• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk simulation

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Strategy for Insecticide Resistance Management Approach to IPM

  • Motoyama, Naoki;Dauterman, W.C.
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.314-327
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    • 1992
  • Insecticide resistance is a serious is a serious threat to IPM, resulting in various adverse effects not to mention the loss of yield in agriculture. One approach to counter the problem is the disruption of resistance mechanisms. This can be achieved by (1) compounds which show a negative correlation with resistance at the site of action, (2) specific metabolic inhibitors which serve as synergists, or (3) a certain combination of two insecticides producing a joint action. This approach, however, requires certain precautions for the side effects may cause an increase in toxicity to mammals. Owing to the recent advances in theoretical studies on resistance management employing computer simulation and mathematical models, a few principles to reduce the risk of development of resistance have been clarified. They are helpful in designing operational strategies with regard to, for instance, insecticide doses to be applied, mode of application, and choice and nature of the insecticide(s) to be used. For restoration of insecticide susceptibility of a resistant population, reintroduction of susceptible individuals to the resistant population is feasible when certain conditions are met. Natural enemies which developed resistance to insecticides can be an important component of IPM as has been shown in the pest management in apple orchards. After all, the implementation of a successful resistance management program depends upon cooperation between different sigments of the agricutural community. Although resistance is a preadaptive phenomenon, in some cases spontaneous loss of resistance does occur without contamination by susceptible individuals. The instability of resistance in these insects implies the possible existence of a switch machanism controlling the expression of resistance gene(s). Elucidation of such a mechanism may eventually provide us with a new technical approach with which we can combat the problem of insecticide resistance.

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GIS Technology for Soil Loss Analysis (금강유역 토양 유실 분석을 위한 GIS응용연구)

  • 김윤종;김원영;유일현;이석민;민경덕
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 1994
  • Soil loss was estimated by using universal soil loss equation(USLE) through GIS technique in Buyeu area. The expected soil loss is determined from six environmental factors: rainfall, erodibility of selected soil, length and steepness (gradient) of ground slope, crop grown in soil, and land practices used. A scoring system for assessing soil lossrisk has been developed for calculating SLI(Soil Loss Index) by GIS. The scores of six factors multiplied to give a total score which was compared with an chosen classification system to categorize areas of low, moderate and high risk. Finally, a soil loss assessment map was produced by GIS cartographic simulation technique, and this map could be applied in the establishment of regional land use planning.

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An Effective Authentication in Mobile Ad Hoc Networks (Mobile Ad Hoc Networks에서 효과적인 인증서비스)

  • Kim Yoon-Ho
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.121-134
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    • 2005
  • The MANET has many problems in security despite of its many advantages such as supporting the mobility of nodes, independence of the fixed infrastructure, and quick network establishment. In particular, in establishing security, the traditional certification service has many difficult problems in applying to the MANET because of its safety, expandability, and availability. In this paper, a secure and effective distributed certification service method was proposed using the Secret Sharing scheme and the Threshold Digital Signature scheme in providing certification services in the MANET. In the proposed distributed certification service, certain nodes of relatively high safety among the mobile nodes consisting of the MANET, were set as privileged nodes, from which the process of issuing a certification started. The proposed scheme solved problem that the whole network security would be damaged by the intrusion to one node in the Centralized Architecture and the Hierarchical Architecture. And it decreased the risk of the exposure of the personal keys also in the Fully Distributed Architecture as the number of the nodes containing the partial confidential information of personal keys decreased. By the network simulation, the features and availability of the proposed scheme was evaluated and the relation between the system parameters was analyzed.

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Searching a Navigation Path to Avoid Danger Area for Safe Driving (안전운전을 위해 위험지역을 회피하는 내비게이션 경로탐색)

  • Lee, Yong-Hu;Kim, Sang-Woon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.8
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    • pp.171-179
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    • 2013
  • The primary function of navigation system is to provide route search and road guidance for safe driving for drivers. However, the existing route search system provides a simple service that looks up the shortest route using a safe driving DB without considering different road characteristics for the safety of the drivers. In order to maintain the safe driving, rather than searching the shortest path, a navigation system, in which the danger areas and/or the dangerous time zones have been considered, is required. Therefore, in this paper we propose a strategy of searching a navigation path to avoid danger areas for safe driving by using the A* algorithm. In the strategy, when evaluating the path-specific fitness of the navigation nodes, different heuristic weights were assigned to different types of risk areas. In particular, we considered three kinds of danger areas, such as accident-prone sections where accidents occur frequently, school zones, and intersection regions, as well as the time slots when the probability of danger is high. From computer simulation, the results demonstrate that the proposed scheme can provide the way to avoid danger areas on the route searching and confirm the possibility of providing the actual service.

MPC based Steering Control using a Probabilistic Prediction of Surrounding Vehicles for Automated Driving (전방향 주변 차량의 확률적 거동 예측을 이용한 모델 예측 제어 기법 기반 자율주행자동차 조향 제어)

  • Lee, Jun-Yung;Yi, Kyong-Su
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.199-209
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a model predictive control (MPC) approach to control the steering angle in an autonomous vehicle. In designing a highly automated driving control algorithm, one of the research issues is to cope with probable risky situations for enhancement of safety. While human drivers maneuver the vehicle, they determine the appropriate steering angle and acceleration based on the predictable trajectories of surrounding vehicles. Likewise, it is required that the automated driving control algorithm should determine the desired steering angle and acceleration with the consideration of not only the current states of surrounding vehicles but also their predictable behaviors. Then, in order to guarantee safety to the possible change of traffic situation surrounding the subject vehicle during a finite time-horizon, we define a safe driving envelope with the consideration of probable risky behaviors among the predicted probable behaviors of surrounding vehicles over a finite prediction horizon. For the control of the vehicle while satisfying the safe driving envelope and system constraints over a finite prediction horizon, a MPC approach is used in this research. At each time step, MPC based controller computes the desired steering angle to keep the subject vehicle in the safe driving envelope over a finite prediction horizon. Simulation and experimental tests show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

An Improvement of the P2P Streaming Network Topology Algorithm Using Link Information (연결 정보를 이용한 P2P 스트리밍 네트워크 구조의 개선)

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon;Han, Chi-Geun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2012
  • In P2P streaming management, peer's churning and finding efficient topology architecture optimization algorithm that reduces streaming delay is important. This paper studies a topology optimization algorithm based on the P2P streaming using peer's link information. The proposed algorithm is based on the estimation of peer's upload bandwidth using peer's link information on mesh-network. The existing algorithm that uses the information of connected links is efficient to reduce message overload in the point of resource management. But it has a risk of making unreliable topology not considering upload bandwidth. And when some network error occurs in a server-closer-peer, it may make the topology worse. In this paper we propose an algorithm that makes up for the weak point of the existing algorithm. We compare the existing algorithm with the proposed algorithm using test data and analyze each simulation result.

Simulation of Effects of Swine Manure Application Rates on Nitrate Concentration in Runoff, Indiana, USA

  • Lim, Kyoung-Jae;Engel, Bernard A.;Jeon, Ji-Hong;Jones, Don;Sutton, Alan L.;Ok, Yang-Sik;Kim, Ki-Sung;Choi, Joong-Dae
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.38-46
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    • 2009
  • Livestock manure is an important source of nutrients for crop production. However, farmers typically do not know the exact nutrient values for livestock manure. In many instances, manure has been viewed as a waste, and as a result it is applied close to the source resulting in over application of nutrients. Thus, the goal of nutrient application has often been applied to reduce the application expense rather than to maximize crop income. This results in wasted money and potentially negative impacts on water quality. Several livestock manure management scenarios were created based on agronomic nutrient requirements using the Utilization of Animal Manure as a Plant Nutrient (AMANURE) software to investigate water quality impacts with the National Agricultural Pesticide Risk Analysis (NAPRA) WWW modeling system. Application of manure at agronomic rates can result in high nitrate-nitrogen losses for some soil types, especially when applied in late fall. The application of manure at an agronomic rate does not necessarily equate to adequate water quality protection, and farmers must take care applying manure at agronomic rates, because nitrate-nitrogen loss potential varies spatially and temporarily. Nutrient loss probability maps for Indiana at 5%, 10%, 25%, and 50% values were created to demonstrate potential water quality impacts when livestock manure is applied to cropland at agronomic rates. The NAPRA WWW system coupled with AMANURE can be used to identify site-specific livestock manure management plans that are environmentally sound and agronomically appropriate.

Prediction of Centerlane Violation for vehicle in opposite direction using Fuzzy Logic and Interacting Multiple Model (퍼지 논리와 Interacting Multiple Model (IMM)을 통한 잡음환경에서의 맞은편 차량의 중앙선 침범 예측)

  • Kim, Beomseong;Choi, Baehoon;An, Jhonghyen;Lee, Heejin;Kim, Euntai
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.444-450
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    • 2013
  • For intelligent vehicle technology, it is very important to recognize the states of around vehicles and assess the collision risk for safety driving of the vehicle. Specifically, it is very fatal the collision with the vehicle coming from opposite direction. In this paper, a centerlane violation prediction method is proposed. Only radar signal based prediction makes lots of false alarm cause of measurement noise and the false alarm can make more danger situation than the non-prediction situation. We proposed the novel prediction method using IMM algorithm and fuzzy logic to increase accuracy and get rid of false positive. Fuzzy logic adjusts the radar signal and the IMM algorithm appropriately. It is verified by the computer simulation that shows stable prediction result and fewer number of false alarm.

Prediction of boil-off gas and boil-off rate in cargo tank of NGH carrier

  • Kang, Ho-Keunn;Kim, Dongeum;Kim, You-Taek;Park, Jung-Dae;Kang, Shin-Baek
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.10
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    • pp.1002-1010
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    • 2015
  • Natural gas hydrates are newly emerging as an environment-friendly source of energy to substitute for fossil fuels in the 21stcentury.NGHs are reported to holds much amounts of natural gas (up to 182 standard volumes of gas per volume of hydrate); they are easy to store and safe to carry at about minus 20 degree Celsius under atmospheric pressure because of the self-preservation phenomenon of gas hydrates. The transporting method by gas-ice-hydrate ship carriers has been introduced and developed by a variety of industry and research institutions. Our team has been conducted to develop NGH total systems, including a breakthrough NGH carrier for sea transportation, since 2011. The NGH pellet carrier does not require a separate cooling system for cargo, and the initial temperature is maintained through insulation of the cargo tanks throughout the transport to the final destination. The heat conducted from the exterior and passing through the insulation material of the hull should be cut off as much as possible, but heat inflow inside the cargo tank from an external source is inevitable during transport. In this study, the heat transfer in a cargo tank of a 115K NGH carrier was analyzed through simulation with a commercial CFD code to estimate the boil-off gas/boil-off rate on the developed carrier and understand major hazards that could significantly impact the safety of the vessel.

An Efficient Resource Reservation Scheme based on Gray-Cell in Wireless Mobile Networks (그레이 셀을 이용한 무선 이동 네트워크에서의 효율적인 자원 예약 방안)

  • 노희경;장문정;김태은;이미정
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.146-157
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    • 2004
  • In order to provide continuous QoS guaranteed to a mobile user, it is required to deploy some kind of mechanisms which reserves resources in advance at the locations to which the mobile user is expected to move. An important issue with regards to these mechanisms is to minimize the waste of resources caused by redundant reservations while keeping up the QoS guaranteed services to the user In this paper, we propose a wireless network domain structure which deploys a special cell, called “a gray cell”. The boundaries of two or more neighboring domains are surrounded by the gray cells, and the gray cells are supposed to belong to all of its neighboring domains. Based on this wireless domain structure, we propose a mechanism which completely removes the waste of redundant resource reservation in the wireless network domain while greatly reducing the risk of reservation disruption caused by inter-domain handover. Using simulation, it is shown that the proposed mechanism can deal with inter-domain handover as effectively as it does with intra-domain handover. It is also presented that the proposed mechanism outperforms existing mechanisms with respect to reservation disruption time and packet losses caused by handovers.