• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk-based assessment

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터널 건설 프로젝트 리스크 분석 및 리스크 정량화 모델 개발에 관한 연구 (Risk Factors Analysis and Quantitative Risk Assessment Model for Tunnel Construction Project)

  • 정승아;안성진
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2023년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.363-364
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    • 2023
  • The tunnel construction projects is demanded more efficient risk management measures and loss forecasts to prepare for risk losses from an increase in the trend of tunnel construction. This study aims to analyze the risk factors that caused the loss of material in actual tunnel construction and to develop a quantified predictive loss model, based on the past loss record of tunnel construction projects.

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위험도기반 가치공학적 기법을 적용한 고속도로 교통안전시설 최고가치평가 : 중앙분리대 적용사레를 중심으로 (Evaluation of Best Value for Safety Facilities on Highway Using Risk-based VE Approach - A Case Study of Median Barrier -)

  • 지동한;오영태;최현호;김성훈
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2008
  • 다양한 제반 위험요소가 상존하는 고속도로 교통안전시설의 안전에 대한 사회적 관심증가로 인하여 교통안전시 설에 대한 체계적인 성능, 비용 및 효과 분석 프로세스가 요구되어지고 있다. 교통안전시설은 도로사용자의 직 간접적인 사고위험성이 상존하는 중요한 시설물임을 고려하여 위험도의 정량적 평가에 대한 고려가 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 교통안전시설의 가치분석 수행시 정량적 위험도분석 결과를 적용한 합리적인 가치분석(VE)기법을 제시하였으며, 고속도로 개선 전 후 중앙분리대에 적용하여 가치평가를 수행하였다. 또한 기능분석을 통해 중점개선대상 기능 도출기법을 제시하였으며, 이를 통해 개선 전 중앙분리대 문제점의 정확한 분석이 가능하며 향후 다양한 교통안전시설의 가치대안 창출 시 적용 가능하다.

식중독 발생 위해인자로서 가정용 냉장고의 온도에 대한 확률분포 분석 (Statistical Probability Analysis of Storage Temperatures of Domestic Refrigerator as a Risk Factor of Foodborne Illness Outbreak)

  • 박경진
    • 한국식품과학회지
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.373-376
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 국내에서의 가정내 냉장고 온도에 대한 조사를 수행하여, 현 시점에서의 냉장고에서의 식품보관 온도분포를 추정하였고, 이를 MRA(미생물 위해평가: Microbial risk assessment)의 입력변수로 활용할 수 있도록 적정 확률분포 모델을 제시하였다. 일반적으로 가정내 냉장고에서의 식품 보관온도는 식중독 발생 등에서 있어 중요한 위해인자로 작용하는 것으로 알려져 있다. 조사대상 가구는 총 139가구이었으며, 조사기간은 2009년 5월에서부터 9월까지 data logger를 이용하여 측정하였다. 조사된 냉장고 온도의 평균은 $3.53{\pm}2.96^{\circ}C$로, $5^{\circ}C$ 이상은 23.6%로 나타났다. 수집된 온도자료는 @RISK를 이용, 적합성 검정(GOF: K-S와 AD test)을 수행하여 적정 확률분포모델에 대해 추정하였고, 이중 LogLogistic(-10.407, 13.616, 8.6107)분포 모델이 가장 적절한 국내에서의 가정내 냉장고 식품보관 온도분포 모델로 나타났다. 이 확률분포 모델은 MRA적용에 있어 노출평가에서 입력변수로서 직접적 활용이 가능하다고 할 수 있겠다.

Comparison of Relative Risk before and after SEMI S2-93A Implementation: Using a Semiconductor Plant in a Taiwan's Science Park as an Example

  • Tien, Shiaw-Wen;Chung, Yi-Chan;Tsai, Chihj-Hung;Hwang, Guo-Ji
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.58-73
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the equipment risk before and after SEMI S2-93A implementation, thus providing a guideline for safety improvement. Semiconductor Plant A located in Taiwan's Hsinchu Science Based Industrial Park with 147 manufacturing machines was used for risk assessment. This study was carried out in three steps. First, a preliminary hazard analysis was conducted. A detailed process safety evaluation was conducted (Hazard and Operability Study, HAZOP); and finally, the equipment risk comparison before and after Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturing Instruction (SEMI S2-93A) implementation. The preliminary hazard analysis results showed high risk in 21.77% of the manufacturing machines under risk assessment at Plant A. The largest percentage existed in the Diffusion Department. The machine types specified by the hazardous work site review and inspection according to Article 26 of Labor Inspection Regulation (the machines that use such chemicals as, $SiH_4$, HF, HCL, etc. and that are determined to be highly hazardous through preliminary hazard analysis) were added to the detailed process analysis and evaluation. In the third part of this evaluation, the machines at Plant A used for detailed process safety assessment were divided into two groups based on the manufacturing data before and after 1993. The severity, possibility, and actual accident analysis before and after SEMI S2-93A implementation were compared. The Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturing Instruction (SEMI S2-93A) implementation can reduce the severity and possibility of hazard occurrence.

공격 결과 기반의 웹 취약점 위험도 평가 모델 연구: 사이버 킬체인 중심으로 (A Study on Web Vulnerability Risk Assessment Model Based on Attack Results: Focused on Cyber Kill Chain)

  • 진희훈;김휘강
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.779-791
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    • 2021
  • 보통의 웹 서비스는 불특정 다수에게 허용을 해야하는 접근 통제 정책으로 인하여, 지속적으로 해커들의 공격 대상이 되어 왔다. 이러한 상황에 대응하고자 기업들은 주기적으로 웹 취약점 점검을 실시하고, 발견된 취약점의 위험도에 따라 조치를 취하고 있다. 이러한 웹 취약점 위험도는 국내외 유관기관의 사전 통계 및 자체적인 평가를 통해 산정되어 있다. 하지만 웹 취약점 점검은 보안설정 및 소스코드 등의 정적 진단과는 달리 동적 진단으로 이루어진다. 동일한 취약점 항목일지라도 다양한 공격 결과를 도출할 수 있으며, 진단 대상 및 환경에 따라 위험도가 달라질 수 있다. 이러한 점에서 사전 정의된 위험도는 실제 존재하는 취약점의 위험도와는 상이할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 점을 개선하고자 사이버 킬체인 중심으로 공격 결과 기반의 웹 취약점 위험도 평가 모델을 제시한다.

Dietary Risk Assessment of Snf7 dsRNA for Coccinella septempunctata

  • Jung, Young Jun;Seol, Min-A;Choi, Wonkyun;Lee, Jung Ro
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.210-218
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    • 2021
  • Recently, pest-resistant living modified (LM) crops developed using RNA interference (RNAi) technology have been imported into South Korea. However, the potential adverse effects of unintentionally released RNAi-based LM crops on non-target species have not yet been reported. Coccinella septempunctata, which feeds on aphids, is an important natural enemy insect which can be exposed to the double-stranded RNA (dsRNA) produced by RNAi-based LM plants. To assess the risk of ingestion of Snf7 dsRNA by C. septempunctata, we first identified the species through morphological analysis of collected insects. A method for species identification at the gene level was developed using a specific C. septempunctata 12S rRNA. Furthermore, an experimental model was devised to assess the risk of Snf7 dsRNA ingestion in C. septempunctata. Snf7 dsRNA was mass-purified using an effective dsRNA synthesis method and its presence in C. septempunctata was confirmed after treatment with purified Snf7 dsRNA. Finally, the survival rate, development time, and dry weight of Snf7 dsRNA-treated C. septempunctata were compared with those of GFP and vATPase A dsRNA control treatments, and no risk was found. This study illustrates an effective Snf7 dsRNA synthesis method, as well as a high-concentration domestic insect risk assessment method which uses dsRNA to assess the risk of unintentional released of LM organisms against non-target species.

Risk assessment of transmission line structures under severe thunderstorms

  • Li, C.Q.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제6권7호
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    • pp.773-784
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    • 1998
  • To assess the collapse risk of transmission line structures subject to natural hazards, it is important to identify what hazard may cause the structural collapse. In Australia and many other countries, a large proportion of failures of transmission line structures are caused by severe thunderstorms. Because the wind loads generated by thunderstorms are not only random but time-variant as well, a time-dependent structural reliability approach for the risk assessment of transmission line structures is essential. However, a lack of appropriate stochastic models for thunderstorm winds usually makes this kind of analysis impossible. The intention of the paper is to propose a stochastic model that could realistically and accurately simulate wind loading due to severe thunderstorms. With the proposed thunderstorm model, the collapse risk of transmission line structures under severe thunderstorms is assessed numerically based on the computed failure probability of the structure.

한국에서의 환경오염에 의한 위해성관리의 종합적 접근방법 (Cross-media Approaches to Risk Management of Environmental Pollution in Korea)

  • 정용
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제4권1_2호
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 1989
  • Nevertheless the serious environmental pollution in Korea has been discussed in concern with health effect, the significant effect are not determined easily. Toxicological method has been used to establish safe levels of exposure for environmental pollutants to have threshold health effect below which significant effects are unlikely to occur. However the conventional method cannot to establish safe levels of exposure for non-threshold pollutants have been used to express comprehensive pollution degree, not in detailed toxic effects. Acceptable exposure or risk levels are decides by policymakers who consider descriptions and estimates of risks together with social and economic benefits. This paper focuses on the concept development of risk assessment and describes some risks of environmental pollution based on the surveyed date in Korea. The current concepts of risk assessment in policy descisions can be explored and areas for possible improvement, given current scientific knowledge are identified. The experience of foreign countries can provide a realistic basis for evaluating the existing data of environmental pollutants. To improve the environmental quality, risk regulation should be managed as soon as possible in Korea.

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무기체계 연구개발사업에서 기술적 위험지표 적용 가능성 분석 (An Analysis of the Applicability of Technical Risk Index in the Weapons System Research & Development Projects)

  • 이선헌;김민준
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.835-843
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    • 2017
  • The Technology Readiness Assessment(TRA) has the advantage of identifying immature technologies in promoting weapon system research and development project. However, a more diverse set of information is required for the determination of phase shift and technical risk management for weapons system R&D projects. In this paper, we investigate the various indexes the various indexes proposed to overcome the limitations of the Technology Readiness Level(TRL) and analyze the possibility of applying to the actual weapons system R&D projects. Based on the analysis, it was possible to provide additional information that could not be presented in TRA using technical risk indexes other than TRL, confirming that it could be used for technical risk management for weapons system R&D projects.