• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario-based Simulation Model

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A study on estimation of optimal reserves for multi-purpose reservoirs considering climate change (기후변화를 고려한 다목적댐의 적정 예비율 산정 연구)

  • Chae, Heechan;Ji, Jungwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.spc
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    • pp.1127-1134
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    • 2018
  • According to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), climate change increases the frequency of abnormal weather phenomenon. As the frequency of abnormal weather phenomenon increases, frequency of disasters related to water resources such as floods and droughts also increases. Drought is the main factor that directly affects water supply. Recently, the intensity of drought and the frequency of drought occurrence have increased in Korea. So, there is a need for water resource securing technology for stable water supply. Korean Water Plan mentioned that water reserves concept is necessary for stable water supply. Most multi-purpose reservoirs in Korea have emergency storage in addition to conservation storage used for water supply. However, there is no clear use standard for emergency storage. This study investigated the use of reservoir reserves for stable water supply. In order to consider the climate change impact, the AR5-based hydrological scenario was used as inflow data for the reservoir simulation model. Reservoir simulations were carried out in accordance with the utilization conditions of emergency storage and water supply adjustment standard. The optimal reserves for each multi-purpose reservoirs was estimated using simulation results.

An analysis of Flood Inundation using Query and Mathematical Method (Query 및 Mathematical 기법을 이용한 홍수범람 해석)

  • Jeong, Ha-Ok;Park, Sang-Woo;Choo, Tai-Ho;Park, Kun-Chul
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2010
  • In this study, it has been intended to present the ways to improve some problems such as the difficulty of using the program which had got from the existing study, the computation and application of a lot of parameter and the complicated processing which need to be more simplified. Also It has been tried to bring up the ways to make a flood inundation map and a detailed inundation analysis which could reduce the risk factors. We selected an Anseong-Cheon basin, and wrote a flood inundation scenario based on extreme flood to exceed the planned frequency to consider only overflow and levee break and executed inundation simulation. Researchers conducted an analysis of overflow and levee break using function of HEC-RAS Storage with a One-Dimensional model. It applied Elevation versus Volume Curve for more correct inundation simulation than a method of Area-Time-Depth which used in popular. This study will suggest a mathematical method of SURFER with a little difference of inundation area more simplified and precise flood inundation than complicated Arcview 3.2a which used Query method of Arcview 3.2a.

A Study on the Introduction of Outsourcing of the Delivery System for the Small Service Industry using Simulation (시뮬레이션을 활용한 소상공 서비스 회사의 배달시스템 외주화 방안 도입에 대한 연구)

  • Gu, Seung-Hwan;Noh, Seung-Min;Jang, Seong-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2013
  • The paper addresses the introduction of outsourcing of delivery service for the small service industries such as delivery based restaurant in order to increase the profit and revenue of the service company, upgrade the delivery satisfaction for the customers, and expand the welfare of the senior people through the work. The chinese restaurants are selected as model service companies, outsourcing of delivery services are suggested for those restaurants and simulation models are developed for all operation systems for them. Some of input data for the simulation are collected from the real world and others are refined through the interview with the field workers. 6 scenarios are established considering the number of deliverers and delivery charges and simulation experiments for each scenario have been done according to the 3 kind of situations of the service companies. The results show that introduction of outsourcing increases the revenue and profit of the service company, decreases the service time for the customers and increases the revenue of the delivery outsourcing company employing the senior people. So delivery outsourcing for the service industries can be considered as a good solution for the welfare problem of the senior people.

Deep Learning-based Antenna Selection Scheme for Millimeter-wave Systems in Urban Micro Cell Scenario (도심 Micro 셀 시나리오에서 밀리미터파 시스템을 위한 딥러닝 기반 안테나 선택 기법)

  • Ju, Sang-Lim;Kim, Nam-Il;Kim, Kyung-Seok
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 2020
  • The millimeter wave that uses the spectrum in the 30GHz~300GHz band has a shorter wavelength due to its high carrier frequency, so it is suitable for Massive MIMO systems because more antennas can be equipped in the base station. However, since an RF chain is required per antenna, hardware cost and power consumption increase as the number of antennas increases. Therefore, in this paper, we investigate antenna selection schemes to solve this problem. In order to solve the problem of high computational complexity in the exhaustive search based antenna selection scheme, we propose a approach of applying deep learning technology. An best antenna combination is predicted using a DNN model capable of classifying multi-classes. By simulation tests, we compare and evaluate the existing antenna selection schemes and the proposed deep learning-based antenna selection scheme.

Design and Analysis of Online Advertising Expenditure Model based on Coupon Download (쿠폰 다운로드를 기준으로 하는 온라인 광고비 모델의 설계 및 분석)

  • Jun, Jung-Ho;Lee, Kyoung-Jun
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2010
  • In offline environment, unlike traditional advertising model through TV, newspaper, and radio, online advertising model draws instantaneous responses from potential consumers and it is convenient to assess. This kind of characteristics of Internet advertising model has driven the growth of advertising model among various Internet business models. There are, conventionally classified, CPM (Cost Per Mile), CPC (Cost Per Click), and CPS (Cost Per Sales) models as Internet advertising expenditure model. These can be examined in manners regarding risks that stakeholders should stand and degree of responsibility. CPM model that is based on number of advertisement exposure is mechanically exposed to users but not actually recognized by users resulting in risk of wasted expenditure by advertisers without any advertising effect. While on aspect of media, CPS model that is based on conversion action is the most risky model because of the conversion action such as product purchase is determined by capability of advertisers not that of media. In this regard, while there are issue of CPM and CPS models disadvantageously affecting only one side of Internet advertising business model value network, CPC model has been evaluated as reasonable both to advertisers and media, and occupied the largest segment of Internet advertising market. However, CPC model also can cause fraudulent behavior such as click fraud because of the competition or dishonest amount of advertising expenditure. On the user aspect, unintentionally accessed advertisements can lead to more inappropriate expenditure from advertisers. In this paper, we suggest "CPCD"(Cost Per Coupon Download) model. This goes beyond simple clicking of advertisements and advertising expenditure is exerted when users download a coupon from advertisers, which is a concept in between CPC and CPS models. To achieve the purpose, we describe the scenario of advertiser perspective, processes, participants and their benefits of CPCD model. Especially, we suggest the new value in online coupon; "possibility of storage" and "complement for delivery to the target group". We also analyze the working condition for advertiser by a comparison of CPC and CPCD models through advertising expenditure simulation. The result of simulation implies that the CPCD model suits more properly to advertisers with medium-low price products rather than that of high priced goods. This denotes that since most of advertisers in CPC model are dealing with medium-low priced products, the result is very interesting. At last, we contemplate applicability of CPCD model in ubiquitous environment.

Estimation of Spatial-Temporal Net Primary Productivity and Soil Carbon Storage Change in the Capital area of South Korea under Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 수도권 산림의 순일차생산량과 토양탄소저장량의 시공간적 변화 추정)

  • Kwon, Sun-Soon;Choi, Sun-Hee;Lee, Sang-Don
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.757-765
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate the spatial-temporal NPP(Net Primary Productivity) and SCS(Soil Carbon Storage) of forest ecosystem under climate change in the capital area of South Korea using Mapss-Century1 (MC1), one of Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs). The characteristics of the NPP and SCS changes were simulated based on a biogeochemical module in this model. As results of the simulation, the NPP varies from 2.02 to 7.43 tC $ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$ and the SCS varies from 34.55 to 84.81 tC $ha^{-1}$ during 1971~2000 respectively. Spatial mean NPP showed a little decreasing tendency in near future (2021~2050) and then increased in far future (2071~2100) under the condition of increasing air temperature and precipitation which were simulated by the A1B climate change scenario of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). But it was estimated that the temporal change of spatial mean NPP indicates 4.62% increasing tendency in which elevation is over 150m in this area. However, spatial mean SCS was decreased in the two future periods under same climate condition.

Analysis of the Effect of Climate Change on the Site Index of Larix leptolepis (기후변화를 고려한 낙엽송 지위지수 추정)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyeon;Kim, Eui-Gyeong;Park, Snag-Byeong;Kim, Hyeon-Geun;Kim, HyungHo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.1
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2012
  • This study developed a growth model for Larix leptolepis based on the WLS model to examine the effects of climate change on them. The site index was chosen as the dependent variable and location, weather, and edaphic factor were chosen as independent variables. Simulations were performed under three A1B climate change scenarios with the temperature ranging from $-3.3^{\circ}C$ to $+3.3^{\circ}C$. The simulation results showed that the site index decreased with peak at $-0.8^{\circ}C$. The decrease level of the site index by region was also analyzed. Each scenario, site index has decreased mostly but some region was increased. When the temperature increased up to $3^{\circ}C$, site index was decreased to everywhere.

Case Study for Ship Ad-hoc Networks under a Maritime Channel Model in Coastline Areas

  • Su, Xin;Yu, HaiFeng;Chang, KyungHi;Kim, Seung-Geun;Lim, Yong-Kon
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.4002-4014
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    • 2015
  • ITU-R M.1842-1, as a well-known specification dedicated to maritime mobile applications, has standardized wireless transmission protocols according to the particular characteristics of a maritime communications scenario. A time division multiple access (TDMA) frame structure, along with modulation schemes to achieve a high data rate, has been described clearly in ITU-R M.1842-1. However, several specification items are still under "to be decided" status, which brings ambiguity to research works. In addition, the current version of ITU-R M.1842-1 is focused mainly on maritime transmissions in open-sea areas, where the cyclic prefix (CP) is set to zero and only 16-QAM is used in the multi-carrier (MC) system. System performance might be dramatically degraded in coastline areas due to the inter-symbol interference (ISI) caused by selective fading. This is because there is a higher probability that the signal will be reflected by obstacles in coastline areas. In this paper, we introduce the transmission resource block (TRB) dedicated to ITU-R M.1842-1 for a ship ad-hoc network (SANET), where the pilot pattern of TRB is based on the terrestrial trunked radio (TETRA). After that, we evaluated SANET performance under the maritime channel model in a coastline area. In order to avoid noise amplification and to overcome the ISI caused by selective fading, several strategies are suggested and compared in the channel estimation and equalization procedures, where the link-level simulation results finally validate our proposals.

Performance Evaluation of the Runoff Reduction with Permeable Pavements using the SWMM Model (SWMM 분석을 통한 투수성 포장의 유출 저감 특성 평가)

  • Lin, Wuguang;Ryu, SungWoo;Park, Dae Geun;Lee, Jaehoon;Cho, Yoon-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES: This study aims to evaluate the runoff reduction with permeable pavements using the SWMM analysis. METHODS: In this study, simulations were carried out using two different models, simple and complex, to evaluate the runoff reduction when an impermeable pavement is replaced with a permeable pavement. In the simple model, the target area for the analysis was grouped into four areas by the land use characteristics, using the statistical database. In the complex model, simulation was performed based on the data on the sewer and road network configuration of Yongsan-Gu Bogwang-Dong in Seoul, using the ArcGIS software. A scenario was created to investigate the hydro-performance of the permeable pavement based on the return period, runoff coefficient, and the area of permeable pavement that could be laid within one hour after rainfall. RESULTS : The simple modeling analysis results showed that, when an impervious pavement is replaced with a permeable pavement, the peak discharge reduced from $16.7m^3/s$ to $10.4m^3/s$. This represents a reduction of approximately 37.6%. The peak discharge from the whole basin showed a reduction of approximately 11.0%, and the quantity decreased from $52.9m^3/s$ to $47.2m^3/s$. The total flowoff reduced from $43,261m^3$ to $38,551m^3$, i.e., by approximately 10.9%. In the complex model, performed using the ArcGIS interpretation with fewer permeable pavements applicable, the return period and the runoff coefficient increased, and the total flowoff and peak discharge also increased. When the return period was set to 20 years, and a runoff coefficient of 0.05 was applied to all the roads, the total outflow reduced by $5195.7m^3$, and the ratio reduced to 11.7%. When the return period was increased from 20 years to 30 and 100 years, the total outflow reduction decreased from 11.7% to 8.0% and 5.1%, respectively. When a runoff coefficient of 0.5 was applied to all the roads under the return period of 20 years, the total outflow reduction was 10.8%; when the return period was increased to 30 and 100 years, the total outflow reduction decreased to 6.5% and 2.9%, respectively. However, unlike in the simple model, for all the cases in the complex model, the peak discharge reductions were less than 1%. CONCLUSIONS : Being one of the techniques for water circulation and runoff reduction, a high reduction for the small return period rainfall event of penetration was obtained by applying permeable pavements instead of impermeable pavement. With the SWMM analysis results, it was proved that changing to permeable pavement is one of the ways to effectively provide water circulation to various green infrastructure projects, and for stormwater management in urban watersheds.

A novel architecture of CCN for better security and applicability (향상된 보안 및 적용 가능성을 위한 컨텐츠 중심 네트워킹(CCN)의 새로운 아키텍처 연구)

  • Sharma, Aashis;Kim, Yun Seon
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.21-38
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    • 2017
  • Information Centric Networking is changing the way how content is being transmitted. The shift from IP and host based networking towards content based networking scenario is growing day by day. Many researches have been done about different frameworks of ICN. Caching is an important part of ICN and many researchers have also proposed different ways for caching the data. With caching of data in intermediate devices like the network devices as well the user devices in some cases, the issue of content security as well as the role of the content producer becomes a major concern. A modified ICN architecture based on the current Content Centric Networking (CCN) model is presented in the paper. The architecture mainly focuses on involving the content producer in content delivery in the real time. The proposed architecture provides better security aspects for the CCN architecture. Apart from security the paper will also consider the issue of applicability of CCN architecture to replace the TCP/IP based architecture. The efficiency of the proposed architecture is compared with the previous CCN architecture based on the response time for a content delivery which shows very comparable level of efficiency. The paper than analyzes different beneficial aspects of the proposed architecture over the current architecture.