• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk-benefit

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Architects' Perceptions on Identifying Major Risk Factors and Mitigation Measures in Green Building Design :The Case of South Korea

  • Kim, Jinho
    • Architectural research
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2019
  • Architects are facing increasing risks that result from heightened expectations of benefits and performance when designing green buildings compared to traditional buildings. This study aims to explore the possible risk factors for architects in green building projects in South Korea and assess risk mitigation measures. To attain this goal, 14 risk factors and 12 mitigation measures were determined through an extensive literature review. A questionnaire was administered to architects practicing green building design and criticality index was employed to assess major risk factors and mitigation measures. This study identified 'adoption of new technology and process', 'green building certification results', 'building products and materials', and 'energy saving uncertainty' as the major risk factors of green building projects. Additionally, the questionnaire proposed 'contract indicating each party's role, liability, and limitations clearly', 'utilizing integrated design process', and 'understanding client's goal in green building projects' as the three most effective risk mitigation measures in designing green buildings. There are few studies that focus on architects' perceived risks concerning green building projects; this study contributes to a deeper knowledge and attempts to fill the current literature gap, which would benefit South Korea's green building design practice by aiding in the development of better risk management strategies.

A Case Study of Jet fire Estimation Model on the High Pressurized Pipeline of Natural Gas (고압가스배관의 제트화재 예측모델에 관한 사례연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Gon;Kim, Dong-Sung;Hwang, Cheol-Seung;Cho, Won-Cheol;Lee, Tae-Shik
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.371-375
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    • 2007
  • Due to the benefit of QRA(Quantitative Risk Analysis) method, we can evaluate the risk, and it helps us to make our safe. We also depend to some of correlation equations to assess the jet fire at high pressurized transmission line. However, we can evaluate the risk within limitations. After comparing the current model to investigation report of natural gas transmission line accident at EL-Paso in U.S., this study concludes that more research and study are required because currently developed model cannot expect factors of the fire risk such as flame configuration.

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On a Risk Assessment Methodology based on the Technology Readiness Levels, Degrees of Difficulty, and Technology Need Values in the Development of Naval Surface Ships (수상함 개발에서 기술성숙도, 난이도 및 중요도 기반의 위험도 평가 방안)

  • Kim, Kyong-Hwan;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this paper is to propose a method of how to perform risk assessment in the early stage of defense research and development for the acquisition of weapon systems. An advanced method for risk assessment and its associated objective functions are developed first based on the concept of systems engineering. The developed method is then applied to carry out the analysis of alternatives in the trade-off environments. As a case study, the multi-purpose training ship is considered, where it is performed using the notions of technology readiness levels, degrees of difficulty, and technology need values to facilitate design space visualization and decision maker interaction. It is noted that decision makers can benefit from our approach as an improved risk assessment method in the context of multi-criteria decision making.

Application of Risk Analysis for Economic Evaluation of Railroad Investments (위험도 분석을 이용한 철도투자사업 경제성평가 적용방안)

  • Lee, Ho;Suh, Sun-Duck
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.44-51
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    • 2001
  • To account for uncertainties involved in an economic analysis of project, sensitivity analysis are usually being done in Korea. Though useful for policy analysis, but it larks explicit consideration of probability of occurring certain events considered in the sensitivity analysis. Risk analysis otherwise can explicitly account for the probability of certain event which has dire impact on project viability, such as cost, discount rate, and size of benefit. This paper reports experience of applying risk analysis method for economic evaluation of railroad investment. Probability distribution of event has paramount impact on the risk analysis results, while not many prior researches dealt with these issues. Probability distribution of rolling stock cost and operating cost, in addition to those cost variables, are developed considering railway demand in this study. Case study results are reported. Issues in applying risk analysis are reported in addition to further research direction.

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Basic Requirements for the Application of Risk Concept on Railway Safety Improvements (철도안전관리에 위험도개념 적용을 위한 기반 요건에 대한 연구)

  • Kwak Sang-Log;Cho Yun-Ok;Hong Yong-Ki;Wang Jong-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.290-295
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    • 2004
  • In railway system, the first step of safety managements is the identification of current safety level. Among many safety indexes, risk concept is the prevailing and most effective one in many developed countries for the safety management. But many requirements such as, accident classification rule, risk levels or broadly acceptable regions, safety cost benefit analysis, VPF, equivalent fatality and failure database are needed for the application of risk concept in railway. Basic requirements for the application of risk concept on railway safety improvements are derived in this study.

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A Study on Risk Assessment and Risk Mitigation Measures of Liquefied Chlorine Leak (액화염소 누출의 위험도 분석 및 위험경감조치에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Ju-Youn;Chon, Young-Woo;Hwang, Yong-Woo;Lee, Ik-Mo
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2018
  • As the chemical industry becomes more advanced, the awareness of chemical accidents is rising, and legal systems for chemical safety management are strengthened. In this study, quantitative risk assessment of liquid chlorine leak was conducted. Risk assessment was performed in the order of frequency analysis, consequence analysis, and risk calculation. The individual risk was presented in the form of contour lines. The social risk was expressed by the FN curve. The risk of day and night was in an unacceptable area, so it was required to mitigate risk. Therefore in-building, which could trap the pool, was selected as a risk mitigation measure. As a result of the cost benefit analysis, it was concluded that this measure should be reasonably implemented.

Consumers' Reaction, Perceives Benefits and Risk When Purchasing Apparel through Cable TV Home-Shopping (케이블TV 홈쇼핑을 통한 의복구매시 소비자 반응과 추구이점 및 위험지각)

  • 김주영;구양숙
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1082-1093
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study was to identify characteristics and consumer attitude on purchasing apparel through Cable TV home-shopping. The questionnaire was administered to 4y5 May through September in 1996 and the data were analyzed by using frequency, factor analysis, crosstab, 1-test, ANOVA, MANOVA, scheffe with utilizing SPSS/PC+ The results of this study were as follows: 1. The most favorite media in purchasing apparel through home-shopping was Cable TV in all over ages except 50's. Women showed Cable TV the most interested, whereas men showed printed media and computer on-line shopping as home shopping media. 2. Home-shopping favor in region' was higher than that of Seoul. In the degree of favor, college students showed the highest, followed by part time employees, housewives and full time employees. Those who lived individual houses in other than Seoul area showed higher purchasing intention. 3. Sweater item was shown as the highest purchasing interested item and coat/business suit items were shown as lower among 10 different apparel items. 4. Five dimensions of Perceived benefits of apparel purchasing through Cable TV were derived by factor analysis such as variety of merchandise information, purchase convenience, efficiency, saving time, and convenience of physical inactivity. The convenience of physical inactivity showed the most important benefit through Cable TV home-shopping. Perceived risk of apparel purchasing through Cable TV was factor analyzed as merchandise related risk, size and appearance related risk, delivery related risk, TV watching related risk, and unplanned purchasing related risk. The sixte and appearance related risk was shown as the highest risk.

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The Risk-Return Relationship in Crude Oil Markets during COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Time-Varying Coefficient GARCH-in-Mean Model

  • HONGSAKULVASU, Napon;LIAMMUKDA, Asama
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we propose the new time-varying coefficient GARCH-in-Mean model. The benefit of our model is to allow the risk-return parameter in the mean equation to vary over time. At the end of 2019 to the beginning of 2020, the world witnessed two shocking events: COVID-19 pandemic and 2020 oil price war. So, we decide to use the daily data from December 2, 2019 to May 29, 2020, which cover these two major events. The purpose of this study is to find the dynamic movement between risk and return in four major oil markets: Brent, West Texas Intermediate, Dubai, and Singapore Exchange, during COVID-19 pandemic and 2020 oil price war. For the European oil market, our model found a significant and positive risk-return relationship in Brent during March 26-April 21, 2020. For the North America oil market, our model found a significant positive risk return relationship in West Texas Intermediate (WTI) during March 12-May 8, 2020. For the Middle East oil market, we found a significant and positive risk-return relationship in Dubai during March 12-April 14, 2020. Lastly, for the South East Asia oil market, we found a significant positive risk return relationship in Singapore Exchange (SGX) from March 9-May 29, 2020.

Development of the Risk Assessment Systems for Management of Sunken Ships (침몰선박의 관리를 위한 위해도 평가시스템 개발)

  • Choi, H.J.;Lew, J.M.;Kim, H.;Lee, S.H.;Kang, C.G.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.193-202
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    • 2005
  • Marine risk assessment considers events such as collision/grounding, sinking/capsize, fire/explosion and flooding, developing relationships between their causes and effects. In addition, risk assessment of previously sunken ships are also necessary since they continuously have possibility for further oil spill or can cause other marine accidents. The objective of this paper is to develop the risk assessment systems for sunken ships to prevent oil spill and further marine causalities in order to preserve safe and clean oceans around Korea peninsula. The risk assessment systems for sunken ships comprise of database management sub-system for sunken ships, qualitative risk assessment sub-system, quantitative risk assessment sub-system, and cost-benefit analysis subsystem.

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Estimation of Environmental Costs Based on Size of Oil Tanker Involved in Accident using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 유조선 기름 유출사고에 따른 환경비용 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sung-Chul;Bae, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Kim, Seong-Hoon;Kim, Soo-Young;Lee, Jong-Kap
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.60-63
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    • 2012
  • The accident risks in the marine environment are increasing because of the tendency to build faster and larger ships. To secure ship safety, risk-based ship design (RBSD) was recently suggested based on a formal safety assessment (FSA). In the process of RBSD, a ship designer decides which risk reduction option is most cost-effective in the design stage using a cost-benefit analysis (CBA). There are three dimensions of risk in this CBA: fatality, environment, and asset. In this paper, we present an approach to estimate the environmental costs based on the size of an oil tanker involved in an accident using a neural network. An appropriate neural network model is suggested for the estimation,and the neural network is trained using IOPCF data. Finally,the learned neural network is compared with the cost regression equation by IMO MEPC 62/WP.13 (2011).