• Title/Summary/Keyword: SUR 모형

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An Analysis of Determinants of Maternal Time Allocation (모(母)의 시간 배분 결정요인 분석)

  • Yoon, Jayoung
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.27-52
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    • 2010
  • This study, using Korean Time Use Survey 1999, analyzes how opportunity costs of maternal time affects the ways in which mothers allocate their time to market work/housework/child care/leisure. Opportunity costs include two kinds: hourly child care costs and log hourly wage rates. Results show that a unit increase in child care costs reduces market work but increases housework, child care, and leisure. The effects of log wage rates are opposite those of child care costs. The result that a unit increase in the log wage rates decreases child care lime is not consistent with a previous study for the United Stales. These results differed by mother's educational attainments. This study suggests that policy-makers should pay careful attention to the effects of various types of mother's opportunity costs on non-market time in promoting maternal employment.

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Evaluation of Near-future Drought Risk Assessment using Weather Generation (일기생성기를 통한 미래 가뭄위험도 산정)

  • Sur, Chanyang;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.89-89
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    • 2016
  • 전 세계적으로 발생하는 기후변화로 인해 홍수, 가뭄 등과 같은 자연재해의 빈도가 높아지고 있다. 이러한 자연재해는 사회 경제적으로도 많은 피해를 유발하고 있으며, 특히 물과 관련한 자연재해는 인류의 생존과 직결되는 문제가 된다. 이중에서도 가뭄과 관련한 연구는 진행 속도가 느리고, 가뭄의 진원지나 그 경로를 파악하기 어려운 문제로 인하여 다른 연구와 비교하였을 때 상대적으로 미흡하게 진행되어 왔다. 이러한 문제점 때문에 여타의 다른 자연재해에 비해 가뭄에 대한 예측 및 대책 마련 또한 쉽지 않은 실정이다. 이에 몬테카를로 모의를 통해 미래에 발생할 수 있는 다양한 시나리오를 도출하는 확률론적 접근을 통해 좀 더 효율적이고 현실적인 대책 안을 마련할 수 있다. 본 연구의 목표는 기존 강우생성기와 증발산생성기를 결합한 일기생성기를 개발하고 이를 기후변화 시나리오에 적용하여 미래의 가뭄위험지수를 산출하는 것이다. 산출된 결과를 토대로 우리나라 전역에 대하여 준 실시간으로 갱신되는 미래가뭄위험도의 지도를 제작할 수 있다. 본 연구의 차별성은 첫 번째로 추계론적 접근을 통해 현재의 가뭄상태에 근거한 미래 가뭄에 대한 위험도를 예측할 수 있음을 들 수 있으며, 두 번째로는 지표해석모형을 활용하여 가뭄을 해석하기 때문에 유역 전반에 걸친 토양수분 뿐 만 아니라 국내 주요 댐 상류의 저수지 유입량의 불확실성을 정량화 할 수 있으며, 이는 기후변화에 따른 수자원 장기계획의 수립 및 의사결정에 있어 실용적인 정보를 제공할 수 있다.

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A Case Study of Assessment of the Ecological Connectivity of Cross Sectional Structures in the Flowing Stream (하천 내 횡단구조물에 대한 수생태 연속성 평가 방안에 대한 연구)

  • Choi, Heung Sik
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.320-326
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    • 2020
  • The present study aimed to assess the longitudinal connectivity owing to migrant characteristics of the target fish. The study area was Wonju-cheon Stream, and the target species were Zacco platypus and Minnows. The HEC-RAS model was used for the computation of the flow, and the ICE (Information sur la Continuite Ecologique) method was used to analyze the longitudinal connectivity. The longitudinal connectivity was assessed using the minimum overflow height, velocity, and depth of the cross sectional structure of a plunge pool and considering the swimming speed of the target fish. Simulation results indicated that the longitudinal connectivity scores for the Zacco platypus and Minnows were approximately 76 and 23, respectively.

Assessment of Outgoing Longwave Radiation using COMS : Cheongmi and Sulma Catchments (천리안 위성을 사용한 방출장파복사량 검증 : 청미천, 설마천)

  • Baek, Jong Jin;Sur, Chanyang;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.465-476
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    • 2013
  • The outgoing longwave radiation (Rlu) for estimation of evapotranspiration is essential to understand energy balance of earth. However, the ground measurement based Rlu has a limitation that the observation can just stand for the exact site, not for an area. In this study, remote sensing technique is adopted to compensate the limitation of ground observation using the geostationary satellite. We calculated Rlu using Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS). We validated Rlu from COMS with Cheongmicheon (CFK) and Sulmacheon (SMK) flux tower observations controlled by Hydrological Survey Center. The results showed that Rlu from COMS represented reasonable correlation with ground based measurement. Based on the results in this study, COMS will be able to be used for estimation of evapotranspiration.

'Part' vs. 'Whole': Comparison between the Socially Underprivileged and the Whole Population in Terms of Inter-regional Disparities in Quality of Life ('부분' 대 '전체' - 사회적 약자와 전체 인구의 삶의 질 지역 격차의 비교 -)

  • Park, In-Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.17-36
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to compare the differences between the socially underprivileged and the population as a whole in terms of the quality of life gap between the Seoul metropolitan and non-capital regions based on the capabilities approach. To this end, we selected indicators that can measure nine dimensions of capabilities, such as income, housing, health, and social relations, calculated indicator values for the socially underprivileged and the whole population, and standardized them. The Wilcoxon signed-rank test and the SUR model were used for comparative analysis. The results show that there are significant differences in the disparities between the Seoul metropolitan and non-capital regions between the socially underprivileged and the entire population, and the differences are generally consistent in the most unfavorable direction for the socially underprivileged in the non-capital regions. In addition, the gap between the Seoul metropolitan and non-capital regions is not large from the point of view of the total population average, but the inter-regional gap is still significant from the viewpoint of the socially underprivileged. These results show the limitations of 'average' regional policies based on an analysis of the average of the total population, and the study is significant to illustrate the ecological errors that may arise in regional problem analysis.

Economic Effects of Changes in Spatial Accessibility on Regional Tourism Expenditure Structure (공간적 접근성 변화가 지역관광지출구조에 미치는 경제적 효과 분석)

  • Kwon, Young-Hyun;Shin, Hye-Won
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.135-149
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    • 2019
  • This article analyzed economic effects of changes in spatial accessibility on regional touruism expenditure structure resulting from highway investments on Gangwon province, Korea. The Seemingly Unrelated Regress(SUR) model is applied to analyze the structure of change in tourism expenditure of Gangwon Province, and the competition and complementary relationship of tourist demand were analyzed among 18 counties in Gangwon by Dendrinos-Sonis method. The spatial accessibility has a significant effect on the increase in amount of tourist expenditure, but by 1% increase in the accessibility resulted in a reduction of length of stay -0.18% and travel costs -0.34% by respectively. The most powerful variable for improving the on-site economy is the tourist service establishment, which increases one unit, the amount of tourist expenditure increased by 3.6%. Moreover, the competition and supplemental relationship of tourism demands in Gangwon was decided by the conditions under which traffic flow with passing occurred, such as inland or ocean-typed travel attractions, adjacent or remote regions to the highway. The limitations of this study were not able to use raw data of tourism expenditures before and after the opening the highway due to the restriction of priority data, and further research on the appropriate level of spatial accessibility for the regional economy is needed.

A study on Estimation of CO2 Abatement Cost in Korean Offshore Fishery (우리나라 근해어업의 CO2 배출 저감비용함수 추정)

  • Shin, Yongmin;Jeong, Gyeowoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.399-420
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    • 2018
  • This study has attempted environmental economic analysis on the cost structure of offshore fisheries based on fishery management data published by the Fisheries Research Institute to examine the effect of the environmental policy on the fisheries for the effective implementation of the Paris Convention. Under the assumption that both fisheries and carbon dioxide are simultaneously produced, the cost structure of offshore fisheries were analyzed. Cost function in a translog form was estimated and SUR (Seemingly Unrelated Regression) model was used for the analysis. Here, $CO_2$ emission of offshore fishery was calculated by using National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives' data on supply of tax exemption oil (2003~2016). The cost function estimation showed that there is a weak disposition between catches and $CO_2$ emissions during the sample period, and the marginal abatement cost (MAC) is estimated at 1,457 won per year. In addition, for the same period, when 1% of $CO_2$ per horsepower is to be reduced MAC increases by 2.2%, and when 1% of $CO_2$ per 1 ton of catch is to be reduced, MAC increases by 1.4%.

Estimation of Satellite-based Spatial Evapotranspiration and Validation of Fluxtower Measurements by Eddy Covariance Method (인공위성 데이터 기반의 공간 증발산 산정 및 에디 공분산 기법에 의한 플럭스 타워 자료 검증)

  • Sur, Chan-Yang;Han, Seung-Jae;Lee, Jung-Hoon;Choi, Min-Ha
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.435-448
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    • 2012
  • Evapotranspiration (ET) including evaporation from a land surface and transpiration from photosynthesis of vegetation is a sensitive hydrological factor with outer circumstances. Though both direct measurements with an evaporation pan and a lysimeter, and empirical methods using eddy covariance technique and the Bowen ratio have been widely used to observe ET accurately, they have a limitation that the observation can stand for the exact site, not for an area. In this study, remote sensing technique is adopted to compensate the limitation of ground observation using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) multispectral sensor mounted on Terra satellite. We improved to evapotranspiration model based on remote sensing (Mu et al., 2007) and estimated Penman-Monteith evapotranspiration considering regional characteristics of Korea that was using only MODIS product. We validated evapotranspiration of Sulma (SMK)/Cheongmi (CFK) flux tower observation and calculation. The results showed high correlation coefficient as 0.69 and 0.74.

A Study of the Determinants of Digital Capacity and Digital Utilization among Older People (고령층 디지털 정보 역량과 디지털 정보 활용 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yuna;Byun, Angie
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2021
  • This study attempts to examine determinants of both digital capacity and digital utilization among older people by using the seemingly unrelated regression. Using '2019 Survey of Digital divide', the study has the following results: first, perceived usefulness, self-efficacy and confidence have significant relationship with digital capacity; second, not only self-efficacy and confidence but also digital support has significant relationship with digital utilization. By examining the common factors and differential factors which explain digital capacity and digital utilization, it contributes to broadening and deepening knowledge on digital divide and building effective strategies for overcoming digital divide among older people in Korea.

Projection of future drought for upland crops based on CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate model (CMIP5 및 CMIP6 기반 미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 밭가뭄 전망)

  • Min-Gi Jeon;Won-Ho Nam;Chanyang Sur;Jun-Yeong Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.43-43
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    • 2023
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 강수량 및 강우패턴이 변화하고 있으며, 기록적인 가뭄이나 홍수와 같은 극한사상의 발생빈도가 점차 증가하고 있다. 국외의 경우 2000년부터 2021년까지 미국 서부 지역에서 극한 가뭄사상이 발생하였으며, 호주에서는 2017년부터 2019년까지 호주 남동부와 뉴사우스웨일스 지역에 극심한 가뭄이 나타났다. 국내의 경우 2000년대에 들어서 가뭄이 국지적으로 빈번하게 발생하고 있으며, 2022년부터 20023년까지 전라남도 지역에 극심한 가뭄이 발생하였다. CMIP6(Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6)는 기후변화에 관한 정부간 협의체(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC) 6차 평가보고서 (Sixth Assessment Report, AR6)에서 기후 모델 간의 비교와 평가를 위해 설립된 국제 협업 프로젝트로 기후변화를 예측하기 위해 다양한 기후 모델을 사용하여 미래의 기후 시나리오를 제시하였다. SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) 시나리오는 CMIP6에서 사용되는 미래 사회경제적 발전 경로를 나타내며, 기후변화의 다양한 미래 상황을 평가 및 기후영향을 분석할 수 있다. 국내 논 용수는 주로 저수지와 같은 수리시설물을 통해 공급되는 반면, 밭 용수의 경우 수리시설물로부터 용수를 공급받는 관개전은 일부에 불과하고 대부분의 밭의 경우 용수공급을 강우에 의존하여 가뭄에 더욱 취약한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 CMIP5 기후모델 기반 RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) 시나리오 및 CMIP6 기후모델 기반 SSP 시나리오를 적용하여 미래 기후 데이터를 비교하고자 한다. 또한, 미래 기후변화 시나리오를 토양수분모형을 적용하여 미래 밭가뭄을 전망하고자 한다.

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