• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk-based assessment

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Flood risk assessment for local government units in Gyeonggi-do using the number of buildings grid data (건축물수 격자자료를 활용한 경기도 지자체별 홍수위험도 평가)

  • Wang, Won-joon;Seo, Jae Seung;Eom, Junghyun;Kim, Sam Eun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.71-71
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    • 2021
  • 현재 국내에서 사용되고 있는 지자체 단위 위험도 평가 기법들은 자연재난과 사회재난으로부터 유발되는 여러 위험성들을 함께 고려하여 평가에 반영하고 있다. 또한, 지자체 내에서 홍수위험에 노출될 수 있는 대상만을 선별하여 분석한 것이 아닌 지자체별 단순 통계값으로 평가가 이루어지기 때문에 홍수위험에 대한 정확한 평가가 어렵다는 한계를 가지고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 Indicator Based Approach(IBA)에서 제시하는 평가 항목인 Hazard, Exposure, Vulnerability, Capacity 중 Exposure에 해당하는 건축물수를 대상으로 홍수위험지도와 중첩되는 건축물들을 선별하여 홍수위험도 평가를 수행하였다. 지자체별 건축물수 산정은 2018년 11월 기준 경기도 31개 시군별 도로명주소 전자지도(건물)와 500m × 500m 건축물수 격자자료를 사용하였다. 건축물수 격자자료는 도로명주소 전자지도의 건물 폴리곤 자료 대비 분석이 간편하다는 장점을 가지고 있다. 비교 분석을 통해 공간분석자료의 유형에 따라 발생하는 통계값의 차이는 격자자료에 보정계수를 적용하여 보완하였다. 보정된 경기도 지자체별 건축물수 격자자료로 세부지표 지수를 산정한 결과 단순히 자지체별 건축물수를 사용했을 때에는 화성시, 용인시, 평택시 순으로 지수가 크게 산정되었다, 하지만 홍수위험지도와 중첩된 건축물수를 사용했을 때에는 고양시, 광명시, 김포시 순으로 지수가 크게 산정되었다. 본 연구를 통해서 건축물수 격자자료와 홍수위험지도를 사용하여 위험도 평가를 수행했을 때 기존 방법론 대비 합리적인 평가결과를 얻을 수 있었다.

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Derived I-D-F Curve in Seoul Using Bivariate Precipitation Frequency Analysis (이변량 강우 빈도해석을 이용한 서울지역 I-D-F 곡선 유도)

  • Kwon, Young-Moon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2009
  • Univariate frequency analyses are widely used in practical hydrologic design. However, a storm event is usually characterized by amount, intensity, and duration of the storm. To fully understand these characteristics and to use them appropriately in hydrologic design, a multivariate statistical approach is necessary. This study applied a Gumbel mixed model to a bivariate storm frequency analysis using hourly rainfall data collected for 46 years at the Seoul rainfall gauge station in Korea. This study estimated bivariate return periods of a storm such as joint return periods and conditional return periods based on the estimation of joint cumulative distribution functions of storm characteristics. These information on statistical behaviors of a storm can be of great usefulness in the analysis and assessment of the risk associated with hydrologic design problems.

Observation of Items Fed by Noctiluca Scintillans around Dokdo in Spring (춘계 독도 주변해역 야광충의 먹이생물)

  • KANG, JUNG-HOON
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.160-172
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    • 2020
  • To understand on-site feeding traits of Noctiluca scintillans with unprecedented high abundances around Dokdo in spring, 2014, the composition and abundance of food items in the digestive vacuole of the species were analyzed. Abundances of N. scintillans ranged from 4,328~17,791 inds.m-3 around Dokdo during the study. The incidence of preyed items in the vacuole of N. scintillans ranged by averaged 32% (24~50%) in the surface waters around Dokdo. Diverse preyed items consisted of fecal pellet, protozoans, pollen, diatoms, dinoflagellates, copepods and ichtyoplankton, while fecal pellets were dominantly fed by N. scintillans (43%) and next by protozoans (19%), pollen (18%), diatoms (7%) and dinoflagellates (4%). Fecal pellet, protozoans and pollen were relatively preferred by N. scintillans compared to diatoms, dinoflagellates and ichtyoplankton based on the incidence in the food vacuoles. Present results indicated that high abundance of N. scintillans found around Dokdo was likely associated with non-phytoplankton items rather than previously well-known diatoms as prey during the study.

Flood Risk Assessment of Seoul based on Watershed Characteristics (유역특성 기반의 서울시 침수위험성 분석)

  • Kim, Sung Eun;Kang, Won-Sam;Baek, Jong-Rak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.38-38
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    • 2022
  • 서울특별시(이하 서울시)는 기존 상습침수지역과 2010년, 2011년 집중호우로 발생한 침수피해를 바탕으로 34개의 침수취약지역을 선정하고, 이들 지역에 2011년 3월부터 2023년 12월까지 총사업비 1조 5,300억여 원을 투입하여 하수관거 정비, 펌프장 신설 및 증설, 저류조 신설 등 배수능력을 확충하는 사업을 진행해오고 있다. 하지만, 기후변화로 인해 집중형 배수시설의 설계용량을 초과하는 강우의 발생빈도가 증가하고, 극한홍수 발생위험과 기상예측 불확실성이 커짐에 따라, 배수시설의 용량을 증설하는 집중형 우수배제체계 중심의 침수관리만으로는 안전한 침수대응이 어렵게 되었다. 본 연구에서는 서울시 침수대응 다각화를 위해 유역의 자연적, 사회환경적 특성을 대표할 수 있는 52개 지표를 선정하고 서울시를 소규모 유역 단위인 163개의 배수분구로 구분하여 지표별 공간적 분포와 특성 분석을 통해 각 배수분구를 유형화하고, 유형특성에 따른 침수취약성과 잠재적 침수발생 위험성을 분석하여 침수위험성을 평가하였다. 유역의 특성을 대표하는 각종 지표의 서울시 내 공간적 분포를 분석한 결과, 지표별 공간적 분포 특성이 상이했으며, 지표별 최대/최소값의 차이가 수배에서 수백배까지 나타나는 것으로 분석되었다. 특히, 서울시 내외에 산포된 총 40개 기상청관측소의 2010년부터 2019년까지 시간강우자료를 이용하여 강우관련 지표들의 시공간적 분포를 분석한 결과, 연평균강우량, 여름철강우량, 일최대강우량 등에서 지역적으로 최대 수백 mm의 강우량 차이가 발생하는 것으로 나타났다. 유역특성에 따른 서울시 침수위험성을 평가한 결과, 침수발생 및 피해에 불리한 유역의 공간적 취약성이 높은 배수분구로는 봉천1, 송파, 길동, 미아, 상계1 등의 순으로 나타났으며, 침수발생에 대한 잠재적 위험성이 높은 배수분구는 이문, 정릉, 제기1, 장안, 전농 등의 순으로 분석되었다. 침수발생에 대한 잠재적 위험성과 침수피해에 불리한 공간적 취약성이 모두 높아 침수위험성이 큰 배수분구는 상계1, 미아, 장위, 창동1, 동선, 수유2, 방학, 길동, 월계2 등의 순으로 나타났다.

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A Study on Improvement of Safety Management of Low Voltage Electrical Equiment (일반용 저압전기설비의 안전등급제 도입에 관한 연구)

  • Jae-Phil Han;Yong-Sung Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.598-602
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    • 2023
  • With the purpose of instilling an awareness of the safety of users of electrical equipment and inducing voluntary facility improvement through the safety rating system for general low voltage electrical equipment, simulation and field application of the safety rating of general low voltage electrical equipment were conducted. For the introduction and application of the safety rating system for general low-voltage electrical equipment, data related to domestic safety was investigated and analyzed, cases of introduction in other fields were reviewed, and for design, the 4M risk assessment method of the Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency and the cases of safety index development in Korea were analyzed and standardized. Safety rating system simulations were conducted for general low-voltage electrical equipment, and problem improvement measures were prepared by analyzing the results through on-site verification and simulation applied to the initial design. Design standards for the introduction of the safety rating system for general low-voltage electrical equipment were prepared, and 394 youth training facilities were applied to the field to see if the design standards were practically applicable to the field. With the application of the safety rating system for low-voltage electrical equipment for general use, youth training facilities that had been classified as 'appropriate' were able to induce an upgrade to a higher level through voluntary facility improvement according to the application of grades (A to E). As a result of inducing voluntary repair projects based on the results of the 1st and 2nd inspection of youth training facilities, it was confirmed that 86 facilities received grade A, 225 facilities received grade B, and only 311 facilities received grade A to B out of a total of 394 facilities, and there was no grade E.

Development of Fragility Curves for Slope Stability of Levee under Rapid Drawdown (수위급강하에 대한 제방 사면의 취약도 곡선 작성)

  • Cho, Sung-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.39 no.10
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2023
  • To effectively manage flood risk, it is crucial to assess the stability of flood defense structures like levees under extreme flood conditions. This study focuses on the time-dependent probabilistic assessment of embankment slope stability when subjected to rapid water level drops. We integrate seepage analysis results from finite element analysis with slope stability analysis and employ Monte Carlo simulations to investigate the time-dependent behavior of the slope during rapid drawdown. The resulting probability of failure is used to develop fragility curves for the levee slope. Notably, the probability of slope failure remains low up to a specific water level, sharply increasing beyond that threshold. Furthermore, the fragility curves are strongly influenced by the rate of drawdown, which is determined through hydraulic analysis based on flood scenarios. Climate change has a significant impact on the stability of the water-side slope of the embankment due to water level fluctuations.

Trends in Evaluation Techniques for Leaching of Heavy Metals and Nutrients according to Sediment Resuspension in Rivers and Lakes (하천 및 호소 내 퇴적물 재부유에 따른 중금속 및 영양염류 용출량 평가기법 동향)

  • Sang-Gyu Yoon;Seoyeon Han;Haewook Kim;Ihn-Sil Kwak;Jinsung An
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • The phenomenon of sediment resuspension in rivers and lakes causes contaminants (heavy metals and nutrients) accumulated in the sediment to leach into the overlying water. As a result, it can lead to changes in toxic effects and eutrophication in the aquatic ecosystem. In this regard, it is important to quantitatively determine the amount of contaminants leached during sediment resuspension. In this study, methods for assessing the amount of released contaminants and the types of contaminants potentially released due to sediment resuspension were studied and summarized. Methods for assessing leaching can be divided into three groups based on the principle of causing resuspension: (i) the oscillating grid chamber method, (ii) the mechanical stirrer method, and (iii) the shaker method. It was confirmed that the types of contaminants that can potentially be released include heavy metals bound to sulfides, as well as exchangeable and labile forms of heavy metals and nutrients. To effectively manage stable aquatic ecosystems in the future, a simplified leaching test method is needed to assess in advance the risks (i.e., changes in toxic effects and eutrophication) that sediment resuspension may pose to aquatic ecosystems.

Damage identification in a wrought iron railway bridge using the inverse analysis of the static stress response under rail traffic loading

  • Sidali Iglouli;Nadir Boumechra;Karim Hamdaoui
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.153-166
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    • 2023
  • Health monitoring of civil infrastructures, in particular, old bridges that are still in service, has become more than necessary, given the risk that a possible degradation or failure of these infrastructures can induce on the safety of users in addition to the resulting commercial and economic impact. Bridge integrity assessment has attracted significant research efforts over the past forty years with the aim of developing new damage identification methods applicable to real structures. The bridge of Ouled Mimoun (Tlemcen, Algeria) is one of the oldest railway structure in the country. It was built in 1889. This bridge, which is too low with respect to the level of the road, has suffered multiple shocks from various machines that caused considerable damage to its central part. The present work aims to analyze the stability of this bridge by identifying damages and evaluating the damage rate in different parts of the structure on the basis of a finite element model. The applied method is based on an inverse analysis of the normal stress responses that were calculated from the corresponding recorded strains, during the passage of a real train, by means of a set of strain gauges placed on certain elements of the bridge. The results obtained from the inverse analysis made it possible to successfully locate areas that were really damaged and to estimate the damage rate. These results were also used to detect an excessive rigidity in certain elements due to the presence of plates, which were neglected in the numerical reference model. In the case of the continuous bridge monitoring, this developed method will be a very powerful tool as a smart health monitoring system, allowing engineers to take in time decisions in the event of bridge damage.

Study on Ways to Improve Risk Assessment of Unskilled Foreign Workers (Based On Shipbuilding Industry Workers) (비숙련 외국계 작업자의 위험성평가 개선방안 연구 (조선업 종사자를 기준으로))

  • Jung, woo-don
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.149-150
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    • 2023
  • 많은 인원을 필요로 하는 조선업은 선박을 건조하는 현장의 제품들이 복합 공정이면서도 중후장대한 특성을 가지고 있다. 이러한 선박을 건조할 때는 종사하는 작업자 간의 작업 내용에 대한 의논과 방법의 결정에 따른 경험기술의 활용도가 높다. 그래서 작업자별 작업 방법이나 기능의 차이가 많고 그 차이만큼이나 공정 진척이나 품질에 대한 결과도 다르게 나타나게 된다. 하지만 인력 집약도가 높은 조선소 작업인력이 퇴직이나 이직 등으로 발생되는 공백을 내국인으로 채우지 못하고 경험이 없고 소통도 어려운 외국인 작업자로 대체하고 있는 실정이다. 외국계 작업자의 경우 인건비가 낮은 중소기업이나 대기업의 하도급 업체에 고용이 되는데 중소기업의 특성상 기술력의 축적이나 안전작업을 위한 사전 직무교육 등에는 여유가 없어 제한된 기간 동안의 고용이나 단순 업무에만 종사토록 하는 등의 방법으로 활용해왔다. 그러나 외국계 작업자의 고용 비중이 높아지면서 전반적인 생산성의 한계와 불안전 작업에 대한 우려로 그 관심도 높아지고 있다. 외국계 작업자의 경우 생산 현장에서 이루어지고 있는 각종 안전관련 교육이나 행사, 동료간의 소통등에 소외되면서 불안전이 가중되고있고 비자종류에 따라 체류기간이 한정되어 기술력의 유지는 어려운 현실이 될 수 밖에 없다. 이러한 외국계 작업자에게 안전에 대한 수준을 높이기 위한 방안으로 직무별 위험성평가도 작업자의 논높이에 맞게 해야 한다. 현재 활용되고 있는 4가지 위험성평가 방법을 일부 보완하여 안전수준에 맞게 실시하여 작업자 개인별 직무 수행상의 위험성에 대한 이해도가 안전에 미치는 영향을 최소화 하여 안전을 유지시키는 방안을 연구한다. 위험성평가의 취지가 기본적으로 해당 작업자 전원참여라는 중요 요소임을 감안할 때 외국인 작업자의 직무 이해도 점검은 매우 중요하다 하겠다.

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Electrophysiological features and prognosis of peripheral neuropathy associated with IgM monoclonal gammopathy: a single-center analysis in South Korea

  • Sooyoung Kim;Bit Na Lee;Seung Woo Kim;Ha Young Shin
    • Annals of Clinical Neurophysiology
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.84-92
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    • 2023
  • Background: Clinical spectrum of immunoglobulin M (IgM) monoclonal gammopathy varies from IgM monoclonal gammopathy of unknown significance (IgM-MGUS) to hematological malignancies. We evaluated the clinical features, electrophysiological characteristics, and prognosis of patients with peripheral neuropathy associated with IgM monoclonal gammopathy (PN-IgM MG). Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 25 patients with PN-IgM MG. Peripheral neuropathy was classified as axonal, demyelinating, or undetermined, based on electrophysiological studies. We classified the enrolled patients into the IgM-MGUS and malignancy groups, and compared the clinical and electrophysiological features between the groups. Results: Fifteen patients had IgM-MGUS and 10 had hematologic malignancies (Waldenström's macroglobulinemia: two and B-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma: eight). In the electrophysiological evaluation, the nerve conduction study (NCS) criteria for demyelination were met in 86.7% of the IgM-MGUS group and 10.0% of the malignancy group. In particular, the distal latencies of the motor NCS in the IgM-MGUS group were significantly prolonged compared to those in the malignancy group (median, 9.1 ± 5.1 [IgM-MGUS], 4.2 ± 1.3 [malignancy], p = 0.003; ulnar, 5.4 ± 1.9 [IgM-MGUS], 2.9 ± 0.9 [malignancy], p = 0.001; fibular, 9.3 ± 5.1 [IgM-MGUS], 3.8 ± 0.3 [malignancy], p = 0.01; P-posterior tibial, 8.3 ± 5.4 [IgM-MGUS], 4.4 ± 1.0 [malignancy], p = 0.04). Overall treatment responses were significantly worse in the malignancy group than in the IgM-MGUS group (p = 0.004), and the modified Rankin Scale score at the last visit was higher in the malignancy group than in the IgM-MGUS group (2.0 ± 1.1 [IgM-MGUS], 4.2 ± 1.7 [malignancy], p = 0.001), although there was no significant difference at the initial assessment. Conclusions: The risk of hematological malignancy should be carefully assessed in patients with PN-IgM MG without electrophysiological demyelination features.