• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk-based assessment

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On a Risk Assessment Methodology based on the Technology Readiness Levels, Degrees of Difficulty, and Technology Need Values in the Development of Naval Surface Ships (수상함 개발에서 기술성숙도, 난이도 및 중요도 기반의 위험도 평가 방안)

  • Kim, Kyong-Hwan;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this paper is to propose a method of how to perform risk assessment in the early stage of defense research and development for the acquisition of weapon systems. An advanced method for risk assessment and its associated objective functions are developed first based on the concept of systems engineering. The developed method is then applied to carry out the analysis of alternatives in the trade-off environments. As a case study, the multi-purpose training ship is considered, where it is performed using the notions of technology readiness levels, degrees of difficulty, and technology need values to facilitate design space visualization and decision maker interaction. It is noted that decision makers can benefit from our approach as an improved risk assessment method in the context of multi-criteria decision making.

Earthquake risk assessment of underground railway station by fragility analysis based on numerical simulation

  • Kwon, Sun Yong;Yoo, Mintaek;Hong, Seongwon
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2020
  • Korean society experienced successive earthquakes exceeding 5.0 magnitude in the past three years resulting in an increasing concern about earthquake stability of urban infrastructures. This study focuses on the significant aspects of earthquake risk assessment for the cut-and-cover underground railway station based on two-dimensional dynamic numerical analysis. Presented are features from a case study performed for the railway station in Seoul, South Korea. The PLAXIS2D was employed for numerical simulation and input of the earthquake ground motion was chosen from Pohang earthquake records (M5.4). The paper shows key aspects of earthquake risk for soil-structure system varying important parameters including embedded depth, supported ground information, and applied seismicity level, and then draws several meaningful conclusions from the analysis results such as seismic risk assessment.

Risk-informed design optimization method and application in a lead-based research reactor

  • Jiaqun Wang;Qianglong Wang;Jinrong Qiu;Jin Wang;Fang Wang;Yazhou Li
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.2047-2052
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    • 2023
  • Risk-informed approach has been widely applied in the safety design, regulation, and operation of nuclear reactors. It has been commonly accepted that risk-informed design optimization should be used in the innovative reactor designs to make nuclear system highly safe and reliable. In spite of the risk-informed approach has been used in some advanced nuclear reactors designs, such as Westinghouse IRIS, Gen-IV sodium fast reactors and lead-based fast reactors, the process of risk-informed design of nuclear reactors is hardly to carry out when passive system reliability should be integrated in the framework. A practical method for new passive safety reactors based on probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) and passive system reliability analyze linking is proposed in this paper. New three-dimension frequency-consequence curve based on risk concept with three variables is used in this method. The proposed method has been applied to the determination optimization of design options selection in a 10 MWth lead-based research reactor(LR) to obtain one optimized system design in conceptual design stage, using the integrated reliability and probabilistic safety assessment program RiskA, and the computation resources and time consumption in this process was demonstrated reasonable and acceptable.

A study on Risk Assessment Procedure for the Structural changes of Navigable Airspaces (공역의 구조적 변경에 따른 위험평가 절차 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Hyun;Kim, W.Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2012
  • 'Navigable airspace' means an airspace at and above the minimum safe flight level, including airspace or flight procedures needed for safe takeoff and landing. Airspace may be established as needed and may be abolished, and in some cases may be limited to airspace management. These are absolutely based on risk assessment. Safety is the state in which the risk of harm to persons or of property damage is reduced to, and maintained at or below, an acceptable level through a continuing process of hazard identification and risk management. 'Risk' is the assessed potential for adverse consequences resulting from a hazard and 'Risk assessment' involves consideration of both the frequency and the severity of any adverse consequence. This paper proposed 'risk assessment procedure' for the structural changes of Navigable Airspaces through literature reviews relevant to manuals on airspace management and risk management.

Prior Research and Case Study on Overseas Assessment Models for Developing Risk Assessment Model on Domestic Customer Products (국내 소비자 제품의 위해성 평가 모델 개발을 위한 해외 평가 모델 선행조사 및 사례 비교)

  • Han, Shinho;Lee, Jongmin;Kim, Heongkee;Seo, Kum-hee
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2015
  • Safety' can be used in a variety of ways and may also have different meanings when used in theoretical field and routinely used. In this paper, the 'safety' means that human injury, fire or physical accident condition does not occur while used by the end-user. The meaning of safety may be different by era and culture. Even in contemporary era, the meaning can be used differently by country, region and culture. As the rights of consumers are increasingly reinforced, we can expect the acceptable risk or safety level can rise higher. In this paper, the R-map of Japan and the European risk assessment guidelines (RAPEX) were reviewed considering domestic incidents database status and its applicability. Because it is difficult to make a model based on a R-map, a revised model was developed mainly based on European Assessment Model with a combination of the important characteristics of Japan model R-map. Also utilizing this revised model, the availability as a new risk assessment model was confirmed by comparing the test results for the same scenarios to the other risk assessment model (RAPEX/RAG).

Methodology of Human Cancer Risk Assessment for Chemical Carcinogens (화학 발암물질에 대한 인체 암 위해성 평가)

  • Lee, Byung-Mu
    • Toxicological Research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.317-329
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    • 1992
  • Fifty chemicals are currently classified as human carcinogens based on epidemiologic and animal data. Humans are daily exposed to them from various sources of exposure via inhalation, dermal contact and oral ingestion. To reduce cancer risk to man, these human carcinogens should be appropriately regulated and monitored environmentally or biologically for routine human cancer risk assessment. A number of mathematical risk assessment models have been introduced, but any realistic and relevant model system is not available for humans. A mechanistic process for human cancer risk assessment was comprehensively reviewed and problems were also discussed. Here, a new conceptual approach using epidemiology and biological human monitoring was suggested for the most relevant method to study human cancer risk assessment.

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A Study on the Procedure of Quantitative Risk Assessment for High Pressure Natural Gas Pipeline (도시가스 고압배관의 정량적 위험평가 절차에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Sik;Jo, Young-Do;Ryou, Young-Don;Ko, Jae-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2008
  • Recently risk management based on a quantitative assessment is considered to improve the level of safety in Korea. This paper focuses on the procedure of the quantitative risk assessment for natural gas pipelines. For that purpose, the methods to estimate failure frequency based on failure causes from European Gas Pipeline Incident Data Group and BG Transco, to analyze consequence caused by fire, and to calculate individual risk and societal risk have been proposed systematically in this paper. Risk criteria of individual risk and societal risk have been proposed by considering the environment of pipeline route in Korea. The proposed procedure of quantitative risk assessment may be useful for risk management during the planning and building stages of a new pipeline, and modification of buried pipeline.

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Risk Analysis Based on Accident-Category for Railway Work Zones (철도건설현장의 사고유형기반 위험도 분석)

  • Park, Mi-Yun;Choi, Eun-Soo;Park, Joo-Nam;Choi, Seung-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.260-266
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    • 2009
  • The theory of risk is applied frequently in analysis of railway accidents. The aim of risk analysis is to search potential causes and contribution factors of accidents by checking the total system of construction field. This paper analyze a pattern and a cause of accident occupied in construction field, calculate risk index considering accident frequency and severity, and then provide the relative risk assessment. Based on this, this paper will provide the methodology of qualitative risk assessment guiding to reach a consistency of risk index with risk assessment.

A Basic Study on the Risk Assessment of Domestic Construction Companies (국내 건설업체의 위험성평가 실태조사 기초 연구)

  • Park, Hwan-Pyo;Han, Jae-Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.240-241
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    • 2019
  • Construction disasters have more distinctive characteristics than other industrial disasters. Since it is likely that construction disasters will spread to severe accidents, the accident mortality rate is very high compared to the disaster incidence rate. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to compare and analyze the operation status of construction risk assessment by domestic large and medium sized construction companies to prepare improvement direction of risk assessment system. The survey results for safety management experts of construction companies are as follows: Large companies have developed and utilized risk assessment systems in their respective companies, while small and medium construction companies have developed and evaluated risk factors through the Excel program. Rather than performing risk assessment tasks based on historical safety accident data, construction companies have limitations in developing risk factors and preparing solutions with suppliers for each major construction. Therefore, it is necessary to prepare a risk assessment system in the future by analyzing the types of safety accidents, such as the safety accident data of each company as well as the safety accident data.

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Research on Data-Driven Railway Risk Assessment Criteria (데이터 기반 철도 위험도평가 기준에 관한 연구)

  • Eun-Kyung Park
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.555-562
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    • 2023
  • The Railway Safety Act of 2014 strengthened the 'Railway Safety Management System' to establish autonomous safety management for railway operators and railway facility managers. Accordingly, it is required to establish and implement risk assessment and safety measures for risk management. However, the current risk assessment system is carried out at the fragmented safety management level within individual fields, which has caused difficulties in establishing and implementing risk assessment and safety measures. In addition, the technical standards of the safety management system stipulate that risk assessment of railway operators is mandatory, so standardized standards for risk assessment of railway facilities and railway vehicle maintenance are needed. Therefore, in this paper, we first verified railway risks by analyzing railway accident data for the last 10 years, and proposed a standardized framework to effectively assess and manage risks through a case study of a condition-based smart maintenance system developed based on railway vehicle maintenance data.