• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Propagation

검색결과 103건 처리시간 0.027초

흐름 경사면의 경사도에 따른 토석류 흐름의 특성 분석 (Analysis of Characteristic of Debris Flow with Angle of Slope)

  • 이준선;송창근;이승오
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2016
  • In Korea, there exist many mountains, and sudden storms occur during the summer season. When severe rainstorm events occur in steep slope topography, risk of debris flow is increased. Once debris flow occurs in urban area, it may cause casualties and physical damages due to rapid debris flow velocity along a steep slope. Accordingly, preventing method of sediment-related disaster for demage mitigation are essential. Recently, various studies on debris flow have been conducted. However, the prediction of the physical propagation of debris flow along the steep slope was not thoroughly investigated. Debris flow is characterized by various factors such as topography, properties of debris flow, amount of debris flow. In the study the numerical simulation was focused on the topographic factor. Fundamental analysis of the risk area was implemented with emphasis on the propagation length, thickness, and the development of maximum velocity. The proposed results and the methodology of estimating the structural vulnerability would be helpful in predicting the behavior and the risk assessment of debris flow in urban area. These results will be able to estimate the vulnerability of urban areas affected the most damage by debris flow.

산불연료의 연소특성을 활용한 산불위험지도 작성에 관한 연구 : 강원도 삼척 시를 중심으로 (A Study on Mapping Forest Fire Risk Using Combustion Characteristic of Forest Fuels : Focusing on Samcheok in Gangwon-do)

  • Lee, Haepyeong;Park, Youngju
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.296-304
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 산불발생 시 화염행동을 예측하기 위하여 강원도 삼척시를 대상으로 산림가연물의 연소특성 DB를 구축하고, 연소특성 DB로부터 GIS를 이용하여 산불위험지도 및 위험도등급화 지도를 작성하였다. 맵핑을 위한 표준화 대상변수로는 자연발화온도, 착화시간, 화염지속시간, 총열방출량, 총연기방출량을 사용하였다. 또한, 총괄위험도 등급화는 착화위험변수(자연발화온도, 착화시간)와 확산위험변수(총열방출량, 화염지속기간, 총연기방출량)를 이용하였다. 연구결과, 강원도 삼척시의 산불위험도등급은 1~5등급(5단계)으로 등급화하였으며, 1등급에 가까울수록 산불위험성이 높은 구역으로 구분하였다. 삼척시의 착화위험등급은 1등급과 5등급으로 구분되어 2단계로 나타났다. 또한, 확산위험등급은 1등급, 2등급, 4등급, 5등급으로 구분되어 4단계로 나타났다. 총괄위험등급은 1등급, 2등급, 3등급으로 구분되어 3단계로 나타났으며, 산불위험등급이 가장 높은 1등급의 구역은 산불발생위험등급과 산불확산위험등급의 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 1등급에 해당하는 구역은 삼척시의 우발리와 미로면 지역으로 나타났다. 이 지역은 산불발생 시 발열량이 높게 나타나는 소나무와 참나무 군락지로 산불발생 시 화재하중이 크게 작용하여 산불확산이 빠르게 진행될 것으로 사료된다.

Investigation on damage assessment of fiber-reinforced prestressed concrete containment under temperature and subsequent internal pressure

  • Zhi Zheng;Yong Wang;Shuai Huang;Xiaolan Pan;Chunyang Su;Ye Sun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권6호
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    • pp.2053-2068
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    • 2023
  • Following a loss of coolant accident (LOCA), prestressing concrete containment vessels (PCCVs) may experience high thermal load as well as internal pressure. The high temperature stress would increase the risk of premature damage to the containment, which reduces the safety margin during the increasing internal pressure. However, current investigations cannot clearly address the issues of thermal-pressure coupling effect on damage propagation and thus safety of the containment. Thus, this paper offers three simple and powerful damage parameters to differentiate the severity of damage of the containment. Moreover, despite of the temperature action severely threatening the pressure performance of the containment, the research regarding the improvement of the resistant performance of the containment is quite scarce. Therefore, in this paper, a comprehensive comparison of damage propagation and mechanism between conventional and fiber-reinforced concrete (FRC) containments is performed. The effects of fiber characteristics parameters on damage propagation of structures following the LOCA are also specifically revealed. It is found that the proposed damage indices can properly indicate state of damage in the containment body and the addition of fiber can be used to obviously mitigate the damage propagation in PCCV considering the thermal-pressure coupling.

Prediction of Cavitation Intensity in Pumps Based on Propagation Analysis of Bubble Collapse Pressure Using Multi-Point Vibration Acceleration Method

  • Fukaya, Masashi;Ono, Shigeyoshi;Udo, Ryujiro
    • International Journal of Fluid Machinery and Systems
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.165-171
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    • 2009
  • We developed a 'multi-point vibration acceleration method' for accurately predicting the cavitation intensity in pumps. Pressure wave generated by cavitation bubble collapse propagates and causes pump vibration. We measured vibration accelerations at several points on a casing, suction and discharge pipes of centrifugal and mixed-flow pumps. The measured vibration accelerations scattered because the pressure wave damped differently between the bubble collapse location and each sensor. In a conventional method, experimental constants are proposed without evaluating pressure propagation paths, then, the scattered vibration accelerations cause the inaccurate cavitation intensity. In our method, we formulated damping rate, transmittance of the pressure wave, and energy conversion from the pressure wave to the vibration along assumed pressure propagation paths. In the formulation, we theoretically defined a 'pressure propagation coefficient,' which is a correlation coefficient between the vibration acceleration and the bubble collapse pressure. With the pressure propagation coefficient, we can predict the cavitation intensity without experimental constants as proposed in a conventional method. The prediction accuracy of cavitation intensity is improved based on a statistical analysis of the multi-point vibration accelerations. The predicted cavitation intensity was verified with the plastic deformation rate of an aluminum sheet in the cavitation erosion area of the impeller blade. The cavitation intensities were proportional to the measured plastic deformation rates for three kinds of pumps. This suggests that our method is effective for estimating the cavitation intensity in pumps. We can make a cavitation intensity map by conducting this method and varying the flow rate and the net positive suction head (NPSH). The map is useful for avoiding the operating conditions having high risk of cavitation erosion.

고층아파트 화재시 발코니 확장에 따른 화재 위험성에 관한 실험 연구 (An Experimental Study of Fire Risk Characteristic by Extended Balcony of High-Rise Apartments in Fire)

  • 김우석;김화중;이광원;이지희
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2012
  • Changes in the styles of communities are leading of increases in the number of high-rise apartments and commercial-apartment structures. Tall high-rise structures, while presenting unique economies of scale and cost effectiveness, tend to be highly engineered and complex structures. In the event of a fire, this complexity in design also results in a complexity in the behavior of fire propagation and control. High-rise structures are among the most potentially dangerous due to the high population density in the building, and the inherent limitations on evacuation and on fire control services. One of the most critical points of fire propagation is the movement of fire through the outer wall structures. Controlling such propagation is essential in controlling the spread of the fire throughout the building itself, as well as controlling the potential for its spread to adjacent buildings. In this study, we will be examining the potential for fire control design and effects mitigation using a 1/4.5 scale model. The primary focus of the study will be the effects of extended balconies into the structure of high-rise apartments. The authors will also consider the effectiveness of reduced-scale model tests.

저 빈도 대형 사고의 예측기법에 관한 연구 (Forecasting low-probability high-risk accidents)

  • 양희중
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2007
  • We use influence diagrams to describe event trees used in safety analyses of low-probability high-risk incidents. This paper shows how the branch parameters used in the event tree models can be updated by a bayesian method based on the observed counts of certain well-defined subsets of accident sequences. We focus on the analysis of the shared branch parameters, which may frequently often in the real accident initiation and propagation to more severe accident. We also suggest the way to utilize different levels of accident data to forecast low-probability high-risk accidents.

IoT 인프라 공격 확산 방지 기술 성능 검증을 위한 악성코드 고속 확산 기법 연구 (A Study on the High-Speed Malware Propagation Method for Verification of Threat Propagation Prevent Technology in IoT Infrastructure)

  • 황송이;김정녀
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.617-635
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    • 2021
  • 네트워크에 연결된 사물인터넷(Internet of Things, IoT) 기기는 보안 솔루션이 적용되지 않아 ICT(Information & Communications Technology) 인프라의 심각한 보안 위협으로 전락했다. 더군다나 IoT 기기의 특성상 자원제약이 많아 기존의 보안 솔루션을 적용하기 어렵다. 그 결과 사물인터넷 기기는 사이버 공격자의 공격 대상이 됐으며, 실제로도 사물인터넷 기기를 대상으로 한 악성코드 공격이 해마다 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 이에 IoT 인프라를 보호하기 위해 여러 보안 솔루션이 개발되고 있지만, 기능이 검증되지 않은 보안 솔루션을 실제 환경에 적용하기엔 큰 위험이 따른다. 따라서 보안 솔루션의 기능과 성능을 검증할 검증 도구도 필요하다. 보안 솔루션이 다양한 보안 위협에 대응하는 방법도 다양하므로, 각 보안 솔루션의 특징을 기반으로 한 최적의 검증 도구가 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 IoT 인프라에 빠른 속도로 악성코드를 전파하는 악성코드 고속 확산 도구를 제안한다. 또한, IoT 인프라에서 확산하는 공격을 빠르게 탐지하고 차단하는 보안 솔루션의 기능과 성능을 검증하기 위해 개발된 악성코드 고속 확산 도구를 이용한다.

Computer modelling of fire consequences on road critical infrastructure - tunnels

  • Pribyl, Pavel;Pribyl, Ondrej;Michek, Jan
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.363-377
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    • 2018
  • The proper functioning of critical points on transport infrastructure is decisive for the entire network. Tunnels and bridges certainly belong to the critical points of the surface transport network, both road and rail. Risk management should be a holistic and dynamic process throughout the entire life cycle. However, the level of risk is usually determined only during the design stage mainly due to the fact that it is a time-consuming and costly process. This paper presents a simplified quantitative risk analysis method that can be used any time during the decades of a tunnel's lifetime and can estimate the changing risks on a continuous basis and thus uncover hidden safety threats. The presented method is a decision support system for tunnel managers designed to preserve or even increase tunnel safety. The CAPITA method is a deterministic scenario-oriented risk analysis approach for assessment of mortality risks in road tunnels in case of the most dangerous situation - a fire. It is implemented through an advanced risk analysis CAPITA SW. Both, the method as well as the resulting software were developed by the authors' team. Unlike existing analyzes requiring specialized microsimulation tools for traffic flow, smoke propagation and evacuation modeling, the CAPITA contains comprehensive database with the results of thousands of simulations performed in advance for various combinations of variables. This approach significantly simplifies the overall complexity and thus enhances the usability of the resulting risk analysis. Additionally, it provides the decision makers with holistic view by providing not only on the expected risk but also on the risk's sensitivity to different variables. This allows the tunnel manager or another decision maker to estimate the primary change of risk whenever traffic conditions in the tunnel change and to see the dependencies to particular input variables.

A flammability limit model for hydrogen-air-diluent mixtures based on heat transfer characteristics in flame propagation

  • Jeon, Joongoo;Choi, Wonjun;Kim, Sung Joong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제51권7호
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    • pp.1749-1757
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    • 2019
  • Predicting lower flammability limits (LFL) of hydrogen has become an ever-important task for safety of nuclear industry. While numerous experimental studies have been conducted, LFL results applicable for the harsh environment are still lack of information. Our aim is to develop a calculated non-adiabatic flame temperature (CNAFT) model to better predict LFL of hydrogen mixtures in nuclear power plant. The developed model is unique for incorporating radiative heat loss during flame propagation using the CNAFT coefficient derived through previous studies of flame propagation. Our new model is more consistent with the experimental results for various mixtures compared to the previous model, which relied on calculated adiabatic flame temperature (CAFT) to predict the LFL without any consideration of heat loss. Limitation of the previous model could be explained clearly based on the CNAFT coefficient magnitude. The prediction accuracy for hydrogen mixtures at elevated initial temperatures and high helium content was improved substantially. The model reliability was confirmed for $H_2-air$ mixtures up to $300^{\circ}C$ and $H_2-air-He$ mixtures up to 50 vol % helium concentration. Therefore, the CNAFT model developed based on radiation heat loss is expected as the practical method for predicting LFL in hydrogen risk analysis.