. The seasonal relative humidity was significantly changed in spring and winter. The change of water vapor pressure was rarely changed significance of the results by city size. It was not shown the result to constant trend by city size. There was a negative correlation between relative humidity and mean temperature. And change of relative humidity was correlated with city size. Moreover, there was not correlation between relative humidity and water vapor pressure by city size. The decreasing trend of relative humidity was similar to increasing trend of temperature by urbanization. However, there was not shown significant result of water vapor pressure.

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The Regional Characteristics of Daily Precipitation Intensity in Korea for Recent 30 Years (최근 30년간 한반도 일 강수강도의 지역적 특성)

  • Kim Eun-Hee;Kim Maeng-Ki;Lee Woo-Seop
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.404-416
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    • 2005
  • The seasonal and regional distribution of precipitation in Korea, terms of the amount of precipitation per day, number of days, and intensity was analyzed using precipitation data from 1971 to 2000. The significance level of the linear trend of these data was also investigated using the analysis of variance of each variable. The amount of precipitation per day less than 80 mm per day appeared in the Honam area which also shows a large number of precipitation day value during the fall and winter. However, the lowest amuont of precipitation per day was shown in the Youngnam area. The positive trend of the annual precipitation amount has also been detected in all stations except for a few station in Honam, and the positive trend of precipitation intensity is statistically significant in most of the stations at the Chungcheong and Gyeonggi area. The linear trend of precipitation intensity in these area is found to be significant at the $5\%$ level.

An Analysis on the Color Trend of Street Fashion in Dalian, China(paper no. 2) - Focused on 2010 Winter, Compare with the Chinese Traditional Color Preference - (중국(中國) 동북지역 다롄시 스트리트 패션에 나타난 컬러트렌드 분석(分析)(제2보) - 2010 겨울, 중국의 전통 색채감정과의 비교를 중심으로 -)

  • Bae, Soo-Jeong
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.161-177
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this research is to analyze the effect of the traditional color sentiment on the contemporary clothing color by researching the street fashion of 2010 Winter season of Dalian in China, in view of the clothing color of women in their 20-30 years of age, along with traditional Chinese color. This is the 2nd paper following the paper no. 1, focusing on 2010 Summer season, so the research method is same as the paper no. 1. As a result, Black and deep tone PB color most frequently appeared. The vivid and strong tone of R, YR, Y color showed high frequency of clothing colors. This results illustrate that the clothing color choices of Chinese women was affected by Chinese traditional color sentiment rather than the international color trend. Characteristically, in winter season, frequency of R and Y color categories were higher than in summer season, specially in the top and accessories color, those colors showed higher frequency than the other colors. These were the important points in dealing with winter color trend, so that the fashion company and brands should take it an important points when they are planning winter clothing colors. The achromatic colors show the high frequency in both seasons. The bottom color shows high incidence of Black and deep tone of PB color categories as in the previous researches. That means consistent color trend existed in Dalian city, however it does not seem to have its origin from traditional Chinese color preferences. This kinds of regional and seasonal research might contribute to finding the basic informations about the design and marketing strategies to launch into the Chinese fashion market.

Analysis of the Spatial Distribution of Pan Evaporation Trends (Pan 증발량 추세분포 분석)

  • Rim, Chang-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3B
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    • pp.243-255
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    • 2010
  • The spatial distribution of pan evaporation and pan evaporation trends have been studied. In this study, pan evaporation data from 1973 to 1990 for 56 climatological stations were analyzed. In addition to annual average daily pan evaporation, monthly average daily pan evaporation in April, July, October and January were analyzed, considering seasonal effect. The study results indicate that in case of annual average daily pan evaporation, 38 stations out of 56 stations show decreasing trend. In case of average daily pan evaporation in January, 33 stations show decreasing trend. In April, 38 stations show increasing trend. In July, 47 stations show decreasing trend. In October, 35 stations show increasing trend. Therefore, on the whole, pan evaporation tended to decrease in January, July, and annual basis. On the other hand, pan evaporation tended to increase in April and October. Furthermore, pan evaporation trend in each individual region shows also different trend even though the region is located nearby, indicating that there are geographical and topographical effects on pan evaporation trend. Pan evaporation data and climatic data from 1973 to 2006 for 11 climatological stations were used for trend analysis. Climatic variables such as temperature, relative humidity and wind speed show same or opposite trend direction compared with pan evaporation in annual or monthly basis. Annual and monthly solar radiation trends show the same direction compared with pan evaporation; however, annual and monthly precipitation trends show the opposite direction compared with pan evaporation.

An Analysis of Fashion Color Preferences According to Koreans' Personal Color Types (한국인의 개인색채 유형에 따른 패션색채 기호의 분석)

  • Jo, Eun-Young;Yoo, Tai-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.58 no.10
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is according to four Seasonal Color system, the researcher analyzed the Korean Personal color and investigated abstract color preferences and the fashion color preferences to support the Korean color preferences and the rotor recognition trend. The study was conducted according to the following procedures: 144 women from 20s to 50s were selected as participants of the survey and the interview. The fashion color preferences and the personal body color was analyzed by the questionnaire and the interview. The data were analyzed by SPSS 12.0 program. As a way of analysis, crosstabs analysis, correlation analysis, t-test, ANOVA and regression analysis were used. As a results, in the Personal color type of Korean women, it is distributed in the order of spring, summer, winter and autumn. In addition, Light image is highly distributed in the Personal color image. People preferred summer color group in the general color preference and the cosmetic color preference and they preferred winter color type in the clothes color and the suitable color for themselves. In the color recognition, as the color interest increases, the coincidence between suitable color and favorite color increased. The recognition of suitable color, the consideration of color in purchasing and the interest of outward appearances were highly showed.