• Title/Summary/Keyword: Runoff frequency

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Drought Analysis and Assessment by Using Land Surface Model on South Korea (지표수문해석모형을 활용한 국내 가뭄해석 적용성 평가)

  • Son, Kyung-Hwan;Bae, Deg-Hyo;Chung, Jun-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.8
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    • pp.667-681
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the applicability of a Land Surface Model (LSM) for drought analysis in Korea. For evaluating the applicability of the model, the model was calibrated on several upper dam site watersheds and the hydrological components (runoff and soil moisture) were simulated over the whole South Korea at grid basis. After converting daily series of runoff and soil moisture data to accumulated time series (3, 6, 12 months), drought indices such as SRI and SSI are calculated through frequency analysis and standardization of accumulated probability. For evaluating the drought indices, past drought events are investigated and drought indices including SPI and PDSI are used for comparative analysis. Temporal and spatial analysis of the drought indices in addition to hydrologic component analysis are performed to evaluate the reproducibility of drought severity as well as relieving of drought. It can be concluded that the proposed indices obtained from the LSM model show good performance to reflect the historical drought events for both spatially and temporally. From this point of view, the LSM can be useful for drought management. It leads to the conclusion that these indices are applicable to domestic drought and water management.

Analysis of Impact of Hydrologic Data on Neuro-Fuzzy Technique Result (수문자료가 Neuro-Fuzzy 기법 결과에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Ji, Jungwon;Choi, Changwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1413-1424
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the frequency of severe storms increases in Korea. Severe storms occurring in a short time cause huge losses of both life and property. A considerable research has been performed for the flood control system development based on an accurate stream discharge prediction. A physical model is mainly used for flood forecasting and warning. Physical rainfall-runoff models used for the conventional flood forecasting process require extensive information and data, and include uncertainties which can possibly accumulate errors during modelling processes. ANFIS, a data driven model combining neural network and fuzzy technique, can decrease the amount of physical data required for the construction of a conventional physical models and easily construct and evaluate a flood forecasting model by utilizing only rainfall and water level data. A data driven model, however, has a disadvantage that it does not provide the mathematical and physical correlations between input and output data of the model. The characteristics of a data driven model according to functional options and input data such as the change of clustering radius and training data length used in the ANFIS model were analyzed in this study. In addition, the applicability of ANFIS was evaluated through comparison with the results of HEC-HMS which is widely used for rainfall-runoff model in Korea. The neuro-fuzzy technique was applied to a Cheongmicheon Basin in the South Han River using the observed precipitation and stream level data from 2007 to 2011.

A Study on the Flood Reduction in Eco-Delta City in Busan using Observation Rainfall and Flood Modelling (관측 강우와 침수모의를 이용한 부산 에코델타시티 수해저감에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, YoonKu;Kim, SeongRyul;Jeon, HaeSeong;Choo, YeonMoon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.187-193
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    • 2020
  • The increase in the area of impervious water due to the recent abnormal weather conditions and rapid urbanization led to a decrease in the amount of low current, resulting in an increase in the amount of surface runoff. Increased surface runoff is causing erosion, destruction of underwater ecosystems, human and property damage in urban areas due to flooding of urban river. The damage has been increasing in Korea recently due to localized heavy rains, typhoons and floods. As a countermeasure, the Busan Metropolitan Government will proceed with the creation of the Eco-Delta City waterfront zone in Busan with the aim of creating a future-oriented waterfront city from 2012 to 2023. Therefore, the current urban river conditions and precipitation data were collected by utilizing SWMM developed by the Environment Protection Agency, and the target basin was selected to simulate flood damage. Measures to reduce flood damage in various cases were proposed using simulated data. It is a method to establish a disaster prevention plan for each case by establishing scenario for measures to reduce flood damage. Considering structural and non-structural measures by performing an analysis of the drainage door with a 30-year frequency of 80 minutes duration, the expansion effect of the drainage pump station is considered to be greater than that of the expansion of the drainage door, and 8 scenarios and corresponding alternatives were planned in combination with the pre-excluding method, which is a non-structural disaster prevention measure. As a result of the evaluation of each alternative, it was determined that 100㎥/s of the pump station expansion and the pre-excluding EL.(-)1.5m were the best alternatives.

On the Change of Hydrologic Conditions due to Global Warming : 2. An Analysis of Hydrologic Changes in Daehung Dam Basin using Water Balance Model (지구온난화에 따른 수문환경의 변화와 관련하여 : 2. 물수지 모형을 이용한 대청댐 상류 유역 수문환경의 변화 분석)

  • An, Jae-Hyeon;Yun, Yong-Nam;Yu, Cheol-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.511-519
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    • 2001
  • Global warming has begun since the industrial revolution and it is getting worse recently. Even though the increase of greenhouse gases such as $CO_2$is thought to be the main cause for glogal warming, its impact on global climate has not been revealed clearly in rather quantitative manners. The objective of this research is to predict the hydrological environment changes in the Daechung Dam basin due to the global warming. A mesoscale atmospheric/hydrologic model (IRSHAM96 model) is used to predict the possible changes in precipitation and temperature in the Daechun Dam basin. The simulation results of IRSHAM96 model and a conceptual water balance model are used to analyze the changes in soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff in the Daechung Dam basin. From the simulation results using the water balance model for 1x$CO_2$and 2x$CO_2$situations, it has been found that the runoff would be decreased in dry season, but increased in wet season due to the global warming. Therefore, it is predicted that the frequency of drought and flood occurrences in the Daechung Dam basin would be increased in 2x$CO_2$condition.

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Variation of design flood according to the temporal resolution and periods of rainfall (강우의 시간해상도와 자료기간에 따른 설계홍수량의 변동성)

  • Kim, Min-Seok;Lee, Jung-Hwan;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.7
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    • pp.599-606
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    • 2018
  • Most hydrological analysis such as probability rainfall and rainfall time distributions have typically carried out based on hourly rainfall and rainfall - runoff analysis have carried out by applying different periods of rainfall time distribution and probability rainfall. In this study, to quantify the change of design flood due to the data type (hourly and minutely rainfall data) and the probability rainfall and application of different data period to the rainfall time distribution, probability rainfall is calculated by point frequency analysis according to data type and period and rainfall time distribution was calculated by Huff's quartile distributions. In addition, the change analysis of design flood was carried out by rainfall - runoff analysis applying different data periods of design rainfall time distribution. and probability rainfall. As a result, rainfall analysis using minute rainfall data was more accurate and effective than using hourly rainfall data. And the design flood calculated by applying different data period of rainfall time distribution and probability rainfall made a large difference than by applying different data type. It is expected that this will contribute to the hydrological analysis using minutely rainfall.

Determination of operating offline detention reservoir considering system resilience (시스템 탄력성을 고려한 빗물저류조 운영수위 결정)

  • Lee, Eui Hoon;Lee, Yong Sik;Jung, Donghwi;Joo, Jin Gul;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.403-411
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the number of occurrences of inundation and the severity of flood damage has increased rapidly as the frequency of localized heavy rainfall and the ratio of impervious area increased in urban areas. Most local governments focus on employing structural measures (e.g., the construction of detention reservoirs/pump stations, rehabilitation of drainage and sewer pipes) to prevent urban inundation. On the other hand, the effectiveness of implementing such structural measures is being dimished because there are already many inundation prevention facilities. The limitation of structural measures can be overcoming by employing non-structure measures, such as flood alerts and the operation of drainage facilities. This study suggests the pump operation rule (i.e., suggesting pump stop level) for a new detention reservoir operating method, which triggers the operation of a pump based on the water level at the monitoring node in urban drainage system. In the new reservoir operation, a total of 48 rainfall events are generated by the Huff distribution for determining the proper pump stop level. First, the generated rainfall events are distributed as frequencies, quartiles, and durations. The averaged system resilience value was determined to range from 1.2 m to 1.5 m is based on the rainfall-runoff simulation with rainfall generated by the Huff distribution. In this range, 1.2 m was identified considering the safety factor of 1.25 by the Standard on sewer facilities in 2011.

A study on estimation of lowflow indices in ungauged basin using multiple regression (다중회귀분석을 이용한 미계측 유역의 갈수지수 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Ga Kyun;Jeung, Se Jin;Kim, Byung Sik;Chae, Soo Kwon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1193-1201
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to develop a regression model that estimates a low-flow index that can be applied to ungauged basins. A total of 30 midsized basins in South Korea use long-term runoff data provided by the National Integrated Water Management System (NIWMS) to calculate average low-flow, average minimum streamflow, and low-flow index duration and frequency. This information is used in the correlation analysis with 18 basin factors and 3 climate change factors to identify the basin area, average basin altitude, average basin slope, water system density, runoff curve number, annual evapotranspiration, and annual precipitation in the low-flow index regression model. This study evaluates the model's accuracy by using the root-mean-square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) for 10 ungauged, verified basins and compares them with the previous model's low-flow calculations to determine the effectiveness of the newly developed model. Comparative analysis indicates that the new regression model produces average low-flow, attributed to the consideration of varied basin and hydrologic factors during the new model's development.

Analysis of Runoff Reduction Effect of Flood Mitigation Policies based on Cost-Benefit Perspective (비용-편익을 고려한 홍수 대응 정책의 유출 저감 효과 분석)

  • Jee, Hee Won;Kim, Hyeonju;Seo, Seung Beom
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.721-733
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    • 2023
  • As the frequency of extreme rainfall events increase due to climate change, climate change adaptation measures have been proposed by the central and local governments. In order to reduce flood damage in urban areas, various flood response policies, such as low impact development techniques and enhancement of the capacity of rainwater drainage networks, have been proposed. When these policies are established, regional characteristics and policy-effectiveness from the cost-benefit perspective must be considered for the flood mitigation measures. In this study, capacity enhancement of rainwater pipe networks and low impact development techniques including green roof and permeable pavement techniques are selected. And the flood reduction effect of the target watershed, Gwanak campus of Seoul National University, was analyzed using SWMM model which is an urban runoff simulation model. In addition, along with the quantified urban flooding reduction outputs, construction and operation costs for various policy scenarios were calculated so that cost-benefit analyses were conducted to analyze the effectiveness of the applied policy scenarios. As a result of cost-benefit analysis, a policy that adopts both permeable pavement and rainwater pipe expansion was selected as the best cost-effective scenario for flood mitigation. The research methodology, proposed in this study, is expected to be utilized for decision-making in the planning stage for flood mitigation measures for each region.

Assessment of the Non-point Source Pollution Control Strategies for Water Quality Improvement in the Haeban Stream of West Nakdong River Watershed (서낙동강 유역 해반천의 수질 개선을 위한 비점오염관리대책 효과 분석)

  • Yejin Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2024
  • In this study, a HSPF model was developed to simulate runoff and water quality in the Haebancheon watershed, which has a high land area ratio and population density among the West Nakdong River watersheds. Various non-point source pollution control strategies were applied, and the reduction in pollutant loads and the exceedance rate of water quality standards were analyzed. The scenarios included basic road cleaning for reducing pollutant loads, runoff reduction measures considering extensive low-impact development techniques, and inflow reduction measures to mitigate non-point source pollution entering the river. In the first step, practical conditions such as the number of vehicles for road cleaning in Kimhae City were considered, while for the second and third steps, it was assumed that 50% of the applicable land use area was used to be applicable for the LID techniques. As a result of applying all three measures, it was analyzed that the BOD pollutant load could be reduced by 58.28%, T-N by 58.49%, and T-P by 51.56%. Furthermore, the 60th percentile of water quality measurements accumulated over 5 years was set as the target water quality, and a flow-duration curve was constructed. The exceedance rate of the flow-duration curve before and after applying non-point source pollution reduction measures was analyzed. As a result, for BOD, the exceedance rate decreased from 41.57% before applying the measures to 16.32% after, showing a 25.25% reduction in the exceedance rate. For T-N, the exceedance rate decreased significantly from 40.31% before the measures to 22.84% after, and for T-P, it decreased significantly from 62.43% to 27.22%.

Estimation of Travel Time in Natural River and Dam Outflow Conditions Considering Rainfall Conditions and Soil Moisture Accounting (강우조건과 토양함수상태를 고려한 자연하천과 댐 방류량 조건에서의 도달시간 산정)

  • Kim, Dong Phil;Kim, Kyoung Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.537-545
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    • 2018
  • Determination of the time parameters such as the travel time in the design flood is very important. The travel time is mainly used for flood and river management, and the travel time of non flood season is used for maintenance flow and management of the river. Estimation of travel time for natural rivers is mainly based on the geomorphological factors of the basin. In addition to the topographical factors, the travel time is calculated by considering the factors of the runoff curve, velocity and rainfall intensity. However, there is no study on the estimation of travel time considering both the rainfall condition and the soil moisture accounting by the frequency period. Therefore, the travel time calculation is divided into the case of setting the Hwanggang Dam and the Imjin bridge water level station of Imjin river as the natural river considering rainfall condition by the frequency period and the soil moisture accounting, and the case of traveling the Imjin bridge water level station according to the condition of outflow of the Hwanggang Dam. For the sections set as natural rivers, the results were verified by comparing with the newly developed travel time calculation method. Based on the results, the travel times of the Hwanggang Dam outflow conditions were calculated. The time to travel in this study can be secured flood control of the Imjin river basin and time to prepare for danger when outflowing the the Hwanggang Dam.