• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Level Assessment

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데이터마이닝을 이용한 기상정보에 따른 화재 위험 평가 (Fire Risk Assessment Based on Weather Information Using Data Mining)

  • 류정우;권성필
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 일상생활에서 화재에 대한 주민들의 경각심을 고취시킬 수 있도록 기상조건에 따른 화재위험을 평가할 수 있는 날씨 관련 서비스를 제안한다. 제안된 서비스는 기상예보에 따른 화재위험평가등급과 특정 기상조건에서 화재요인에 따른 화재위험도를 제공한다. 제안한 서비스에서는 데이터마이닝 기법인 의사결정트리를 이용하여 화재조사데이터와 관측된 기상데이터로부터 화재위험평가등급을 산출할 수 있는 화재 위험도 매트릭스를 생성한다. 주민들은 제안한 서비스를 통해 특정 기상조건에서 화재요인에 따라 화재위험도를 직접 평가할 수 있고, 화재위험도를 저감시킬 수 있는 예방책을 사용자가 선택할 수 있다. 제안한 서비스를 시스템화하여 서비스의 현실성을 확인하였다. 시스템은 온라인상에서 기상청의 기상예보가 갱신될 때마다 시도별로 기상예보에 따른 화재위험평가등급을 표시하고, 각 시도별로 해당 기상조건에서 화재요인에 따라 화재위험도를 평가할 수 있다.

International Construction Joint Ventures with Developing Countries: Singapore's Case for Risk Assessment and Allocation

  • Hwang, Bon-Gang;Zhao, Xianbo;Chin, Eileen Wei Yan
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.435-439
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    • 2015
  • It is important for Singaporean companies to manage the multifaceted risks when forming international construction joint ventures (ICJVs) with developing countries. The objectives of this study are to assess the risks associated with Singaporean ICJVs with developing countries, and investigate the risk allocation preferences in these ICJVs. To fulfill these objectives, a literature review was carried out and a questionnaire survey was performed with 38 professionals. The survey results reported "political instability" as the most critical risk, and market level risks were less critical than country and project level risks. Additionally, the results showed agreement on the risk ranking between building and infrastructure ICJVs, despite significant differences in the criticalities of five risks. Furthermore, five risks were preferably allocated to host and foreign partners, respectively, while 13 risks could be shared among partners. As few studies have explored the risk allocation preferences in ICJVs, this study expands the literature. Also, the identification of the risks allows other companies to customize their own lists of critical risks, while the preferred risk allocation provides valuable information for companies from various countries that intend to form ICJVs with developing countries. Thus, this study contributes to the global body of knowledge relating to ICJVs.

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위험도 개선 지수를 이용한 송전계통 계획 수립에 관한 연구 (Transmission Network Expansion Planning Using Risk Level Improvement Index)

  • 김성열
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제63권6호
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    • pp.752-757
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    • 2014
  • This paper attempts to evaluate the impact of power plant penetration on constraints of a transmission network and proposes a methodology based on risk level, which can evaluate the condition of the network and facilities intuitionally. Furthermore, based on this methodology, RLII(Risk Level Improvement Index) is proposed in order to establish comprehensive TNEP(Transmission Network Expansion Planning) from a viewpoint of ISO(Independent System Operator). In order to verify the proposed methods in this paper, real power systems in Incheon and Shiheung areas, south Korea are applied to the case study.

정성적 위험 분석을 위한 버디 시스템의 구조 분석 (The Architectural Analysis of the Buddy System for Qualitative Risk Analysis)

  • Jeongwon Yoon;Kim, Hong-Keun
    • 한국정보보호학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보보호학회 1995년도 종합학술발표회논문집
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 1995
  • The importance of the risk analysis tool has been recognized and its use also has been emphasized by a number of researchers recently The methodology were examined but neither algorithms nor practical applications have been implemented or practiced in Korea. In this paper, the architecture of the Buddy System, one of the automated risk assessment tools. is analyzed in depth to provide the algorithmic understanding and to promote the development of the risk analysis methodology. The Buddy System mainly uses three main factors of vulnerability, threat and countermeasures as a nucleus of the qualatative analysis with the modified loss expectancy value. These factors are identified and assessed by the separation of duties between the end user and security analyst. The Buddy System uses five axioms as its bases of assessment algorithm and the assessed vulnerability level is strictly within these axioms. Since the In-place countermeasures reduce the vulnerability level up to a certain level. the security analyst may use "what if " model to examine the impact of additional countermeasures by proposing each to reduce the vulnerability level further to within the acceptable range. The emphasis on the qualitative approach on vulnerability leveling is very well balanced with the quantitative analysis that the system performance is prominent.prominent.

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중서부태평양해역 다랑어어업의 생태계기반 어업 위험도 평가 (Evaluation of Korean distant water tuna fisheries in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean using ecosystem-based fishery risk assessment)

  • 권유정;임정현;이미경;이성일
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제56권4호
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    • pp.299-315
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    • 2020
  • Tuna fisheries were applied to an integrated ecosystem-based fishery risk assessment method using indexes of target species status, inhabited species in a target ecosystem, habitat quality and socio-economic benefit of affected fisheries. This study suggested more effective and efficient management measures to break away from traditional management methods, such as limitation of catch and fishing effort. The results presented that the objective risk index (ORIS) on sustainability of bigeye and yellowfin tunas by purse seine fishery was estimated high due to the high catch ratio of small fishes. The ORIs of biodiversity (ORIB) and habitat quality (ORIH) of purse seine fishery were also estimated at a high level from using fish-aggregating devices (FAD). However, due to skipjack tuna's high catches, the ORI of socio-economic benefit (ORIE) was estimated at a very low level. Due to the high bycatch rate, ORIB was high, and ORIS and ORIH were evaluated at a low level in longline fishery. Due to strengthern of fishing restrictions and increase of fishing costs, the ORIE was assessed to be very high. The ecosystem risk index (ERI) for two tuna fisheries was assessed low, but the overall FAD management by purse seine fishery is necessary at the ecosystem level.

대용량 멀티포트 동시 충전 기반 수소충전소 안전성 평가 연구 (Risk Assessment for High Capacity Multiport Hydrogen Refueling Station)

  • 조충희;강승규;김부승;이경식
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.505-513
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    • 2023
  • Hydrogen infrastructure is expanding. High-capacity hydrogen refueling stations offer advantages because they can refuel a variety of light and heavy-duty vehicles, and multi-port refueling technology is developing to reduce charging time for heavy-duty vehicles. In this study, we suggest directions to lower the risk by analyzing the risk factors for each process involved in the installation of a high-capacity multi-port hydrogen refueling station in Changwon city. We conducted both qualitative and quantitative risk assessments of the equipment to evaluate the station. A hazard and operability study was performed for qualitative risk assessment, and PHAST/SAFETI were used for quantitative risk assessment. Quantitative risk assessment was used to calculate the consequence analysis of the facility to ensure secure design prior to station development and to predict individual and societal risks in various scenarios. As a result, the station's risk level was determined to be as low as reasonably practicable.

화학사고 장외영향평가 제도의 종합위험도 결정 체계 개선을 위한 고찰 (Discussion for Improvement of Decision System of Total Risk in Off-site Risk Assessment)

  • 최우수;류태권;곽솔림;임형준;정진희;이지은;김정곤;백종배;윤준헌;류지성
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: Despite the positive effects of Off-site risk assessment (ORA) system such as prevention of chemical accidents, some problems have been constantly raised. The purpose of this study is to analyze the problems that have occurred through the implementation of the ORA system for the past three years and to suggest reasonable directions for improvement in the future. Methods: In order to identify the problems with the methodology and procedure of ORA system, we analyzed statutes, administrative rules and documents related to the ORA system. A survey of ORA reviewers in National Institute of Chemical Safety was conducted to investigate the weight of determinants considered when judging the level of total risk in ORA. Results: In this study, we found out the uncertainty of the estimation of the number of people in the impact range in the procedure of the risk assessment of individual handling facilities, the lack of quantitative risk analysis methods for environmental receptors, and the ambiguity of the criteria for the total risk. In addition to suggesting solutions to the problems mentioned above, we also, suggested a decision tree for total risk in ORA. Conclusion: We anticipate that the solutions including the systematic decision tree for total risk suggested will contribute to the smooth operation of the ORA system.

Nonylphenol과 Bisphenol A의 지렁이 독성시험 및 토양 중 생태 위해성평가 (Risk Assessment of Soil through Earthworm Toxicity Test of Nonylphenol and Bisphenol A)

  • 이철우;박수영;윤준헌;최경희;정영희;김현미
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제20권4호통권51호
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    • pp.279-286
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    • 2005
  • Earthworm (Eisenia fetida) acute toxicity test was carried out and ecological risk assessment in soil was performed with national monitoring data. 14 day - $LC_{50}$ of nonylphenol and bisphenol A were 288.1 mg/kg and 90.1 mg/kg, respectively. And NOECs of nonylphenol and bisphenol A were 250 mg/kg and 50 mg/kg, respectively. Significant weight decrement was appeared at 70 mg/kg of bisphenol A, however, nonylphenol at concentrations tested did not severe adverse effect on the weight decrement. The environmental monitoring has been carrying out by NIER since 1999. Exposure levels of nonylphenol in soil were ND$\sim$10.55 $\mu$g/kg and those of bisphenol A were ND$\sim$15.50$\mu$g/kg in National Monitoring data which had been performed from 2000 to 2004. The measured soil exposure level was applied to evaluate the environmental risk assessment. The values of PNEC for bisphenol A and nonylphenol were determined as 0.5 mg/kg and 2.5 mg/kg, respectively using the safety factors which were suggested in EU and OECD. The values of HQ (PEC/PNEC) were determined to be below I for bisphenol A and nonylphenol when the maximum exposure levels for bispheol A (15.50$\mu$g/kg) and nonylphenol (10.55$\mu$g/kg) were applied. Conclusively, the environmental risk assessment of bisphenol A and nonylphenol was not critical in soil.

입원 환자에서 STRATIFY의 예측 타당도 메타분석 (Predictive Validity of the STRATIFY for Fall Screening Assessment in Acute Hospital Setting: A meta-analysis)

  • 박성희;최윤경;황정해
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.559-571
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study is to determine the predictive validity of the St. Thomas Risk Assessment Tool in Falling Elderly Inpatients (STRATIFY) for inpatients' fall risk. Methods: A literature search was performed to identify all studies published between 1946 and 2014 from periodicals indexed in Ovid Medline, Embase, CINAHL, KoreaMed, NDSL and other databases, using the following key words; 'fall', 'fall risk assessment', 'fall screening', 'mobility scale', and 'risk assessment tool'. The QUADAS-II was applied to assess the internal validity of the diagnostic studies. Fourteen studies were analyzed using meta-analysis with MetaDisc 1.4. Results: The predictive validity of STRATIFY was as follows; pooled sensitivity .75 (95% CI: 0.72~0.78), pooled specificity .69 (95% CI: 0.69~0.70) respectively. In addition, the pooled sensitivity in the study that targets only the over 65 years of age was .89 (95% CI: 0.85~0.93). Conclusion: The STRATIFY's predictive validity for fall risk is at a moderate level. Although there is a limit to interpret the results for heterogeneity between the literature, STRATIFY is an appropriate tool to apply to hospitalized patients of the elderly at a potential risk of accidental fall in a hospital.

교통 혼잡지역의 대기 부유분진중 유기혼합물에 의한 발암위해성 평가 (Assessment of Health Risk Posed by Orgnic Substances of Suspended Particulate Matters in a Heavy Traffic Area of Seoul)

  • 신동천;임영욱;박성은;정용
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.567-576
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    • 1996
  • Air pollution has been recognized for many years as a factor which heightens the risk of cancer. Extractable polycyclic organic matters in air particulates have been recognized as to have carcinogenic effects. This study examined the health risks posed by organic substances of air particulates in Seoul based on methodelogies that have been developed for conducting risk posed by organic substances of sir particulates in Seoul based on methodologies that have been developed for conducting risk assessment of complex -chemical-mixture. The data used in this study was obtained from air samples collected in a heavy traffic area of Seoul (Shinchon) from 1986 to 1994. The mean concentration of total supended pariculates was 158.0.mu.g/m/msup 3/, 5% of which is consisted of organic matter. The excess cancer risk from benzo(a)pyrene (BaP) was estimated to be 3.48.times.10$^{-6}$ by applying BaP unit risk estimates to the mean concentration. 8.74ng/m BaP equivalents of potency method was 1.0.times.10$^{-3}$ . The calculated risk from EOM were comparably higher than that from benzo(a)pyrene and exceeded the acceptable risk level.

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