• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario-based approach

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Multi-hazard vulnerability modeling: an example of wind and rain vulnerability of mid/high-rise buildings during hurricane events

  • Zhuoxuan Wei;Jean-Paul Pinelli;Kurtis Gurley;Shahid Hamid
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.355-366
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    • 2024
  • Severe natural multi-hazard events can cause damage to infrastructure and economic losses of billions of dollars. The challenges of modeling these losses include dependency between hazards, cause and sequence of loss, and lack of available data. This paper presents and explores multi-hazard loss modeling in the context of the combined wind and rain vulnerability of mid/high-rise buildings during hurricane events. A component-based probabilistic vulnerability model provides the framework to test and contrast two different approaches to treat the multi-hazards: In one, the wind and rain hazard models are both decoupled from the vulnerability model. In the other, only the wind hazard is decoupled, while the rain hazard model is embedded into the vulnerability model. The paper presents the mathematical and conceptual development of each approach, example outputs from each for the same scenario, and a discussion of weaknesses and strengths of each approach.

An Energy-Efficient Self-organizing Hierarchical Sensor Network Model for Vehicle Approach Warning Systems (VAWS) (차량 접근 경고 시스템을 위한 에너지 효율적 자가 구성 센서 네트워크 모델)

  • Shin, Hong-Hyul;Lee, Hyuk-Joon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.118-129
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    • 2008
  • This paper describes an IEEE 802.15.4-based hierarchical sensor network model for a VAWS(Vehicle Approach Warning System) which provides the drivers of vehicles approaching a sharp turn with the information about vehicles approaching the same turn from the opposite end. In the proposed network model, a tree-structured topology, that can prolong the lifetime of network is formed in a self-organizing manner by a topology control protocol. A simple but efficient routing protocol, that creates and maintains routing tables based on the network topology organized by the topology control protocol, transports data packets generated from the sensor nodes to the base station which then forwards it to a display processor. These protocols are designed as a network layer extension to the IEEE 802.15.4 MAC. In the simulation, which models a scenario with a sharp turn, it is shown that the proposed network model achieves a high-level performance in terms of both energy efficiency and throughput simultaneously.

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Dynamic Software Component Composition Based On Aspect-Oriented Programming (관점지향 프로그램 기반의 동적 소프트웨어 컴포넌트 조합 패턴)

  • Bae, Sung-Moon;Park, Chul-Soon;Park, Chun-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.100-105
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    • 2008
  • Cost reduction, time to market, and quality improvement of software product are critical issues to the software companies which try to survive in recent competitive market environments. Software Product Line Engineering (SPLE) is one of the approaches to address these issues. The goal of software product line is to maximize the software reuse and achieve the best productivity with the minimum cost. In software product line, software components are classified into the common and variable modules for composition work. In this paper, we proposed a dynamic composition process based on aspect-oriented programming methodology in which software requirements are classified into the core-concerns and cross-cutting concerns, and then assembled into the final software product. It enables developers to concentrate on the core logics of given problem, not the side-issues of software product such as transactions and logging. We also proposed useful composition patterns based on aspect oriented programming paradigm. Finally, we implemented a prototype of the proposed process using Java and Aspect to show the proposed approach's feasibility. The scenario of the prototype is based on the embedded analysis software of telecommunication devices.

Assessment on Flood Characteristics Changes Using Multi-GCMs Climate Scenario (Multi-GCMs의 기후시나리오를 이용한 홍수특성변화 평가)

  • Son, Kyung-Hwan;Lee, Byong-Ju;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.9
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    • pp.789-799
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this study is to suggest an approach for estimating probability rainfall using climate scenario data based GCM and to analyze changes of flood characteristics like probability rainfall, flood quantile and flood water level under climate change. The study area is Namhan river basin. Probability rainfalls which is taken 1440 minutes duration and 100-year frequency are estimated by using IPCC SRES A2 climate change scenario for each time period (S0: 1971~2000; S1: 2011~2040; S2: 2041~2070; S3: 2071~2100). Flood quantiles are estimated for 17 subbasins and flood water level is analyzed in the main channel from the downstream of Chungju dam to the upstream of Paldang dam. Probability rainfalls, peak flow from flood quantile and water depth from flood water level have increase rate in the range of 13.0~15.1 % based S0 (142.1 mm), 29.1~33.5% based S0 ($20,708\;m^3/s$), 12.6~13.6% in each S1, S2 and S3 period, respectively.

Energy Scenarios and the Politics of Expertise in Korea (한국의 에너지 시나리오와 전문성의 정치)

  • Han, Jae-Kak;Lee, Young Hee
    • Journal of Science and Technology Studies
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.107-144
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    • 2012
  • Recently concerns on the energy future are rising in Korea after nuclear disaster of Fukushima in Japan last year. However, even after Fukushima disaster Korean government keeps on insisting nuclear oriented energy policy. Contrary to it, some of civil society's organizations(CSOs) including environment groups and progressive political parties are making strong voices for phase-out nuclear. As a way of phase-out nuclear activity researcher groups based on CSOs have presented several alternative energy scenarios against the official government scenario so that contest between the two senarios seems not to be avoided. This article aims to analyse the politics of expertise around energy scenarios in Korea by highlighting differences between two scenarios of government and CSOs in terms of epistemological and methodological base, value orientation, institutional foundation, and the socio-political contexts of scenarios. Our research shows that government's energy scenario is based on scientific-positivist epistemology, firm belief in value neutrality and forecasting method, and is built by neo-classical economists at government-sponsored research institutes in accordance with the 'Business As Usual' approach. In contrast, alternative scenarios of CSOs can be said to be based on epistemological constructivism, value oriented attitudes and backcasting method, and be built by collaboration of researchers and activists with different academic and social backgrounds after Fukushima nuclear disaster.

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A Scalable Multicasting with Group Mobility Support in Mobile Ad Hoc Networks

  • Kim, Kap-Dong;Lee, Kwang-Il;Park, Jun-Hee;Kim, Sang-Ha
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2007
  • In mobile ad hoc networks, an application scenario requires mostly collaborative mobility behavior. The key problem of those applications is scalability with regard to the number of multicast members as well as the number of the multicast group. To enhance scalability with group mobility, we have proposed a multicast protocol based on a new framework for hierarchical multicasting that is suitable for the group mobility model in MANET. The key design goal of this protocol is to solve the problem of reflecting the node's mobility in the overlay multicast tree, the efficient data delivery within the sub-group with group mobility support, and the scalability problem for the large multicast group size. The results obtained through simulations show that our approach supports scalability and efficient data transmission utilizing the characteristic of group mobility.

AN IMPROVED ADDITIVE MODEL FOR RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF SOFTWARE WITH MODULAR STRUCTURE

  • Chatterjee, S.;Nigam, S.;Singh, J.B.;Upadhyaya, L.N.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.30 no.3_4
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    • pp.489-498
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    • 2012
  • Most of the software reliability models are based on black box approach and these models consider the entire software system as a single unit. Present day software development process has changed a lot. In present scenario these models may not give better results. To overcome this problem an improved additive model has been proposed in this paper, to estimate the reliability of software with modular structure. Also the concept of imperfect debugging has been also considered. A maximum likelihood estimation technique has been used for estimating the model parameters. Comparison has been made with an existing model. ${\chi}^2$ goodness of fit has been used for model fitting. The proposed model has been validated using real data.

Analysis of marine accident probability in Mokpo waterways

  • Kim, Kwang-Il;Park, Gye-Kark;Jeong, Jung-Sik
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.9
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    • pp.729-733
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    • 2011
  • The maritime risk assessment is important not only to evaluate the safety level of the ports and waterways but also to reduce potential maritime accidents at sea in terms of the proactive measures of the maritime accidents. In this paper, the collision risk assessment in Mokpo waterways has been carried out based on the IALA recommended model, IWRAP. To evaluate the accident probabilities in Mokpo waterways, all data of vessels were collected from AIS and Radar observations data and the computer simulations were carried out. To assess the risk on the traffic, the scenario-base approach has been applied to the Mokpo waterway by using the maritime accident statics over the past 5 years.

A Study on Interference Analysis of PCS BS affecting to IMT-2000 FDD BS, depending on Service Environments (서비스 환경에 따른 PCS기지국에서 IMT-2000 FDD 기지국으로의 간섭분석 연구)

  • 송영중;이일근
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.67-70
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, an interference analyzer for communication and/or broadcasting services is developed and presented based on Monte Carlo technique, which is now under study in the International Telecommunication Union(ITU). Monte Carlo technology is a statistical approach which functions by considering many trials. For each simulation trial, a scenario is built up using a number of different random variables, such as signal and interference strengths, transmitting and receiving antenna heights, antenna gains, etc.. Furthermore, this paper shows and application example of the analyzer to examine interference influence of the PCS(IS-95) base stations affecting to the IMT-2000 FDD base station, depending on serveral service environments like rural, suburban, and urban areas. The wave propagation model used in this simulation is the modified Hata model, which is known to the suitable to Korean environments.

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Automatic Musical Fountain Scenario Generation using Example-based approach (예제기반 방식을 이용한 자동 음악분수 시나리오 생성)

  • Yoo, Min-Joon;Lee, In-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.06b
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    • pp.135-140
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    • 2008
  • 최근 주변에서 다양한 음악분수를 찾아볼 수 있다. 음악분수의 연출을 위해서는 음악과 동기화되는 물의 움직임을 정의하는 음악분수 시나리오가 요구된다. 하지만 일반적으로 이러한 시나리오는 전문가들에 의하여 생성되기 때문에, 비용적인 문제로 인하여 다양한 음악에 대한 시나리오가 생성되지 못하고 있는 현실이다. 본 논문에서는 예제 기반 방식을 이용하여 자동으로 음악 분수의 시나리오를 생성하는 방법을 제안한다. 즉 기존에 전문가들에 의하여 생성되었던 음악분수의 시나리오를 분석하여 데이터베이스화 시킨 후, 이를 새롭게 합성하여 시나리오를 생성한다. 또한 음악분수 시나리오 생성에서 중요하게 요구되는 음악과 물 모양의 동기화를 위하여 본 논문에서는 임의의 음악이 들어왔을 때, 이 음악의 비트를 추출한 후 비트를 단위로 시나리오를 합성하게 된다. 사용자 실험결과 본 기술에 의하여 자동 생성된 시나리오는 전문가가 생성한 시나리오와 큰 차이가 나지 않음을 알 수 있었다. 본 기술을 이용하면 음악분수 시나리오를 생성할 때 요구되는 시간을 크게 줄일 수 있으며, 이로 인해 음악분수의 유지비용을 크게 절감할 수 있다.

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