• Title/Summary/Keyword: Runoff analysis

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Estimation of Mega Flood Using Mega Rainfall Scenario (거대강우 시나리오를 이용한 거대홍수량 산정)

  • Han, Daegun;Kim, Deokhwan;Kim, Jungwook;Jung, Jeawon;Lee, Jongso;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.spc
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    • pp.90-97
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, flood due to the consecutive storm events have been occurred and property damage and casualties are in increasing trend. This study calls the consecutively occurred storm events as a mega rainfall scenario and the discharge by the scenario is defined as a mega flood discharge. A mega rainfall scenario was created on the assumption that 100-year frequency rainfall events were consecutively occurred in the Gyeongancheon stream basin. The SSARR (Streamflow Synthesis and Reservoir Regulation) model was used to estimate the mega flood discharge using the scenario in the basin. In addition, in order to perform more reasonable runoff analysis, the parameters were estimated using the SCE_UA algorithm. Also, the calibration and verification were performed using the objective functions of the weighted sum of squared of residual(WSSR), which is advantageous for the peak discharge simulation and sum of squared of residual(SSR). As a result, the mega flood discharge due to the continuous occurrence of 100-year frequency rainfall events in the Gyeongan Stream Basin was estimated to be 4,802㎥/s, and the flood discharge due to the 100-year frequency single rainfall event estimated by "the Master Plan for the Gyeongancheon Stream Improvement" (2011) was 3,810㎥/s. Therefore, the mega flood discharge was found to increase about 992㎥/s more than the single flood event. The results of this study can be used as a basic data for Comprehensive Flood Control Plan of the Gyeongan Stream basin.

Design Flood Estimation for Pyeongchang River Basin Using Fuzzy Regression Method (Fuzzy 회귀분석기법을 이용한 평창강 유역의 설계홍수량 산정)

  • Yi, Jaeeung;Kim, Seungjoo;Lee, Taegeun;Ji, Jungwon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.10
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    • pp.1023-1034
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    • 2012
  • Linear regression technique has been used widely in water resources field as well as various fields such as economics and statistics, and so on. Using fuzzy regression technique, it is possible to quantify uncertainty and reflect them to the regression model. In this study, fuzzy regression model is developed to compute design floods in any place in Pyeongchang River basin. In ungaged basins, it is usually difficult to obtain data required for flood discharge analysis. In this study, basin characteristics elements are analyzed spatially using GIS and the technique of estimating design flood in ungaged mountainous basin is studied based on the result. Fuzzy regression technique is applied to Pyeongchang River basin which has mountainous basin characteristics and well collected rainfall and runoff data through IHP test basin project. Fuzzy design flood estimation equations are developed using the basin characteristics elements for Pyeongchang River basin. The suitability of developed fuzzy equations are examined by comparing the results with design floods computed in 9 locations along the river. Using regional regression method and fuzzy regression analysis, the uncertainties of the design floods occurred from the data monitoring can be quantified.

Evapotranspiration Measurements using an Eddy Covariance Technique in the Seolmacheon Catchment (에디 공분산으로 관측된 설마천 산림 유역의 증발산)

  • Kwon, Hyou-Jung;Kim, Joon;Lee, Jung-Hoon;Jung, Sung-Won;Lee, Jin-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1112-1116
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    • 2009
  • The importance of securing water resources and their efficient management has attracted more attention recently due to water deficit. In water budget analysis, however, evapotranspiration (${\lambda}E$) has been approximated as the residual in the water balance equation or estimated from empirical equations and assumptions. To minimize the uncertainties in these estimates, it is necessary to directly measure ${\lambda}E$. In this study, using the eddy covariance technique, we have measured ${\lambda}E$ in a mixed forest in the Seolmacheon catchment in Korea from September 2007 to December 2008. During the growing season (May - July), ${\lambda}E$ in this mixed forest averaged about 2.2 mm $d^{-1}$, whereas it was on average 0.5 mm $d^{-1}$ during the non-growing season in winter. The annual total ${\lambda}E$ in 2008 was 581 mm $y^{-1}$, which is about 1/3 of the annual precipitation of 1997 mm. Despite the differences in the amount and frequency of precipitation, the accumulated ${\lambda}E$ during the overlapping period (i.e., September to December) for 2007 and 2008 was both ${\sim}$ 110 mm, showing virtually no difference. The omega factor, which is a measure of decoupling between forest and the atmosphere, was on average 0.5, indicating that the contributions of equilibrium ${\lambda}E$ and imposed ${\lambda}E$ to the total ${\lambda}E$ were about the same. The results suggest that ${\lambda}E$in this mixed forest was controlled by various factors such as net radiation, vapor pressure deficit, and canopy conductance. In this study, based on the direct measurements of ${\lambda}E$, we have quantified the relative contribution of ${\lambda}E$in the water balance of a mixed forest in the Seolmacheon catchment. In combination with runoff data, the information on ${\lambda}E$ would greatly enhance the reliability of water budget analysis in this catchment.

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Optimization of Tank Model Parameters Using Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm (I): Methodology and Model Formulation (다목적 유전자알고리즘을 이용한 Tank 모형 매개변수 최적화(I): 방법론과 모형구축)

  • Kim, Tae-Soon;Jung, Il-Won;Koo, Bo-Young;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.9
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    • pp.677-685
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the applicability of multi-objective genetic algorithm(MOGA) in order to calibrate the parameters of conceptual rainfall-runoff model, Tank model. NSGA-II, one of the most imitating MOGA implementations, is combined with Tank model and four multi-objective functions such as to minimize volume error, root mean square error (RMSE), high flow RMSE, and low flow RMSE are used. When NSGA-II is employed with more than three multi-objective functions, a number of Pareto-optimal solutions usually becomes too large. Therefore, selecting several preferred Pareto-optimal solutions is essential for stakeholder, and preference-ordering approach is used in this study for the sake of getting the best preferred Pareto-optimal solutions. Sensitivity analysis is performed to examine the effect of initial genetic parameters, which are generation number and Population size, to the performance of NSGA-II for searching the proper paramters for Tank model, and the result suggests that the generation number is 900 and the population size is 1000 for this study.

Application of High Resolution Multi-satellite Precipitation Products and a Distributed Hydrological Modeling for Daily Runoff Simulation (고해상도 다중위성 강수자료와 분포형 수문모형의 유출모의 적용)

  • Kim, Jong Pil;Park, Kyung-Won;Jung, Il-Won;Han, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.263-274
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    • 2013
  • In this study we evaluated the hydrological applicability of multi-satellite precipitation estimates. Three high-resolution global multi-satellite precipitation products, the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA), the Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP), and the Climate Precipitation Center (CPC) Morphing technique (CMORPH), were applied to the Coupled Routing and Excess Storage (CREST) model for the evaluation of their hydrological utility. The CREST model was calibrated from 2002 to 2005 and validated from 2006 to 2009 in the Chungju Dam watershed, including two years of warm-up periods (2002-2003 and 2006-2007). Areal-averaged precipitation time series of the multi-satellite data were compared with those of the ground records. The results indicate that the multi-satellite precipitation can reflect the seasonal variation of precipitation in the Chungju Dam watershed. However, TMPA overestimates the amount of annual and monthly precipitation while GSMaP and CMORPH underestimate the precipitation during the period from 2002 to 2009. These biases of multi-satellite precipitation products induce poor performances in hydrological simulation, although TMPA is better than both of GSMaP and CMORPH. Our results indicate that advanced rainfall algorithms may be required to improve its hydrological applicability in South Korea.

Linkage of Hydrological Model and Machine Learning for Real-time Prediction of River Flood (수문모형과 기계학습을 연계한 실시간 하천홍수 예측)

  • Lee, Jae Yeong;Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.303-314
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    • 2020
  • The hydrological characteristics of watersheds and hydraulic systems of urban and river floods are highly nonlinear and contain uncertain variables. Therefore, the predicted time series of rainfall-runoff data in flood analysis is not suitable for existing neural networks. To overcome the challenge of prediction, a NARX (Nonlinear Autoregressive Exogenous Model), which is a kind of recurrent dynamic neural network that maximizes the learning ability of a neural network, was applied to forecast a flood in real-time. At the same time, NARX has the characteristics of a time-delay neural network. In this study, a hydrological model was constructed for the Taehwa river basin, and the NARX time-delay parameter was adjusted 10 to 120 minutes. As a result, we found that precise prediction is possible as the time-delay parameter was increased by confirming that the NSE increased from 0.530 to 0.988 and the RMSE decreased from 379.9 ㎥/s to 16.1 ㎥/s. The machine learning technique with NARX will contribute to the accurate prediction of flow rate with an unexpected extreme flood condition.

Determination of Focused Control Pollutant Source by Analysis of Pollutant Delivery Characteristics in Unit Watershed Upper Paldang Lake (팔당호 상류의 단위유역별 오염물질 유출특성 분석을 통한 중점관리 오염원 선정)

  • Kim, Dong Woo;Jang, Mi Jeong;Han, Ihn Sup
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.367-377
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    • 2014
  • Paldang lake which is the most important water resource in Korea is classified as a stream type reservoir and water quality of Paldang lake can be significantly influenced by external pollutant source. So this study was aimed to determine focused control BOD and TP sources of each unit watershed upper Paldang lake through analysis of pollutant source distribution and pollutant runoff characteristics. Generated load, discharge load, delivery load and each load density of 11 unit watersheds upper Paldang lake were calculated using data of water quality and flow rate from pollutant sources and 74 small streams. As a result of generated load, discharge load and delivery load of BOD and TP from pollutant sources, the most BOD generated load was taken by livestock with 66% of total BOD discharge load and domestic had the most BOD discharge load, 42.7%. The ratio of delivery load of livestock and domestic was 36.4% and 34.3%, respectively. Livestock occupied high ratio of TP generated load, discharge load and delivery load with 82.5%, 44.4% and 46.7%, respectively. Gyeongan watershed which had high population density showed the highest BOD delivery load density of $14.6kg/km^2/d$ and the highest TP delivery load density with $1.23kg/km^2/d$ was analyzed in Cheongmi watershed including the biggest number of livestock. From these results, management of domestic sewer and livestock excrement was determined as a focused control pollutant source. And intensive management about domestic sewer in Gyeongan stream and livestock excrement in Cheongmi stream is required for water quality improvement of Paldang lake.

Analysis of Agricultural Water Supply System at the Dongjin-River Basin (동진강 유역의 농업용수 급수체계 분석)

  • Choi, Jin-Kyu;Son, Jae-Gwon;Kim, Young-Joo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2012
  • This study was investigated agricultural water supply system of major agricultural waterway for Gimje canal, Jeongeup canal, Dongjin river conduit of Dongjin river basin. Furthermore, this result will be used for water resources and agricultural demand in Saemangeum reclaimed arable land. Annual precipitation for 5 years in Dongjin river basin was 1,311.7mm. The average discharges in Dongjin river basin was $1,390{\times}10^6\;m^3$ and $1,516{\times}10^6\;m^3$ and $744{\times}10^6\;m^3$ for 2,007 and 2008, respectively. Also, annual average amount of water resources was 1,861${\times}10^6\;m^3$ and $2,279{\times}10^6\;m^3$ and $1,227{\times}10^6\;m^3$ for 2,007 and 2008, respectively. Dongjin river basin water system for the analysis of agricultural water in water resources, runoff, agricultural water demand and usage surveys were analyzed, resulting in the total amount of water due to precipitation of the watershed of the $12.3{\times}10^9\;m^3$ ~$22.8{\times}10^9\;m^3$ and Dongjin River basin in waters flowing discharge is $7.4{\times}10^9\;m^3$~$16.1{\times}10^9\;m^3$, agricultural water demand and usage of each of $6.8{\times}10^9\;m^3$~$6.9{\times}10^9\;m^3$ and $4.9{\times}10^9\;m^3$~$7.1{\times}10^9\;m^3$ compared to the agricultural water demand was more likely. Agricultural water supply system in Dongjin river basin is complex because of devided branches to the main canal and branch canal. In this process, accurately assessment of water usage is very difficult. Therefore, systematic management of water resources and supply of agricultural water supply system to use the terms of the complexity and diversity by considering the appropriate level of agricultural water management systems will be needed. As a result of this study, it can be used water resources assessment in quantity, rational usefulness and basic planning of water resources development for water distribution.

Numerical Modeling of Circulation Characteristics in the Kwangyang Estuarine System (광양만 권역의 해수순환 수치모델 실험)

  • Kim, Baek Jin;Ro, Young Jae;Jung, Kwang Young;Park, Kwang Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.253-266
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    • 2014
  • The ECOM3D is used to study the circulation characteristics and density current from the Sumjin River runoff in the Kwangyang Estuarine System, South Sea, Korea. Annual mean value of $120m^3/s$ was imposed from the Sumjin River. The numerical model results in terms of tidal height, current and salinity field show satisfactory with skill scores over 90%. The current velocity showed the range of 1~2.5 m/s during flood and ebb phases. In particular, very strong flow occur in the narrow Channels of Noryang, Daebang and Changson exceeding over 2.0 m/s. The tidal residual currents in the various locations in the Kwangyang Estuary showed the range of 1~21 cm/s, The density-driven current through the Yeosu and Noryang Channels are about 12 cm/s and 4 cm/s, respectively. The current path through the Yeosu Channel is deflected toward west Bank. Based on budget analysis of the volume flux, the volume flux through the Yeosu Channel and the Noryang Channel were estimated to be 97.4 and $22.1m^3/s$ accounting for the 81.5% and 18.5% of total flux, respectively.

Chemical Water Quality and Fish Community Characteristics in the Mid- to Downstream Reach of Geum River (금강 중.하류역의 이.화학적 수질특성 및 어류 군집특성)

  • Han, Jeong-Ho;An, Kwang-Guk
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.180-188
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    • 2013
  • The objectives of the study were to analyze chemical water quality and fish community structures in the downstreams of Geum River during 2004~2005. Water quality parameters showed that ionic dilution was evident during July~August due to a rainfall and river runoff by Asian monsoon. Mean concentrations of BOD showed a seasonal variation and were greater in the downstream than in the midstream. The total number of fish species observed was 34 (11 families) and 30.3% of them was Korean endemic species. The dominant species with > 20% of the total were Zacco platypus (25.9%) and Microphysogobio jeoni (21.5%) in the river. Exotic species observed was only one species, Carassius cuvieri with relative abundance of 1.8%. According to the structure analysis of fish community, species richness index was highest (3.714) in S6 and lowest in S4 (1.961), while species diversity index was highest in S2 (1.01) and lowest in S5 (0.507). Tolerant species dominated the fish community (49%), and the sensitive species were rare (4.4%), indicating a biological degradation of ecosystem. In the mean time, omnivore species was composed of 49% in the fish community and insectivore species was nearly same with the proportion of the omnivores.