• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Price

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Risk Factors Affecting Equipment Management in Construction Firms

  • PHAM, Cuong Phu;NGUYEN, Phong Thanh;PHAN, Phuong Thanh;NGUYEN, Quyen Le Hoang Thuy To;LE, Loan Phuc;DUONG, My Tien Ha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2020
  • Mechanization and automation constitute an essential stage in the production and operation of any company, as one of the determinants of increase in labor productivity and decrease in product price, while significantly contributing to shortening of the lead time. Businesses are, therefore, able to quickly put projects into operation, improving economic efficiency, quality, and aesthetics, which speeds up the national economic growth. For the construction industry to be the most effective, modern construction equipment is a necessity. It is one of the five main resources of a construction project. Thus, effective construction equipment management contributes to the success of a project and benefits the relevant construction companies economically. This paper presents the critical risk factors affecting equipment management and proposes suitable solutions. The questionnaire-based survey with experienced experts in the construction sector on the management of the likelihood and consequence of risk factors revealed thirty-two risks for equipment management in construction companies. These factors fell into six groups: (i) site organization-related risks; (ii) management-related risks; (iii) owner-related risks; (iv) supplier-related risks; (v) legal risks, and (vi) site condition-related and external risks. The results showed that management-related factors contributed to the most significant risks and problems for equipment management in construction companies.

Strategy of Critical Materials Management in the World (세계(世界) Critical materials 관리(管理)를 위한 전략(戰略))

  • Kim, Yu Jeong
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2013
  • It is necessary to manage risk of metals which are has rigid supply structures and expected demand expansion, considering to industry structure and resource securing capacity of each country. Countries conducted various criticality analyses and selected mainly rare metals as critical materials(or Critical metals or Critical raw materials). This study examined cases of metals risk evaluation and management which are based on technology changes and imbalance supply-demand. EU and U.S.A evaluated risk on metals needed as supply expansion of renewable energy. Japan forecasted demand of rare metals needed in Japan's growth engine industry. U.K analyzed criticality of metals, considering environmental burden occurred from mining to refining. Critical materials has features such as weak price signal, inelastic supply structure, demand volatility in technology change.

Analysis of Key Factors in Corporate Adoption of Generative Artificial Intelligence Based on the UTAUT2 Model

  • Yongfeng Hu;Haojie Jiang;Chi Gong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.53-71
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    • 2024
  • Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become the focus of societal attention due to its wide range of applications and profound impact. This paper constructs a comprehensive theoretical model based on the Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology 2 (UTAUT2), integrating variables such as Personal Innovativeness and Perceived Risk to study the key factors influencing enterprises' adoption of Generative AI. We employed Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) to verify the hypothesized paths and used the Bootstrapping method to test the mediating effect of Behavioral Intention. Additionally, we explored the moderating effect of Perceived Risk through Hierarchical Regression Analysis. The results indicate that Performance Expectancy, Effort Expectancy, Social Influence, Price Value, and Personal Innovativeness have significant positive impacts on Behavioral Intention. Behavioral Intention plays a significant mediating role between these factors and Use Behavior, while Perceived Risk negatively moderates the relationship between Behavioral Intention and Use Behavior. This study provides theoretical and empirical support for how enterprises can effectively adopt Generative AI, offering important practical implications.

Effects of Service Quality and Privacy Risk on Customer Satisfaction and Continuous Use Intention in Convenience Store Parcel Delivery Service: Moderating Role of Contactless Tendency

  • Na-Eun Jung;Hyung-Seok Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.29 no.9
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    • pp.255-268
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of service quality and privacy risk on customer satisfaction and continuous use intention for convenience store parcel delivery service, and verify the moderating effect of contactless tendency. This study employed PLS-path modeling to test the research hypotheses. The results of the study were as follows: 1) service quality factors of convenience store parcel delivery (i.e., service price, reliability, and convenience) had significant effects on customer satisfaction. However, responsiveness had no significant effect on customer satisfaction; 2) privacy risk had a significant effect on both customer satisfaction and continuous use intention; 3) customer satisfaction had a significant effect on continuous use intention; and 4) contactless tendency moderated the relationship between responsiveness and satisfaction. The findings of the study are expected to provide valuable insights for future research and the development of practical service strategies.

Valuation of highway O&M contract using real option (실물옵션을 활용한 고속 도로 유지관리 계약의 가치산정)

  • Park, Taeil;Shin, Eun-Young;Lee, Yoo-Sub
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.5964-5970
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    • 2013
  • The recent budget planning for highway infrastructure implied that the investments for Operation & Maintenance(O&M) became greater than that for new construction. This circumstance made many stakeholders pay attention to the O&M of road infrastructure and adopt other countries' policies and system for effective management. In other countries, most O&M for road infrastructure have been done by private entities using long-term contract and Korea is about to shift from one year contract to long-term contract. The most important parts for the expansion of the long-term O&M contract for road infrastructure are valuation of the O&M contract based on accurate prediction of O&M costs and instrument for proper risk sharing between contracting parties. Thus, this study provides a methodology to estimate a reasonable O&M contract price and a framework to share contract risk between contracting parties using real option. The analysis results showed that the contract price and ceiling and floor conditions for the 20 year-contract of 20 km-highway project were 45.7, 60 and 42.3 billion won, respectively.

Development of the Housing Business Model to Minimize the Fluctuation Risk of the Housing Market (주택시장 변동리스크를 최소화하기 위한 주택사업모델 개발)

  • Lee, Younghoon;Lee, Sanghyo;Kim, Jaejun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.635-646
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a housing business model, where the presale and Chonsei housing are supplied under a presale system at the same time based on the characteristic correlation between the housing presale market and Chonsei market in Korea. Markowitz portfolio theory was used to review the risk diversification effects from the changes in the ratio between the presale housing supply and the Chonsei housing supply. The housing sale price indicator was used as a proxy variable to determine the presale housing supply. The housing Chonsei price indicator was used as a proxy variable to determine the Chonsei housing supply. The proposed housing business model was applied to major areas in Korea to examine the risk diversification effect. Comparisons of the regional portfolio analyses showed that the flexibility of the proposed housing business model can be quite effective because each regional housing market exhibits different characteristics. Market participants, such as developers, construction companies, consumers, and government, can expect various effects through the proposed housing business model. Nevertheless, policy support is necessary for practical applications of the proposed housing business model. In particular, public funds from the government need to be introduced.

A Study on the Effects of Meterological Factors on the Distribution of Agricultural Products: Focused on the Distribution of Chinese Cabbages (기상요인이 농산물 유통에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 배추 유통 사례를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hyunjoung;Hong, Jinhwan
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.59-83
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    • 2012
  • Agriculture is a primary industry that influenced by the weather or meterological factors more than other industry. Global warming and worldwide climate changes, and unusual weather phenomena are fatal in agricultural industry and human life. Therefore, many previous studies have been made to find the relationship between weather and the productivity of agriculture. Meterological factors also influence on the distribution of agricultural product. For example, price of agricultural product is determined in the market, and also influenced by the weather of the market. However, there is only a few study was made to find this link. The objective of this study is to investigate the effects of meterological factors on the distribution of agricultural products, focusing on the distribution of chinese cabbages. Chinese cabbage is a main ingredient of Kimchi, and basic essential vegetable in Korean dinner table. However, the production of chinese cabbages is influenced by weather and very fluctuating so that the variation of its price is so unstable. Therefore, both consumers and farmers do not feel comfortable at the unstable price of chinese cabbages. In this study, we analyze the real transaction data of chinese cabbage in wholesale markets and meterological factors depending on the variety and geography. We collect and analyze data of meterological factors such as temperatures, humidity, cloudiness, rainfall, snowfall, wind speed, insolation, sunshine duration in producing and consuming region of chinese cabbages. The result of this study shows that the meterological factors such as temperature and humidity significantly influence on the volume and price of chinese cabbage transaction in wholesale market. Especially, the weather of consuming region has greater correlation effects on transaction than that of producing region in all types of chinese cabbages. Among the whole agricultural lifecycle of chinese cabbages, 'seeding - harvest - shipment - wholesale', meterological factors such as temperature and rainfall in shipment and wholesale period are significantly correlated with transaction volume and price of crops. Based on the result of correlation analysis, we make a regression analysis to verify the meterological factors' effects on the volume and price of chines cabbage transaction in wholesale market. The results of stepwise regression analysis are shown in

    and
    . The type of chinese cabbages are categorized by 5 types, i.e. alpine, gimjang for winter, spring, summer, and winter crop, and all of the regression models are shown significant relationship. In addition, meterological factors in shipment and wholesale period are entered more in regression model than those in seeding and harvest period. This result implies that weather in consuming region is also important in the distribution of chinese cabbages. Based on the result of this study, we find several implications and recommendations for policy makers of agricultural product distribution. The goal of agricultural product distribution policy is to insure proper price and production cost for farmers and provide proper price and quality, and stable supply for consumers. Therefore, coping with the uncertainty of weather is very essential to make a fruitful effect of the policy. In reality, very big part of consumer price of chinese cabbage is made up of the margin of intermediaries, because they take the risk. In addition, policy makers make efforts for farmers to utilize AWIS (Agricultural Weather Information System). In order to do that, it should integrate the relevant information including distribution and marketing as well as production. Offering a consulting service to farmers about weather management is also expected to be a good option in agriculture and weather industry. Reflecting on the result of this study, the distribution authorities can offer the guideline for the timing and volume of harvest, and it is expected to contribute to the stable equilibrium of supply and demand of agricultural products.

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  • Analysis of Trading Performance on Intelligent Trading System for Directional Trading (방향성매매를 위한 지능형 매매시스템의 투자성과분석)

    • Choi, Heung-Sik;Kim, Sun-Woong;Park, Sung-Cheol
      • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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      • v.17 no.3
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      • pp.187-201
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      • 2011
    • KOSPI200 index is the Korean stock price index consisting of actively traded 200 stocks in the Korean stock market. Its base value of 100 was set on January 3, 1990. The Korea Exchange (KRX) developed derivatives markets on the KOSPI200 index. KOSPI200 index futures market, introduced in 1996, has become one of the most actively traded indexes markets in the world. Traders can make profit by entering a long position on the KOSPI200 index futures contract if the KOSPI200 index will rise in the future. Likewise, they can make profit by entering a short position if the KOSPI200 index will decline in the future. Basically, KOSPI200 index futures trading is a short-term zero-sum game and therefore most futures traders are using technical indicators. Advanced traders make stable profits by using system trading technique, also known as algorithm trading. Algorithm trading uses computer programs for receiving real-time stock market data, analyzing stock price movements with various technical indicators and automatically entering trading orders such as timing, price or quantity of the order without any human intervention. Recent studies have shown the usefulness of artificial intelligent systems in forecasting stock prices or investment risk. KOSPI200 index data is numerical time-series data which is a sequence of data points measured at successive uniform time intervals such as minute, day, week or month. KOSPI200 index futures traders use technical analysis to find out some patterns on the time-series chart. Although there are many technical indicators, their results indicate the market states among bull, bear and flat. Most strategies based on technical analysis are divided into trend following strategy and non-trend following strategy. Both strategies decide the market states based on the patterns of the KOSPI200 index time-series data. This goes well with Markov model (MM). Everybody knows that the next price is upper or lower than the last price or similar to the last price, and knows that the next price is influenced by the last price. However, nobody knows the exact status of the next price whether it goes up or down or flat. So, hidden Markov model (HMM) is better fitted than MM. HMM is divided into discrete HMM (DHMM) and continuous HMM (CHMM). The only difference between DHMM and CHMM is in their representation of state probabilities. DHMM uses discrete probability density function and CHMM uses continuous probability density function such as Gaussian Mixture Model. KOSPI200 index values are real number and these follow a continuous probability density function, so CHMM is proper than DHMM for the KOSPI200 index. In this paper, we present an artificial intelligent trading system based on CHMM for the KOSPI200 index futures system traders. Traders have experienced on technical trading for the KOSPI200 index futures market ever since the introduction of the KOSPI200 index futures market. They have applied many strategies to make profit in trading the KOSPI200 index futures. Some strategies are based on technical indicators such as moving averages or stochastics, and others are based on candlestick patterns such as three outside up, three outside down, harami or doji star. We show a trading system of moving average cross strategy based on CHMM, and we compare it to a traditional algorithmic trading system. We set the parameter values of moving averages at common values used by market practitioners. Empirical results are presented to compare the simulation performance with the traditional algorithmic trading system using long-term daily KOSPI200 index data of more than 20 years. Our suggested trading system shows higher trading performance than naive system trading.

    The Effect of Exogenous Risks Upon the Choice of Real Options in ERP Projects in Korea: An Empirical Approach (ERP 프로젝트의 외생위험이 실물옵션 선택에 미치는 영향에 대한 실증 연구: 국내 ERP 프로젝트를 중심으로)

    • Nam, Seunghyeon;Kim, Taeha;Yang, Heedong
      • The Journal of Information Systems
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      • v.22 no.3
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      • pp.43-58
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      • 2013
    • This work investigates factors that may affect the choice of real options by ERP project managers. Financial theory suggest that these factors include risk-free interest rate, time to maturity, volatility of net present value, and options exercise price. Other than these factors, we are interested in the exogenous risks related to external uncertainties about technological cost, user learning and consulting, and so forth and we argue these risks should have a significant impact upon the volatility of net present value. To validate these factors empirically, we collected survey questionnaires from ERP project managers in Korea. We find that perceived exogenous risks with regard to ERP projects influence volatility and additionally find that ERP project managers prefer contract options of the project when the volatility of the project is expected to be high. We expect that this work will not only validate theoretical propositions but help project managers consider ERP options strategically based on these factors.

    A Study on the Stability about the KIKO as Financial Instruments for Hedging (Laying stress on the precedent of Korean supreme court) (KIKO에 대한 환(換)헤지상품(商品)으로서 적정성(適正性)에 관한 연구(硏究))

    • Shin, Han-Dong
      • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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      • v.55
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      • pp.185-208
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      • 2012
    • Before and after the Capital Market Integration Act in 2007 is implemented in South Korea, many of small-and mid sized exporting companies in South Korea has been bankrupted or filed for lawsuit claiming mis-selling(KIKO) by the banks. The basic economic structure of KIKO in Korea are part of a business model based on the use or misuse of exotic derivatives whose results are anything but imaginary. 571 mid sized exporting companies have been damaged about $28 billion. KIKO is a currency option product that sells foreign currencies at higher foreign exchange rate when the rate moves within a certain range, but sells foreign currencies at two or three times lower rate than the market price when the rate exceeds the designated upper limit. KIKO, Therefore, is hard to know whether the non financial firms intended to hedge against further strengthening of their currency or merely to speculate. It is also hard to know how thoroughly they understood the risk-return profile of these transactions. It is similarly hard to ascertain whether the derivatives dealers offering these transactions were meeting the demands of their clients or taking advantage of them. These exotic derivatives were inappropriate for either hedging or speculating, and no knowledgeable investor would be likely to enter into these contracts intentionally.

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