• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scoring Model

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Multi-criteria Comparative Evaluation of Nuclear Energy Deployment Scenarios With Thermal and Fast Reactors

  • Andrianov, A.A.;Andrianova, O.N.;Kuptsov, I.S.;Svetlichny, L.I.;Utianskaya, T.V.
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2019
  • The paper presents the results of a multi-criteria comparative evaluation of 12 feasible Russian nuclear energy deployment scenarios with thermal and fast reactors in a closed nuclear fuel cycle. The comparative evaluation was performed based on 6 performance indicators and 5 different MCDA methods (Simple Scoring Model, MAVT / MAUT, AHP, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE) in accordance with the recommendations elaborated by the IAEA/INPRO section. It is shown that the use of different MCDA methods to compare the nuclear energy deployment scenarios, despite some differences in the rankings, leads to well-coordinated and similar results. Taking into account the uncertainties in the weights within a multi-attribute model, it was possible to rank the scenarios in the absence of information regarding the relative importance of performance indicators and determine the preference probability for a certain nuclear energy deployment scenario. Based on the results of the uncertainty/sensitivity analysis and additional analysis of alternatives as well as the whole set of graphical and attribute data, it was possible to identify the most promising nuclear energy deployment scenario under the assumptions made.

VALIDATION AND UTILIZATION OF THE SKINTEXTM SYSTEM

  • Gordon, V.C.;Realica, B.;Tolstrup, K.;Puls, B.
    • Journal of the Society of Cosmetic Scientists of Korea
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.64-80
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    • 1991
  • The SKINTEX Method is based on a two-compartment physico-chemical model which includes a Biomembrane Barrier in compartment one and an organized macromolecular matrix in compartment two. Test samples absorb onto or permeate through the keratin/collagen Biomembrane Barrier and then can interact with the organized macromolecular matrix. Changes in the integrity of the barrier release a dye indicator: Changes in the matrix can alter its transparency. The sum of these two responses is read spectrophotometrically at 470nm. An early investigation of 950 chemicals and formulations in the SKINTEX System produced results which were 89% concordance to in vivo Draize dermal irritation results obtained with 24-hour occluded application of test samples with-out abrasion and standard scoring. Alkaline materials were analyzed in a specialized SKINTEX AMA Protocol. In this early study, the model did not distinguish nonirritant test materials and formulation with PDII(Primary Dermal Irritation Index)in the range from 0 to 1.2, A High Sensitivity Assay Protocol(HSA)was developed to amplify the changes in both compartments of this model and provide more accurate calibration of these changes. A study of 60 low irritation test samples including cosmetics, household products, chemicals and petro-chemicals distinguished nonirritants with PDII $\leq$ 0.7 for 26 of 30 nonirritants. A second protocol was developed to evaluate the SKINTEX model predictability with respect to human irritation. The Human Response Assay (HRA )has been optimized based on differences in penetration and irritation responses in humans and rabbits. An additional 32 test materials with different mechanisms and degrees of dermal toxicity were evaluated by the HRA. These in vitro results were 86% concordant to human patch test results. In order to further evaluate this model, a Standard Chemical Labelling (SCL) Protocol was developed to optimize this system to predict Draize dermal irritation results after a 4-hour application of the test material. In a study of 52 chemicals including acids, bases, solvents, salts, surfactants and preservatives, the SCL results demonstrated 85% concordance to Draize results for a 4-hour application of test samples on non-abraded rabbit skin. The SKINTEX System, including three specialized protocols, provided results which demonstrated good correlation to the endpoint of dermal irritation in man and rabbits at different application times.

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Development and Evaluation of a Nutritional Risk Screening Tool (NRST) for Hospitalized Patients (입원환자의 영양불량위험 검색도구의 개발 및 평가)

  • Han, Jin-Soon;Lee, Song-Mi;Chung, Hye-Kyung;Ahn, Hong-Seok;Lee, Seung-Min
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2009
  • Malnutrition of hospitalized patients can adversely affect clinical outcomes and cost. Several nutritional screening tools have been developed to identify patients with malnutrition risk. However, many of those possess practical pitfalls of requiring much time and labor to administer and may not be highly applicable to a Korean population. This study sought to develop and evaluate a Nutrition Risk Screening Tool (NRST) which is simple and quick to administer and widely applicable to Korean hospitalized patients with various diseases. The study was also designed to generate a screening tool predictable of various clinical outcomes and to validate it against the Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS 2002). Electronic medical records of 424 patients hospitalized at a general hospital in Seoul during a 14-month period were abstracted for anthropometric, medical, biochemical, and clinical outcome variables. The study employed a 4-step process consisting of selecting NRST components, searching a scoring scheme, validating against a reference tool, and confirming clinical outcome predictability. NRST components were selected by stepwise multiple regression analysis of each clinical outcome (i.e., hospitalization period, complication, disease progress, and death) on several readily available patient characteristics. Age and serum levels of albumin, hematocrit (Hct), and total lymphocyte count (TLC) remained in the last model for any of 4 dependent variables were decided as NRST components. Odds ratios of malnutrition risk based on NRS 2002 according to levels of the selected components were utilized to frame a scoring scheme of NRST. A NRST score higher than 3.5 was set as a cut-off score for malnutrition risk based on sensitivity and specificity levels against NRS 2002. Lastly differences in clinical outcomes by patients' NRST results were examined. The results showed that the NRST can significantly predict the in-hospital clinical outcomes. It is concluded that the NRST can be useful to simply and quickly screen patients at high-nutritional risk in relation to prospective clinical outcomes.

A Study on Development of the Performance Evaluation Model of Industry-University Cooperation Concentration Professor (산학협력중점교수 업적평가 모형 개발 연구)

  • Son, Chung-Ki;Park, Jung-Hwan;Kim, Young-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.3656-3664
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to help each university for valid performance evaluation and quality control of the Industry-University Cooperation Concentration Professor(IUCCP) through the development of the performance evaluation model of industry-university cooperation concentration professor. To achieve this purpose, researchers were collected and analysis data about the management regulations of IUCCP of 57 university include 51 LINC selected by Ministry of Education and Science-Technology in 2012. Through this process, define the concept of IUCCP and clear a qualification criterion, types and role the each types of IUCCP, and developed the model on performance evaluation of industry-university cooperation concentration professor constructed 4 dimensions consists with evaluation area, evaluation element, evaluation indices, and scoring unit.

Undecided inference using bivariate probit models (이변량 프로빗모형을 이용한 미결정자 추론)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Jung, Mi-Yang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1017-1028
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    • 2011
  • When it is not easy to decide the credit scoring for some loan applicants, credit evaluation is postponded and reserve to ask a specialist for further evaluation of undecided applicants. This undecided inference is one of problems that happen to most statistical models including the biostatistics and sportal statistics as well as credit evaluation area. In this work, the undecided inference is regarded as a missing data mechanism under the assumption of MNAR, and use the bivariate probit model which is one of sample selection models. Two undecided inference methods are proposed: one is to make use of characteristic variables to represent the state for decided applicants, and the other is that more accurate and additional informations are collected and apply these new variables. With an illustrated example, misclassification error rates for undecided and overall applicants are obtainded and compared according to various characteristic variables, undecided intervals, and thresholds. It is found that misclassification error rates could be reduced when the undecided interval is increased and more accurate information is put to model, since more accurate situation of decided applications are reflected in the bivariate probit model.

Developing the credit risk scoring model for overdue student direct loan (학자금 대출 연체의 신용위험 평점 모형 개발)

  • Han, Jun-Tae;Jeong, Jina
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1293-1305
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we develop debt collection predictive models for the person in arrears by utilizing the direct loan data of the Korea Student Aid Foundation. We suggest credit risk scorecards for overdue student direct loan using the developed 3 models. Model 1 is designed for 1 month overdue, Model 2 is designed for 2 months overdue, and Model 3 is designed for overdue over 2 months. Model 1 shows that the major influencing factors for the delinquency are overdue account, due data for payment, balance, household income. Model 2 shows that the major influencing factors for delinquency loan are days in arrears, balance, due date for payment, arrears. Model 3 shows that the major influencing factors for delinquency are the number of overdue in recent 3 months, due data for payment, overdue account, arrears. The debt collection predictive models and credit risk scorecards in this study will be the basis for segmented management service and the call & collection strategies for preventing delinquency.

Research on the Structure and Application of Fuzzy Environmental Impact Assessment Model

  • Tien, Shiaw-Wen;Hsneh, Chia-Hsiang;Chung, Yi-Chan;Tsai, Chih-Hung;Yu, Yih-Huei
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.45-62
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    • 2004
  • Any business activities may have impact on environment to a certain extent. Enterprises must find appropriate approaches to measure the impact on these environmental aspects, which can be used as the basis to direct enterprises' efforts to improve the environmental impact. The method used to evaluate significant factors in life cycle assessment standards is the one most commonly used by enterprises in general to measure environmental impact. By this method, the decisive factors of each environmental aspect are given scores according to the preset scoring standard of the organization. The scores are added up for each aspect and ranked to assess major environmental aspects. The drawback of this assessment method, that is, it ignores the degree to which each of these factors affects the environment, results in poor credibility. Therefore, this study attempts to solve some qualitative problems by applying to fuzzy theory, in particular, by identifying appropriate fuzzy numbers through fuzzy sets and membership function. Moreover, the study seeks to obtain a crisp value in the process of defuzzifization in order to make up for the shortfall of the original method in dealing with relative weight of decisive factors and thus increase its applicability and credibility. The department of light production of an electronics company is used as an example in this study to measure environmental aspects by employing both the traditional significant factor method and the fuzzy environmental impact assessment model proposed in this study. Based on verification and comparison of results, the model proposed in this study is more feasible as it reduces partiality in decision-making by taking the relative weights of decisive factors into consideration.

Concordance Rate Between the Ratings of Clinician and Self Ratings of Worker on a Functional Capacity Evaluation

  • Choi, Bong-sam
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2016
  • Background: Functional capacity evaluations (FCEs) are designed to systematically assess the capacity to perform work-related tasks and to determine worker's ability to return to the previous job following work-related injuries. These evaluations may be rated either by clinician or worker. There has been a lack of consensus between the two scoring methods. Objects: This study aimed: 1) to confirm if the data are fit to the Rasch rating scale model and 2) to investigate the item-level concordance rate between the ratings of clinician and injured worker of the FCE. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted with a sample (n=124) of a rehabilitation program with the Occupational Rehabilitation Data Base for workers with low back pain. The functional capacity evaluation at admission and discharge was administered to clinicians and workers. The data were analyzed using both classical test theory-based Pearson's r and intra-class coefficient followed by item-level analysis with Rasch rating scale model. Results: All items of the FCE, except sitting items rated by clinician at admission and handling items rated by both clinician and worker throughout admission and discharge, were acceptable fit statistics with minor out of ranges for a misfit criterion. This may indicate that the items of the FCE overall fit to the Rasch rating scale model. Few problematic items responding differently to clinician and worker both at admission and discharge were detected with the differential item functioning analysis despite the excellent concordance rate using the two conventional statistics-sitting and handling items at admission and handling item at discharge. Conclusion: The item-level speculations using Rasch analysis of the FCE demonstrate that the ratings of clinician and self ratings of worker were psychometrically acceptable though there was an apparent discrepancy between the raters both at admission and discharge.

Model Development and Implementation of Class Design for Family and Resource Management Using Problem-Based Learning: Focusing on Case Study of "Leisure Culture and Life Management" Class (Problem-Based Learning을 활용한 가족자원경영학 수업모형 개발 및 실시: "여가문화와 생활관리" 수업사례를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Kyoung A;Park, Mee Sok
    • Human Ecology Research
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.669-682
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to present a practical class design model that applies the problem-based learning (PBL) method to the subject of home economics. To begin with, a specific class model example was developed by conducting thorough document research and expert consulting. Two modules, named "Click! Global Leisure Environment" and "Happy Leisure Product Launching" were presented as the PBL questions. The case study focused upon in this research is an elective course called "Leisure Culture and Life Management". The 21 students enrolled in this course were considered in this study. Two teaching methods, namely a face-to-face teaching method and a web-based system "Snowboard" teaching method, were used to run the class. The research results are as follows: first, theoretical research and program development and demonstration were practiced with five different age groups: childhood, adolescence, university student, middle age, and senescence. Then, selfevaluation, peer evaluation, and group evaluation were conducted to motivate the students. Finally, a class evaluation was conducted by questioning the lecturer, who ranked well, scoring higher than or equal to 4.0 points out of 5.0 on all the questions. Through the PBL method, students showed an improved study attitude with more proactive participation in the class, they strengthened their communication skills and created a synergy with their team members. This study has significant meaning because it is the first research to apply the PBL method to home economics. Therefore, we expect other curricula to apply PBL and fully utilize this teaching method as well in the future.

Ecological Assessments of Aquatic Environment using Multi-metric Model in Major Nationwide Stream Watersheds (우리나라 주요하천 수계에서 다변수모델을 이용한 생태학적 수환경 평가)

  • An, Kwang-Guk;Lee, Jae-Yon;Bae, Dae-Yeul;Kim, Ja-Hyun;Hwang, Soon-Jin;Won, Doo-Hee;Lee, Jae-Kwan;Kim, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.796-804
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    • 2006
  • The objective of this research was to develop ecological multi-metric models using natural fish assemblages for a diagnosis of current stream health condition, and apply the model to nationwide lotic ecosystems of the Geum River, the Youngsan River, and the Sumjin River. The ecological stream health model was based on the index of biological integrity (IBI), which was originally developed in North American streams by Karr (1981), and the Rapid Bioassessment Protocol (RBP), which was scientifically established by the US EPA (1999). The metric numbers and metric attributes were partially changed for the regional applications, so the scoring criteria was modified for the assessment. Overall, metric values, based on the IBI calculations, reflected conventional water quality characteristics, based on nutrient regime, and agreed with results of staticeco-toxicity tests. Some stations impaired in terms of stream health were identified by the IBI approach, and also major key stressors affecting the stream health were identified by additional evaluations of physical habitats. Our preliminary results suggested that biological integrity in stream ecosystems was largely disturbed by habitat degradation as well as chemical pollutions. This new approach would be used as a key tool for ecological restorations and species conservations in the degraded aquatic ecosystems in Korea and applied for elucidating major causes of ecological disturbances. Ultimately, this approach provides us an effective management strategy of stream ecosystems through establishments of ecological networks in various watersheds.