• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk evaluation system

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Risk Evaluation and Uncertainty Analysis in Hydraulic Design system (수공구조물 설계 시스템의 위험도 평가와 불확실성 해석)

  • Chang, Suk-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.194-200
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    • 1998
  • Risk, probability of failure, which includes various uncertainties and influential factors of performance should be accounted for in engineering system. Recently, several different methods to analysis risk evaluation evolved and one of the practical method is FOSM (First Order Second Moment Method ). FOSM method is derived in terms of terms coefficient of variance to uncertainties which influence various factor. For risk evaluation and uncertainty analysis in hydraulic design system, load-capacity relationship is adopted in this paper. Sample catchment with design of sewer system is applied, which plots safety factor vs. risk. Risk evaluation and uncertainty analysis are very to important develop optimal design model in hydraulic system

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FREES : Fuzzy Risk Evaluation Expert System (Fuzzy 이론을 활용한 건설프로젝트 리스크 분석 및 평가 시스템)

  • Cho Ick-Rae;Park Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.1 no.1 s.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2000
  • This study proposes FREES(Fuzzy Risk Evaluation Expert System) for analyzing and evaluating risks occurring during the construction process. The feasibility of this system model was tested by virtual scenario. For the development of the model, at first, risk breakdown structure was established based on risks identified in the existing researches, that is quantitative and qualitative. FREES can reflect human cognition process in the risk analysis and evaluation by adopting artificial intelligence fuzzy theory, differentiating the existing quantitative analysis model. The FREES can be applied to all the project phases from planning to operation & maintenance stage.

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A Study on effective risk analysis and evaluation method of cloud computing system environment (클라우드컴퓨팅 시스템 환경의 효과적 위험분석평가 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Junglimg;Chang, Hangbae
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.10-25
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    • 2021
  • Although many studies have been conducted on risk analysis and evaluation in the on-premises environment in information security, studies on effective methodologies of risk analysis and evaluation for cloud computing systems are lacking. In 2015, the Cloud Computing Development Act was enacted, which served as an opportunity to promote the introduction of cloud computing. However, due to the increase in security incidents in the cloud computing system, activation is insufficient. In addition, the cloud computing system is not being actively introduced because of the difficulty in understanding the cloud computing system technology of the person in charge who intends to introduce the cloud computing system. In this regard, this study presented an effective risk analysis and evaluation method by examining the characteristics, concepts, and models of cloud computing systems and analyzing how these characteristics affect risk analysis and evaluation.

Development of Risk-Appearance Frequency Evaluation Model for Railway Level-Crossing Accidents (철도건널목 사고 위험도-발생빈도 평가모델 개발)

  • Kim, Min-Su;Wang, Jong-Bae;Park, Chan-Woo;Choi, Don-Bum
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.96-101
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    • 2009
  • In this study, a risk-appearance frequency evaluation model for railway level-crossing accidents is developed with the frequency estimation based on the accident history. It follows the worldwide common safety management approach and reflects the operation conditions and accident properties of the domestic railway system. The risk appearance frequency evaluation process contains a development of accident scenarios by defining the system configurations and functions, and a frequency estimation of hazardous events based on the accident history. The developed model is verified with the accident history during 5 years('03-'07) for 3 hazardous events: 'Being trapped in level crossing(Hl)', 'Crossing during warning signal(H2)' and 'Breaking through/detouring the barrier(H3)'. This risk appearance frequency evaluation model will be combined with a consequence evaluation model so as to offer full risk assessment for the railway accident. The accident risk assessment will contribute to improving the safety management of the railway system.

Credit Risk Evaluations of Online Retail Enterprises Using Support Vector Machines Ensemble: An Empirical Study from China

  • LI, Xin;XIA, Han
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.8
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2022
  • The e-commerce market faces significant credit risks due to the complexity of the industry and information asymmetries. Therefore, credit risk has started to stymie the growth of e-commerce. However, there is no reliable system for evaluating the creditworthiness of e-commerce companies. Therefore, this paper constructs a credit risk evaluation index system that comprehensively considers the online and offline behavior of online retail enterprises, including 15 indicators that reflect online credit risk and 15 indicators that reflect offline credit risk. This paper establishes an integration method based on a fuzzy integral support vector machine, which takes the factor analysis results of the credit risk evaluation index system of online retail enterprises as the input and the credit risk evaluation results of online retail enterprises as the output. The classification results of each sub-classifier and the importance of each sub-classifier decision to the final decision have been taken into account in this method. Select the sample data of 1500 online retail loan customers from a bank to test the model. The empirical results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms a single SVM and traditional SVMs aggregation technique via majority voting in terms of classification accuracy, which provides a basis for banks to establish a reliable evaluation system.

An optimal classification method for risk assessment of water inrush in karst tunnels based on grey system theory

  • Zhou, Z.Q.;Li, S.C.;Li, L.P.;Shi, S.S.;Xu, Z.H.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.631-647
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    • 2015
  • Engineers may encounter unpredictable cavities, sinkholes and karst conduits while tunneling in karst area, and water inrush disaster frequently occurs and endanger the construction safety, resulting in huge casualties and economic loss. Therefore, an optimal classification method based on grey system theory (GST) is established and applied to accurately predict the occurrence probability of water inrush. Considering the weights of evaluation indices, an improved formula is applied to calculate the grey relational grade. Two evaluation indices systems are proposed for risk assessment of water inrush in design stage and construction stage, respectively, and the evaluation indices are quantitatively graded according to four risk grades. To verify the accuracy and feasibility of optimal classification method, comparisons of the evaluation results derived from the aforementioned method and attribute synthetic evaluation system are made. Furthermore, evaluation of engineering practice is carried through with the Xiakou Tunnel as a case study, and the evaluation result is generally in good agreement with the field-observed result. This risk assessment methodology provides a powerful tool with which engineers can systematically evaluate the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels.

The Evaluation-based CBR Model for Security Risk Analysis (보안위험분석을 위한 평가기반 CBR모델)

  • Bang, Young-Hwan;Lee, Gang-Soo
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.34 no.7
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    • pp.282-287
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    • 2007
  • Information society is dramatically developing in the various areas of finance, trade, medical service, energy, and education using information system. Evaluation for risk analysis should be done before security management for information system and security risk analysis is the best method to safely prevent it from occurrence, solving weaknesses of information security service. In this paper, Modeling it did the evaluation-base CBD function it will be able to establish the evaluation plan of optimum. Evaluation-based CBD(case-based reasoning) functions manages a security risk analysis evaluation at project unit. it evaluate the evaluation instance for beginning of history degree of existing. It seeks the evaluation instance which is similar and Result security risk analysis evaluation of optimum about under using planning.

A Modification of the Approach to the Evaluation of Collision Risk Using Sech Function

  • Jeong, Tae-Gweon;Chao, Chen
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2006
  • Evaluation of collision risk plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This paper presents a new collision risk model formula that is one modification model on the basis of one approach to the evaluation of collision risk using sech function produced by Prof. Jeong in his relevant $articles^{[2][3][4][5]}$. And as a grope in collision risk evaluation field, this paper applied the new model in appraising the collision risk, suggested how to decide the safe range of own ship’'s action. Moreover this paper also analyzed theoretically how to determine the coefficients as describes in the new modification model formula, and suggested the appropriate values as applicable.

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Developing an Evaluation Tool of RFID-based Traceability Systems

  • Kim, Jin-Baek
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2008
  • Recently, traceability systems are introduced as a new food safety information system. To trace food products efficiently, they must have an automatic identification capability at the individual product level. This capability can be gained through RFID technology. But there is not yet any performance evaluation tool on RFID-based traceability systems (RFID-TS). This study developed an evaluation tool of RFID-TS. To develop the tool, this study considered the objective and the components of RFID-TS as their performance constructs. According to Churchill's paradigm, the tool was established through two stages. The final evaluation tool consisted of four constructs (risk, operational benefits, IS (information system), and network) and nine sub-constructs. Among the four constructs, risk and IS were found as the most important performance constructs through regression analysis. Among the nine sub-constructs, service (which belonged to the IS construct) and economic risk (which belonged to the risk construct) were found as the most important performance sub-constructs.

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