• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk map

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Life Risk Assessment of Landslide Disaster Using Spatial Prediction Model (공간 예측 모델을 이용한 산사태 재해의 인명 위험평가)

  • Jang, Dong-Ho;Chung, C.F.
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.373-383
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    • 2006
  • The spatial mapping of risk is very useful data in planning for disaster preparedness. This research presents a methodology for making the landslide life risk map in the Boeun area which had considerable landslide damage following heavy rain in August, 1998. We have developed a three-stage procedure in spatial data analysis not only to estimate the probability of the occurrence of the natural hazardous events but also to evaluate the uncertainty of the estimators of that probability. The three-stage procedure consists of: (i)construction of a hazard prediction map of "future" hazardous events; (ii) validation of prediction results and estimation of the probability of occurrence for each predicted hazard level; and (iii) generation of risk maps with the introduction of human life factors representing assumed or established vulnerability levels by combining the prediction map in the first stage and the estimated probabilities in the second stage with human life data. The significance of the landslide susceptibility map was evaluated by computing a prediction rate curve. It is used that the Bayesian prediction model and the case study results (the landslide susceptibility map and prediction rate curve) can be prepared for prevention of future landslide life risk map. Data from the Bayesian model-based landslide susceptibility map and prediction ratio curves were used together with human rife data to draft future landslide life risk maps. Results reveal that individual pixels had low risks, but the total risk death toll was estimated at 3.14 people. In particular, the dangerous areas involving an estimated 1/100 people were shown to have the highest risk among all research-target areas. Three people were killed in this area when landslides occurred in 1998. Thus, this risk map can deliver factual damage situation prediction to policy decision-makers, and subsequently can be used as useful data in preventing disasters. In particular, drafting of maps on landslide risk in various steps will enable one to forecast the occurrence of disasters.

On the Development of Risk Factor Map for Accident Analysis using Textmining and Self-Organizing Map(SOM) Algorithms (재해분석을 위한 텍스트마이닝과 SOM 기반 위험요인지도 개발)

  • Kang, Sungsik;Suh, Yongyoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2018
  • Report documents of industrial and occupational accidents have continuously been accumulated in private and public institutes. Amongst others, information on narrative-texts of accidents such as accident processes and risk factors contained in disaster report documents is gaining the useful value for accident analysis. Despite this increasingly potential value of analysis of text information, scientific and algorithmic text analytics for safety management has not been carried out yet. Thus, this study aims to develop data processing and visualization techniques that provide a systematic and structural view of text information contained in a disaster report document so that safety managers can effectively analyze accident risk factors. To this end, the risk factor map using text mining and self-organizing map is developed. Text mining is firstly used to extract risk keywords from disaster report documents and then, the Self-Organizing Map (SOM) algorithm is conducted to visualize the risk factor map based on the similarity of disaster report documents. As a result, it is expected that fruitful text information buried in a myriad of disaster report documents is analyzed, providing risk factors to safety managers.

A Probability Modeling of the Crime Occurrence and Risk Probability Map Generation based on the Urban Spatial Information (도시공간정보 기반의 범죄발생 확률 모형 및 위험도 확률지도 생성)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Park, Koo-Rack
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the research of the analysis of the crime spatial is increased by using the computer information technology and GIS (Geometric Information System) in order to prevent the urban crime so as to increase the urbanization rate. In this paper, a probability map formed by the raster is organized by the quantification of crime risk per the cell using the region property of the urban spatial information in the static environment. Also, a map of the risk probability is constructed based on the relative risk by the region property, the relative risk by the facility, the relative risk by the woody plant and the river, and so on. And, this integrated risk probability map is calculated by averaging the individual cell risk applied to the climatic influence and the seasonal factor. And, a probability map of the overall risk is generated by the interpretation key of the crime occurrence relative risk index, and so, this information is applied to the probability map quantifying the occurrence crime pattern. And so, in this paper, a methodology of the modeling and the simulation that this crime risk probability map is modified according to the passage of time are proposed.

Development of Natural Hazard Risk Map using Insured Claim Payouts and Its Application (보험 손실액을 활용한 자연재해 위험 지도 개발 및 적용방안 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Myong;Park, Young Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.257-258
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    • 2015
  • The amount of damages caused by natural hazards is consistently growing due to the unusual weather and extreme events. At the same time, property damage by natural hazards is rapidly increasing as well. Hence, we need systematic anti-disaster activities and consulting that can react to such a situation. To address these needs, we investigated and analyzed insured claim payouts from natural hazards by administrative area, and calculate the risk index utilizing GIS. According to the index, this map is identifying the areas of greatest natural hazard risk. The ranking of natural disaster vulnerability based on the risk index, and risk grades were divided into five based on the ranking. This map integrates the natural hazard losses to assist in comprehensive and effective loss prevention activities using analysis of regional loss claims from natural hazards. Moreover, this map can be as utilized as loss mitigation and prevention activities to verify the distribution of exposure and hazards.

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The Finding Factors and Application Plans of the Volcanic Disaster Maps through Case Studies (사례분석을 통한 화산재해지도 구성요소 도출 및 활용 방안)

  • Chang, Eunmi;Park, Kyeong;Kim, Eun Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.128-140
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to investigate the characteristics and to classify the foreign volcanic disaster maps. Authors try to extract the components of volcanic disaster maps and apply them to the Mt. Baekdu volcano that receives worldwide attention recently has been on an early stage in Korea. Internationally, volcano ash disaster maps are derived and reviewed through three analytical framework components: Hazard Map, Risk Map, and Damage Map. These derived components of volcano ash disaster mapping systems are: 1) cumulative map of past disaster records, 2) probabilistic risk map, 3) scenario-based map and case-by-case utilization maps (evacuation response type, emergency information type, disaster preparedness education type) based on this components are presented.

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An Estimation of Landslide's Vulnerability by Analysis of Static Natural Environmental Factors with GIS (GIS를 이용한 정적 자연환경인자의 분석에 의한 산사태 취약성 평가)

  • Yang, In-Tae
    • 한국지형공간정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.08a
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2005
  • The landslide risk assessment process consists of hazard risk assessment and vulnerability analysis. landslide hazard risk is location dependent. Therefore, maps and spatial technologies such as GIS are very important components of the risk assessment process. This paper discusses the advantages of using GIS technology in the risk assessment process and illustrates the benefits through case studies of live projects undertaken. The goal of this study is to generate a map of landslide vulnerability map by analysis of static natural factors with GIS. A simple and efficient algorithm is proposed to generate a landslide potentialities map from DEM and existing maps. The categories of controlling factors for landslides, aspect of slope, soil, vegetation are defined. The weight values for landslide potentialities are calculated from AHP method. Slope and slope-direction are extracted from DEM, and soil informations are extracted from digital soil map. Also, vegetation informations are extracted from digital vegetation map. Finally, as overlaying, landslide potentialities map is made out, and it is verified with landslide place.

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A Trial of Disaster Risk Diagnosis Based on Residential House Structure by a Self-Organizing Map

  • Wakuya, Hiroshi;Mouri, Yoshihiko;Itoh, Hideaki;Mishima, Nobuo;Oh, Sang-Hoon;Oh, Yong-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.3-4
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    • 2015
  • A self-organizing map (SOM) is a good tool to visualize applied data in the form of a feature map. With the help of such functions, a disaster risk diagnosis based on the residential house structure is tried in this study. According to some computer simulations with actual residential data, it is found that overall tendencies in the developed feature map are acceptable. Then, it is concluded that the proposed method is an effective means to estimate disaster risk appropriately.

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Forest Fire Risk Zonation in Madi Khola Watershed, Nepal

  • Jeetendra Gautam
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.24-34
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    • 2024
  • Fire, being primarily a natural phenomenon, is impossible to control, although it is feasible to map the forest fire risk zone, minimizing the frequency of fires. The spread of a fire starting in any stand in a forest can be predicted, given the burning conditions. The natural cover of the land and the safety of the population may be threatened by the spread of forest fires; thus, the prevention of fire damage requires early discovery. Satellite data and geographic information system (GIS) can be used effectively to combine different forest-fire-causing factors for mapping the forest fire risk zone. This study mainly focuses on mapping forest fire risk in the Madikhola watershed. The primary causes of forest fires appear to be human negligence, uncontrolled fire in nearby forests and agricultural regions, and fire for pastoral purposes which were used to evaluate and assign risk values to the mapping process. The majority of fires, according to MODIS events, occurred from December to April, with March recording the highest occurrences. The Risk Zonation Map, which was prepared using LULC, Forest Type, Slope, Aspect, Elevation, Road Proximity, and Proximity to Water Bodies, showed that a High Fire Risk Zone comprised 29% of the Total Watershed Area, followed by a Moderate Risk Zone, covering 37% of the total area. The derived map products are helpful to local forest managers to minimize fire risks within the forests and take proper responses when fires break out. This study further recommends including the fuel factor and other fire-contributing factors to derive a higher resolution of the fire risk map.

Developing Risk Analysis Methods for Realtime RiskMAP System (실시간 위험지도 시스템을 위한 위험분석 기법 개발)

  • Park, Sang Bae;Lee, Chang Jun;Joo, Yu Kyoung;Oh, Jeong Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2020
  • For preventing accident, the risk analysis about gas facilities has been more important since many gas facilities be superannuated. Especially, deriving and simulating risk is very important for preventing and corresponding accidents by means of specific analysis method in complex gas facilities. However, many studies have been not enough not yet in order to derive and simulate risk considering various situations. This paper aims to propose deriving and analyzing risk method around limited area of complex gas facilities. Our study proposes total risk analysis that is composed four methods with individual point of view. The risk analysis system based on RiskMAP immediately informs users changes of e risk in zones according to the status, work and surrounding conditions of the facility. The proposed methods in this research are implemented as software algorithm and applied to risk analysis system using RiskMAP in conjunction with IoT and GPS.

Complex Disaster Risk Assessment of Local Road using a Landslide Hazard Map (산사태위험지도를 이용한 도로중심 복합재난 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, Min-Ho;Jang, Chang-Deok;Jun, Kye-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2022
  • Domestic disaster risk maps are mainly produced and studied as a single disaster map by grid unit and disaster type. In particular, it is necessary to present an evaluation method of the disaster risk map that is more suitable for the relevant facility (local road) in order to utilize the work of practitioners who are mainly in charge of facility maintenance. In this study, an evaluation method was presented to evaluate the risk with a focus on local roads by using the landslide risk map and debris flow risk map provided by the Korea Forest Service. In addition, the risk was evaluated and verified for the provinces located in Gangwon-do. As a result of the evaluation, it was possible to evaluate the risk of grades 1 to 5 for 1,513 evaluation sections in the evaluation section with a total length of 234.59 km.