• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk-based assessment

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A study on the City-gas Pipeline Management System by Reliability Based Design and Assessment (신뢰도평가 기반 도시가스배관 종합관리시스템 구축 연구)

  • Oh, Dong-Seok;Lee, Jin-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.129-135
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    • 2018
  • For efficiently safety management of city gas pipelines, the City-gas Pipeline Management System(CPMS) has been developed to systematically manage and analyze the data collected from 33 city gas companies and to effectively perform internal and external affairs related to gas safety management. The piping information data uploaded to the CPMS is ranked the risk according to the criteria specified in the KGS Code, and the safety management of the piping has performed close inspection according to the risk ranking. However, the criteria for deriving the risk ranking is very simple and lacks relevant grounds, and the reliability for the determination of the close inspection pipeline is no high due to the redundant rank. Therefore, we developed a risk assessment program based on the Reliability Based Design Assessment(RBDA) methodology and tried to derive a reasonable risk ranking by linking it with the CPMS system.

A study on the risk scoring and risk index for the ecosystem-based fisheries assessment (생태계 기반 어업평가의 위험도 추정에 관한 개선연구)

  • Park, Hee Won;Zhang, Chang Ik;Kwon, You Jung;Seo, Young Il;Oh, Taeg-Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2013
  • This study identified problems of the existing ecosystem-based fisheries assessment approach, and suggested new methods for scoring risk and for the estimation of fishery risk index. First, risk scores of zero to two for target and limit reference points for each indicator were replaced by those of zero to three, and the risk scores were calculated from new formulae which were developed in this study. Second, a new method for estimating fishery risk index (FRI) was developed in this study, considering the level of indicators. New method was applied to the Korean large purse seine fishery, large pair trawl fishery and drag net fishery. More precise and detailed risk scores were obtained from the new method, which can explain the risks by the wider range of both risk levels for 'better than target' and 'beyond limit'. The new method for estimating FRI could avoid the basic problem related with duplicated computations of fishery-level indicators, which improved the estimated FRI to be more accurate. Also, a method for estimating variance of FRI using the bootstrap was proposed in this study.

Fire Risk Assessment Based on Weather Information Using Data Mining (데이터마이닝을 이용한 기상정보에 따른 화재 위험 평가)

  • Ryu, Joung Woo;Kwon, Seong-Pil
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 2015
  • We propose a weather-related service for fire risk assessment in order to increase fire safety awareness in everyday life. The proposed service offers a fire risk assessment level according to weather forecasts and a degree of fire risk according to fire factors under certain weather conditions. In order to estimate the fire risk, we produced a risk matrix through data mining with a decision tree using investigation data and weather data. Through the proposed service, residents can calculate the degree of fire risk under certain weather conditions using the fire factors around them. In addition, they can choose from various solutions to reduce fire risk. In order to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed services, we developed a system that offers the services. Whenever weather forecasting is carried out by the Korea Meteorological Administration, the system produces the fire risk assessment levels for seven major cities and nine provinces of South Korea in an online process, as well as the fire risk according to fire factors for the weather conditions in each region.

Application of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling with Biological Monitoring Data for Risk Assessment (생물학적 모니터링 데이터를 기초한 PBPK 모델의 활용)

  • Yang, Mi-Hi;Yang, Ji-Yeon;Yi, Bit-Na;Lee, Ho-Sun
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.22 no.1 s.56
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2007
  • Biological monitoring, analyses of internal dose for exposure to toxicants, has been thought as one of the belt approaches for risk assessment. As the amount detected in human samples is generally very low, typically in the parts-per-bilion (ppb) or parts-per-trillion (ppt) range, analytic technologies such at HPLC, GC/MS, LC/MS, and LC/MS/MS have been continuously developed. In addition, route specific and sensitive exposure biomarkers have been developed for proper biological monitoring. PBPK modeling, particularly reverse dosimetry, has been emphasized as an useful method via interpretation of biological monitoring results for regulation of toxicants. Thus, this review is focused on the use of PBPK dosimetry models for toxicology research and risk assessment in Korea.

RISK ASSESSMENT USING BIM BASED SAFETY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM

  • Hongseob Ahn;Hyunjoo Kim;Wooyoung Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.107-110
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    • 2011
  • The key role in safety management is to identify any possible hazard before it occurs by identifying any possible risk factors which are critical to risk assessment. This planning/assessment process is considered to be tedious and requires a lot of attention due to the following reasons: firstly, falsework (temporary structures) in construction projects is fundamentally important. However, the installation and dismantling of those facilities are one of the high risk activities in the job sites. Secondly, temporary facilities are generally not clearly delineated on the building drawings. It is our strong belief that safety tools have to be simple and convenient enough for the jobsite people to manage them easily and be flexible for any occasions to be occurred at various degrees. In order to develop the safety assessment system, this research utilizes the BIM technology and collects important information by importing data from BIM models and use it in the planning stage.

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Development of Preventive Maintenance Plan based on PRA - Case Study of Pansong-Line Railway in Pusan - (위험도평가에 기초한 예방유지관리 계획 - 부산지하철 반송선의 설계 예 -)

  • Kim Jae-Won;Choi Young-Min;Kim Dae-Sung;Kim Kyo-Hun;Park Hyang-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.482-487
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    • 2005
  • In the most current Turn-key bidding and Alternative design, is going to establish maintenance plan along with a economical assessment (VE/LCC assessment etc). Generally, establishment of maintenance plan is based on past experiences that are decided upon sensor position and amount with analytic or mechanical control section. But, it is more reasonable that maintenance plan based on level of significance for Probabilistic Risk, with presuming damage probability assessment of structural fracture scenarios. Therefore, in this study it is considered about the technique that an improved maintenance plan of railroad structures using PRA (Probabilistic Risk Assessment) on the basis of structural reliability theory. For this, in the paper, Preventive maintenance plan based on PRA is suggested with an application example of Pansong-Line (Line number 3) railway in Pusan works that actually executed Turn-key design.

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Water Quality Monitoring and Risk Assessment for Groundwater at Hoengseong, Gangwon-do Province (강원도 횡성지역의 지하수 수질 모니터링 및 인체 위해성 평가)

  • Gang, Seung-Hye;Kim, Ki-Tae
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.356-365
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    • 2021
  • Background: Concerns have been raised regarding the criteria of groundwater, in particular in Gwangwon-do Province where many residents drink groundwater due to the poor supply of tap water and a high nonconformity rate with water quality criteria nationwide. Objectives: Water quality monitoring and risk assessment were conducted for groundwater in Hoengseong, Gangwon-do Province. Methods: A total of 46 items required for meeting drinking water criteria were analyzed from 258 samples collected from March 2017 through August 2018 (152 sites in 2017 and 106 sites in 2018). Risk assessment was conducted for two non-carcinogens (F- and NO3-N), and one carcinogen (i.e., arsenic) based on their high nonconformity to water quality criteria. Results: Water quality analysis revealed that the total proportion of nonconformities was determined to be 27.9%. The nonconformity rate for each content item is as follows: total colony counts (1.6%), total coliform (6.2%), Escherichia coli (1.2%), F- (8.1%), arsenic (4.7%), NO3-N (8.1%), pH (1.2%), manganese (0.4%), and turbidity (5.8%). Risk assessment indicated that fluoride induced a hazard quotient greater than 1 with the 95% UCL (Upper Confidence Limit) concentration of the total 258 sites and average, median, and 95% UCL concentrations of nonconformity sites. For NO3-N, there was no human health risk. For arsenic, the excess cancer risk exceeded the acceptable cancer risk of 1×10-6 with the average and 95% UCL concentrations of total 258 sites and average, median, and 95% UCL concentrations of nonconformity sites. Conclusions: This study suggests that it is necessary to expand water quality monitoring of groundwater and conduct a more detailed risk assessment in order to establish a health care plan for the residents of Hoengseong, Gangwon-do Province.

Risk Assessment of Industrial Machines and Devices and Appropriateness of Their Safety Certification and Self-Declaration of Conformity (위험기계, 기구의 위험성 평가 및 안전인증 또는 자율안전확인의 적정성)

  • Choi, Gi Heung;Loh, Byoung Gook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2016
  • Severity and frequency of industrial accidents are typically used to assess the "absolute" risk associated with the industrial machines and devices ("items") which are subject to safety certification or self-declaration of conformity. However, the "relative" risk associated with a particular item can further be assessed based on unit severity and unit frequency where the total number of item in use is taken into account. This study first attempts to estimate the total number of each item in use which was recently selected for safety certification or self-declaration of conformity. The appropriateness of such selection is recapitulated based on the relative risk involved. Analysis results indicate that depending on items, the relative risk is differentiated from the absolute risk. Recent selection of items for safety certification or self-declaration of conformity is then revisited for its validity. The relative risk based on unit severity and unit frequency of industrial accidents, together with the absolute risk, may be used to further categorize items for safety certification or self-declaration of conformity in the future.

A study on the application of water safety plans for the hazard risk management of tap water (수돗물 위해요소 리스크 관리를 위한 물안전계획 적용 연구)

  • Kim, Jinkeun;Kim, Dooil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.259-268
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    • 2019
  • One of the most effective methods to consistently ensure the safety of a tap water supply can be achieved by application of a comprehensive risk assessment and risk management approach for drinking water supply systems. This approach can be termed water safety plans(WSP) which recommended by WHO(world health organization) and IWA(international water association). For the introduction of WSP into Korea, 150 hazards were identified all steps in drinking water supply from catchment to consumer and risk assessment tool based on frequency and consequence of hazards were developed. Then, developed risk assessment tool by this research was implemented at a water treatment plant($Q=25,000m^3/d$) to verify its applicability, and several amendments were recommended; classification of water source should be changed from groundwater to stream to strengthen water quality monitoring contaminants and frequencies; installation of aquarium to monitor intrusion of toxic substances into raw water; relocation or new installation on-line water quality analyzers for efficient water quality monitoring; change of chlorination chemical from solid phase($Ca(OCl)_2$) to liquid phase(NaOCl) to improve soundness of chlorination. It was also meaningful to propose hazards and risk assessment tool appropriate for Korea drinking water supply systems through this research which has been inconsistent among water treatment authorities.

A Study on a Risk Assessment Method and Building Simulation for the Development of a Korean Integrated Disaster Evaluation Simulator (K-IDES) for High-rise Buildings

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Han, Gi-Sung;Kang, Boo-Seong;Lee, Kyung-Hoon
    • Architectural research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a method for assessing a building's risk against disaster, tentatively named the Korean integrated disaster evaluation simulator (K-IDES). Based on previous studies, FEMA's risk management series and FEMA IRVS are selected as case studies for developing a frame work of K-IDES, through the comparative analysis of domestic building design guides, codes, and special acts related to disasters, in order to develop a risk assessment methodology for quantitative results. The assessment method consists of a classification system and calculating risk, and a simulation applying the developed checklist in K-IDES to similar types of high-rise buildings will be conducted to validate its accuracy. The final goal is to systemize an integrated risk management in a high-rise building against disasters for the purpose of recognizing vulnerable areas from the beginning of the design process and reinforcing it from potential threats after construction.