• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk simulation

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Effects of Simulation-Based Education for Emergency Patient Nursing Care in Korea: A MetaAnalysis (응급환자 간호를 위한 시뮬레이션 교육효과: 메타분석)

  • Hyun, Jin-Sook;Kim, Eun Ja;Han, Jung Hwa;Kim, Nahyun
    • Journal of Korean Biological Nursing Science
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this review was to evaluate the effects of emergency nursing simulation program on nursing students and nurses. Methods: This systematic review was performed as per the guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses and using the R program meta package (version 4.9-2). RISS, KISS, and DBpia Library databases were searched for studies published between June 2000 and August 2018 using the following key words: ($Emerge^*$ OR nursing) AND ($nurs^*$ OR simulation). Selected studies were assessed for methodological quality using Risk of Bias for Non randomized Studies. Results: 7 studies were identified and all of them met the inclusion criteria. The outcome variables were significant clinical performance, self-efficacy except knowledge, and problem-solving ability. Conclusion: This review provides updated evidence of the simulation-based education program in emergency nursing. Further studies are required to increase generalizability using randomized population, research design and controlled trials with sufficient sample size. Moreover, valid measurements are needed to assess the main outcomes.

Evaluation of Structural Safety for Hydrogen Tube Trailer Considering Dynamic Property (동적 특성을 고려한 수소 튜브 트레일러의 구조 안전성 평가)

  • Y. B. Kim;M. G. Kim;D. C. Ko
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2024
  • Recently, hydrogen energy has been widely used because of strict regulations on greenhouse gas emissions. For using the hydrogen energy, it is required to supply hydrogen through a tube trailer. However hydrogen tube trailer can have excessive load problems during transportation due to reasons such as road shape and driving method, which may lead a risk of hydrogen leakage. So it is necessary to secure a high level of safety. The purpose of this study is to evaluate structural safety for the conservative design of hydrogen tube trailer. First, finite element(FE) modeling of the designed hydrogen tube trailer was performed. After that, safety evaluation method was established through static structural simulation based on the standard GC207 conditions. In addition, effectiveness of the designed model was confirmed through the results of the structural safety evaluation. Finally, driving simulation was used to derive acceleration graph according to time, which was considered as a dynamic property for the evaluation of conservative tube trailer safety evaluation. And dynamic structural simulation was conducted as a condition for actual transportation of tube trailer by applying dynamic properties. As a results, conservative safety was evaluated through dynamic structural simulation and the safety of hydrogen tube trailer was confirmed through satisfaction of the safety rate.

An Empirical Study on the Profit Margin Adequacy of Korean General Insurance (국내 일반보험 예정이익률 적정성에 관한 실증연구)

  • Park, Geunyong;Kim, So-Yeun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.588-597
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    • 2021
  • In Korea, the standard for calculating the profit of a general insurance, which constitutes the loading in the premium, is not specified, and most of the non-life insurance companies reflect 2~5% of the premium as profit margin. Although the transparency of pricing is required due to the nature of insurance products, there are insufficient standards and empirical studies on the determination of insurance price factors in the domestic insurance industry. In this study, we propose a method of calculating the expected profit margin of general insurance. A way for calculating the expected profit margin of the general insurance is to reflect the shareholder demand on the capital that the insurance company should secure against the risk of loss due to the profit/loss volatility, as a ratio to the insurance premium. Shareholders should be compensated for the risks associated with their insurance operations, and the opportunity cost of these shareholders is to be reflected in premiums. In this study, we calculate the amount of capital that the company should accumulate to prepare insurance risk for each product, and insurance risk is defined as the volatility of insurance operating profit/loss. And insurance risk is calculated using stochastic simulation based on Dynamic Financial Analysis (DFA) methodology. Finally, we calculate the expected profit margins for 25 products and analyzed the difference between those and the profit ratio of domestic general insurance.

Risk assessment for norovirus foodborne illness by raw oyster (Ostreidae) consumption and economic burden in Korea

  • Yoo, Yoonjeong;Oh, Hyemin;Lee, Yewon;Sung, Miseon;Hwang, Jeongeun;Zhao, Ziwei;Park, Sunho;Choi, Changsun;Yoon, Yohan
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.287-297
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    • 2022
  • The objective of this study was to evaluate the probability of norovirus foodborne illness by raw oyster consumption. One hundred fifty-six oyster samples were collected to examine the norovirus prevalence. The oyster samples were inoculated with murine norovirus and stored at 4℃-25℃. A plaque assay determined norovirus titers. The norovirus titers were fitted with the Baranyi model to calculate shoulder period (h) and death rate (Log PFU/g/h). These kinetic parameters were fitted to a polynomial model as a function of temperature. Distribution temperature and time were surveyed, and consumption data were surveyed. A dose-response model was also searched through literature. The simulation model was prepared with these data in @RISK to estimate the probability of norovirus foodborne. One sample of 156 samples was norovirus positive. Thus, the initial contamination level was estimated by the Beta distribution (2, 156), and the level was -5.3 Log PFU/g. The developed predictive models showed that the norovirus titers decreased in oysters under the storage conditions simulated with the Uniform distribution (0.325, 1.643) for time and the Pert distribution (10, 18, 25) for temperature. Consumption ratio of raw oyster was 0.98%, and average consumption amount was 1.82 g, calculated by the Pert distribution [Pert {1.8200, 1.8200, 335.30, Truncate (0, 236.8)}]. 1F1 hypergeometric dose-response model [1 - (1 + 2.55 × 10-3 × dose)-0.086] was appropriate to evaluate dose-response. The simulation showed that the probability of norovirus foodborne illness by raw oyster consumption was 5.90 × 10-10 per person per day. The annual socioeconomic cost of consuming raw oysters contaminated with norovirus was not very high.

Comparison of Disaster Vulnerability Analysis and Risk Evaluation of Heat Wave Disasters (폭염재해의 재해취약성분석 및 리스크 평가 비교)

  • Yu-Jeong SEOL;Ho-Yong KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.132-144
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of heat waves due to the increase in climate change temperature are increasing. Therefore, this study tried to compare the evaluation process and evaluation results of the heat wave disaster evaluation, which is the government's analysis of the heat wave disaster vulnerability and the risk evaluation method recently emphasized by the IPCC. The analysis of climate change disaster vulnerability is evaluated based on manuals and guidelines prepared by the government. Risk evaluation can be evaluated as the product of the possibility of a disaster and its impact, and it is evaluated using the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation based on Bayesian estimation method, which uses prior information to infer posterior probability. As a result of the analysis, the two evaluation results for Busan Metropolitan City differed slightly in the spatial distribution of areas vulnerable to heat waves. In order to properly evaluate disaster vulnerable areas due to climate change, the process and results of climate change disaster vulnerability analysis and risk assessment must be reviewed, and consider each methodology and countermeasures must be prepared.

Consequence Analysis of the Fire & Explosion on the Flammable Liquid Handling Facility and LPG Station (제 4류 위험물 취급소 및 LPG 충전소의 화재$\cdot$폭발 피해 영향분석)

  • Lee Su-Kyung;Lee Chang-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.3 no.2 s.7
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 1999
  • The XX company that is handling the class IV hazardous materials, located in Bu-Chon City and the LPG station in front of the XX company which is about 20 meters apart, was chosen as the standard model for this study In carrying out the consequence analysis, PHAST and Super-Chems were used for the study and utilizing the output of the simulation, we have evaluated the consequences throughout the probit analysis and explosion overpressure analysis. In case of Acetone, the effect distance of the damage on facilities-that is the result of radiation heat flux of $37.5kW/m^2$ by TNO model-is 68.51m by PHAST model and 40.93m by Super-Chem model. The risk assessment of the LPG station which is based on the explosion resulted as the analysis of the fire ball showed the diameter 125.2m, the height 206.2m and the duration 11.28sec and the effect distance for the radiant heat flux $37.5kW/m^2$ was 137.0m.

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A Study of Safety Evaluation Based on the Road closure Simulation, and on the Isolation Risk in Times of Disaster (재해시 위험가능성과 도로폐쇄시뮬레이션에 의한 방재안전성에 관한 연구 - 일본 오이타현 사이키시를 대상으로 -)

  • Kim, Daeill;Park, Sungchan;Go, Jooyeon;Yeom, Chunho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.84-93
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    • 2020
  • In recent years, the scale of damage from disasters such as earthquakes and large-scale fires and floods that are occurring in Korea is increasing. Accordingly, interest in urban disaster prevention that combines living infrastructure such as roads and parks is boosting, and it is urgent to prepare measures to reduce the damage scale of local cities. The purpose of this study is to derive implications for disaster prevention measures in areas where disaster prevention safety of local cities is weak through examples of disaster prevention safety of local cities in case of disaster. To this end, this study analyzed the regional characteristics, current status, and disaster prevention problems of regional cities in Japan, and selected disaster-vulnerable areas, and considered the distance relationship between disaster prevention bases through road network analysis. In addition, road closure simulation using ArcGIS Network Analyst was conducted to analyze disaster prevention safety in the area. As a result, the situation of the village which has a high possibility of isolation by natural disasters was grasped in advance. Through this, the suburbs confirmed the necessity of supplementing the disaster prevention function through transportation maintenance such as forest roads, and it was found that the city needs to prepare a risk management system. Furthermore, this study suggests the need for research on areas with a high possibility of isolation, especially in areas where disaster prevention functions are weak in local cities in case of disaster, and shows countermeasures for disaster prevention measures and resident education.

Human-in-the-Loop Simulation Analysis of Conflict Resolution Maneuvers Using an Air Traffic Control Simulator (항공관제시뮬레이터를 이용한 항공기간 회피 기동의 위험도 분석)

  • Jeong, Se hun;Oh, Hyeju;Choi, Keeyoung;Lee, Hak-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.8
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    • pp.739-747
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    • 2015
  • With rapid growth in the technologies and demand of Remotely Piloted Aircraft Systems (RPASs), integration of such systems into the existing airspace system is becoming an issue in many countries. RPAS have different flight performances, communication characteristics, separation assurance mechanisms, and human machine interfaces from manned aircraft. To establish rules and regulations for RPAS integration, it is important to understand the impacts of RPASs on the airspace system. A simulation system that integrates manned aircraft, air traffic control, and RPASs is developed in Inha University to investigate these impacts through Human-in-The-Loop (HiTL) simulations. Three conflict resolution scenarios between a manned aircraft and a Remotely Piloted Aircraft (RPA) were constructed and tested. Human factors such as the response times of pilots and controllers were measured and analyzed as well as the risk of each maneuver.

Prediction of Exposure and Risks of Environmental Pollutants via Emission Assessment and Multimedia Transport Modeling (배출량산정모델과 다중매질모델링을 이용한 환경오염물질의 노출평가 및 위해도 평가)

  • Kim, Jong Ho;Kwak, Byoung Kyu;Shin, Chee Burm;Jeon, Won Jin;Yi, Jongheop
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.248-257
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, human exposure and risk of environmental pollutants were predicted using an emission assessment model and multimedia fate model. Eight environmental pollutants, acetaldehyde, acrylonitrile, aniline, benzene, carbon tetrachloride, dichloromethane, formaldehyde and vinyl chloride, were selected for the risk assessment in an urban and industrial area in Korea. The emission rate of target pollutants were estimated after considering a variety of point and non-point emission sources including geographical information. A spatially refined multimedia fate model was applied to predict the environmental concentration and fate of pollutants. Hazard data of target materials were obtained from the IRIS(Integrated Risk Information System) database. Using the modeling results with hazard data, the human risks were assessed. Modeling results demonstrate that the considerable risks were observed for several pollutants.

Explosion Simulations for the Quantitative Risk Analysis of New Energy Filling Stations (신에너지 충전소의 정량적 위험성 평가를 위한 폭발 시뮬레이션)

  • Dan, Seung-Kyu;Park, Kyung-Jun;Kim, Tae-Ok;Shin, Dong-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.60-67
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    • 2011
  • The interest about new and renewable energy is increasing to reduce the burden of problems by depletion of fossil fuels and air pollutions. For example, LNG/CNG and LPG are expected to be replaced, especially in transportation use, by HCNG mixture and DME-LPG mixture, respectively. Because these new energies are still flammable gases, it is not inherently safe from the explosion. In this research, the quantitative risk analysis for using alternative mixtures in existing recharging facilities has been studied by using three types of explosion models (TNT equivalency model, PHAST and CFD-based FLACS) to manage the risk effectively. The differences of results by models were compared against, and the practical ways of when and how to use these models were suggested. It was also predicted that conventional gas filling stations would be converted as new energy stations without additional explosion risk.