• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk degree

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An Improved Multilevel Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation to Analyse on Engineering Project Risk

  • LI, Xin;LI, Mufeng;HAN, Xia
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: To overcome the question that depends too much on expert's subjective judgment in traditional risk identification, this paper structure the multilevel generalized fuzzy comprehensive evaluation mathematics model of the risk identification of project, to research the risk identification of the project. Research design, data and methodology: This paper constructs the multilevel generalized fuzzy comprehensive evaluation mathematics model. Through iterative algorithm of AHP analysis, make sure the important degree of the sub project in risk analysis, then combine expert's subjective judgment with objective quantitative analysis, and distinguish the risk through identification models. Meanwhile, the concrete method of multilevel generalized fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is probed. Using the index weights to analyse project risks is discussed in detail. Results: The improved fuzzy comprehensive evaluation algorithm is proposed in the paper, at first the method of fuzzy sets core is used to optimize the fuzzy relation matrix. It improves the capability of the algorithm. Then, the method of entropy weight is used to establish weight vectors. This makes the computation process fair and open. And thereby, the uncertainty of the evaluation result brought by the subjectivity can be avoided effectively and the evaluation result becomes more objective and more reasonable. Conclusions: In this paper, we use an improved fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to evaluate a railroad engineering project risk. It can give a more reliable result for a reference of decision making.

A Study on the Risk Analysis of Building Fire Using Statistical Data of Casuals (사상자 통계자료를 활용한 건축물 화재 위험성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jin, Seung-hyeon;Kim, Hye-Won;Koo, In-Hyuk;Kwon, Young-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.11a
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    • pp.48-49
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of evaluating the fire risk of a building is to predict damage or loss of life and property in unspecified circumstances and to minimize expected damage. The fire risk assessment for buildings in Korea analyzes fire risk according to performance-oriented design under the Enforcement Decree of the Fire Facilities Act and the Fire Causing Index under the Enforcement Decree of the Multi-Use Business Act. Fire risk analysis is mainly conducted by using fire statistics or analyzing the results of safety inspections of buildings. In the case of fire statistics, it is necessary to analyze the fire risk in consideration of the degree of fire damage in each number of fires, as all fires received by the fire department are collected. In addition, it is necessary to devise fire safety measures for buildings by predicting the number of casualties that may occur due to fires in each building. Accordingly, this study aims to analyze the characteristics of casualties by building use using the number of fires judged to have grown.

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The Degree of Injury Risk Perception in Preschool Children (학령전기 아동의 사고위험 지각 정도)

  • Kim, Shin-Jeong;Kang, Kyung-Ah;Kim, Sung-Hee;Lee, Jung-Eun
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.68-75
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to measure (the degree of) injury risk perception in preschool children. Methods: The data were collected from child day care centers and kindergartens located in Seoul, and Gyeonggi and Kwangwon Province. A questionnaire consisted of 28 pictures was administered to 186 preschool children. Results: The mean score for the injury risk perception was 21.83 (${\pm}3.89$), and 77.98 converted into a 100-point scale. According to sub-categories, 'burn prevention' ($.96{\pm}.13$) was the highest, 'interpersonal safety' ($.44{\pm}.31$) was the lowest. There were significant differences in injury risk perception according to gender (t=-2.358, $p$=.019), age (t=-2.101, p=.037), experience of safety education (t=-3.719, $p$ <.001), area of residence (t=-3.445, $p$=.001), injury experience (t=3.212, $p$=.002), and mother's occupation (t=-4.858, $p$ <.001). The highest item in the percentage of correct answer item was 'making jump on the desk', the lowest item in the percentage of correct answer item was 'not wearing safety equipment when rollerblading'. Conclusion: Based on this study, studies should be continued to standardize the instrument. In addition, it is recommended that an injury prevention education program should be developed based on the results of this study to stimulate demand and interest.

Effects of Music Therapy and Phone Counseling on Postpartum Depression and Maternal Identity in High Risk Women (음악요법과 전화상담이 고위험 산모의 산후우울과 모성정체성에 미치는 효과)

  • Kim, Hae Won;Kim, Sun Ok;Kim, Hye Gyung;Jeon, Hyang Ran
    • Perspectives in Nursing Science
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: This study examine the effects of music therapy and phone counseling on postpartum depression and maternal identity in high risk women. Methods: A nonequivalent control group time series research design was employed. Eighteen women comprised the experimental group and seventeen women, the control group. Experimental group received 4 weeks of music therapy and phone counseling. Postpartum depression and maternal identity were measured prior to intervention and on the 1st, 2nd, and 4th weeks after its introduction. Results: The first hypothesis (i.e., "the degree of postpartum depression would be lower in the experimental group than in the control group in a month's time") was not supported (z=-0.47, p=.641). The second hypothesis (i.e., "the degree of maternal identity would be lower in the experimental group than in the control group in a month") was not supported as well (z=1.08, p=.285). Conclusion: There is the need to monitor long-term effects of music therapy and phone counseling on high risk postpartum women, beyond 4 weeks observed in this study. Additionally, the development of music therapy tailored to high risk individuals and systematic phone counseling protocols for postpartum depression is required.

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Feasibility of Cultured Allogenic Keratinocyte Treatment for Third Degree Burns (3도 화상에 대한 동종 상피세포 치료제의 효과 보고)

  • Choi, Jangyoun;Cho, Jin Tae;Choi, Jong Yun;Seo, Bommie Florence;Jung, Sung-No
    • Journal of the Korean Burn Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.45-48
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    • 2019
  • Allogenic keratinocyte application is widely used for treatment of second degree burns. However, there is no significant body of report on application of allogenic keratinocyte to third degree burns. A geriatric patient visited our burn center showing second to third-degree burn on dorsum of her left hand. Considering the surface area and wound depth, surgery was indicated but her medical condition and age made the surgery high risk for a long operation. Therefore, chemical escharolysis, serial bedside debridement, and cultured allogenic keratinocyte (Kaloderm®, Tegoscience, Seoul, Korea) application was done. The wound was completely epithelialized after four rounds of Kaloderm® application. For third-degree burns where definitive surgical reconstruction is precluded due to medical comorbidity of the patient, we investigated the possibility of allogenic keratinocyte treatment which may allow to avoid high-risk anesthesia and surgery.

Correlations among Attitude toward Pressure Ulcer Prevention, Knowledge and Non-compliance Risk for Pressure Ulcer Prevention Practice and Degree of Nursing Performance (간호사들의 욕창예방에 대한 태도, 욕창예방실무지식, 욕창예방실무 미준수 위험, 수행도 간의 상관성)

  • Kang, Myung Ja;Kim, Myoung Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.408-419
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    • 2018
  • This study was conducted to describe the attitude toward pressure ulcer prevention, knowledge and non-compliance risk for pressure ulcer prevention practice and degrees of nursing performance, as well as to examine the relationship among these variables. To accomplish this, we invited 397 nurses from four hospitals to complete surveys of attitude toward pressure ulcer prevention, knowledge and certainty for pressure ulcer prevention practice, and degrees of nursing performance. Non-compliance risk for pressure ulcer prevention practice was derived from the difference between knowledge and certainty for pressure ulcer prevention. The data were collected from March to June 2017 and analyzed by descriptive statistics, independent t-tests, ANOVA, and partial Pearson's correlation coefficient testing. The correct answer rate regarding the knowledge of pressure ulcer prevention practice was 79%, and the degree of pressure ulcer prevention nursing performance was $2.46{\pm}0.31$. The highest item of the non-compliance risk for pressure ulcer prevention practice was incontinence diapers prevent incontinence-associated dermatitis. There were significant negative correlations between non-compliance risk for pressure ulcer prevention practice and knowledge (r=-0.25, p<0.001), and degree of pressure ulcer prevention nursing performance (r=-0.13, p=0.009). Continuous education and furnishing practical guidelines for pressure ulcer prevention should be implemented to improve knowledge and certainty of pressure ulcer prevention practice.

A study on the extraction of risk factor and its application for senile dementia patient at home based on accidental cases (사고사례를 통한 재가치매환자의 위험요소 추출 및 그 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hang-Woon;Eom, Jin-Sup;Choi, Mi-Hyun;Lee, Soo-Jeong;Choi, Jin-Seung;Moon, Seok-Woo;Tack, Gye-Rae;Chung, Soon-Cheol
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was, first, to extract the risk factor by investigating several cases of accident of senile dementia patient at home, and second, based on these results to provide basic information for the determination of monitoring factor for the care of senile dementia patient. Basic and behavioral characteristics, Short form of Samsung Dementia Questionnaire (S-SDQ), Activities of Daily Living (ADL), and cases of accident were investigated with 55 senile dementia patient at home (16 male, 39 female). Based on these questionnaires, risk factors were extracted and frequency, cooccurrence frequency, and occurring place of risk factors, presence or not, region, and degree of injury were investigated. Frequency between risk factors and behavioral characteristics, ADL, and S-SDQ was analyzed by crosstabulation frequency analysis. Results showed that 12 risk factors were extracted, and the frequency of 'going out' was the highest, and risk factors for injury were 'tumble', 'bump', 'slip', and 'fall'. Cooccurrence frequency analysis showed that the occurrence of 'fall', 'going out', 'fire of gas', and 'violence' with other factors was relatively higher than others. The occurring place of risk factor was the highest in home neighborhood, and the region of injury in knee, and the degree of injury with bruise. Crosstabulation frequency analysis showed that factors which had difference in frequency of risk factor were behavioral disorder, disorder of daily living and ADL. Factor which had difference in frequency due to the degree of behavioral disorder and disorder of daily living was 'going out', and factors which had difference in frequency due to the degree of ADL were 'slip' and 'fire of gas'.

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Comparative analysis of inundation flow patterns and flood risk assessment methods within subway stations (지하철 역사 내 침수 흐름 분석 및 침수 위험도 평가 방법 비교)

  • Shin, Jaehyun;Kim, Minjeong;Cho, Inhwan;Park, Inhwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.10
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    • pp.667-678
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    • 2023
  • In this study, quasi-3D inundation flow simulations were conducted for a simplified subway station configuration. The effects of variations in rainwater inflow locations and discharge were investigated, analyzing the resulting inundation flow patterns and flood risk. The inundation simulation results calculated the incipient velocities for slipping and toppling accidents to assess pedestrian safety. The results indicated that velocities exceeding the incipient velocity for slipping accidents mainly occurred on the flooded staircase. Meanwhile, velocities surpassing the incipient toppling accidents were observed around the staircase and the corridor near the staircase leading to B2F. This observation is consistent with the results from the specific force distribution analysis. To provide detailed flood risk assessments, the Flood Hazard Degree (FD) was applied with four levels of criteria, along with the Flood Intensity Factor (FIF). The results demonstrated that FD identified a broader area at risk of flood-induced consequences compared to FIF. When comparing the different inundation risk assessment methods, the specific force method tended to overestimate the risk area, whereas FIF tended to underestimate it. Furthermore, among all assessment methods, the influence of rainwater discharge was found to have a more dominant effect on flood risk assessment compared to the number of rainwater inflow locations. Additionally, the direction of inundation flow influenced the assessed risk, with collision-induced flow patterns leading to higher flood risk than those with identical flow directions.

Risk Assessment for Reducing Safety Accidents caused by Construction Machinery (건설장비 안전사고 저감을 위한 위험성평가)

  • Jeon, Hyun Woo;Jung, In Su;Lee, Chan Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.64-72
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    • 2013
  • Construction machinery has been utilized to carry out construction works effectively. Using construction machinery enables a builder to reduce the time and the cost needed for the construction, but the fatal accident caused by it has been increased. This study is intended to identify risk magnitude of accident by kind of construction machinery through interviews with experts. Construction machineries surveyed in this research are excavator, tower crane, lift, mobile crane and forklift, those are the machinery which accident occurs more often than the other machinery. To evaluate the risk of the accidents identified, risk category was determined according to the US DOD system safety program (MIL-STD-882B) considering the risk degree and intensity. As a result, accident occurred in the process of material transport & handling was found to be the most dangerous. On the other hand, the accidents caused by the defective machinery and the poor safety gear were considered to be less dangerous relatively. The risk category by type of construction machinery suggested in this study is expected to provide the basic data in developing the safety guidance for construction project.

Risk Assessment for Hazardous Construction Work Recognized by Workers (건설위험직종 작업자의 위험체감도 평가)

  • Son, Ki-Sang;Lee, Shin-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.21 no.3 s.75
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2006
  • This study is to investigate the related materials such as domestic law regulation, research paper, research report, and the other material, and to suggest suitable counter measures, to find out hazard degree for its works of workers and work place through direct survey, in order to determine risk score of each hazardous work which is designated by the Government, without consideration of labour's consciousness against risk level at a site. Therefore, a new questionnaire survey related to the decision of risk level are made and distributed to find out what risk level each worker recognizes. Also, the authors tried to approach reasonable conclusions after discussing reasonability of qualification standard and improving ideas of worker at hazardous work places with worker, faculty member, H&S manager, labour union. And the results show hazard degrees by each work kind of the above: 3.75 for working with machinery, 3.7 for steel structure, 3.5 for operation of tower crane, 3.51 for retaining wall, 3.85 for form work, 3.46 for scaffolding are obtained. This quantified risk can be applied to establishing a reasonable system to keep safe against hazardous works.