• Title/Summary/Keyword: STORM 모형

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Influence of Joint Distribution of Wave Heights and Periods on Reliability Analysis of Wave Run-up (처오름의 신뢰성 해석에 대한 파고_주기결합분포의 영향)

  • Lee Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.178-187
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    • 2005
  • A reliability analysis model f3r studying the influence of joint distribution of wave heights and periods on wave un-up is presented in this paper. From the definition of failure mode related to wave run-up, a reliability function may be formulated which can be considered uncertainties of water level. In particular, the reliability analysis model can be directly taken into account statistical properties and distributions of wave periods by considering wave period in the reliability function to be a random variable. Also, variations of wave height distribution conditioned to mean wave periods can be taken into account correctly. By comparison of results of additional reliability analysis using extreme distributions with those resulted from joint distribution of wave height and periods, it is found that probabilities of failure evaluated by the latter is larger than those by the former. Although the freeboard of sloped-breakwater structures can be determined by extreme distribution based on the long-term measurements, it may be necessary to investigate additionally into wave run-up by using the present reliability analysis model formulated to consider joint distribution of a single storm event. In addition, it may be found that the effect of spectral bandwidth parameter on reliability index may be little, but the effect of wave height distribution conditioned to mean wave periods is straightforward. Therefore, it may be confirmed that effects of wave periods on the probability of failure of wave run-up may be taken into account through the conditional distribution of wave heights. Finally, the probabilities of failure with respect to freeboard of sloped-breakwater structures can be estimated by which the rational determination of crest level of sloped-breakwater structures may be possible.

A Study on Optimal Time Distribution of Extreme Rainfall Using Minutely Rainfall Data: A Case Study of Seoul (분단위 강우자료를 이용한 극치강우의 최적 시간분포 연구: 서울지점을 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Kim, Jong-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.275-290
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    • 2012
  • In this study, we have developed an optimal time distribution model through extraction of peaks over threshold (POT) series. The median values for annual maximum rainfall dataset, which are obtained from the magnetic recording (MMR) and the automatic weather system(AWS) data at Seoul meteorological observatory, were used as the POT criteria. We also suggested the improved methodology for the time distribution of extreme rainfall compared to Huff method, which is widely used for time distributions of design rainfall. The Huff method did not consider changing in the shape of time distribution for each rainfall durations and rainfall criteria as total amount of rainfall for each rainfall events. This study have suggested an extracting methodology for rainfall events in each quartile based on interquartile range (IQR) matrix and selection for the mode quartile storm to determine the ranking cosidering weighting factors on minutely observation data. Finally, the optimal time distribution model in each rainfall duration was derived considering both data size and characteristics of distribution using kernel density function in extracted dimensionless unit rainfall hyetograph.

Two-dimensional Inundation Analysis Using Stochastic Rainfall Variation and Geographic Information System (추계학적 강우변동생성 기법과 GIS를 연계한 2차원 침수해석)

  • Lee, Jin-Young;Cho, Wan-Hee;Han, Kun-Yeun;Ahn, Ki-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2010
  • Recently actual rainfall pattern is decreasing rainy days and increasing in rainfall intensity and the frequency of flood occurrence is also increased. To consider recent situation, Engineers use deterministic methods like a PMP(Probable Maximum Precipitation). If design storm wouldn't occur, increasing of design criteria is extravagant. In addition, the biggest structure cause trouble with residents and environmental problem. And then it is necessary to study considering probability of rainfall parameter in each sub-basin for design of water structure. In this study, stochastic rainfall patterns are generated by using log-ratio method, Johnson system and multivariate Monte Carlo simulation. Using the stochastic rainfall patterns, hydrological analysis, hydraulic analysis and 2nd flooding analysis were performed based on GIS for their applicability. The results of simulations are similar to the actual damage area so the methodology of this study should be used about making a flood risk map or regidental shunting rout map against the region.

Variations of Runoff Quantity and Quality to Landuse Changes in the Hakuicheon Watershed (학의천 유역의 토지이용변화에 대한 유출량 및 수질의 변화)

  • Lee Kil Seong;Chung Eun-Sung;Park Sun-Bae;Jin Lak-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.664-668
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    • 2005
  • 근래 지속적으로 진행된 도시화 및 산업화로 인하여 이전보다 불투수 지역이 많이 증가하였고 도심지역에는 대부분 하수관거가 매설되어 있는 등 물순환이 과거에 비해 현저하게 왜곡되어 있다. 이를 올바르게 바로잡기 위해서는 과거와 현재의 수문학적 상태에 대한 정확한 이해가 우선적으로 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 안양천 유역의 지류인 학의천을 대상유역으로 선정하고 유출 수량 및 오염물질 발생량을 PCSWMM(Storm Water Management Model)과 PLOAD(Pollutant Loading)를 이용하여 모의하였다. PCSWMM은 하수관거를 포함하여 연속유출모의를 수행할 수 있으며 PLOAD는 GIS를 기반으로 하는 Screening 모형으로 토지이용별 원단위를 이용하여 소유역에서 발생하는 오염량을 추정할 수 있다. 기준년도 2002년에 대해 모든 조건은 동일한 상태에서 토지이용만 1975년, 2000년, 2016년으로 변화시켜 모의를 수행하였다. 1975년, 2000년, 2016년의 불투수 면적비는 각각 $2.6\%,\;22.8\%,\;24.1\%$이며 침투량은 1975년의 $23\%$에서 2000년과 2016년에 각각 $17.9\%와\;17.6\%$로 감소하였고, 이로 인해 지표유출량은 1975년의 $48.1\%$보다 2000년과 2016년에 각각 $55.0\%,\;55.4\%$로 증가하였다. 또한 오염물질이 유역에서 발생하여 하천으로 전달되는 유달량은 유역전체로 보면 1975년 보다 2000년에 BOD는 4.0배, COD는 3.3배, SS는 2.7배, TN은 1.3배, TP는 1.6배 증가하였다. 이러한 모의 결과는 학의천 유역에 대해 소유역별로 발생하는 연도별 유출량 및 오염물질 유달량을 정량적으로 제시하므로 유역관리방안을 도출하는데 효과적으로 활용될 수 있다.최대화하기 위한 환경관리 방안 제시에 중점을 두어 수행하였다.ncy), 환경성(environmental feasibility) 등을 정성적으로(qualitatively) 파악하여 실현가능한 대안을 선정하였다. 이렇게 선정된 대안들은 중유역별로 검토하여 효과가 있을 것으로 판단되는 대안들을 제시하는 예비타당성(Prefeasibility) 계획을 수립하였다. 이렇게 제시된 계획은 향후 과학적인 분석(세부평가방법)을 통해 대안을 평가하고 구체적인 타당성(feasibility) 계획을 수립하는데 토대가 될 것이다.{0.11R(mm)}(r^2=0.69)$로 나타났다. 이는 토양의 투수특성에 따라 강우량 증가에 비례하여 점증하는 침투수와 구분되는 현상이었다. 경사와 토양이 같은 조건에서 나지의 경우 역시 $Ro_{B10}(mm)=20.3e^{0.08R(mm)(r^2=0.84)$로 지수적으로 증가하는 경향을 나타내었다. 유거수량은 토성별로 양토를 1.0으로 기준할 때 사양토가 0.86으로 가장 작았고, 식양토 1.09, 식토 1.15로 평가되어 침투수에 비해 토성별 차이가 크게 나타났다. 이는 토성이 세립질일 수록 유거수의 저항이 작기 때문으로 생각된다. 경사에 따라서는 경사도가 증가할수록 증가하였으며 $10\% 경사일 때를 기준으로 $Ro(mm)=Ro_{10}{\times}0.797{\times}e^{-0.021s(\%)}$로 나타났다.천성 승모판 폐쇄 부전등을 초래하는 심각한 선천성 심질환이다. 그러나 진단 즉시 직접 좌관상동맥-대동맥 이식술로 수술적 교정을 해줌으로써 좋은 성적을 기대할 수 있음을 보여주었다.특히 교사들이 중요하게 인식하는 해방적 행동에 대한 목표를 강조하여 적용할 필요가 있음을 시사하고 있다.교하여 유의한 차이가 관찰되지 않았다. 또한 HSP 환자군에서도 $IL1RN^{*}2$ a

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Development of a Dynamic Deformable Rubber Membrane Parapet to Cope with the Long Term Sea Level Rise and the Abnormal Waves (장기해수면 상승 및 이상파랑에 대비한 동적 가변형 고무막체 파라펫 개발)

  • Kim, Sun-Sin;Chun, In-Sik;Lee, Young-Gun;Ko, Jang-Hee;Hong, Seung-Ik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.34-42
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    • 2011
  • It's been reported that the global warming effect has invoked the ever increasing typhoon intensity and long-term sea level rise which jointly cause severe wave overtopping over breakwaters or shore dykes. A simple measure to cope with this undesirable change may be just to increase the crest height of the dykes and breakwaters. This is surely effective to prevent wave overtopping, but it also decreases the seaward visibility of coastal waterfront. In this paper, a dynamic deformable rubber membrane parapet which not only reduces wave overtopping in storm period but also secures seascapes in normal days is presented. Several optimal configurations of the parapet are proposed. Through numerical analyses using a nonlinear finite element model and hydraulic experiments, the air controlled expansion and contraction of the parapets, their behavior against wave overtopping and structural stability are investigated.

Structure and Evolution of a Numerically Simulated Thunderstorm Outflow (수치 모사된 뇌우 유출의 구조와 진화)

  • Kim, Yeon-Hee;Baik, Jong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.857-870
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    • 2007
  • The structure and evolution of a thunderstorm outflow in two dimensions with no environmental wind are investigated using a cloud-resolving model with explicit liquid-ice phase microphysical processes (ARPS: Advanced Regional Prediction System). The turbulence structure of the outflow is explicitly resolved with a high-resolution grid size of 50m. The simulated single-cell storm and its associated Kelvin-Helmholtz (KH) billows are found to have the lift stages of development maturity, and decay. The secondary pulsation and splitting of convective cells resulted from interactions between cloud dynamics and microphysics are observed. The cooled downdrafts caused by the evaporation of rain and hail in the relatively dry lower atmosphere result in thunderstorm cold-air outflow. The outflow head propagates with almost constant speed. The KH billows formed by the KH instability cause turbulence mixing from the top of the outflow and control the structure of the outflow. Ihe KH billows are initiated at the outflow head, and pow and decay as moving rearward relative to the gust front. The numerical simulation results of the ratio of the horizontal wavelength of the fastest growing perturbation to the critical shear-layer depth and the ratio of the horizontal wavelength of the billow to its maximum amplitude are matched well with the results of other studies.

Evaluation of SWAT Applicability to Simulate Soil Erosion at Highland Agricultural Lands (고랭지 농경지의 토양유실모의를 위한 SWAT 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Heo, Sung-Gu;Kim, Ki-Sung;Sa, Gong-Myong;Ahn, Jce-Hun;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.11 no.4 s.29
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2005
  • The Doam watershed is located at alpine areas and the annual average precipitation, including snow accumulation, is significant higher than other areas. Thus, pollutant laden runoff and sediment discharge from the alpine agricultural fields are causing water quality degradation at the Doam watershed. To estimate soil erosion from the agricultural fields, the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) has been widely used because of its simplicity to use. In the early spring at the Doam watershed, the stream flow increases because of snow melt, which results in erosion of loosened soil experiencing freezing and thaw during the winter. Also, extremely torrential rainfall, such as the typhoons 'RUSA' in 2002 and 'MAEMI' in 2003, caused significant amounts of soil erosion and sediment at the Doam watershed. However, the USLE model cannot simulate impacts on soil erosion of freezing and thaw of the soil. It cannot estimate sediment yield from a single torrential rainfall event. Also, it cannot simulate temporal changes in USLE input parameters. Thus, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was investigated for its applicability to estimate soil erosion at the Doam watershed, instead of the widely used USLE model. The SWAT hydrology and erosion/sediment components were validated after calibration of the hydrologic component. The R$^2$ and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient values are higher enough, thus it is found the SWAT model can be efficiently used to simulate hydrology and sediment yield at the Doam watershed. The effects of snow melt on SWAT estimated stream flow and sediment were investigated using long-term precipitation and temperature data at the Doam watershed. It was found significant amount of flow and sediment in the spring are contributed by melting snow accumulated during the winter. Two typhoons in 2002 and 2003, MAEMI and RUSA, caused 33% and 22% of total sediment yields at the Doam watershed, respectively. Thus, it is recommended that the SWAT model, capable of simulating snow melt, sediment yield from a single storm event, and long-term weather data, needs to be used in estimating soil erosion at alpine agricultural areas to develop successful soil erosion management instead of the USLE.

Interactions between Soil Moisture and Weather Prediction in Rainfall-Runoff Application : Korea Land Data Assimilation System(KLDAS) (수리 모형을 이용한 Korea Land Data Assimilation System (KLDAS) 자료의 수문자료에 대한 영향력 분석)

  • Jung, Yong;Choi, Minha
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.172-172
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    • 2011
  • The interaction between land surface and atmosphere is essentially affected by hydrometeorological variables including soil moisture. Accurate estimation of soil moisture at spatial and temporal scales is crucial to better understand its roles to the weather systems. The KLDAS(Korea Land Data Assimilation System) is a regional, specifically Korea peninsula land surface information systems. As other prior land data assimilation systems, this can provide initial soil field information which can be used in atmospheric simulations. For this study, as an enabling high-resolution tool, weather research and forecasting(WRF-ARW) model is applied to produce precipitation data using GFS(Global Forecast System) with GFS embedded and KLDAS soil moisture information as initialization data. WRF-ARW generates precipitation data for a specific region using different parameters in physics options. The produced precipitation data will be employed for simulations of Hydrological Models such as HEC(Hydrologic Engineering Center) - HMS(Hydrologic Modeling System) as predefined input data for selected regional water responses. The purpose of this study is to show the impact of a hydrometeorological variable such as soil moisture in KLDAS on hydrological consequences in Korea peninsula. The study region, Chongmi River Basin, is located in the center of Korea Peninsular. This has 60.8Km river length and 17.01% slope. This region mostly consists of farming field however the chosen study area placed in mountainous area. The length of river basin perimeter is 185Km and the average width of river is 9.53 meter with 676 meter highest elevation in this region. We have four different observation locations : Sulsung, Taepyung, Samjook, and Sangkeug observatoriesn, This watershed is selected as a tentative research location and continuously studied for getting hydrological effects from land surface information. Simulations for a real regional storm case(June 17~ June 25, 2006) are executed. WRF-ARW for this case study used WSM6 as a micro physics, Kain-Fritcsch Scheme for cumulus scheme, and YSU scheme for planetary boundary layer. The results of WRF simulations generate excellent precipitation data in terms of peak precipitation and date, and the pattern of daily precipitation for four locations. For Sankeug observatory, WRF overestimated precipitation approximately 100 mm/day on July 17, 2006. Taepyung and Samjook display that WRF produced either with KLDAS or with GFS embedded initial soil moisture data higher precipitation amounts compared to observation. Results and discussions in detail on accuracy of prediction using formerly mentioned manners are going to be presented in 2011 Annual Conference of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation.

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Sediment Transport Characteristics in a Pressure Pipeline (압력 원형관로내 유사이송특성 연구)

  • Son, Kwang Ik;Kim, Hyun Jung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.3B
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    • pp.205-209
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    • 2011
  • The low carrying capacity caused by the deposition in a sewer line is one of the main reason of the urban flood. Therefore, an efficient maintenance and management of the storm water drainage system is very important to prevent urban flood. In this research, the sediment transport characteristics through a pressure pipeline were examined with laboratory experiments. Bed-forms in a pipeline, sediment rates, roughness due to sediments were examined. Experimental system consists of flow circulation system with a pump and a sediment feeder at the upstream of the pipeline. Sediments were supplied into a 60 mm-diameter and 8 m-long pipe. Maximum flow rate is $30m^3/hr$, and the sediment feeding rate range is 5 g/s~19 g/s. Governing parameters and estimation equation for sediment transport rate were developed. The mean velocity (U), coefficient of viscosity (${\mu}$), unit width bed load ($q_b$), mean diameter of particle ($d_{50}$), unit weight of sediment in water (${\gamma}^{\prime}_s$) were adopted as the most influencing factors of sediment transport patterns. The prediction equation for sediment transport rate were developed with two dimensionless terms. These two dimensionless terms showed a linear relationship with high correlation coefficient.

Research of Runoff Management in Urban Area using Genetic Algorithm (유전자알고리즘을 이용한 도시화 유역에서의 유출 관리 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Beum-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.321-331
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    • 2006
  • Recently, runoff characteristics of urban area are changing because of the increase of impervious area by rapidly increasing of population and industrialization, urbanization. It needs to extract the accurate topologic and hydrologic parameters of watershed in order to manage water resource efficiently. Thus, this study developed more precise input data and more improved parameter estimating procedures using GIS(Geographic Information System) and GA(Genetic Algorithm). For these purposes, XP-SWMM (EXPert-Storm Water Management Model) was used to simulate the urban runoff. The model was applied to An-Yang stream basin that is a typical Korean urban stream basin with several tributaries. The rules for parameter estimation were composed and applied based on quantity parameters that are investigated through the sensitivity analysis. GA algorithm is composed of these rules and facts. The conditions of urban flows are simulated using the rainfall-runoff data of the study area. The data of area, slope, width of each subcatchment and length, slope of each stream reach were acquired from topographic maps, and imperviousness rate, land use types, infiltration capacities of each subcatchment from land use maps, soil maps using GIS. Also we gave the management scheme of urbanization runoff using XP-SWMM. The parameters are estimated by GA from sensitivity analysis which is performed to analyze the runoff parameters.

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