• 물과 미래
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.51-62
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• 1993

연유출량에 영향을 미치는 가장 직접적인 인자는 강수량인데 회귀분석을 이용한 이전의 연구에서는 유출률이 20% 미만 또는 100% 이상인 경우에는 강수와 유량자료는 이상점(outlier)으로서 분석에서 제외시킨 결과 강수량은 독립변수로서 의의가 없고 대신 유역면적을 중요한 독립변수로 포함시켰다. 본 연구에서는 유출률대신 (연강수량-연유출량)을 연증발산량의 좋은 추정치로 간주하고 우리나라에서 가능한 연증발산의 범위를 벗어나는 자료를 제외시키고 회귀분석을 한 결과 수문학적인 이론에 부합되며 결정계수가 높은 다음과 같은 회귀분석식을 얻었다. R=-518.25+0.8834P 단, R: 유출고(mm) P: 연강수량(mm) 이 회귀분석식은 cross-validation을 거친 결과 계수가 매우 안정되어 있어서 우리나라의 미계측 중소수게에서 사용할 수 있는 좋은 연유출량 추정모델로서 제안한다.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제54권3호
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• pp.65-74
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• 2012

In this study, three different unit hydrograph methods (NRCS, Snyder and Clark) in the HEC-HMS were compared to find better fit with the observed data in the Namgang-Dam watershed. The Sancheong, Shinan, and Changchon in Namgang-Dam watershed were selected as the study watersheds. The input data for HEC-HMS were calculated land use, digital elevation map, stream, and watershed map provided by WAter Management Information System (WAMIS). Sixty six storms from 2004 to 2011 were selected for model calibration and validation. Three unit hydrograph methods were compared with the observed data in terms of simulated runoff volume, and peak runoff for the selected storms. The results showed that the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) for the peak runoff was 0.8295~0.9999 and root mean square error (RMSE) was 0.029~0.086 mm/day for calibration stages. In the model validation, $R^2$ for the peak runoff was 0.9061~0.9916 and RMSE was 0.030~0.088 mm/day which were more accurate than calibrated data. Analysis of variance showed that there was no significant difference among the three unit hydrograph methods.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2007년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.1798-1802
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• 2007

The practice of business estimate flood discharge by rainfall-flow relation that is easy collection of observation data. The important factor is rainfall, coefficient of runoff, and drainage area for analysis of runoff-flow relation.The practice of business usually use probability rainfall that use a weighted average value after each observation post estimate probability of non-same time. It has more error than same time probability rainfall, and it can excess of estimation because it can't consider space distribution of rainfall.The study of result showed similar aspect with existing ARF but width of coefficient become smaller. And the comparison of peak flow did not different what used by ARF and same time probability rainfall(A group). But non-same time probability rainfall is bigger 25% more than another(B group). Between A group and B group of the difference increased with the lapse of time.

• 산업기술연구
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• 제27권A호
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• pp.95-102
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• 2007

The practice of business estimate flood discharge by rainfall-flow relation that is easy collection of observation data. The important factor is rainfall, coefficient of runoff, and drainage area for analysis of runoff-flow relation. The practice of business usually use probability rainfall that use a weighted average value after each observation post estimate probability of non-same time. It has more error than same time probability rainfall, and it can excess of estimation because it can't consider space distribution of rainfall. The study of result showed similar aspect with existing ARF but width of coefficient become smaller. And the comparison of peak flow did not different what used by ARF and same time probability rainfall(A group). But non-same time probability rainfall is bigger 25% more than another(B group). Between A group and B group of the difference increased with the lapse of time.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.89-93
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• 2010

유역의 급격한 도시화는 지체시간, 첨두유량 및 총 유출량 등 홍수 유출특성 뿐만 아니라 개발행위에 따른 토사유출특성 변화를 초래하여 배수관로내의 토사퇴적을 유발하여 도시홍수 발생 가능성 등 다양한 문제를 유발하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 도시화가 진행 중인 시험유역을 선정하여 지난 3년 동안 토지이용분포의 변화양상은 물론 강우 및 수위 자동계측기를 이용하여 연속적으로 유출수문 특성을 계측하였으며 유량-유사량 관계곡선을 유도하였다. 실측결과로부터 호우사상별 토지이용분포 변화에 따른 유출률과 첨두유출량의 변화를 정량적으로 분석하였으며 유역개발 건설과정에 따른 토사유출량의 변화특성을 정성적으로 분석하였다. 도시화가 진행될수록 합리식의 유출계수는 증가하였다. 토사의 경우 공사기간 중 유출량의 변화가 심하다는 사실과 특히, 공사기간 중 1 cms 미만의 유출을 유발하는 소규모 강우에 의한 부유사 유출은 약 10배 이상 증가한다는 사실을 확인하였다. 그러나 소류사의 경우 강우의 크기에 민감하지 않음을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제38권2호
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• pp.237-247
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• 2018

유역 특성은 유역과 하도망의 지형학적인 구성에 대한 특성을 반영하는 것으로 유출 특성에 영향을 준다. 본 연구에서는 유역의 형태학적 특성과 유출의 관계를 분석하기 위해 한강 유역의 19개 하천의 27개 지점을 대상으로 유역 형태학적 특성을 Arc-map을 이용하여 구하였다. 하천 형태학적 특성은 선형, 면적, 기복 측면으로 구분하여 산정하였고, 강우에 의한 유역의 반응인 연평균 유출률은 실측 강수량과 유출량 자료를 이용하여 산정하였다. 각각의 형태학적 매개변수에 대한 상관을 도식화하고, 상관특성을 분석하였다. 길이비, 형상계수, 형상인자, 면적비, 기복비, 함몰도에 의한 연간 유출률에 대한 다중 회귀분석식을 제시하였고, 결정계수는 0.691로 나타났다. 실측과 회귀분석식에 의해 계산된 연간 유출률과의 RMSE와 MAPE는 각각 0.09, 11.61%로 나타나 비교적 정확히 예측하였다.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.53-63
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• 1987

Due to their wide range of application, deterministic comprehensive hydrologic models using digital computers have been developed in all countries of the world and researches are being undertaken for their appropriate applications. The aim of this study has been to demonstrate the practical implementation of a physically based distributed hydrologic model, the USDAHL-74 model and to investigate its ability to simulate the long term estimate of water balance quantities in a Korean mountainous watershed. Application of the model to Dochuk watershed indicates the following results. 1.Since the USDAHL-74 model includes all the major components of the hydrologic cycle in agricultural watersheds, thus is comprehnsive, the model seems to have a wide range of application from the fact that simulation results obtained are not only runoff volumes m various time units but their spatial variation as well as even soil moisture within the watershed. 2.An approximate calibration to determine the parameter values in the model using various data obtained from D0chuk shed shows that the simulation error of yearly runoff volume is only 0.6 % and a correlation coefficient between observed daily runoff volume and simulated one is 0.91 in all calibrated period.3.As a verification test of the model, runoff volumes are simulated using 1986 year data without changing the parameter values determined by 1985 year data. The tests show that the USDAHL-74 model is a flexible tool and that realistic production to simulate the long term estimate of runoff in Korean mountainous watershed could be obtained using only a short period of calibration.4. Despite of the encouraging results, there still remain minor problems concerning the practical application of the model to improve the result of simulations. Some of these are the small descrepancies between observed and simulated daily runoff volume appeared in the vicinity of peaks and the recession of1 the daily hydrographs and the model performance for the frozen ground and melting process in the model. 5. Alough the use of parameter with physical significance and the ability to improve calibrations on the basis of physical reasoning represents advantages in the simulation for ungaged watersheds, further researches are needed to use the USDAHL-74 mode to simulate runoff in ungaged watersheds.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.178-182
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• 2005

In the forthcoming 21C, the development of cultural lives depends on that the water demand will increase or not. On the opposite site of that circumstance, many factors of the small watersheds will influence directly on how to cover the surface of watersheds with land use, no planning developing watersheds, and the rearrangement of small rivers. Especially as the extraordinary climatic Phenomena, exhaust of $CO_2$ and destruction of 03 layer, water resource and water foresting content of the small watersheds will be decreased by confusing on the malting a plan of water resources. For example, those are Typhoon Rusa in 2002, Typhoon Maemi in 2003 and heavy storms in 2004. This study area has three group and one of them having three small watersheds, total five small watersheds. That is, Sabukmyeon small watersheds in Chuncheon, Three small watersheds in Wonju(Jeoncheon, Jupocheon and Hasunamcheon), and Suipcheon in Yanggu-Gun which are located far away each other three group and different precipitation data. According to the land use such as dry field(or farm), rice field, forest land. building site and others in small watersheds, the amount of runoff will be impacted by monthly precipitation. The comparison between the runoff was getting from Kajiyama Formula and calculated runoff from multi-linear regressed equations by land use Percentage was performed with different precipitation data and different small watersheds. Its correlations which are estimated by coefficient of correlation will be accepted or not, as approached 1.0000 values. As the monthly water resources amount is estimated by multi-linear regressed equations with different precipitation data and different small watersheds having no gauging station, we make a plan in order to demand and supply the water quantity from small river watersheds during return periods.

• 한국해안해양공학회지
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.74-85
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• 1997

마산만의 악화된 수질을 개선하고 관리하기 위해서는 정확한 물수지 및 해수교환 특성 분석이 선결되어야한다. 본 연구에서는 모형적용 영역을 4개의 해역으로 분할하여 월별로 물수지를 분석하였으며, 중요한 입력자료인 유역 유출량은 유출계수(=0.7)를 이용하여 추정하였다. 물수지 분석모형을 마산만 및 인근해역에 적용한 결과는 다음과 같다. 마산만 유역의 용수공급에 의한 유출기여율은 1978년 10% 수준에서 점차 증가하여, 현재는 강우에 의한 유출량과 대등한 수준이다. 또한, 하수 차집관거에 의한 유출저감량은 총 유입량의 약 25% 정도이며, 강우 및 증발에 의한 순영향은 10% 정도이다 한편, 마산만의 수리하적 정체시간은 약 3개월(97일)로, 해수교환이 잘 이루어지지 않는다. 해수교환에 의한 염도변화를 분석한 결과 월평균 강우와 염도의 시기적인 상관성은 없고, 염도간 지역적인 상관성만이 있는 것으로 나타났다

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.770-774
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• 2006

The determination of feasible design flood is the most important to control flood damage in river management. Model parameters should be calibrated using observed discharge but due to deficiency of observed data the parameters have been adopted by engineer's empirical sense. Storage coefficient in the Clark unit hydrograph method mainly affects magnitude of peak flood. This study is to estimate the storage coefficients based on the observed rainfall-runoff events at the four stage stations in the Hantan river basin. Model calibration is the process of adjusting model parameter values until model results match historical data. An objective function which is the percent difference between the observed and computed peak flows is available for measuring the goodness-of-fit between computed and observed hydrographs. By sensitivity analysis for the storage coefficient, it has been shown that the storage coefficients affect the peak flows. The Clark parameters adopted in the River Rectification Basic Plan have been estimated through an iterative process designed to produce a hydrograph with the peak flow.