• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Level Assessment

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Predictive Validity of the STRATIFY for Fall Screening Assessment in Acute Hospital Setting: A meta-analysis (입원 환자에서 STRATIFY의 예측 타당도 메타분석)

  • Park, Seong-Hi;Choi, Yun-Kyoung;Hwang, Jeong-Hae
    • Korean Journal of Adult Nursing
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.559-571
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study is to determine the predictive validity of the St. Thomas Risk Assessment Tool in Falling Elderly Inpatients (STRATIFY) for inpatients' fall risk. Methods: A literature search was performed to identify all studies published between 1946 and 2014 from periodicals indexed in Ovid Medline, Embase, CINAHL, KoreaMed, NDSL and other databases, using the following key words; 'fall', 'fall risk assessment', 'fall screening', 'mobility scale', and 'risk assessment tool'. The QUADAS-II was applied to assess the internal validity of the diagnostic studies. Fourteen studies were analyzed using meta-analysis with MetaDisc 1.4. Results: The predictive validity of STRATIFY was as follows; pooled sensitivity .75 (95% CI: 0.72~0.78), pooled specificity .69 (95% CI: 0.69~0.70) respectively. In addition, the pooled sensitivity in the study that targets only the over 65 years of age was .89 (95% CI: 0.85~0.93). Conclusion: The STRATIFY's predictive validity for fall risk is at a moderate level. Although there is a limit to interpret the results for heterogeneity between the literature, STRATIFY is an appropriate tool to apply to hospitalized patients of the elderly at a potential risk of accidental fall in a hospital.

Assessment of Health Risk Posed by Orgnic Substances of Suspended Particulate Matters in a Heavy Traffic Area of Seoul (교통 혼잡지역의 대기 부유분진중 유기혼합물에 의한 발암위해성 평가)

  • Shin, Dong-Chun;Lim, Young-Wook;Park, Seong-Eun;Chung, Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.567-576
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    • 1996
  • Air pollution has been recognized for many years as a factor which heightens the risk of cancer. Extractable polycyclic organic matters in air particulates have been recognized as to have carcinogenic effects. This study examined the health risks posed by organic substances of air particulates in Seoul based on methodelogies that have been developed for conducting risk posed by organic substances of sir particulates in Seoul based on methodologies that have been developed for conducting risk assessment of complex -chemical-mixture. The data used in this study was obtained from air samples collected in a heavy traffic area of Seoul (Shinchon) from 1986 to 1994. The mean concentration of total supended pariculates was 158.0.mu.g/m/msup 3/, 5% of which is consisted of organic matter. The excess cancer risk from benzo(a)pyrene (BaP) was estimated to be 3.48.times.10$^{-6}$ by applying BaP unit risk estimates to the mean concentration. 8.74ng/m BaP equivalents of potency method was 1.0.times.10$^{-3}$ . The calculated risk from EOM were comparably higher than that from benzo(a)pyrene and exceeded the acceptable risk level.

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A Case Study of Risk Assessments and Safety Measures in a PCB Manufacturing Process (인쇄회로기판 제조 공정에서 위험성평가와 안전조치 적용 사례 연구)

  • Lee, Young Man;Lee, Inseok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.120-128
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    • 2022
  • Printed circuit boards (PCBs) are a basic component in the electronics industry and are widely used in nearly all electronic products, such as mobile phones, tablet computers, and digital cameras, as well as in electric equipment. PCB manufacturing involves the use of many chemicals and chemical processes and therefore has more risks than other manufacturing sectors. This study aims to identify the causes of possible accidents during PCB manufacturing through risk assessment, develop and implement safety measures, and evaluate the effectiveness of these measures. Note that the safety measures developed to mitigate the risks of a certain process were also implemented for other similar processes. The risk assessments conducted over seven years, from 2015 to 2021, at a PCB manufacturing company identified 361 hazardous processes. Between 2016 and 2019, 41-56 hazardous processes were identified per year; such processes decreased to fewer than 20 per year after 2020. Application of the risk assessment results to the improvement of the hazardous processes with the similar characteristics seems to be effective in decreasing the risks. Equipment-related factors such as lack of appropriate maintenance, low work standards, and defective protection devices were responsible for 59.8% of all possible accidents. Because PCB manufacturing involves many chemicals, skin contact with hazardous substances, electric shock, fire, and explosion were the most common types of possible accidents (81.7%). In total, 505 safety measures were implemented, including 157 related to purchase and improvement of equipment and devices for safety (31.1%), 147 related to the installation/modification of fire prevention facilities (29.1%), and 69 related to the use of standard electrical appliances (13.7%). Risk assessment conducted after implementing the safety measures showed that these measures significantly decreased risk; 247 processes (68.4%) had a risk level of 3, corresponding to "very low," and 114 processes (31.6%) showed a risk level of 4, corresponding to "low." In particular, risk assessment of 104 processes with risk scores of 12 and 10 other processes with risk score of 16 showed that the risk decreased to 4 after implementing the safety measures. Thus, implementing these measures in similar manufacturing sectors that involve chemical processes can mitigate risk.

Risk Assessment of Dropped Object in Offshore Engineering through Quantified Risk Analysis (정량적 위험해석을 이용한 크레인 낙하물의 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Chul-Ho;Lee, Joo-Sung
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2017
  • Previous methods to evaluate the risk of dropped objects rely on personnel experience of the engineer or operator without analyzed data. However analyzing historical statistic data is the best approach to find the safest operation route and to achieve more reasonable and reliable calculation results. By counting the failure frequency and fatal accident rate the risk can be quantified, and so controlled or mitigated with best economical risk reducing measures. This analysis gives a crane operator with useful information for selecting the best crane operation route, and a designer with an estimation of risk level for the dropped objects from a safety point of view.

Estimation of Contamination Level of Listeria monocytogenes in meat and meat products Using Probability Approaches (확률적 접근방법을 이용한 식육에서의 Listeria monocytogenes 오염수준 산출)

  • Park, Gyung-Jin;Kim, Sung-Jo;Shim, Woo-Chang;Chun, Seok-Jo;Choi, Eun-Young;Choi, Weon-Sang;Hong, Chong-Hae
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2003
  • Probabilistic exposure assessment has been recognized as an important tool in microbial risk assessment, because of obtained the desired results to characterize of variability and uncertainty associated with the microbial hazards. In addition, it will be provided much more actuality information than the point-estimate approaches. In this study, we present methodology using mathematical probability distribution in exposure assessment and estimating of contamination level of Listeria monocytogenes in meat and meat products as a case study. The result of estimation contaminatin level was mean ($50^{th}$ percentile) -4.08 Log CFU/g minimum ($5^{th}$ percentile) -4.88 Log CFU/g, maximum ($95^{th}$ percentile) -3.56 Log CFU/g.

A Study on the Earthquake Safety Assessment of Energy Storage Facilities According to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 에너지 저장시설 지진 안전성평가에 관한 연구)

  • Ham, Eun-Gu;Lee, Sung-Il
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.226-235
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The risk assessment for earthquakes was conducted in accordance with the current design standard (KBC2016) for the Coalescer facility, which is a major facility of energy storage facilities. Method: The risk assessment for earthquakes was conducted in accordance with the current design standard (KBC2016) for the Coalescer facility, which is a major facility of energy storage facilities. Result: In this study, by statically loading earthquake loads and evaluating the level of collapse prevention of special-class structures, facility managers can easily recognize and evaluate the risk level, and this analysis result can be applied to future facility risk management. Earthquake analysis was performed so that. Conclusion: As a result of analyzing the Coalescer facility according to the current design standard KBC2016, the stress ratio of the main supporting members was found to be up to 4.7%. Therefore, the members supporting Coalescer were interpreted as being safe against earthquakes with a reproducibility period of 2400 years that may occur in Korea.

A Study on the Risk Assessment of Small Reservoirs using Reliability Analysis Methods (신뢰도 분석기법을 이용한 소규모 저수지의 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Mun-Mo;Park, Chang-Eon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.15-30
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    • 2000
  • This study is to develop the applied method of reliability analysis to present risk - initial water level relationship in the small reservoir. To determine the reliability, the grasping of uncertainty sources is prerequisited and performance function is formulated. Reliability analysis method is a statistical method and the basic procedure of risk evaluation for overtopping of reservoir is as follows. 1. Define the risk criterion and performance function for the overtopping. 2. Determine the uncertainties of all the variables in the performance function. 3. Perform the risk analysis with suitable risk calculation method. Reliability analysis method such as Monte Carlo simulation(MCS) method and mean value first order second moment(MVFOSM) method are used to calculate the risk for reservoir. Finally, risk - initial water level relationship is established according to return period and it is useful for reservoir operation and safety assessment.ssment.

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A study on Risk-based Bridge Performance Evaluation Method for Asset Management (위험도 개념을 적용한 교량 자산관리의 성능평가방법 연구)

  • Choi, Hyun-Ho;Sun, Jong-Wan;Park, Kyung-Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.22-32
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    • 2013
  • Generally, asset management procedure consists of exact information collection, decision of service level, analysis of aspiration level, analysis of financial condition and available budget, preparation of asset management plan, and value of modified asset. In this study, for the risk-based asset management, condition assessment and performance measuring, assessment of failure modes and risks, evaluation/selection of treatment options, and implementation of optimum solution are additionally included. For this, bridge inventory and performance measure considering risks are classified and method of quantitative/qualitative performance measure is suggested. Also, evaluation method of risk analysis for bridge asset management is suggested and basic research is carried out for applicable method of risk-based asset management. Using suggested risk procedure and method of risk-based bridge service level evaluation, it is possible to perform resonable asset management. Moreover, it is concluded that the proposed applicable method of risk-based asset management will provide a solution to contribute the development of systematical asset management for optimal decision making and prototype asset management system.

Safety and Risk Assessment of Arsenic in Drinking Water (음용수를 통한 비소 노출의 인체 안전성 평가)

  • 이무열;정진호
    • Toxicological Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2002
  • Arsenic (As) is a ubiquitous element found in several forms in foods and water. Although certain foods, such as marine fish, contain substantial levels of organic arsenic forms, they are relatively low in toxicity compared to inorganic forms. in contrast, arsenic in drinking water is predominantly inorganic and highly toxic. Chronic ingestion of arsenic-contaminated drinking water is therefore the major pathway posing potential risk to human hearth. since the early 1990s in Bangladesh ozone, arsenic exposure has caused more than 7,000 deaths and uncounted thousands shout symptoms of long-term arsenic poisoning. Significant portion of world populations are exposed to low to moderate levels of arsenic of parts per billion (ppb) to hundreds of ppb. As a consequence, the World Health Organization (WHO) and U.S. environmental health agencies, such as the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) made arsenic their highest priority. Recently, the WHO, European Union (EU), and US. EPA lowered an acceptable level of 10 ppb for arsenic in drinking water In this article, various health effects of arsenic in drinking water were reviewed and the current status for risk assessment to regulate arsenic in drinking water was discussed.

A Study on the Application Plan of the Optimized Risk Assessment Model in Construction Field (최적 위험도 평가 모델의 건설업 분야 적용 방안에 관한 연구)

  • cho, Jae-hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2017
  • It has come to attention that a risk-assessing organization, that will benchmark a company's safety department, is imperative, following an increase in large-scale SOC-business project, construction of higher-raised buildings, development of underground space; all that have increase accident rates. Having faced problems that arise in firms that demand diversity, complexity and instantaneity, the purpose of the thesis is to arrive at efficient and practical problem-solving means. In order to solve the problems that would surface theoretically during an actual risk assessment, the state of the operation systems of the top five national construction firms having a hazard rate of 0.25 times less than the average rate have been analyzed, while a hierarchal recognition research of the employees who not only function at the operating level but are the practice subjects of a firm, has also been conducted, bringing the main text.