• 한국토양비료학회지
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• 제46권6호
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• pp.434-444
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• 2013

In order to evaluate drought risk at upland according to climate change scenario (RCP8.5), we have carried out the simulation using agricultural water balance estimation model, called AFKAE0.5, at 66 weather station sites in 2020, 2046, 2050, 2084, and 2090. Total Drought Risk Index between the first month (f) and last month (l) (TDRI(f/l)) and maximum continuous drought risk index (MCDRI(f/l)) were defined as the index for analyzing pattern and strength of drought simulated by the model. Based on distribution maps of MCDRI (1/12), drought strength was predicted to be most severe in 2084 for all regions. Some regions showed severe risk of drought meaning over 20 days of MCDRI (1/12) in the other years, while MCDRI (1/12) in other regions did not reach 5 days. Even though maximum value of TDRI (1/12) in 2090 was greater than in 2050, more severe drought risk in 2050 than in 2090 was predicted based on MCDRI (4/6). It implies that drought risk should be assessed for each crop with its own growing season.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.445-457
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• 2020

An ultra-high voltage (UHV) transmission system has the advantages of low circuitry loss, high bulk capacity and long-distance transmission capabilities over conventional transmission systems, but it is easier for this system to cross fault rupture zones and become damaged during earthquakes. This paper experimentally and numerically investigates the seismic responses and collapse failure of a UHV transmission tower-line system crossing a fault. A 1:25 reduced-scale model is constructed and tested by using shaking tables to evaluate the influence of the forward-directivity and fling-step effects on the responses of suspension-type towers. Furthermore, the collapse failure tests of the system under specific cross-fault scenarios are carried out. The corresponding finite element (FE) model is established in ABAQUS software and verified based on the Tian-Ma-Qu material model. The results reveal that the seismic responses of the transmission system under the cross-fault scenario are larger than those under the near-fault scenario, and the permanent ground displacements in the fling-step ground motions tend to magnify the seismic responses of the fault-crossing transmission system. The critical collapse peak ground acceleration (PGA), failure mode and weak position determined by the model experiment and numerical simulation are in relatively good agreement. The sequential failure of the members in Segments 4 and 5 leads to the collapse of the entire model, whereas other segments basically remain in the intact state.

• 한국방재안전학회논문집
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.9-21
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• 2021

최근 신재생 에너지를 활용한 친환경 발전시설의 중요성이 대두되고 있으며 수력발전소는 매우 중요한 전력생산 및 공급원이다. 수력발전소는 일반적으로 대규모로 운용되고 다중 시설이 연계되어 있어 안전성 확보가 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 수력플랜트 설비의 안전성을 평가하기 위해 시나리오 기반의 수충격에 따른 수압관로의 취약성 평가를 수행하였다. 자체 개발한 수충격 해석모델(TRANSHAM)과 기존 상용모델(SIMSEN)의 모의결과 및 모니터링 자료와의 비교를 통해 해석모델의 신뢰성을 검증하였고, 실제 운영중인 수력플랜트에 적용하여 발전설비 운영 중에 발생 가능한 수충격 시나리오를 구성하였다. 이를 바탕으로 시나리오 기반의 수압관로의 수충격 해석 및 취약성 평가를 수행하였다. 내·외부 로딩조건을 고려한 시나리오별 모의 결과, 발전설비 운영에 따라 수압관로의 취약성이 상이하게 나타났으며 내·외부 로딩조건의 조합에 따라 수압관로의 취약성에 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 예측되었다. 본 연구에서 제시한 시나리오 기반의 해석기법은 향후 수충격에 따른 발전설비의 취약성을 평가하는데 정량적인 도구로 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.67-82
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• 2013

본 논문은 공학급 국방 모델의 시뮬레이션 성능 향상을 위해 다중 충실도(Multi-fidelity) 모델링 시뮬레이션(M&S: Modeling and Simulation) 기법을 제안한다. 제안하는 기법은 다양한 충실도를 지닌 모델을 활용하여 고 충실도 모델의 시뮬레이션과 비교하여 유사한 수준의 시스템 분석 결과를 얻음과 동시에 시뮬레이션 성능 측면에서 이득을 가져오는 방안이다. 다중 충실도 원리를 적용하기 위해 본 논문은 충실도를 모델 동작과 실행 측면으로 세분화하고, 충실도 변환 지점을 FCP (Fidelity Change Point)로 정의한다. 이러한 원리를 바탕으로 본 논문은 다음의 세 가지 쟁점을 다룬다. 먼저, 모델 동작과 실행 측면의 충실도 변환을 위한 모델 구조와 제안하는 모델에 대한 수학적 형식론, 마지막으로 모델 실행을 위한 시뮬레이션 알고리즘을 제안한다. 사례 연구로 어뢰의 표적 추적 시나리오에 대한 기초 실험을 수행하였고, 실험 결과 제안하는 기법을 사용한 경우 기존의 시뮬레이션과 비교하여 최대 4.24배의 시뮬레이션 성능 향상을 보임을 확인하였다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 기법은 M&S 기반의 시스템 분석을 하는 다양한 분야에서 활용될 수 있음을 기대한다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제40권4호
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• pp.211-220
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• 2017

The application of the theoretical model to real assembly lines has been one of the biggest challenges for researchers and industrial engineers. There should be some realistic approach to achieve the conflicting objectives on real systems. Therefore, in this paper, a model is developed to synchronize a real system (A discrete event simulation model) with a theoretical model (An optimization model). This synchronization will enable the realistic optimization of systems. A job assignment model of the assembly line is formulated for the evaluation of proposed realistic optimization to achieve multiple conflicting objectives. The objectives, fluctuation in cycle time, throughput, labor cost, energy cost, teamwork and deviation in the skill level of operators have been modeled mathematically. To solve the formulated mathematical model, a multi-objective simulation integrated hybrid genetic algorithm (MO-SHGA) is proposed. In MO-SHGA each individual in each population acts as an input scenario of simulation. Also, it is very difficult to assign weights to the objective function in the traditional multi-objective GA because of pareto fronts. Therefore, we have proposed a probabilistic based linearization and multi-objective to single objective conversion method at population evolution phase. The performance of MO-SHGA is evaluated with the standard multi-objective genetic algorithm (MO-GA) with both deterministic and stochastic data settings. A case study of the goalkeeping gloves assembly line is also presented as a numerical example which is solved using MO-SHGA and MO-GA. The proposed research is useful for the development of synchronized human based assembly lines for real time monitoring, optimization, and control.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.137-144
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• 2009

EPCIS(EPC Information Services) system is a core component of EPCglobal Architecture Framework offering information of the freights, the time of awareness and the location of awareness on the EPCglobal Network. The role of EPCIS is to exchange information based on EPC. There are four kinds of event data which are object event data, aggregation event data, quantity event data, and transaction event data. These EPCIS events data are stored and managed in EPCIS repository. This study suggest the quantitative modeling about total number of EPCIS event data under the assumption to aware the RFID tags of items, cases(boxes), vehicles(carriers, forklifts, auto guided vehicles, rolltainers) at a time on the reading points. We also estimate the number of created EPCIS event data by the suggested quantitative modeling under scenario of process in the integrated logistics center based on RFID system And this study compare the TO-BE model with the AS-IS model about the total sizes of created EPCIS event data using the simulation, in which we suggested the TO-BE model as the development of the repository by skipping the overlapped records.

• 한국철도학회논문집
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.100-107
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• 2003

This paper presents development of train performance simulation(TPS) program to analyze traction performance, braking performance and energy consumption for Korea high speed railway system. The conventional TPS program have some inconveniences such as DOS-based platform, user interface and limited function. The simulation technique model using scenario menu, various analysis function and object-oriented design/programming is presented. This simulation result have been compared with Alstom's for the Seoul-Pusan High Speed Rail Project.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제54권2호
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• pp.77-86
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• 2012

This study was aim to predict future land-cover changes and to analyze regional land-cover changes in irrigation areas and agricultural reservoir watersheds under climate change scenario. To simulate the future land-cover under climate change scenario - A1B of the SRES (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios), Dyna-CLUE (Conversion of Land Use Change and its Effects) was applied for modeling of competition among land-use types in relation to socioeconomic and biophysical driving factors. For the study areas, 8 agricultural reservoirs were selected from 8 different provinces covering all around nation. The simulation results from 2010 to 2100 suggested future land-cover changes under the scenario conditions. For Madun reservoir in Gyeonggi-do, total decrease amount of paddy area was a similar amount of 'Base demand scenario' of Water Vision 2020 published by MLTMA (Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs), while the decrease amounts of paddy areas in other sites were less than the amount of 'High demand scenario' of Water Vision 2020. Under A1B scenario, all the land-cover results showed only slight changes in irrigation areas of agricultural reservoirs and most of agricultural reservoir watersheds will be increased continuously for forest areas. This approach could be useful for evaluating and simulating agricultural water demand in relation to land-use changes.

• 산업공학
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2004

In a modern semiconductor device manufacturing industry, statistical bin limits on wafer level test bin data are used for minimizing value added to defective product as well as protecting end customers from potential quality and reliability excursion. Most wafer level test bin data show skewed distributions. By Monte Carlo simulation, this paper evaluates methods and sample size effect regarding determination of statistical bin limits. In the simulation, it is assumed that wafer level test bin data follow the Poisson distribution. Hence, typical shapes of the data distribution can be specified in terms of the distribution's parameter. This study examines three different methods; 1) percentile based methodology; 2) data transformation; and 3) Poisson model fitting. The mean square error is adopted as a performance measure for each simulation scenario. Then, a case study is presented. Results show that the percentile and transformation based methods give more stable statistical bin limits associated with the real dataset. However, with highly skewed distributions, the transformation based method should be used with caution in determining statistical bin limits. When the data are well fitted to a certain probability distribution, the model fitting approach can be used in the determination. As for the sample size effect, the mean square error seems to reduce exponentially according to the sample size.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제50권4호
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• pp.17-24
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• 2008

Exposure risk assessment of pesticide molinate using the RICEWQ model in a rice paddy plot was performed to observe the effects of various water and pesticide management scenarios. Several scenarios were developed to represent the specific water and pesticide management practices of rice cultivation in Korea. The results of the scenario analysis using the RICEWQ model simulation from the previous studies were analysed. The molinate risk for aquatic organisms is evaluated by the ratio of the predicted environmental concentration(PEC) and the predicted no-effect concentration(PNEC). The results showed that the no-effect periods for aquatic organisms for the deep, shallow and very shallow irrigation conditions were 33.3, 28.9 and 25.6 DATs for the lable rate application and 36.4, 33.7 and 30.8 DATs for the double lable rate application, respectively. The higher application rate showed greater exposure risk to the aquatic organisms. Based on this study, the withholding period of molinate practiced in Korea, that is 3 to 4 DATs, must be much longer. The results of this study can be used for the non-point source pollution control and environmental policy making regarding pesticides.