• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk of Loss

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The Effect of Type of Largest Shareholder Change on Losses: Focusing on Firm Risk (최대주주 변경의 유형이 적자보고에 미치는 영향: 기업위험을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hye-Ri
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to empirically analyze the effect of information related to the largest shareholder's change on the likelihood of reporting a loss for firms listed on the Korea Exchange. Specifically, this study conducts a logit regression analysis to examine the firm's loss reporting with frequent changes in the largest shareholder among the largest shareholder change types. So, it controls the impact of a firm's loss reporting, such as the previous year's loss reporting and discretionary accruals. As a result of the analysis, firms whose largest shareholder have changed more than 2 times in the accounting period are found to have higher firm risk in loss reporting than other firms. The results of this analysis confirm that frequent changes in the largest shareholder, which are disclosures of investment risks on the Korea Exchange, may result in investment risk situations such as loss reporting.

Analysis of Loss Costs and Risk Reserve due to Risk Events for Aircraft Runway Construction (활주로 건설공사의 위험사건에 따른 손실비용 및 위험예비비 분석)

  • Kang, Hyun Wook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to derive risk events that occurred during aircraft runway construction and analyze loss costs for project participants. For this purpose, design change data, contracted statement and completed statement were investigated. The results of this study are as follows: There were 12 risk events in the process of construction, 5 design errors and 7 construction errors. The increased construction costs due to such risk events were calculated as KRW 726 million. Of the KRW 726 million that was increased due to risk events, about 52.57% was spent by the ordering agency, and about 47.43% contractors. The increased construction costs due to such risk events are about 4.86% of the direct construction costs of KRW 14.9 billion. Based on the results derived from these case studies, a method for estimating reserve costs and construction costs considering risk events is presented.

Classification of Microsatellite Alterations Detected in Endoscopic Biopsy Specimens of Gastric Cancers (단순반복염기서열의 변이 형태에 따른 위암 내시경 조직의 유전자형 분류)

  • Choi Young Deok;Choi Sang Wook;Jeon Eun Jeong;Jeong Jeong Jo;Min Ki Ouk;Lee Kang Hoon;Lee Sung;Rhyu Mun Gan
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: Individual gastric cancers demonstrate complicated genetic alterations. The PCR-based analysis of polymorphic microsatellite sequences on cancer-related chromosomes has been used to detect chromosomal loss and microsatellite instability. For the purpose of preoperative usage, we analyzed the correspondance rate of the microsatellite genotype between endoscopic biopsy and surgical specimens. Materials and Methods: Seventy-three pairs of biopsy and surgical specimens were examined for loss of heterozygosity and microsatellite instability by using 40 microsatellite markers on eight chromosomes. Microsatellite alterations in tumor DNAs were classified into a high-risk group (baselinelevel loss of heterozygosity: 1 chromosomal loss in diffuse type and high-level loss of heterozygosity: 4 or more chromosomal losses) and a low-risk group (microsatellite instability and low-level loss of heterozygosity: 2 or 3 chromosomal losses in diffuse type or $1\∼3$ chromosomal losses in intestinal type) based on the extent of chromosomal loss and microsatellite instability. Results: The chromosomal losses of the biopsy and the surgical specimens were found to be different in 21 of the 73 cases, 19 cases of which were categorized into a genotype group of similar extent. In 100 surgical specimens, the high-risk genotype group showed a high incidence of nodal involvement (19 of 23 cases: $\leq$5 cm; 23 of 24 cases: >5 cm) irrespective of tumor size while the incidence of nodal involvement for the low-risk genotype group depended on tumor size (5 of 26 cases: $\leq$5 cm; 18 of 27 cases: >5 cm). Extraserosal invasion was more frequent in large-sized tumor in both the high-risk genotype group ($\leq$5 cm: 12 of 23 cases; >5 cm: 23 of 24 cases) and the low-risk genotype group ($\leq$5 cm: 7 of 26 cases; >5 cm: 16 of 27 cases). The preoperative prediction of tumor invasion and nodal involvement based on tumor size and genotype corresponded closely to the pathologic tumor stage (ROC area >0.7). Conclusion: An endoscopic biopsy specimen of gastric cancer can be used to make a preoperative genetic diagnosis that accurately reflect the genotype of the corresponding surgical specimen.

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Risk Evaluation of Failure Cause for FMEA under a Weibull Time Delay Model (와이블 지연시간 모형 하에서의 FMEA를 위한 고장원인의 위험평가)

  • Kwon, Hyuck Moo;Lee, Min Koo;Hong, Sung Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2018
  • This paper suggests a weibull time delay model to evaluate failure risks in FMEA(failure modes and effects analysis). Assuming three types of loss functions for delayed time in failure cause detection, the risk of each failure cause is evaluated as its occurring frequency and expected loss. Since the closed form solution of the risk metric cannot be obtained, a statistical computer software R program is used for numerical calculation. When the occurrence and detection times have a common shape parameter, though, some simple results of mathematical derivation are also available. As an enormous quantity of field data becomes available under recent progress of data acquisition system, the proposed risk metric will provide a more practical and reasonable tool for evaluating the risks of failure causes in FMEA.

Diversification, performance and optimal business mix of insurance portfolios

  • Kim, Hyun Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1503-1520
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    • 2013
  • For multi-line insurance companies, allocating the risk capital to each line is a widely-accepted risk management exercise. In this article we consider several applications of the Euler capital allocation. First, we propose visual tools to present the diversification and the line-wise performance for a given loss portfolio so that the risk managers can understand the interactions among the lines. Secondly, on theoretical side, we prove that the Euler allocation is the directional derivative of the marginal or incremental allocation method, an alternative capital allocation rule in the literature. Lastly, we establish the equivalence between the mean-shortfall optimization and the RORAC optimization when the risk adjusted capital is the expected shortfall, and show how to construct the optimal insurance business mix that maximizes the portfolio RORAC. An actual loss sample of an insurance portfolio is used for numerical illustrations.

Robust Bayesian inference in finite population sampling with auxiliary information under balanced loss function

  • Kim, Eunyoung;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.685-696
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we develop Bayesian inference of the finite population mean with the assumption of posterior linearity rather than normality of the superpopulation in the presence of auxiliary information under the balanced loss function. We compare the performance of the optimal Bayes estimator under the balanced loss function with ones of the classical ratio estimator and the usual Bayes estimator in terms of the posterior expected losses, risks and Bayes risks.

ESTABLISHMENT OF A MAINTENANCE PROGRAM TO PREVENT LOSS OF OFFSITE POWER IN NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS

  • Lee, Eun-Chan;Na, Jang-Hwan
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.791-794
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    • 2013
  • Since the Fukushima accident in 2011, the importance of the electrical systems in nuclear power plants (NPPs) has been emphasized. The result has been that NPP regulators are enhancing their monitoring of loss of offsite power (LOOP) events. Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co. (KHNP) is reviewing the status and issues related to LOOPs, and is attempting to establish specific countermeasures to prevent LOOPs, because they can have severe consequences in the complicated maintenance schedule during an outage. A starting point for preventing LOOPs is the control of the loss of voltage (LOV)-initiating components. In order to reflect this in the risk assessment program, an LOV monitor is being developed for use during plant outages.

Robust Bayesian Inference in Finite Population Sampling under Balanced Loss Function

  • Kim, Eunyoung;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.261-274
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    • 2014
  • In this paper we develop Bayes and empirical Bayes estimators of the finite population mean with the assumption of posterior linearity rather than normality of the superpopulation under the balanced loss function. We compare the performance of the optimal Bayes estimator with ones of the classical sample mean and the usual Bayes estimator under the squared error loss with respect to the posterior expected losses, risks and Bayes risks when the underlying distribution is normal as well as when they are binomial and Poisson.

Quantitative Hazard Analysis of Information Systems Using Probabilistic Risk Analysis Method

  • Lee, Young-Jai;Kim, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2009
  • Hazard analysis identifies probability to hazard occurrence and its potential impact on business processes operated in organizations. This paper illustrates a quantitative approach of hazard analysis of information systems by measuring the degree of hazard to information systems using probabilistic risk analysis and activity based costing technique. Specifically the research model projects probability of occurrence by PRA and economic loss by ABC under each identified hazard. To verify the model, each computerized subsystem which is called a business process and hazards occurred on information systems are gathered through one private organization. The loss impact of a hazard occurrence is produced by multiplying probability by the economic loss.

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A Study on Enterprise Risk Management for the Public Organizations: K-Water Case (공기업을 위한 전사적 리스크관리: K-Water 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jung-Duk
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2008
  • Organizations can experience serious financial and/or reputational losses if business activities are disrupted by an incident of information systems under the current business environment. The loss includes the intangible decline in brand image, customer separation, and the tangible loss such as decrease in business profits. Thus, it is necessary to take proactive initiatives by managing many kinds of risks an organization may have. Therefore, the enterprise risk management has been received a special attention by some advanced private companies, but not many public organizations. This paper describes an approach and some issues when the enterprise risk management was introduced in a domestic public organization.

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