• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2023.05a
• /
• pp.337-337
• /
• 2023

가뭄은 가장 심각한 기상 재해 중 하나로 농업 생산, 사회경제 등 다양한 분야에 영향을 미친다. 국내의 경우 광주·전남지역이 1990년대 이후 30년 만에 제한 급수 위기에 처하는 역대 최악의 가뭄으로 지역민들은 심각한 피해가 발생하였다. 유럽의 경우 2022년 당시 500년 만에 찾아온 가뭄으로 인해 3분의 2에 해당하는 지역이 피해를 입었으며, 미국 서부 지역은 2000년부터 2021년까지 1200년 만에 가장 극심한 대가뭄을 겪은 것으로 나타났다. 지구온난화에 따른 기후변화로 인해 가뭄의 빈도와 강도가 증가함에 따라 피해도 커질 것으로 예상된다. 가뭄의 부정적인 영향으로 인해 정확하고 신뢰할 수 있는 가뭄 예측 기술이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄예측을 위한 입력변수로서 GPM IMERG (The Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM) 강수량 자료와 NOAA에서 제공하는 8가지 북반구 대기패턴 자료 간의 상관성을 분석하였다. 입력변수 간의 상관성과 중장기 가뭄 예측을 위하여 딥러닝 모델 중 시계열 데이터에서 높은 예측 성능을 보이는 LSTM(Long Short Term-Memory)을 적용하여 가뭄을 예측하고자 한다.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
• /
• v.59 no.3
• /
• pp.29-39
• /
• 2017

In this study, the GPM (Global Precipitation Mission) IMERG (Integrated Multi-satellitE retrievals for GPM) rainfall data was verified and evaluated using ground AWS (Automated Weather Station) and radar in order to investigate the availability of GPM IMERG rainfall data. The SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) was calculated based on the GPM IMERG data and also compared with the results obtained from the ground observation data for the Hoengseong Dam and Yongdam Dam areas. For the radar data, 1.5 km CAPPI rainfall data with a resolution of 10 km and 30 minutes was generated by applying the Z-R relationship ($Z=200R^{1.6}$) and used for accuracy verification. In order to calculate the SPI, PERSIANN_CDR and TRMM 3B42 were used for the period prior to the GPM IMERG data availability range. As a result of latency verification, it was confirmed that the performance is relatively higher than that of the early run mode in the late run mode. The GPM IMERG rainfall data has a high accuracy for 20 mm/h or more rainfall as a result of the comparison with the ground rainfall data. The analysis of the time scale of the SPI based on GPM IMERG and changes in normal annual precipitation adequately showed the effect of short term rainfall cases on local drought relief. In addition, the correlation coefficient and the determination coefficient were 0.83, 0.914, 0.689 and 0.835, respectively, between the SPI based GPM IMERG and the ground observation data. Therefore, it can be used as a predictive factor through the time series prediction model. We confirmed the hydrological utilization and the possibility of real time drought monitoring using SPI based on GPM IMERG rainfall, even though results presented in this study were limited to some rainfall cases.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
• /
• v.19 no.1
• /
• pp.19-26
• /
• 2017

Surface air temperature ($T_{air}$) is a key variable for the meteorology and climatology, and is a fundamental factor of the terrestrial ecosystem functions. Satellite remote sensing from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) provides an opportunity to monitor the $T_{air}$. However, the several problems such as frequent cloud cover and mountainous region can result in substantial retrieval error and signal loss in MODIS $T_{air}$. In this study, satellite-based $T_{air}$ was estimated under both clear and cloudy sky conditions in Gangwon Province using Aqua MODIS07 temperature profile product (MYD07_L2) and GCOM-W1 Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) brightness temperature ($T_b$) at 37 GHz frequency, and was compared with the measurements from the Automated Mountain Meteorology Stations (AMOS). The application of ambient temperature lapse rate was performed to improve the retrieval accuracy in mountainous region, which showed the improvement of estimation accuracy approximately 4% of RMSE. A simple pixel-wise regression method combining synergetic information from MYD07_L2 $T_{air}$ and AMSR2 $T_b$ was applied to estimate surface $T_{air}$ for all sky conditions. The $T_{air}$ retrievals showed favorable agreement in comparison with AMOS data (r=0.80, RMSE=7.9K), though the underestimation was appeared in winter season. Substantial $T_{air}$ retrievals were estimated 61.4% (n=2,657) for cloudy sky conditions. The results presented in this study indicate that the satellite remote sensing can produce the surface $T_{air}$ at the complex mountainous region for all sky conditions.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
• /
• v.31 no.5
• /
• pp.409-419
• /
• 2015

The Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI) which is the Fourier Transform InfraRed (FTIR) spectrometer has been operated by the National Institute of Meteorological Research (NIMR) in Anmyeon island, South Korea since June 2010. The ground-based AERI with similar hyper-spectral infrared sensor to satellite could be an alternative way to validate satellite-based remote sensing. In this regard, the NIMR has focused on the improvement of Cloud data Filtering Method (CFM) which employed only one reference spectrum of clear sky in winter season. This study suggests Seasonal-Cloud data Filtering Method (S-CFM) which applied seasonal AERI reference spectra. For the comparison of applied S-CFM and CFM, the methane retrievals (surface volume mixing ratio) from AERI spectra are used. The quality of AERI methane retrieval applied S-CFM was significantly more improved than that of CFM. The positive result of S-CFM is similar pattern with the seasonal variation of methane from ground-based in-situ measurement, even if the summer season's methane is retrieved over-estimation. In addition, the comparison of vertical total column of methane from AERI and GOSAT shows good result except for the summer season.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
• /
• v.31 no.2
• /
• pp.137-148
• /
• 2015

The National Institute of Meteorological Research (NIMR) has operated the Fourier Transform InfraRed (FTIR) spectrometer which is the Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI) in Anmyeon island, Korea since June 2010. The ground-based AERI with similar hyper-spectral infrared sensor to satellite could be an alternative way to validate satellite-based remote sensing. In this regard, the NIMR has focused on the improvement of retrieval quality from the AERI, particularly cloud-data filtering method. The AERI spectrum which is measured on a typical clear day is selected reference spectrum and we used region of atmospheric window. We performed test of threshold in order to select valid threshold. We retrieved methane using new method which is used reference spectrum, and the other method which is used KLAPS cloud cover information, each retrieved methane was compared with that of ground-based in-situ measurements. The quality of AERI methane retrievals of new method was significantly more improved than method of used KLAPS. In addition, the comparison of vertical total column of methane from AERI and GOSAT shows good result.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
• /
• v.35 no.3
• /
• pp.415-431
• /
• 2019

The satellite-viewed cloudiness, a ratio of cloudy pixels to total pixels ($C_{sat,\;prev}$), inevitably differs from the "ground-viewed" cloudiness ($C_{grd}$) due to different viewpoints. Here we develop an algorithm to retrieve the satellite-viewed, but adjusted cloudiness to $C_{grd} (C_{sat,\;adj})$. The key process of the algorithm is to convert the cloudiness projected on the plane surface into the cloudiness on the celestial hemisphere from the observer. For this conversion, the supplementary satellite retrievals such as cloud detection and cloud top pressure are used as they provide locations of cloudy pixels and cloud base height information, respectively. The algorithm is tested for Himawari-8 level 1B data. The $C_{sat,\;adj}$ and $C_{sat,\;prev}$ are retrieved and validated with $C_{grd}$ of SYNOP station over Korea (22 stations) and China (724 stations) during only daytime for the first seven days of every month from July 2016 to June 2017. As results, the mean error of $C_{sat,\;adj}$ (0.61) is less that than that of $C_{sat,\;prev}$ (1.01). The percent of detection for 'Cloudy' scenario of $C_{sat,\;adj}$ (73%) is higher than that of $C_{sat,\;prev}$ (60%) The percent of correction, the accuracy, of $C_{sat,\;adj}$ is 61%, while that of $C_{sat,\;prev}$ is 55% for all seasons. For the December-January-February period when cloudy pixels are readily overestimated, the proportion of correction of $C_{sat,\;adj$ is 60%, while that of $C_{sat,\;prev}$ is 56%. Therefore, we conclude that the present algorithm can effectively get the satellite cloudiness near to the ground-viewed cloudiness.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2006.05a
• /
• pp.149-153
• /
• 2006

Precipitation is the most important component and critical to the study of water and energy cycle. This study investigates the propagation of precipitation retrieval uncertainty in the simulation of hydrologic variables for varying spatial resolution on two different vegetation cover. We explore two remotely sensed rain retrievals (space-borne IR-only and radar rainfall) and three spatial grid resolutions. An offline Community Land Model (CLM) was forced with in situ meteorological data In turn, radar rainfall is replaced by the satellite rain estimates at coarser resolution $(0.25^{\circ},\;0.5^{\circ}\;and\;1^{\circ})$ to determine their probable impact on model predictions. Results show how uncertainty of precipitation measurement affects the spatial variability of model output in various modelling scales. The study provides some intuition on the uncertainty of hydrologic prediction via interaction between the land surface and near atmosphere fluxes in the modelling approach.

• Atmosphere
• /
• v.22 no.2
• /
• pp.163-174
• /
• 2012

Brightness temperature (BT) difference between sea fog and sea surface is small, because the top height of fog is low. Therefore, it is very difficult to detect sea fog with infrared (IR) channels in the nighttime. To overcome this difficulty, we have developed a new algorithm for detection of sea fog that consists in three tests. Firstly, both stratus and sea fog were discriminated from the other clouds by using the difference between BTs $3.7{\mu}m$ and $11{\mu}m$. Secondly, stratus occurring at a level higher than sea fog was removed when the difference between cloud top temperature and sea surface temperature (SST) is smaller than 3 K. In this process, we used daily SST data from AMSR-E microwave measurements that is available even in the presence of cloud. Then, the SST was converted to $11{\mu}m$ BT based on the regressed relationship between AMSR-E SST and MTSAT-1R $11{\mu}m$ BT at 1733 UTC over clear sky regions. Finally, stratus was further removed by using the homogeneity test based on the difference in cloud top texture between sea fog and stratus. Comparison between the retrievals from our algorithm and that from Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) algorithm, shows that the KMA algorithm often misconceived sea fog as stratus, resulting in underestimating the occurrence of sea fog. Monthly distribution of sea fog over northeast Asia in 2008 was derived from the proposed algorithm. The frequency of sea fog is lowest in winter, and highest in summer especially in June. The seasonality of the sea fog occurrence between East and West Sea was comparable, while it is not clearly identified over South Sea. These results would serve to prevent the possible occurrence of marine accidents associated with sea fog.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2019.05a
• /
• pp.60-60
• /
• 2019

OECD 발표에 의하면 물산업 관련 인프라 투자 전망은 전세계 GDP 대비 2010~2020년 약 1.01%에서 2020~2030년 약 1.03%로 확대될 전망으로 다른 통신, 전력, 철도 인프라 투자수요보다 많을 것으로 전망하고 있다(파이넨셜 뉴스, 2013.3.21.). 우리나라는 2005년 베트남 홍강종합개발사업을 시작으로 2015년 기준으로 세계 35개국에 진출하고 있다. 그러나 대부분의 물 산업 진출 대상 국가는 미계측 유역이 많고 지상에서 계측된 수문 자료가 부족한 실정이다. Namgung and Lee(2014)에 의하면 네팔의 수력발전소 건설에 관측된 강우량 자료가 없어 발전소 하류 10km 지점의 유하량 자료를 이용하여 자료의 정확도 검증을 대신하여 적용한 바 있다. 이와 같이 계측자료가 없거나 부족한 지역에 대하여 기상 위성을 이용하여 추정된 강수량 자료가 해당 지역의 강수 특성을 파악하는데 중요한 자료로 이용될 수 있다. 글로벌 위성 기반의 강수량 관측에 대한 역사는 1979년에 IR방법에 의해 위성으로부터 강우자료를 유도하는 개념이 도입된 이후 1987년 다중 채널의 마이크로파(MW) 복사계를 이용한 방법, 이후 두 IR과 MW를 혼합한 방법에서, 1997년 TRMM위성의 PR(Precpipitation Radar)의 레이더를 이용하는 방법, 그리고 2014년 GPM 핵심 위성(GPM Core Observatory)에 탑재된 Dual PR에 의한 방법으로 위성강수의 정확도를 매우 높여가고 있다. 본 연구는 대표적인 위성강수인 IMERG(Integrated MultisatellitE Retrievals for GPM)의 활용성을 높이기 위해 QGIS 기반의 위성강수 전처리 모듈을 개발하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있다. 위성강수를 활용하기 위해서는 위성강수의 정확도 평가가 선행되어야 한다. 본 연구를 통해 2017년 7월 중부지방 및 충청도 지방에 내린 강수자료를 비교한 결과 상관계수가 약 0.7정도로 상관성이 높은 것으로 분석되었고, 2018년 8월 9호 태풍 솔릭(Solik)에 대한 1시간의 시간해상도 분석 결과 상관계수 0.624로 위성강수의 활용성이 있음을 입증하였다. IMERG 위성강수의 활용성을 높이기 위하여 HDF5 포맷의 원시자료를 활용이 용이한 Tiff 로 변환하는 기능에서부터 특정범위 및 특정지점 추출 기능, Resampling 기능 등을 포함하는 전처리 모듈을 개발하였다.

• Atmosphere
• /
• v.32 no.4
• /
• pp.395-409
• /
• 2022

A new soil moisture initialization scheme is applied to the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Global Seasonal forecasting system version 6 (GloSea6). It is designed to ingest the microwave soil moisture retrievals from Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) radiometer using the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF). In this technical note, we describe the procedure of the newly-adopted initialization scheme, the change of soil moisture states by assimilation, and the forecast skill differences for the surface temperature and precipitation by GloSea6 simulation from two preliminary experiments. Based on a 4-year analysis experiment, the soil moisture from the land-surface model of current operational GloSea6 is found to be drier generally comparing to SMAP observation. LETKF data assimilation shows a tendency toward being wet globally, especially in arid area such as deserts and Tibetan Plateau. Also, it increases soil moisture analysis increments in most soil levels of wetness in land than current operation. The other experiment of GloSea6 forecast with application of the new initialization system for the heat wave case in 2020 summer shows that the memory of soil moisture anomalies obtained by the new initialization system is persistent throughout the entire forecast period of three months. However, averaged forecast improvements are not substantial and mixed over Eurasia during the period of forecast: forecast skill for the precipitation improved slightly but for the surface air temperature rather degraded. Our preliminary results suggest that additional elaborate developments in the soil moisture initialization are still required to improve overall forecast skills.