• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rogers의 혁신 확산 이론

Search Result 8, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

혁신수용에 관한 군집화 연구

  • Ryu, Gwi-Yeol;Choe, Gi-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2003.10a
    • /
    • pp.213-218
    • /
    • 2003
  • 본 논문은 혁신수용에 대한 한국인들의 군집화에 관한 연구로서, 분류된 군집의 라이프스타일 등의 특성을 밝힐 것이다. 연구를 위해 2003년 6월 9일부터 27일까지 설문조사를 실시하였으며, Ward의 군집분석 방법을 이하여 분석하였다. Rogers가 혁신 수용에 관한 군집을 통계적 이론을 바탕으로 다섯 가지로 분류한 바 있으나 본 연구에서는 혁신층이 11%, 조기다수층이 24.4%, 후기다수층이 48.9%, 후발수용층이 15.7% 등 네 가지 군집으로 분류될 수 있음을 알 수 있었고, 이 군집들의 라이프스타일을 연구하였다. 또한 Rogers의 연구 결과와 비교해 볼 때, 조기수용층이 혁신층으로 흡수되었다. 이러한 결과는 두터운 혁신층을 바탕으로 신제품이나 새로운 서비스를 처음 받아들이는 계층이 넓다는 것을 의미하고, 우리나라에서는 신제품을 개발 시험할 수 있는 좋은 구조를 가지고 있음을 의미하고, 반면에 조기다수층이 혁신 수용에 신중함으로 보이고 있기 때문에 혁신의 확산에 높은 저항이 있음을 알 수 있다. 세계각국에서 적극적으로 추진하고 있는 초고속 인터넷 서비스 분야 성공은 다른 나라에 비해 서비스를 빠르게 수용하고 이 후 높은 품질의 서비스와 고객만족을 기업들에 요구하고, 기업들의 적절한 대응의 결과로 설명될 수 있다.

  • PDF

Forecasting methodology of future demand market (미래 수요시장의 예측 방법론)

  • Oh, Sang-young
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.18 no.2
    • /
    • pp.205-211
    • /
    • 2020
  • The method of predicting the future may be predicted by technical characteristics or technical performance. Therefore, technology prediction is used in the field of strategic research that can produce economic and social benefits. In this study, we predicted the future market through the study of how to predict the future with these technical characteristics. The future prediction method was studied through the prediction of the time when the market occupied according to the demand of special product. For forecasting market demand, we proposed the future forecasting model through comparison of representative quantitative analysis methods such as CAGR model, BASS model, Logistic model and Gompertz Growth Curve. This study combines Rogers' theory of innovation diffusion to predict when products will spread to the market. As a result of the research, we developed a methodology to predict when a particular product will mature in the future market through the spread of various factors for the special product to occupy the market. However, there are limitations in reducing errors in expert judgment to predict the market.

Estimation of Semiconductor Market, Using NLS Diffusion Model (비선형회귀 확산모형을 이용한 반도체 시장수요 추정)

  • Kim, Gene;Khoe, Kyung-Il
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.141-147
    • /
    • 2014
  • Diffusion model is popular research topic in marketing and economy particularly for the areas of model specification and market size forecasting. In particular, Bass model can explain Roger's innovation diffusion and product life cycle through easy mathematical representation and hence the model has been widely used for the explanation of adopting innovative new products and technologies. Nonetheless, there're only a couple of pioneering researches about semiconductor market, using diffusion models. Consequently, we'd utilise NLS approach diffusion model to estimate the market potential of MOSFET, major switching device for power management of system, and explain the process to industry stakeholders and policy makers for delivery of managerial implication with pragmatic purpose.

Golfers' Intention to Adopt UV Specialized Clothing as Innovation: Based on Rogers Theory (골퍼의 자외선 차단의복의 수용 의도: Rogers의 혁신확산이론을 중심으로)

  • Sung Heewon;Slocum Ann C.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
    • /
    • v.28 no.12 s.138
    • /
    • pp.1554-1561
    • /
    • 2004
  • In the U.S., outdoor enthusiasts such as golfers have been focused on skin cancer prevention practices since their outdoor activities lead to extensive sun exposure during peak sun hours. The purposes of this study were to investigate golfers current sun protection behaviors and five attributes and their impacts on the intention to adopt UV specialized clothing based on Rogers' theory. UV specialized clothing as a preventive innovation is related to sun protection behaviors. However, there has been little effort to explain the intention to adopt a preventive innovation regarding health-related practices. With a convenience sampling method, a total of 158 useful questionnaires were collected. Ninety one percent were male golfers, and their age ranged from 16 to 80 years old(mean age=30 years). About $25\%$ reported to practice sun protection behaviors. About $70\%$ disagreed on the relative advantage, compatibility, observability, and triability of UV specialized shirts and reported the low intention to purchase it. Current sun protection behaviors and five attribute variables were entered in the multiple regression equation to explain the dependent variable of intention to adopt the innovation. Triability was the best predictor of the intention to adopt UV specialized shirts, followed by current sun protection behaviors, compatibility, and relative advantage. With four predictors, $45\%$ of the variance of intention to adopt was explained. The present study provides how the golfers current sun protection behaviors play important roles in explaining the intention to adopt the preventive innovation. Physical and functional features of UV specialized clothing were also significantly associated with their intentions to adopt it.

An Estimating Method for Cognitional timeliness of Critical Success Factors (성공요인의 중점적 인식시점 추정방법론)

  • Oh, Sang-Young;Hong, Hyun-Gi
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.7 no.5
    • /
    • pp.948-953
    • /
    • 2006
  • This study presents a statistic method to estimate the salient time of critical success factors for successful business. Generally, the importance of the facts is flexible along with changes of business circumstance. Also, the change of business circumstance is affected by time. Thus, the importance of facts is change through the time. This study, based on Roger's diffusion of innovations theory suggests a precise estimating method to cognitional timeliness of the critical success factors in technology-based Industry.

  • PDF

Effect of perceptions of attributes of Cyber Education on the adoption decision (사이버학습 속성인식이 학습참여결정에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Suh, Soon-shik
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.35-43
    • /
    • 2002
  • By entering the information society, the trend of increasing use of the cyber education to deliver high-Quality educational programs is likely to continue. For instance, supported by the government agencies, central officials training institute is expending vast amounts of money for the installation of cyber education programs. However, much of the research that has been done concerns the discrepancy between the potential and the actual use of technology in the field of education and training. The intent of this study was to identify the decision of the adoption of cyber education among national officials who had just peceived the existence the cyber education programs which would be used for their professional training and development, and to investigate the relationships between the Rogers' five attributes of innovation (relative advantage, compatibility, easy of use, observability, trialiability) and their decision of adoption. The results of the study generally concurred with Rogers diffusion of innovation theory revealing that perceived compatibility, easy of use, and observability of cyber education are significant predictors of decision to participate in cyber education.

  • PDF

Characteristics of Smartphone User in Application Usage and Implications for Applications Business Model (스마트폰 사용자들의 앱 이용 특성과 앱 비즈니스 모델에의 시사)

  • Yun, Hyung Bo;Wang, Boram;Park, Jiyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.32-42
    • /
    • 2013
  • As the smartphone market grows, the needs for its new business model are also increased. However, most previous researches on smartphone applications focused on Technology Acceptance Model(TAM) and Rogers' Diffusion of Innovation Theory so that there was lack of researches on characteristics for actual smartphone users. In this research, we divided the smartphone applications into five category functions (Call & Text/Music & Video/Information Search/Game/Social Network Service (SNS)). We analyzed characteristic differences of users who used the each application category and found that the differences were statistically significant in both demographic and smartphone usage characteristics (frequency of downloading applications, and download experience of paid applications). Additionally, the smartphone usage characteristic is closely related to the usage duration. The representative result is that the characteristics of people used Music & Video function actively were women in their 20s who downloaded applications more than three times per week, and had a download experience of paid applications. It is positive result for players in the application markets, because it means the users are willing to pay for downloading the paid applications. However, large companies already occupied most of the market share in music applications so that small and medium-sized players should develop an innovative and distinguishable business model in order to success. We believe this research result would provide significant implications for the players in planning the successful business model and developing an user-specific application product.

Structural Properties of Social Network and Diffusion of Product WOM: A Sociocultural Approach (사회적 네트워크 구조특성과 제품구전의 확산: 사회문화적 접근)

  • Yoon, Sung-Joon;Han, Hee-Eun
    • Journal of Distribution Research
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.141-177
    • /
    • 2011
  • I. Research Objectives: Most of the previous studies on diffusion have concentrated on efficacy of WOM communication with the use of variables at individual level (Iacobucci 1996; Midgley et al. 1992). However, there is a paucity of studies which investigated network's structural properties as antecedents of WOM from the perspective of consumers' sociocultural propensities. Against this research backbone, this study attempted to link the network's structural properties and consumer' WOM behavior on cross-national basis. The major research objective of this study was to examine the relationship between network properties and WOM by comparing Korean and Chinese consumers. Specific objectives of this research are threefold; firstly, it sought to examine whether network properties (i.e., tie strength, centrality, range) affect WOM (WOM intention and quality of WOM). Secondly, it aimed to explore the moderating effects of cutural orientation (uncertainty avoidance and individuality) on the relationship between network properties and WOM. Thirdly, it substantiates the role of innovativeness as antecedents to both network properties and WOM. II. Research Hypotheses: Based on the above research objectives, the study put forth the following research hypotheses to validate. ${\cdot}$ H 1-1 : The Strength of tie between two counterparts within network will positively influence WOM effectivenes ${\cdot}$ H 1-2 : The network centrality will positively influence the WOM effectiveness ${\cdot}$ H 1-3 : The network range will positively influence the WOM effectiveness ${\cdot}$ H 2-1 : The consumer's uncertainty avoidance tendency will moderate the relationship between network properties and WOM effectiveness ${\cdot}$ H 2-2 : The consumer's individualism tendency will moderate the relationship between network properties and WOM effectiveness ${\cdot}$ H 3-1 : The consumer's innovativeness will positively influence the social network properties ${\cdot}$ H 3-2 : The consumer's innovativeness will positively influence WOM effectiveness III. Methodology: Through a pilot study and back-translation, two versions of questionnaire were prepared, one in Korean and the other in Chinese. The chinese data were collected from the chinese students enrolled in language schools in Suwon city in Korea, while Korean data were collected from students taking classes in a major university in Seoul. A total of 277 questionnaire were used for analysis of Korean data and 212 for Chinese data. The reason why Chinese students living in Korea rather than in China were selected was based on two factors: one was to neutralize the differences (ie, retail channel availability) that may arise from living in separate countries and the second was to minimize the difference in communication venues such as internet accessibility and cell phone usability. SPSS 12.0 and AMOS 7.0 were used for analysis. IV. Results: Prior to hypothesis verification, mean differences between the two countries in terms of major constructs were performed with the following result; As for network properties (tie strength, centrality and range), Koreans showed higher scores in all three constructs. For cultural orientation traits, Koreans scored higher only on uncertainty avoidance trait than Chinese. As a result of verifying the first research objective, confirming the relationship between network properties and WOM effectiveness, on Korean side, tie strength(Beta=.116; t=1.785) and centrality (Beta=.499; t=6.776) significantly influenced on WOM intention, and similar finding was obtained for Chinese side, with tie strength (Beta=.246; t=3.544) and centrality (Beta=.247; t=3.538) being significant. However, with regard to WOM argument quality, Korean data yielded only centrality (Beta=.82; t=7.600) having a significant impact on WOM, whereas China showed both tie strength(Beat=.142; t=2.052) and centrality(Beta=.348; t=5.031) being influential. To answer for the second research objective addressing the moderating role of cultural orientation, moderated regression anaylsis was performed and the result showed that uncertainty avoidance moderated between network range and WOM intention for both Korea and China, But for Korea, the uncertainty avoidance moderated between tie strength and WOM quality, while for China it moderated between network range and WOM intention. And innovativeness moderated between tie strength and WOM intention for Korea but it moderated between network range and WOM intention for China. As a result of analysing for third research objective, we found that for Korea, innovativeness positively influenced centrality only (Beta=.546; t=10.808), while for China it influenced both tie strength (Beta=.203; t=2.998) and centrality(Beta=.518; t=8.782). But for both countries alike, the innovativeness influenced positively on WOM (WOM intention and WOM quality). V. Implications: The study yields the two practical implications. Firstly, the result suggests that companies targeting multinational customers need to identify segments which are susceptible to the positive WOM and WOM information based on individual traits such as uncertainty avoidance and individualism and based on that, develop marketing communication strategy. Secondly, the companies need to divide the market on Roger's five innovation stages and based on this information, enforce marketing strategy which utilizes social networking tools such as public media and WOM. For instance, innovator and early adopters, if provided with new product information, will be able to capitalize upon the network advantages and thus add informational value to network operations using SNS or corporate blog.

  • PDF