• The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
• /
• v.25 no.2
• /
• pp.49-63
• /
• 2020

The accurate prediction of box office in the early stage is crucial for film industry to make better managerial decision. With aims to improve the prediction performance, the purpose of this paper is to evaluate the use of machine learning methods. We tested both classification and regression based methods including k-NN, SVM and Random Forest. We first evaluate input variables, which show that reputation-related information generated during the first two-week period after release is significant. Prediction test results show that regression based methods provides lower prediction error, and Random Forest particularly outperforms other machine learning methods. Regression based method has better prediction power when films have small box office earnings. On the other hand, classification based method works better for predicting large box office earnings.

• Journal of radiological science and technology
• /
• v.43 no.6
• /
• pp.503-509
• /
• 2020

This study aims to develop a patient-specific radiation exposure dose prediction model based on anthropometric data that can be easily measurable during CT examination, and to be used as basic data for DRL setting and radiation dose management system in the future. In addition, among the machine learning algorithms, the most suitable model for predicting exposure doses is presented. The data used in this study were chest CT scan data, and a data set was constructed based on the data including the patient's anthropometric data. In the pre-processing and sample selection of the data, out of the total number of samples of 250 samples, only chest CT scans were performed without using a contrast agent, and 110 samples including height and weight variables were extracted. Of the 110 samples extracted, 66% was used as a training set, and the remaining 44% were used as a test set for verification. The exposure dose was predicted through random forest, linear regression analysis, and SVM algorithm using Orange version 3.26.0, an open software as a machine learning algorithm. Results Algorithm model prediction accuracy was R^2 0.840 for random forest, R^2 0.969 for linear regression analysis, and R^2 0.189 for SVM. As a result of verifying the prediction rate of the algorithm model, the random forest is the highest with R^2 0.986 of the random forest, R^2 0.973 of the linear regression analysis, and R^2 of 0.204 of the SVM, indicating that the model has the best predictive power.

• Computers and Concrete
• /
• v.16 no.5
• /
• pp.741-757
• /
• 2015

In the last decade, several modeling approaches have been proposed and applied to estimate the high-performance concrete (HPC) slump flow. While HPC is a highly complex material, modeling its behavior is a very difficult issue. Thus, the selection and application of proper modeling methods remain therefore a crucial task. Like many other applications, HPC slump flow prediction suffers from noise which negatively affects the prediction accuracy and increases the variance. In the recent years, ensemble learning methods have introduced to optimize the prediction accuracy and reduce the prediction error. This study investigates the potential usage of bagging (Bag), which is among the most popular ensemble learning methods, in building ensemble models. Four well-known artificial intelligence models (i.e., classification and regression trees CART, support vector machines SVM, multilayer perceptron MLP and radial basis function neural networks RBF) are deployed as base learner. As a result of this study, bagging ensemble models (i.e., Bag-SVM, Bag-RT, Bag-MLP and Bag-RBF) are found superior to their base learners (i.e., SVM, CART, MLP and RBF) and bagging could noticeable optimize prediction accuracy and reduce the prediction error of proposed predictive models.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• v.56 no.4
• /
• pp.1372-1384
• /
• 2024

The discrimination of the source for xenon gases' release can provide an important clue for detecting the nuclear activities in the neighboring countries. In this paper, three machine learning techniques, which are logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbors (KNN), were applied to develop the predictive models for discriminating the source for xenon gases' release based on the xenon isotopic activity ratio data which were generated using the depletion codes, i.e., ORIGEN in SCALE 6.2 and Serpent, for the probable sources. The considered sources for the neighboring countries of South Korea include PWRs, CANDUs, IRT-2000, Yongbyun 5 MWe reactor, and nuclear tests with plutonium and uranium. The results of the analysis showed that the overall prediction accuracies of models with SVM and KNN using six inputs, all exceeded 90%. Particularly, the models based on SVM and KNN that used six or three xenon isotope activity ratios with three classification categories, namely reactor, plutonium bomb, and uranium bomb, had accuracy levels greater than 88%. The prediction performances demonstrate the applicability of machine learning algorithms to predict nuclear threat using ratios of xenon isotopic activity.

• Journal of KIISE:Databases
• /
• v.36 no.4
• /
• pp.247-253
• /
• 2009

Rank learning and processing have gained much attention in the IR and data mining communities for the last decade. While other data mining techniques such as classification and regression have been actively researched to interoperate with RDBMS by using the tightly coupled or loose coupling approaches, ranking has been researched independently without integrating into RDBMS. This paper proposes a tightly coupled integration of the Ranking SVM into MySQL in order to perform the rank learning task efficiently within the RDBMS. We implemented new SQL commands for learning ranking functions and predicting ranking scores. We evaluated our tightly coupled integration of Ranking SVM by comparing it to a loose coupling implementation. The experiment results show that our approach has a performance improvement of $10{\sim}40%$ in the training phase and 60% in the prediction phase.

• Computers and Concrete
• /
• v.18 no.6
• /
• pp.1065-1082
• /
• 2016

The main aim of this study is to predict the compressive and flexural strengths of self-compacting mortar (SCM) containing $nano-SiO_2$, $nano-Fe_2O_3$ and nano-CuO using wavelet-based weighted least squares-support vector machines (WLS-SVM) approach which is called WWLS-SVM. The WWLS-SVM regression model is a relatively new metamodel has been successfully introduced as an excellent machine learning algorithm to engineering problems and has yielded encouraging results. In order to achieve the aim of this study, first, the WLS-SVM and WWLS-SVM models are developed based on a database. In the database, nine variables which consist of cement, sand, NS, NF, NC, superplasticizer dosage, slump flow diameter and V-funnel flow time are considered as the input parameters of the models. The compressive and flexural strengths of SCM are also chosen as the output parameters of the models. Finally, a statistical analysis is performed to demonstrate the generality performance of the models for predicting the compressive and flexural strengths. The numerical results show that both of these metamodels have good performance in the desirable accuracy and applicability. Furthermore, by adopting these predicting metamodels, the considerable cost and time-consuming laboratory tests can be eliminated.

• IE interfaces
• /
• v.20 no.4
• /
• pp.448-457
• /
• 2007

The small & micro business has the characteristics of both consumer credit risk and business credit risk. In predicting the bankruptcy for small-micro businesses, the problem is that in most cases, the financial data for evaluating business credit risks of small & micro businesses are not available. To alleviate such problem, we propose a bankruptcy prediction mechanism using the credit card sales information available, because most small businesses are member store of some credit card issuers, which is the main purpose of this study. In order to perform this study, we derive some variables and analyze the relationship between good and bad signs. We employ the new statistical learning technique, support vector machines (SVM) as a classifier. We use grid search technique to find out better parameter for SVM. The experimental result shows that credit card sales information could be a good substitute for the financial data for evaluating business credit risk in predicting the bankruptcy for small-micro businesses. In addition, we also find out that SVM performs best, when compared with other classifiers such as neural networks, CART, C5.0 multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA), and logistic regression.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
• /
• v.20 no.4
• /
• pp.428-436
• /
• 2014

This paper proposes a statistical regression method for classifying pillars and vehicles in parking area using a single ultrasonic sensor. There are three types of information provided by the ultrasonic sensor: TOF, the peak and the width of a pulse, from which 67 different features are extracted through segmentation and data preprocessing. The classification using the multiple SVM and the multinomial logistic regression are applied to the set of extracted features, and has achieved the accuracy of 85% and 89.67%, respectively, over a set of real-world data. The experimental result proves that the proposed feature extraction and classification scheme is applicable to the object classification using an ultrasonic sensor.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
• /
• v.17 no.4
• /
• pp.241-254
• /
• 2011

Financial time-series forecasting is one of the most important issues because it is essential for the risk management of financial institutions. Therefore, researchers have tried to forecast financial time-series using various data mining techniques such as regression, artificial neural networks, decision trees, k-nearest neighbor etc. Recently, support vector machines (SVMs) are popularly applied to this research area because they have advantages that they don't require huge training data and have low possibility of overfitting. However, a user must determine several design factors by heuristics in order to use SVM. For example, the selection of appropriate kernel function and its parameters and proper feature subset selection are major design factors of SVM. Other than these factors, the proper selection of instance subset may also improve the forecasting performance of SVM by eliminating irrelevant and distorting training instances. Nonetheless, there have been few studies that have applied instance selection to SVM, especially in the domain of stock market prediction. Instance selection tries to choose proper instance subsets from original training data. It may be considered as a method of knowledge refinement and it maintains the instance-base. This study proposes the novel instance selection algorithm for SVMs. The proposed technique in this study uses genetic algorithm (GA) to optimize instance selection process with parameter optimization simultaneously. We call the model as ISVM (SVM with Instance selection) in this study. Experiments on stock market data are implemented using ISVM. In this study, the GA searches for optimal or near-optimal values of kernel parameters and relevant instances for SVMs. This study needs two sets of parameters in chromosomes in GA setting : The codes for kernel parameters and for instance selection. For the controlling parameters of the GA search, the population size is set at 50 organisms and the value of the crossover rate is set at 0.7 while the mutation rate is 0.1. As the stopping condition, 50 generations are permitted. The application data used in this study consists of technical indicators and the direction of change in the daily Korea stock price index (KOSPI). The total number of samples is 2218 trading days. We separate the whole data into three subsets as training, test, hold-out data set. The number of data in each subset is 1056, 581, 581 respectively. This study compares ISVM to several comparative models including logistic regression (logit), backpropagation neural networks (ANN), nearest neighbor (1-NN), conventional SVM (SVM) and SVM with the optimized parameters (PSVM). In especial, PSVM uses optimized kernel parameters by the genetic algorithm. The experimental results show that ISVM outperforms 1-NN by 15.32%, ANN by 6.89%, Logit and SVM by 5.34%, and PSVM by 4.82% for the holdout data. For ISVM, only 556 data from 1056 original training data are used to produce the result. In addition, the two-sample test for proportions is used to examine whether ISVM significantly outperforms other comparative models. The results indicate that ISVM outperforms ANN and 1-NN at the 1% statistical significance level. In addition, ISVM performs better than Logit, SVM and PSVM at the 5% statistical significance level.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
• /
• 2000.11a
• /
• pp.93-96
• /
• 2000

본 논문에서는 SVM의 학습성 개선을 위해 모멘트와 kernel-adatron 기법이 조합된 하이브리드 학습알고리즘을 제안하였다. 제안된 학습알고리즘은 SVM의 학습기법인 기울기상승법에서 발생하는 최적해로의 수렴에 따른 발진을 억제하여 그 수렴속도를 좀 더 개선시키는 모멘트의 장점과 비선형 특징공간에서의 동작과 구현의 용이성을 가진 kernel-adatron 알고리즘의 장점을 그대로 살리는 것이다. 제안된 알고리즘을 비선형 함수 회귀에 적용해 본 결과 학습속도에 있어서 QP와 기존의 kernel-adatron 알고리즘보다 더 우수한 성능이 있음을 확인하였다