• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk simulation

검색결과 1,118건 처리시간 0.042초

Extraction of Impacted Supernumerary Teeth with Navigation System

  • Kim, Ji-Hyoung;Yoo, Byung-Woo;Moon, Seong-Yong
    • Journal of International Society for Simulation Surgery
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.74-76
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    • 2016
  • Computer-aided navigation system is helpful in maxillofacial surgery with real time instrument positioning and clear anatomic identification. Generally, completely impacted tooth extraction surgery have e high risk by iatrogenic injury such as, adjacent tooth injury, normal anatomical structure injury. This case report describes performing extraction of impacted supernumerary teeth on anterior maxilla by using the navigation system in a 15 years old male patient.

Fish School Simulation for Khepera Robot

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwan;Keigo, Watanabe
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2001년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.168.4-168
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    • 2001
  • A great many species of fish congregate in schools, reducing the risk of being eaten by predators and giving one of the considerable survival advantages for fishes. Such a fish school is self-organized only due to individual behaviors for matching the speed and direction with the neighboring fishes. It is interesting to simulate these fish school by small robots, because we can understand how the group structure emerges from the interaction among neighboring individuals. We use a nice simulator for Khepera robot presented by Oliver Michel. It is shown that the Khepera simulator is easily applied to fish school due to the algorithm introduced by I Aoki. The simulator includes sensor noise so appropriately that the simulator can be transferred easily to the real environment. The results of simulation are given as follows: (1) The stability as a group is shown by plotting mean deviations from the center of group ...

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정량적 위험도 분석을 이용한 복선철도터널에서의 적정 대피통로 간격 산정을 위한 연구 (A Study of Proper Escape way interval by QRA on Single bored double track tunnel)

  • 노병국;이호석;송명규;추석연
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.371-376
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    • 2007
  • This paper describes a study to determine proper escape way interval for the design phase of single bored double track tunnel. Among many methods which determine escape way interval, we choose a QRA(Quantitative Risk Analysis) method. But a different method must be chosen differ from other country because of special design situation of Korea. So, it is necessary to develop a method which considers a special design condition of Korea. Because fire accidents of railway tunnel are a rare event, simulated situation can be produced by CFD simulation and evacuation analysis simulation. However, it is generally difficult to estimate of fatalities from these methods, so a concept of FED is introduced to estimate of fatalities. Quantification process provides effective results for practical design stage and the result were employed in design.

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전통시장지역의 화재위험성 평가를 위한 시뮬레이션 해석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Analysis of Simulation for Fire Safety Diagnosis in Traditional Market Area)

  • 구인혁;이병흔;권영진
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2017년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.46-47
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    • 2017
  • Korea rapidly arranged urbanization and overpopulation with high growth of economy and all kinds of decrepit facilities are scattered all over the downtown. If there is a strong wind in fire, fire is rapidly increased by various fire spread factors. And Korea cannot build prediction model of urban fire combustion phenomena because there is no studies that physically explains the suitable flame phenomena for its real state. In this study, based on the Japanese Urban fire simulation to target the traditional market area and suitability of fire risk assessment were reviewed.

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Double-Cage 건설용 리프트의 양중시간 산정을 위한 시뮬레이션 모델 개발 (The Development of Simulation Model for Calculating Hoisting Time of Double-Cage Construction Lift in Supertall Building Construction)

  • 김완섭;이동민;조훈희;강경인
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2016년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.64-65
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    • 2016
  • According to the recent increase in the height of supertall buildings, construction lift became one of most important equipment for vertical transportation of resources. However, increase in lifting load during peak time in which the resources are concentrated often causes a risk of construction delay. This study suggests a concept of Double-Cage construction lift, which is a lift with two cages attached together allowing transportation of resources on two consecutive work floors simultaneously. The aim of this study is to present a simulation model suitable for calculating hoisting time of Double-Cage construction lift. The proposed model is expected to be utilized when applying Double-cage construction lift for its efficient operation and management.

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Reliability-based fragility analysis of nonlinear structures under the actions of random earthquake loads

  • Salimi, Mohammad-Rashid;Yazdani, Azad
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제66권1호
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2018
  • This study presents the reliability-based analysis of nonlinear structures using the analytical fragility curves excited by random earthquake loads. The stochastic method of ground motion simulation is combined with the random vibration theory to compute structural failure probability. The formulation of structural failure probability using random vibration theory, based on only the frequency information of the excitation, provides an important basis for structural analysis in places where there is a lack of sufficient recorded ground motions. The importance of frequency content of ground motions on probability of structural failure is studied for different levels of the nonlinear behavior of structures. The set of simulated ground motion for this study is based on the results of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. It is demonstrated that the scenario events identified by the seismic risk differ from those obtained by the disaggregation of seismic hazard. The validity of the presented procedure is evaluated by Monte-Carlo simulation.

건축물 밀집지구의 화재위험성 평가를 위한 시뮬레이션 해석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Analysis of Simulation for Fire Safety Diagnosis in Building Congested Area)

  • 구인혁;윤웅기;김봉찬;권영진
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2013년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.226-227
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    • 2013
  • Korea rapidly arranged urbanization and overpopulation with high growth of economy and all kinds of decrepit facilities are scattered all over the downtown. If there is a strong wind in fire, fire is rapidly increased by various fire spread factors. And Korea cannot build prediction model of urban fire combustion phenomena because there is no studies that physically explains the suitable flame phenomena for its real state. In this study, based on the Japanese Urban fire simulation to target the building congested Area and suitability of fire risk assessment were reviewed.

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목조건물 밀집 지역의 화재위험성 평가를 위한 시뮬레이션 해석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Analysis of Simulation for Fire Safety Diagnosis in Wooden Building Congested Area)

  • 구인혁;김봉찬;서동구;권영진
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2013년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.87-88
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    • 2013
  • Korea rapidly arranged urbanization and overpopulation with high growth of economy and all kinds of decrepit facilities are scattered all over the downtown. If there is a strong wind in fire, fire is rapidly increased by various fire spread factors. And Korea cannot build prediction model of urban fire combustion phenomena because there is no studies that physically explains the suitable flame phenomena for its real state. In this study, based on the Japanese Urban fire simulation to target the wooden building congested Area and suitability of fire risk assessment were reviewed.

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시스템다이내믹스와 복합 리얼옵션 기반 신·재생에너지 기술가치평가 (On Renewable Energy Technology Valuation Using System Dynamics and Compound Real Options)

  • 전찬웅;신준석
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2014
  • The transition from fossil to renewable energy is inevitable due to fossil depletion. So, Renewable energy is very important for energy security and economic growth although it's R&D is long-term and high risky project. We propose new valuation method which combined system dynamics and compound real option method for long-term and high risk projects such as renewable energy. This method can show dynamic valuation results for the complex causal interaction and be easy for Monte-Carlo simulation to estimate volatility. And it can reflect the value of flexible decision for uncertainty. We applied the empirical analysis for Korea's photovoltaic industry by using this method. As results by empirical analysis, photovoltaic's R&D has high valuation using this method compared by traditional valuation methods such as DCF.

전력시장 불확실성을 고려한 최적 송전시스템 확장계획 (Optimal Transmission Expansion Planning Considering the Uncertainties of Power Market)

  • 손민균;김진오
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제57권4호
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    • pp.560-566
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    • 2008
  • Today, as the power trades between generation companies and power customer are liberalized, the uncertainty level of operated power system is rapidly increased. Therefore, transmission operators as decision makers for transmission expansion are required to establish a deliberate investment plan for effective operations of transmission facilities considering forecasted conditions of power system. This paper proposes the methodology for the optimal solution of transmission expansion in deregulated power system. The paper obtains the expected value of transmission congestion cost for various scenarios by using occurrence probability. In addition, the paper assumes that increasing rates of loads are the probability distribution and indicates the location of expanded transmission line, the time for transmission expansion with the minimum cost for the future by performing the Montecarlo simulation. To minimize the investment risk as the variance of the congestion cost, Mean-Variance Markowitz portfolio theory is applied to the optimization model by the penalty factor of the variance. By the case study, the optimal solution for transmission expansion plan considering the feature of market participants is obtained.